Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Wichita, KS

448 
WWUS53 KICT 290633
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
133 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

KSC155-159-290715-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190429T0715Z/
Reno KS-Rice KS-
133 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL RENO AND SOUTHERN RICE COUNTIES...

At 132 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Sterling,
moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Emergency management has reported 60 mph in Slyvia.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Hutchinson, Lyons, South Hutchinson, Sterling, Nickerson, Arlington,
Partridge, Sylvia, Alden, Plevna, Abbyville, Raymond, Willowbrook and
Hutchinson Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Wichita.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3840 9792 3818 9792 3817 9781 3782 9793
      3788 9847 3833 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 0632Z 271DEG 47KT 3816 9827 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

METZGER

856 
WWUS53 KICT 290643
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
143 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

KSC155-159-290715-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190429T0715Z/
Reno KS-Rice KS-
143 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL RENO AND SOUTHERN RICE COUNTIES...

At 141 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Nickerson,
moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters have reported 70 mph winds in 
         Sylvia.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Hutchinson, Lyons, South Hutchinson, Sterling, Nickerson, Arlington,
Partridge, Sylvia, Alden, Plevna, Abbyville, Willowbrook and
Hutchinson Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.  This storm is intensifying.  Take protective measure now!

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Wichita.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3840 9792 3818 9792 3817 9781 3782 9793
      3788 9847 3807 9844 3835 9831
TIME...MOT...LOC 0641Z 271DEG 47KT 3816 9813 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

METZGER

850 
WWUS53 KICT 290649
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
149 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

KSC155-159-290715-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190429T0715Z/
Reno KS-Rice KS-
149 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL RENO AND SOUTHEASTERN RICE COUNTIES...

At 148 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Nickerson,
moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Emergency management has reported 70 mph winds in Sylvia 
         and golf ball sized hail in Abbyville.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Hutchinson, South Hutchinson, Nickerson, Arlington, Partridge,
Plevna, Abbyville, Willowbrook and Hutchinson Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Wichita.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 9792 3818 9792 3817 9781 3782 9793
      3788 9847 3815 9822 3823 9813
TIME...MOT...LOC 0648Z 271DEG 47KT 3815 9802 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

METZGER

778 
WWUS53 KICT 290700
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
200 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

KSC159-290709-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190429T0715Z/
Rice KS-
200 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN RICE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3817 9781 3782 9793 3786 9828 3817 9806
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 271DEG 47KT 3815 9783 

$$

KSC155-290715-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190429T0715Z/
Reno KS-
200 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL RENO COUNTY...

At 159 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Buhler, moving
east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Emergency management has reported golf ball sized hail in 
         Abbyville.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Hutchinson, South Hutchinson, Arlington, Partridge, Abbyville,
Willowbrook and Hutchinson Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Wichita.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 9781 3782 9793 3786 9828 3817 9806
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 271DEG 47KT 3815 9783 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

METZGER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
623 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2019

A challenging forecast in the short term, especially surrounding chances
for strong and severe thunderstorms this evening and overnight
tonight. Later this evening, a cold front is expected to make its
way southeastward across Kansas from western Nebraska/northeast
Colorado. Ahead of this front, a strong southerly low-level jet
will advect moisture into the region from the Gulf of Mexico,
which will promote thunderstorm development given the available
instability and daytime heating during the day today.

The two main challenges will be the timing and intensity of these
storms. Most models all generally show the greatest instability,
at least initially, across south central Kansas with MUCAPE in
excess of 2000 J/kg in some spots, 40+ kts of bulk shear, and
steep mid-level lapse rates of around 8C/km or so. By around 06z,
the more favorable parameters shift to central Kansas where
impressive frontogenetical forcing is expected along/ahead of the
front. Thus, thinking that a bit of initial development is
possible in south central/southeast Kansas this evening before a
second round of perhaps stronger storms develop along the boundary
further north in central Kansas. Environmental conditions
continue to favor more of a hail and wind threat in the
stronger/severe storms that do develop, though an isolated tornado
cannot be completely ruled out given the abundance of low-level
helicity but fairly high forecast LCL heights. Localized flooding
could also be a concern. Forecast precipitable water values around
1.4in are well above climo, so storms are likely to dump very
heavy rainfall. Have held off on a flood watch for now, but
certainly flooding could be possible in low-lying and flood prone
areas.

Once the front makes it through much of the area overnight, it is
then expected to stall as it stretches across Missouri, far
southeast Kansas, and central Oklahoma. Overrunning moisture will
continue to support lingering showers and storms across southeast
Kansas during the day on tomorrow and then become more widespread
across the CWA tomorrow evening-overnight. Fairly challenging
temperature forecast for tomorrow as well. Most guidance is quite
a bit warmer than the going forecast but still think the limiting
factor will be the extent of cloud cover and northerly flow over
the area. Therefore, despite some small tweaks, have kept most of
the temps in tact for tomorrow in favor of the cooler/more
extensive cloud cover scenario. By Tuesday, a mid/upper shortwave
will quickly race across the state, continuing shower/storm
chances that could bring more rounds of heavy rain to southeast
Kansas. Strong to severe storms will be possible during the
afternoon/evening hours both days, with the greatest severe
weather threat in south central Kansas on Monday and southeast
Kansas on Tuesday.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2019

By the middle of the week, the weather will remain unsettled with
continued chances for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday-early
Thursday morning. At this time, severe weather does not appear
likely in favor of more marginal thunderstorms and showers.
Temperatures will remain slightly below normal throughout the week
this week, rebounding back into the low 70s by Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 619 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2019

TSRA to impact the area through the overnight hours.

