Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2019
Beach Hazards Statement 5, NWS Wilmington, NC
NWS Wilmington, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Apr 19, 2019, 8:06 PM EDT for New Hanover County, Pender County, North Carolina; Georgetown County, Horry County, South Carolina. It took effect at Apr 20, 2019, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 19, 2019, 8:06 PM EDT (00:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 20, 2019, 6:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 20, 2019, 4:45 AM EDT
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, NC
Counties New Hanover County, NC, Pender County, NC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC
The radar
The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 938 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -6 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 696 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 324 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 375 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.6
- Supercell composite
- 8.1
The text
As transmitted.
786
WHUS42 KILM 200006
CFWILM
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
806 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
NCZ107-200500-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.W.0001.190420T0100Z-190420T0500Z/
Inland New Hanover-
806 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...Inland New Hanover.
* TIMING...Until 1 AM EDT Saturday.
* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Water as deep around 1 foot covering
portions of Battleship Road and USS North Carolina Road. Water
over 6 inches deep along River Road about a quarter mile south
of The Cape Boulevard in downtown Wilmington. Water covering
more than 2 blocks of Water Street near Market Street with as
much as a foot of water in the center of Water Street just south
of Market Street.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or
imminent. Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert
for rising water, and take appropriate action to protect life and
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 99.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.7 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 94.3 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/11 PM 6.7 2.0 1.2 1 Moderate
20/11 AM 5.5 0.8 0.6 1 Minor
21/12 AM 6.1 1.4 0.6 1 Minor
21/12 PM 5.0 0.3 0.4 1 None
22/12 AM 5.7 1.0 0.3 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-200815-
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-190420T0100Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
Coastal Georgetown-
806 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach
Hazards Statement, which is in effect from 6 AM EDT Saturday
through Saturday evening.
* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry and Coastal
Georgetown. In North Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New
Hanover.
* TIMING...For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 6 AM EDT
Saturday through Saturday evening.
* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Southeasterly winds 15-25 MPH will develop
during the day on Saturday. This will lead to the development of
a strong south to north longshore current at east-facing
beaches. In addition, a moderate risk of rip currents exist at
the aforementioned beaches on Saturday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often, if the
longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep swimmers off
their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.
A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.
&&
$$
NCZ110-200815-
/O.NEW.KILM.RP.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/
/O.CON.KILM.RP.S.0004.000000T0000Z-190420T0100Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
806 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...
The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a High Rip
Current Risk, which is in effect from 6 AM EDT Saturday through
Saturday evening.
* LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick.
* TIMING...For the High Rip Current Risk, from 6 AM EDT Saturday
through Saturday evening.
* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous
to anyone who enters the surf.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip
currents are likely in the surf zone.
Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.
If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.
&&
$$
214 follow-up statements
873
WHUS42 KILM 200035
CFWILM
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
835 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-200845-
/O.EXP.KILM.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-190420T0100Z/
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
Coastal Georgetown-
835 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry and Coastal
Georgetown. In North Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New
Hanover.
* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT Saturday through Saturday evening.
* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Southeasterly winds 15-25 MPH will develop
during the day on Saturday. This will lead to the development of
a strong south to north longshore current at east-facing
beaches. In addition, a moderate risk of rip currents exist at
the aforementioned beaches on Saturday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often, if the
longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep swimmers off
their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.
A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.
&&
$$
NCZ110-200845-
/O.EXP.KILM.RP.S.0004.000000T0000Z-190420T0100Z/
/O.CON.KILM.RP.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
835 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick.
* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT Saturday through Saturday evening.
* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous
to anyone who enters the surf.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip
currents are likely in the surf zone.
Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.
If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.
&&
$$
NCZ107-200500-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.W.0001.190420T0100Z-190420T0500Z/
Inland New Hanover-
835 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...Inland New Hanover.
* TIMING...Until 1 AM EDT Saturday.
* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Water as deep around 1 foot covering
portions of Battleship Road and USS North Carolina Road. Water
over 6 inches deep along River Road about a quarter mile south
of The Cape Boulevard in downtown Wilmington. Water covering
more than 2 blocks of Water Street near Market Street with as
much as a foot of water in the center of Water Street just south
of Market Street.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or
imminent. Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert
for rising water, and take appropriate action to protect life and
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 99.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.7 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 94.3 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/11 PM 6.7 2.0 1.2 1 Moderate
20/11 AM 5.5 0.8 0.6 1 Minor
21/12 AM 6.1 1.4 0.6 1 Minor
21/12 PM 5.0 0.3 0.4 1 None
22/12 AM 5.7 1.0 0.3 1 Minor
&&
$$
21808
WHUS42 KILM 200509
CFWILM
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
109 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019
NCZ107-200615-
/O.EXP.KILM.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190420T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.CF.Y.0035.190420T0509Z-190420T0600Z/
Inland New Hanover-
109 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY AND IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...
The National Weather Service in Wilmington has downgraded the
Coastal Flood Warning to a Coastal Flood Advisory, which is now
in effect until 2 AM EDT early this morning.
* LOCATIONS...Inland New Hanover.
* TIMING...Until 2 AM EDT early this morning.
* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Water is slowly receding with one half
foot deep water on the lowest parts of Battleship Road and USS
North Carolina Road. Water will spread on portions of River Road
especially south of The Cape Boulevard. In downtown Wilmington,
one quarter to one half foot of water will cover portions of
Water Street.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that tide levels on the Lower
Cape Fear River will run higher than the norm as strong onshore
winds combine with 1 inch plus rainfall upstream.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 99.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.7 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 94.3 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/11 PM 6.7 2.0 1.2 1 Moderate
20/11 AM 5.5 0.8 0.6 1 Minor
21/12 AM 6.1 1.4 0.6 1 Minor
21/12 PM 5.0 0.3 0.4 1 None
22/12 AM 5.7 1.0 0.3 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-201315-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
Coastal Georgetown-
109 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry and Coastal
Georgetown. In North Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New
Hanover.
* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening.
* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often, if
the longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep swimmers
off their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.
A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.
&&
$$
NCZ110-201315-
/O.CON.KILM.RP.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
109 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick.
* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening.
* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous
to anyone who enters the surf.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip
currents are likely in the surf zone.
Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.
If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.
&&
$$
dch013
WHUS42 KILM 200541
CFWILM
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
141 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019
NCZ107-200645-
/O.EXP.KILM.CF.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-190420T0600Z/
Inland New Hanover-
141 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...
The Lower Cape Fear River levels will fall below minor flood
thresholds, 5.5 ft MLLW, by 2am EDT. As a result, the coastal
flood advisory will be allowed to expire at 2am EDT.
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 99.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.7 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 94.3 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/11 PM 6.7 2.0 1.2 1 Moderate
20/11 AM 5.5 0.8 0.6 1 Minor
21/12 AM 6.1 1.4 0.6 1 Minor
21/12 PM 5.0 0.3 0.4 1 None
22/12 AM 5.7 1.0 0.3 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-201345-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
Coastal Georgetown-
141 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry and Coastal
Georgetown. In North Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New
Hanover.
* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening.
* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often, if
the longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep swimmers
off their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.
A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.
&&
$$
NCZ110-201345-
/O.CON.KILM.RP.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
141 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick.
* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening.
* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous
to anyone who enters the surf.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip
currents are likely in the surf zone.
Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.
If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.
&&
$$
dch546 WHUS42 KILM 200845 CFWILM Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Wilmington NC 445 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019 NCZ106-108-210000- /O.CAN.KILM.BH.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/ /O.EXB.KILM.RP.S.0005.190420T1100Z-190421T0000Z/ Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover- 445 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a High Rip Current Risk, which is in effect through this evening. The Beach Hazards Statement has been cancelled. * LOCATIONS...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover. * TIMING...Through this evening. * SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous to anyone who enters the surf. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip currents are likely in the surf zone. Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and signs. If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly. && $$ SCZ054-056-200945- /O.CAN.KILM.BH.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/ Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown- 445 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Wilmington has cancelled the Beach Hazards Statement. $$ NCZ110-210000- /O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0006.190420T1100Z-190421T0000Z/ /O.CON.KILM.RP.S.0005.190420T1000Z-190421T0100Z/ Coastal Brunswick- 445 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach Hazards Statement, which is in effect through this evening. * LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick. * TIMING...Through this evening. * SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous to anyone who enters the surf. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip currents are likely in the surf zone. Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and signs. If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly. A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life- threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used when in or near the water. && $$ 43
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Apr 19, 7:43 PM EDT, 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 19, 7:43 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
743 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy with showers and isolated thunderstorms through this
evening. Drying into Saturday with easing wind late Saturday
through early next. A warming trend is expected much of the
upcoming week, especially mid to late week, as temperatures
rise to above normal.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Wind Advisory cancelled as speed intensity wanes enough. 2nd
line of convection to pass through, diurnal cooling not helping,
but lapse rates aloft higher, so isolated TSTMs retained this
evening, but 'tornado watch' is cancelled. Drying after 6z.
