Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Indianapolis, IN

305 
WWUS53 KIND 192011
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
411 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INC045-157-165-171-192045-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-190519T2045Z/
Fountain IN-Tippecanoe IN-Warren IN-Vermillion IN-
411 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL FOUNTAIN...NORTHWESTERN TIPPECANOE...WARREN AND
NORTHWESTERN VERMILLION COUNTIES...

At 410 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line 
extending from near Oxford to near Covington, moving east at 35 mph. 
This storm has a history of producing 60 mph wind gusts.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Covington, Veedersburg, Williamsport, Attica, Shadeland, West
Lebanon, Perrysville, Newtown, Pine Village, Foster, Gessie and
Rainsville.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 65 between mile markers 181 and 184.
 Interstate 74 between mile markers 1 and 16.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4056 8686 4004 8729 4004 8732 4007 8753
      4014 8753 4048 8732 4048 8709 4056 8709
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 252DEG 32KT 4047 8729 4014 8749 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

AW/50

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
332 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

.UPDATE...
The LONG TERM Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 310 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

A cold front will move through central Indiana tonight.
Thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of the front. Much cooler
weather moves in for the start of the work week. A front will
meander across the area mid to late week, bringing chances for rain
at times mid-week into next weekend. Temperatures will rebound to
above normal mid-week and then remain there.

&&

.NEAR TERM...(Rest of This Afternoon and Tonight)
Issued at 310 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Early this afternoon a dry slot was moving into central Indiana,
ending the widespread rainfall. However, a line of storms had
developed in central Illinois ahead of a cold front.

The line of storms will move across central Indiana during the rest
of the afternoon and into the early evening hours before 00Z. Will
handle with a pre-first period in the text products to cover this.
Severe storms remain possible with building instability and some
decent shear, but at the moment am not expecting widespread severe
weather.

HRRR and some other models indicate still some shower or
thunderstorm potential with the front itself as it moves across the
area after 00Z. Will have some low PoPs this evening.

Colder air will move in overnight, and some stratocumulus will
accompany it. Will keep skies partly cloudy.

The model blend looks reasonable for temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 310 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Models are close enough that the model blend initialization
was accepted for most items.

The colder air and stratocumulus will stick around on Monday,
keeping skies partly cloudy and high temperatures only in the 60s
most areas.

Dry and cool conditions will continue into Tuesday with some upper
ridging briefly working into the area.

A large upper system across the western part of the country will
send some energy just to the northwest of the area Tuesday night
into Wednesday. This will also bring a warm front through the area.
Forcing isn't that impressive with the strongest forcing remaining
out of central Indiana. Will go with mainly chance category PoPs.

The warm front will allow temperatures to return into the 80s for
highs on Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Thursday/...

Issued at 312 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Accepted the initialization. An upper level high will sit over
the deep south for much of long term range. Models are showing a
couple of short waves that may affect the area during that time so
there are a couple chances for rain. The best chance looks to be
Memorial Day weekend as models are in agreement that there will be
precipitation but exact timing and location are still to be seen.

Temperatures will be above normal as highs are anticipated to be
in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION (Discussion for the 191800Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 110 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Generally VFR conditions expected through the period, with some MVFR
or worse conditions mainly in convection this afternoon into early
evening. Gusty winds will continue this afternoon.

Main area of rain will continue to move out of the sites early in
the period. Scattered convection will then move in ahead of an
approaching cold front.

There are some patches of MVFR clouds across Illinois that will move
into the area and may cause brief periods of MVFR ceilings even
outside of convection this afternoon.

Overnight will be dry with a stratocumulus deck moving in from the
north. For now kept this VFR but MVFR not out of the question.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...50
NEAR TERM...50
SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM....KH
AVIATION...50

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
414 AM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-201000-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon,
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington,
Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers,
Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Clinton, Newport,
Rockville, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville,
Indianapolis, Greenfield, Cumberland, New Castle, Terre Haute,
Brazil, Clay City, Spencer, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood,
Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Linton, Bloomfield,
Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington,
Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, Brownstown,
and North Vernon
414 AM EDT Sun May 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Outlook: Showers and thunderstorms. Severe storms possible this
afternoon and evening. Windy conditions.

Hazards: Damaging winds...large hail...heavy rain and lightning. A
few tornadoes possible as well. Non-thunderstorm wind gusts to near
40 mph at times.

Timing: Storms possible through this evening. The best threat for
severe weather from 2 pm through 9 pm. Gusty winds outside of storms
through early evening.

Discussion: Showers and thunderstorms are expected today ahead of a
cold front. Severe storms are possible this afternoon and evening.
Dry and cooler weather is expected overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Outlook: Thunderstorms will be possible at times late Tuesday
into next weekend. Some of the storms could be strong.

Discussion: After a dry and cooler start to the week...additional
chances for rain and thunderstorms will come for the second half of
the upcoming week as strong low pressure tracks from the central
Plains into the upper Midwest with a frontal boundary lingering
across the Ohio Valley.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Ryan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
336 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INZ028-029-035-043-192015-
Fountain IN-Warren IN-Vermillion IN-Tippecanoe IN-
336 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FOUNTAIN...WEST CENTRAL
TIPPECANOE...WARREN AND NORTHERN VERMILLION COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM
EDT...

At 335 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles east of Rossville to Allerton. Movement
was southeast at 25 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Covington, Veedersburg, Williamsport, Newport, Attica, Cayuga, West
Lebanon, Dana, Perrysville, Newtown, Pine Village, State Line City,
Pence, Foster, Tab, Gessie, Rainsville and Lodi.

LAT...LON 4048 8753 4048 8693 3995 8735 3995 8742
      3993 8743 3993 8741 3991 8739 3973 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 295DEG 22KT 4040 8753 3994 8792

AW/50