Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Lincoln, IL

026 
WWUS53 KILX 260312
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1012 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

ILC057-169-260345-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190526T0345Z/
Fulton-Schuyler-
1012 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FULTON AND NORTHEASTERN SCHUYLER COUNTIES...

At 1011 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line 
extending from near Adair to 5 miles east of Littleton, moving east 
at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. At 1004 PM, 60 mph winds and dime 
         size hail were reported in Littleton. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Astoria, Vermont, Ipava, Table Grove, Bluff City, Ray, Duncan Mills
and Marbletown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Lincoln.

&&

LAT...LON 4028 9057 4028 9045 4039 9044 4037 9004
      4035 9005 4034 9005 4019 9018 4019 9020
      4015 9022 4016 9026 4015 9027 4015 9059
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 268DEG 27KT 4037 9047 4019 9052 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Geelhart

001 
WWUS53 KILX 260331
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1031 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

ILC057-169-260345-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190526T0345Z/
Fulton-Schuyler-
1031 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FULTON AND NORTHEASTERN SCHUYLER COUNTIES...

At 1030 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Ipava to near Astoria, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. At 1025 PM, nickel size hail was 
         reported at Ipava. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Astoria, Vermont, Ipava, Table Grove, Bluff City, Duncan Mills and
Marbletown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Lincoln.

&&

LAT...LON 4028 9045 4039 9044 4037 9004 4035 9005
      4034 9005 4019 9018 4019 9020 4015 9022
      4016 9026 4015 9027 4015 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 0330Z 271DEG 32KT 4037 9026 4019 9031 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Geelhart

222 
WWUS53 KILX 260346
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1046 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

ILC057-169-260355-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-190526T0345Z/
Fulton-Schuyler-
1046 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FULTON AND
NORTHEASTERN SCHUYLER COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.  However heavy
rain is still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
central and west central Illinois.

A Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for eastern 
Fulton County until 1115 PM. 

LAT...LON 4028 9045 4039 9044 4037 9004 4035 9005
      4034 9005 4019 9018 4019 9020 4015 9022
      4016 9026 4015 9027 4015 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 0345Z 271DEG 32KT 4037 9010 4019 9015 

$$

Geelhart

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
632 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
ISSUED AT 329 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

Synoptic pattern remains unchanged from the past several
days...with a large upper-level ridge anchored over the Deep
South and a pronounced trough in place west of the Rockies.
Central Illinois continues to be located in the prevailing
southwesterlies between these two features, resulting in periodic
showers and thunderstorms. While 20z/3pm radar mosaic is clear
across the KILX CWA, the next round of convection is expected to
begin developing upstream across eastern Kansas into northern
Missouri over the next couple of hours. A slow-moving cold front
interacting with a moderately unstable/sheared environment will
trigger scattered thunderstorms across this area...with the
storms gradually working into the Illinois River Valley by mid
evening. Convection will become more widespread overnight into
Sunday morning as a short-wave trough currently over New Mexico
approaches from the southwest and provides additional lift. It
appears an organized cluster of storms may develop ahead of this
wave toward dawn Sunday, then track E/SE into Indiana by midday
Sunday. Have therefore increased PoPs to likely/categorical
everywhere north of I-70 late tonight into Sunday morning. Once
this complex exits, scattered thunderstorms will re-develop along
the residual outflow boundary during the late afternoon and
evening. Exact location of this boundary is uncertain, but model
consensus suggests it will be south of I-70. Have therefore
focused highest PoPs Sunday afternoon across the far SE CWA. Total
rainfall tonight through Sunday will be highest in a corridor from
Rushville/Macomb eastward toward Bloomington where 1 to 1.25 will
be likely.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 329 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

Short-wave ridging in the wake of the Sunday storm complex will
lead to a warm/dry evening across central Illinois before
scattered convection once again develops late Sunday night into
Monday morning along a warm front lifting northward through the
area. After a few morning storms, much of the convection will
shift into northern Illinois and the Great Lakes by Monday
afternoon as SE CONUS ridge builds northward into the region. A
period of very warm/dry weather appears likely from Monday
afternoon through much of Tuesday as the ridge shunts the
convection N/NW of Illinois. Highs both days will climb well into
the 80s, with a few spots across the southern half of the CWA
reaching 90 degrees.

The western U.S. trough will eject E/NE next week, eventually
flattening the upper ridge and pushing a cold front through
Illinois. Models still do not agree exactly on the timing of this
process, but consensus suggests a round of showers/storms Tuesday
night into Wednesday morning, then again Wednesday night into
Thursday morning before the system finally pushes through the
region. After the cold front passes, high temperatures will drop
back into the 70s Thursday through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

Thunderstorms should continue to develop over northern Missouri
and southern Iowa along a frontal zone and spread eastward into
the central IL area this evening, eventually becoming widespread
overnight as a disturbance aloft moves into the area from the
southwest, promoting predominant rain showers with embedded
thunderstorms. Although timing continues to be somewhat uncertain,
have VCTS in TAFs starting 3-5Z, and predominant SHRA starting
9-10Z. As the disturbance moves east of the area midday Sunday,
shower activity should diminish, resulting in chances of
precipitation too low for mention after 18Z. Predominantly VFR
cigs/vsbys through the period, although isolated IFR possible
thunderstorms. Winds becoming WSW 10 kts or less early this
evening. Strong gusty winds possible, however, in thunderstorms.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Barnes
LONG TERM...Barnes
AVIATION...37

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
314 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

ILZ027>031-037-038-261100-
Knox-Marshall-McLean-Peoria-Stark-Tazewell-Woodford-
314 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible this evening, but
should become more numerous tonight. A few storms later tonight
and overnight may briefly be strong or severe, but a widespread
severe weather threat is not expected. However, areas of heavier
rain may result in some flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

There will be additional periodic chances for thunderstorms
through Tuesday night. While isolated strong to severe storms are
possible on Monday, the best chance of any severe weather is
Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Moderate flooding will continue along the Illinois River through
the period. However, flooding along the Spoon River should
subside around mid week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

ILZ036-040>042-047>051-261100-
Cass-Fulton-Logan-Mason-Menard-Morgan-Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-
314 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible this evening, but
should become more numerous tonight. A few storms later tonight
and overnight may briefly be strong or severe, but a widespread
severe weather threat is not expected. However, areas of heavier
rain may result in some flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Major flooding will continue along much of the Illinois River
through the end of the month.

There will be additional periodic chances for thunderstorms
through Tuesday night. The best chance of any severe weather is
Tuesday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

ILZ043>046-052>057-061-261100-
Champaign-Christian-Coles-De Witt-Douglas-Edgar-Macon-Moultrie-
Piatt-Shelby-Vermilion-
314 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and east central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible this evening, but
should become more numerous tonight. A few storms later tonight
and overnight may briefly be strong or severe, but a widespread
severe weather threat is not expected. However, areas of heavier
rain may result in some flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

There will be periodic chances for thunderstorms through Tuesday
night. A few of the storms Monday afternoon and evening may be
strong, as well as on Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-261100-
Clark-Clay-Crawford-Cumberland-Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-
314 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible this evening, but
should become more numerous tonight. A few storms later tonight
and overnight may briefly be strong or severe, but a widespread
severe weather threat is not expected. However, areas of heavier
rain may result in some flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Additional thunderstorms are expected on Sunday, and Tuesday night
into early Wednesday. Some of the storms may be strong.

Minor flooding will continue along the Wabash and Little Wabash
Rivers into the middle of the week. However, flooding on the
lower Embarras River should subside Sunday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required late this afternoon into early
evening.

Auten