previous discussion
Once the front passes, much drier air will spread over the area
from the south. Atypical cold advection with southwest flow
spreading cold air into the area late tonight into Sat. Although
cold air starts to arrive tonight the lag in cold air and
relatively strong boundary layer mixing will keep lows above
climo.
Skies clear out overnight, but as the cold pool and moisture aloft
swing through during the day and surface heating commences expect
skies will start to cloud over. Increasing cloud cover and cold
advection will keep highs in the mid to upper 60s, especially
inland. Instability showers may develop Sat afternoon and continue
into the evening as the cold pool aloft passes just northwest of the
area. Right now shower chances are on the low side, but if core of
the cold air ends up a little closer coverage could be significantly
increased. Also have the potential for small hail with any showers
that develop given thermal profiles in the afternoon and evening.
Period ends with cold pool north of the area and development of weak
warm advection. Winds Sat night will be on the light side and skies
will clear with the loss of heating, allowing for some radiational
cooling and lows below climo.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Sunday through Monday cold pool aloft to migrate from the Mid
Atlantic to New England with plentiful dry mid level air rushing
in around the southern periphery to provide fair conditions.
This to bring precipitation-free weather this period,
seasonable with a warming trend. Sunday morning, as diurnal
warming begins, lapse rates and lower moisture from the
transiting upper trough axis, could generate isolated showers SE
NC, drying otherwise.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A fair period, because of dry air in general perched above 6000
feet. A weakening front to approach Friday, possibly crossing
the coast. Temperatures to make a climb through mid-week, above
normal Wed-Fri, slight cooling possible into next weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 00Z...Line of showers and storms continues to move
offshore, but a plume of secondary moisture will continue to
move northward over KSUT and bring heavy showers to ILM. Another
line of weak showers will move through the terminals through
03Z with MVFR conditions possible. Clouds will break and VFR
conditions will prevail after 06Z with winds from the southeast
at 10-20 knots across the area with gusts up to 25 knots. Clear
skies and windy conditions continue through the forecast period.
Extended Outlook...Spotty MVFR should give way to VFR conditions
by early Saturday morning and continuing thru Tue.
&&
.MARINE...
Strong SW flow continues this evening, supporting continuation
of the Gale Warning through at least the evening hours. Once the
front pushes offshore winds should veer to west- southwest with
a slight reduction in speed. At that point the Gale Warning
will probably be dropped in favor of a Small Craft Advisory,
with both winds and seas requiring the headline through Sat and
into Sat night. Offshore flow does slowly decrease during Sat
but winds remain southwest into Sat night before true offshore
flow develops. Seas well in excess of 10 ft this evening start a
slow decreasing trend around midnight, but it will take until
Sat night before seas drop under 6 ft.
Sunday Through Tuesday
This marine period is a favorable one, because of a diminishing
wind trend. Early in the period seas will be elevated from a
departing storm system, so advisories are possible early Sunday.
Mainly weak SE swell with light to moderate S-SW wind chop this
period, no TSTMs and no restrictions to visibility expected.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Combination of strong southerly flow, anticipated heavy rain
this evening, and astronomical high tide will result in water
levels along the lower Cape Fear River at Wilmington exceeding
coastal flood warning thresholds this evening. Current tide
forecast is just under warning threshold, but the tidal anomaly
has been increasing, in part due to increasing southerly flow.
Next several high tides may require a coastal flood advisory,
but at this point it does not appear additional warnings will be
needed.
&&
.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...Beach Hazards Statement until 9 PM EDT this evening for SCZ054-
056.
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 9 PM EDT this evening for NCZ106-
108.
Coastal Flood Warning until 1 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ107.