Clusters of TSRA developing over western Kansas will continue to
push east this evening/overnight, potentially impacting a large
portion of our forecast area. Hail up to golfball size, wind gusts
of 55kt+, and possibly even a tornado will be possible. Any
terminal impacted by a TSRA will also see MVFR or lower VIS. In
the wake of the storms, a wind shift to the north is expected,
with lingering MVFR/low VFR CIGs likely. Of note, too, for several
hours this evening, an increasing low-level jet will lead to LLWS
conditions, especially south-central through southeast Kansas.

Martin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    58  64  52  68 /  40  20  70  80
Hutchinson      53  63  48  64 /  60  10  60  80
Newton          56  63  48  63 /  50  20  60  80
ElDorado        59  65  52  67 /  50  30  70  80
Winfield-KWLD   62  68  56  70 /  30  30  70  80
Russell         47  61  43  58 /  70  10  60  70
Great Bend      48  62  44  59 /  60  10  60  70
Salina          51  63  46  60 /  80  10  60  80
McPherson       52  63  47  62 /  70  10  60  80
Coffeyville     63  73  60  73 /  30  40  60  80
Chanute         61  69  57  72 /  60  40  70  80
Iola            61  68  57  71 /  70  40  70  80
Parsons-KPPF    62  72  59  73 /  40  40  60  80

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...TAV
LONG TERM...TAV
AVIATION...RM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
957 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-300300-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
957 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A cluster of thunderstorms will push east southeast across portions
of central and south-central Kansas through the overnight hours.
The primary threats will be wind gusts of 60-70 mph, hail up to
golfball size, and heavy rain. A low-end tornado threat may exist,
especially across south-central Kansas. Severe Thunderstorm Watch
109 is in effect for this area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are in the forecast from Monday
afternoon through Thursday morning. A few severe storms with
quarter sized hail and 60mph wind gusts will be possible in south
central Kansas on Monday and in southeast Kansas on Tuesday.
Flooding will also be a concern through the first half of the week,
as very heavy rainfall is expected in these storms.

Wednesday into Thursday, showers and thunderstorms will be lighter.
Some of these storms could be locally strong with small hail and
winds up to 50 mph possible. An isolated severe thunderstorm cannot
be ruled out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is likely tonight, especially in central and
south central Kansas.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1248 AM CDT MON APR 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 AM     HAIL             1 SSE ALBERT            38.44N 99.00W
04/29/2019  M1.00 INCH       BARTON             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            3/4 INCH TO 1 INCH HAIL. AVERAGE OF 1 INCH.

&&

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1258 AM CDT MON APR 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 AM     TSTM WND GST     4 NE PAWNEE ROCK        38.31N 98.93W
04/29/2019  E60 MPH          BARTON             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
100 AM CDT MON APR 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1259 AM     HAIL             HAVEN                   37.90N 97.78W
04/29/2019  M1.75 INCH       RENO               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MARTIN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
105 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

KSZ048-050-290630-
Ellsworth KS-Rice KS-
105 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southern Ellsworth County in central Kansas...
  Rice County in central Kansas...

* Until 130 AM CDT.

* At 104 AM CDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
  a strong thunderstorm with locally heavy rainfall near Geneseo, or
  7 miles north of Lyons...moving east at 55 mph.

* Hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will
  be possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Lyons, Sterling, Little River, Chase, Bushton, Geneseo, Alden,
  Lorraine, Raymond, Frederick, Silica, Kanopolis Lake and Kanopolis
  State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may produce ponding of water on roadways. Listen for
later statements or possible flood warnings...should the risk for
minor low-land flooding become more imminent.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
this storm passes.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
central and south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3871 9793 3818 9792 3817 9847 3854 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 0605Z 274DEG 47KT 3846 9821

METZGER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
117 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

KSZ049-051>053-290700-
McPherson KS-Marion KS-Chase KS-Saline KS-
117 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  McPherson County in central Kansas...
  Marion County in central Kansas...
  Northwestern Chase County in east central Kansas...
  Southern Saline County in central Kansas...

* Until 200 AM CDT.

* At 116 AM CDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
  a strong thunderstorm with locally heavy rainfall near Windom, or 9
  miles west of Mcpherson...moving east at 30 mph.

* Hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will
  be possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Mcpherson, Lindsborg, Hillsboro, Marion, Moundridge, Inman,
  Peabody, Galva, Canton, Florence, Marquette, Goessel, Assaria,
  Gypsum, Smolan, Lincolnville, Ramona, Lehigh, Windom and Durham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may produce ponding of water on roadways. Listen for
later statements or possible flood warnings...should the risk for
minor low-land flooding become more imminent.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
this storm passes.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
central, south central and east central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3861 9738 3861 9693 3852 9693 3852 9652
      3817 9684 3818 9792 3871 9793 3881 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 0617Z 273DEG 28KT 3838 9784

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
122 AM CDT MON APR 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0122 AM     HAIL             HALSTEAD                38.00N 97.51W
04/29/2019  E0.88 INCH       HARVEY             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HALSTEAD PD REPORTING PEA TO NICKEL-SIZE
            HAIL.

&&

MARTIN