Wind Advisory 13, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

867 
WWUS72 KGSP 230206
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1006 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL 
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.Gusty northwest winds are expected to peak overnight behind the 
passage of a dry cold front. Winds will gradually weaken toward
daybreak.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-231000-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190323T1000Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
1006 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...The northern mountains and higher foothills of 
  North Carolina, northeast of the French Broad Valley.

* HAZARDS...Strong winds.

* TIMING...Gusty winds will continue into the early morning hours
  before diminishing.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Scattered power outages are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

Please report damaging winds by calling the National Weather
Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a message
with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

&&

$$

NCZ048-052-053-231000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190323T1000Z/
Madison-Haywood-Buncombe-
Including the cities of Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, 
Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, 
Cruso, Cove Creek, and Asheville
1006 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...The central mountains of North Carolina, along and
  just southwest of the French Broad Valley.

* HAZARDS...Strong winds.

* TIMING...Gusty winds will continue into the early morning hours
  before diminishing.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$
Wimberley

301 
WWUS72 KGSP 230732
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
332 AM EDT Sat Mar 23 2019

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-230845-
/O.CAN.KGSP.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190323T1000Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
332 AM EDT Sat Mar 23 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has
cancelled the High Wind Warning.

While gusty winds will linger through the rest of the pre-dawn
hours, they continue to gradually weaken. High winds are no longer 
expected below the highest peaks. Therefore, the High Wind 
Warning has been cancelled.

$$

NCZ048-052-053-230845-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190323T1000Z/
Madison-Haywood-Buncombe-
332 AM EDT Sat Mar 23 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has
cancelled the Wind Advisory.

While gusty winds will linger through the rest of the pre-dawn
hours, they continue to gradually weaken. Therefore, the Wind 
Advisory has been cancelled.

$$

ARK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
142 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Cool and dry high pressure moves over our region from the
Great Lakes this weekend, and then moves over the Atlantic Sunday
night.  A brief warming trend will occur through Monday.  An
area of low pressure is forecast to track across our area early in
the week, bringing the chance of rain and a few thunderstorms, then
dry high pressure returns for Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 140 PM EDT: Main update for the 18Z TAF issuance along
with minor adjustments to temperatures/dewpoints/RHs to coincide
with latest trends, as the rest of the near term forecast
remains on track. Expect low relative humidity values this
afternoon along with gusty winds to raise fire weather concerns
across portions of northeast GA and the western Carolinas. For
more information, please see the fire weather section below,
along with Fire Danger Statements currently in effect. A Wind
Advisory remains in effect for the northern mountains and
adjacent escarpment zones through 6 AM Saturday.

Otherwise, the western side of a double-barreled 500 mb low will
dive southeast across the Central Appalachians today. This feature
will bring a second shot of strong CAA and increased nwly 850 mb
winds across the CWA today. Despite a modest 1025 mb sfc high
building in behind a departing coastal low pressure system, it looks
to be a breezy to windy day for the fcst area. Winds across the
Northern NC mountains will be close to the advisory criteria of 30-
40 mph and gusts of 45-60 mph, while the piedmont looks to have 15-
25 mph and gusts of 25-35 mph, esp across the NC zones. Otherwise,
it should be sunny today. Max temps will be a little below normal,
ranging from the 40s to upper 50s in the mountains and in the 60s
across the piedmont.

Tonight, the 850 mb CAA will continue, but overall winds should
gradually decrease---first over the piedmont in the evening, then in
the mountains overnight. Temps will be held up somewhat by the
mixing, but still should drop a couple categories below normal
(mainly in the 20s lower 30s mountains and mid to upper 30s
piedmont).

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 245 AM EDT Friday: Overall fairly quiet through most of the
short term, with troughing down the East Coast pushing offshore and
giving way to ridging that will build into the area. High pressure
over the Midwest to start the period will work is way southeast and
offshore by Sunday morning. Pressure gradient will decrease and flow
will gradually shift back around to the south, so expect a gradual
warming trend through the period...and overall a very pleasant
weekend. The ridge amplitude will decrease as a trough moving off
the Rockies damps and lifts toward the Great Lakes through the
period. Some anemic moisture attendant with this system may move
into the mountains Sunday afternoon and evening, drying up as it
pushes east. A secondary shortwave will dive down behind the trough
Sunday night as a surface low over the Ohio Valley is forced
southeast, but best forcing with this system will hold off until
Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 300 AM EST Friday: Approaching system will be on our doorstep
Monday morning, passing through the area during the day. Still some
timing differences with the global models on the frontal passage,
but the overall look of the system is fairly similar. By the time it
gets to our area, the shortwave will have weakened to the point that
deep-layer shear certainly leaves something to be desired, but there
might be enough airmass recovery ahead of the front, with afternoon
highs climbing just a hair above seasonal normals, that instability
is able to develop Monday afternoon and evening, possibly lingering
into the early overnight hours. SBCAPE values remain below about
750J/kg and generally below 500, so have continued the thunder
wording across most of the area, mainly along and south of I-40.
Moisture dries up fairly quickly but any lingering moisture at the
higher elevations around daybreak Tuesday may switch over to some
brief snow. GFS is a little faster with exiting the precip while
ECMWF holds onto it just a little longer, so a generic blend seems
to work for now.