High Rip Current Risk until 9 PM EDT this evening for NCZ110.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 2 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ250-252-254-256.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MJC
NEAR TERM...III
SHORT TERM...8
LONG TERM...MJC
AVIATION...21
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...IIIHazardous weather outlook, Apr 19, 7:15 PM EDT, 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington NC 715 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 NCZ110-202315- Coastal Brunswick- 715 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. For Saturday and possibly Sunday... An elevated Rip current threat for both days. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not needed. NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-202315- Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown- 715 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. For Saturday and possibly Sunday... An elevated Rip current threat for both days. Residual south to north longshore current possible Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not needed. AMZ250-252-254-256-202315- Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm- Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm- Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out 20 nm- Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out 20 nm- 715 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Small Craft Advisory likely Saturday into Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not needed. NCZ087-096-099-105-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-055-058-059-202315- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Inland Brunswick-Marlboro- Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Inland Georgetown- Central Horry-Northern Horry- 715 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ107-202315- Inland New Hanover- 715 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. For Sat Evening High Tide... Minor coastal flooding will be possible along the Lower Cape Fear River from Wilmington south. Flooding will occur within a 2 to 3 hour window centered around Sat evening's high tide which occurs at 1140 PM EDT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not needed. 8
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 19, 6:10 PM EDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
610 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0440 PM TSTM WND DMG TABOR CITY 34.14N 78.88W
04/19/2019 COLUMBUS NC MEDIA
MEDIA REPORTS TREE ON BUILDING IN TABOR VILLA
APARTMENTS IN TABOR CITY. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1900030
OLIVALocal storm report, Apr 19, 6:12 PM EDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
612 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 WSW CERRO GORDO 34.31N 78.98W
04/19/2019 COLUMBUS NC MEDIA
MEDIA REPORTS TREES IN THE ROADWAY AT INTERSECTION OF
ROUGH AND READY AND HINSON CROSSROADS NEAR FAIR BLUFF,
NC. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1900031
OLIVASpecial weather statement, Apr 19, 6:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
615 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
NCZ105>108-192230-
Inland New Hanover NC-Coastal Pender NC-Inland Pender NC-
Coastal New Hanover NC-
615 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019
...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW HANOVER AND EASTERN
PENDER COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...
At 615 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Edgecomb, or near Surf City, moving northeast at 45 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Wilmington, Wrightsville Beach, Surf City, Rich Inlet, Figure Eight
Island, Hampstead, Topsail Beach, Mayfaire, Maple Hill, Murrayville,
Topsail, Windemere, Bayshore, Scotts Hill, Ogden, Porters Neck,
Landfall, Kings Grant, Woodside and Edgecomb.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Thunderstorms can pose a variety of threats including gusty winds,
small hail, cloud to ground lightning, and localized flooding. It is
recommended that you remain indoors until the storm passes.
&&
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight EDT for southeastern
North Carolina.
LAT...LON 3435 7766 3421 7779 3423 7789 3472 7776
3472 7768 3448 7758 3446 7754 3444 7752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 211DEG 37KT 3449 7766
SCALORALocal storm report, Apr 19, 6:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
640 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0535 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSW LELAND 34.21N 78.02W
04/19/2019 BRUNSWICK NC MEDIA
MEDIA REPORTED TREES SNAPPED IN HALF IN LELAND. RADAR
USED TO ESTIMATE TIME OF OCCURENCE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1900032
21Local storm report, Apr 19, 6:48 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
648 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0353 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N OATLAND 33.53N 79.35W
04/19/2019 GEORGETOWN SC PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED TREES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD IN
CHOPPE, SC.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1900033
21Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:31 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
731 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0555 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SSE SOUTHPORT 33.92N 78.02W
04/19/2019 M41 MPH BRUNSWICK NC OSO
35 KT WIND GUST AT CAPE FEAR PILOTS FACILITY
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1900034
MJCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Wilmington, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 8:06 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | Brunswick, New Hanover, Pender | 25 hr |
| Apr 19, 10:57 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | ILM | 48 min | |
| Apr 20, 1:09 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | New Hanover | 51 min |
| Apr 20, 1:10 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | ILM | 33 hr | |
| Apr 20, 4:45 AM EDT | Beach Hazards Statement | ILM | Brunswick | 15 hr |
| Apr 20, 3:18 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | New Hanover | 11 hr |
Nearby
Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2019Beach Hazards Statements in South Carolina, 2019Every beach hazards statement in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.