Behind the front, should see temperatures knocked back down 10-12
degrees for Tuesday with dry high pressure stretching down the
Eastern Seaboard. Dry conditions with a gradual warming trend
through the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: With nearly clear skies, expect VFR to
prevail through the valid TAF period, with gusty northwest winds
peaking this afternoon, and gradually decreasing into tonight.

With weak lee troughing across the area, a reinforcing dry cold
front will drop southeastward through the area this afternoon,
allowing for sfc high pressure to quickly build in behind it. As a
result, a tightened pressure gradient ahead of this feature will
allow for gusty northwest winds up to 25 mph through this afternoon
at the terminals, gradually decreasing into this evening. On
Saturday, expect VFR with NNW winds 5 to 7 kts at all terminals with
the exception of KAVL, around 10 kts, and occasional higher gusts
in the afternoon.

Outlook: An approaching weather system early next week will bring
the potential for precipitation and flight restrictions. Otherwise,
expect VFR through the extended.

Confidence Table...

            17-23Z        23-05Z        05-11Z        11-12Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Dry and breezy to windy conditions will redevelop today, with RH
values generally between 25-30%, but some areas will drop below
25% RH. A Fire Danger Statement is in effect for NE Georgia,
Upstate SC and portions of western NC for this afternoon and
early evening. Winds will diminish on Saturday but dry
conditions will continue, with more of the area dropping below
25% (and NE Georgia will likely need another Fire Danger
Statement). Moisture will return gradually Sunday with showers
and a few thunderstorms possible on Monday.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Fire Danger Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ010-
     017-018-026-028-029.
NC...Fire Danger Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     NCZ035>037-051>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
     Wind Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ033-049-050-501-
     503-505.
SC...Fire Danger Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TDP
NEAR TERM...ARK/SGL
SHORT TERM...TDP
LONG TERM...TDP
AVIATION...SGL
FIRE WEATHER...GSP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
136 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-051>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-502-504-506>510-SCZ001>014-019-231745-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-
Davie-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-
Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-
Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-
Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-
Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-
Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-
Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
136 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ033-049-050-231745-
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-
136 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ048-231745-
Madison-
136 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph this afternoon with gusts 25 to 35
mph may result in some light objects being blown around.
Additionally, these winds combined with low relative humidities may
result in brief elevated fire danger conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ501-503-505-231745-
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-
136 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1012 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

SCZ001>014-019-221615-
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union-Chester-Greenwood-
Including the cities of Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Westminster,
Pumpkintown, Tigerville, Gowensville, Caesars Head, Cleveland,
Marietta, Seneca, Oakway, Easley, Dacusville, Clemson,
Greenville, Taylors, Greer, Mauldin, Fork Shoals, Simpsonville,
Berea, Spartanburg, Gaffney, Catawba, Rock Hill, Anderson,
Abbeville, Calhoun Falls, Laurens, Clinton, Union, Monarch Mills,
Blackstock, Chester, Cornwell, Great Falls, Ware Shoals,
and Ninety Six
1012 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FOR UPSTATE SC FROM 2 PM EDT
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

Relative humidity values will fall to 23 to 25 percent this
afternoon, and west winds will gust to around 25 mph. This
combination along with low fuel moisture values will result in an
enhanced fire danger this afternoon.

Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities on whether
you can burn today. If you do burn, use extreme caution since
fires can quickly get out of hand under these conditions.

SGL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1138 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

NCZ035>037-051>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510-230345-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-Rowan-
Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-
1138 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Relative humidity values will fall to the mid to upper 20s
percent this afternoon, and west winds will gust to around 25 mph.
This combination along with low fuel moisture values will result
in an enhanced fire danger this afternoon and evening.

Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities on whether
you can burn today. If you do burn, use extreme caution since
fires can quickly get out of hand under these conditions.

PM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1227 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

NCZ035>037-051>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510-230000-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-Rowan-
Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-
1227 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Relative humidity values will fall to the mid to upper 20s
percent this afternoon, and west winds will gust to around 25 mph.
This combination along with low fuel moisture values will result
in an enhanced fire danger this afternoon and evening.

Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities on whether
you can burn today. If you do burn, use extreme caution since
fires can quickly get out of hand under these conditions.

SCZ001>014-019-230000-
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union-Chester-Greenwood-
1227 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Relative humidity values will fall to 23 to 25 percent this
afternoon, and west winds will gust to around 25 mph. This
combination along with low fuel moisture values will result in an
enhanced fire danger this afternoon and evening.

Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities on whether
you can burn today. If you do burn, use extreme caution since
fires can quickly get out of hand under these conditions.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-230000-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-
1227 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2019

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Relative humidity values will fall to 23 to 28 percent this
afternoon, and west winds will gust to around 25 mph. This
combination along with low fuel moisture values will result in an
enhanced fire danger this afternoon and evening.

Please refer to your local burn permitting authorities on whether
you can burn today. If you do burn, use extreme caution since
fires can quickly get out of hand under these conditions.

PM