Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Green Bay, WI

596 
WWUS53 KGRB 071919
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
219 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

WIC041-067-083-072000-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-190807T2000Z/
Forest WI-Oconto WI-Langlade WI-
219 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FOREST...NORTHERN OCONTO AND NORTHEASTERN LANGLADE
COUNTIES...

At 219 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Woodlawn, or 13
miles southeast of Crandon, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Pearson, Carter, Woodlawn, Ma Ka Ja Wan Scout Reservation, Wabeno,
Townsend, Freeman, Boot Lake Campground, Pickerel and Choate.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4536 8903 4551 8889 4541 8844 4522 8862
TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 291DEG 22KT 4538 8876 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KLJ

738 
WWUS53 KGRB 071936
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
236 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

WIC041-067-083-072000-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-190807T2000Z/
Forest WI-Oconto WI-Langlade WI-
236 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FOREST...NORTHERN OCONTO AND NORTHEASTERN LANGLADE
COUNTIES...

At 235 PM CDT, a cluster of severe thunderstorm was located over 
Carter, or 18 miles southeast of Crandon, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Pearson, Carter, Woodlawn, Ma Ka Ja Wan Scout Reservation, Wabeno,
Townsend, Freeman, Boot Lake Campground, Pickerel and Choate.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4536 8903 4551 8889 4541 8844 4522 8862
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 290DEG 20KT 4537 8865 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KLJ

845 
WWUS53 KGRB 071954
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
254 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

WIC041-067-083-072004-
/O.EXP.KGRB.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-190807T2000Z/
Forest WI-Oconto WI-Langlade WI-
254 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN FOREST...NORTHERN
OCONTO AND NORTHEASTERN LANGLADE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 300 PM
CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 4536 8903 4551 8889 4541 8844 4522 8862
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 291DEG 21KT 4533 8851 

$$

KLJ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
157 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

Forecast discussion for routine afternoon forecast issuance

.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Thursday
Issued at 157 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

The latest RAP analysis and satellite/radar imagery show a cold
front moving to the southeast over far northwest Wisconsin early
this afternoon. A few storms popped over northern WI by late
morning, in a region of low level moisture convergence, and
quickly became near severe. Instability has been slowly growing
ahead of the front, with mixed layer capes exceeding 1200 j/kg.
Effective shears are highest over western WI, but 25 to 30 kts of
deep layer shear will be supportive of strong to severe storms
developing along the front this afternoon. High resolution
guidance indicates thunderstorms growing upscale across north-
central initially, before spreading southeast into the Fox Valley
around 5-6 pm. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main
threats with the strongest storms. Forecast concerns mainly
revolve around the severe thunderstorm threat into this evening.

Tonight...The cold front will be moving southeast across northeast
WI in the evening, exiting over northern Lake Michigan and
southern WI around 10 pm. Instability will be weakening rather
quickly after around 7 pm, so think the threats from the strongest
storms will mainly become strong damaging winds over northeast WI
until the storms exit. Clouds will decrease thereafter, as
northwest winds gradually push in cooler and drier air. Lows
ranging from near 50 in the northwoods to the low 60s over east-
central WI.

Thursday...The region will be on the southern periphery of
troughing centered over northern Ontario. Models project ample dry
air in the mid to upper levels, with an inversion present in the
800-700mb layer. Should have enough moisture in the low levels
after the recent rains for some flat fair weather cu popping with
the heat of the day. Cooler highs ranging through the 70s.

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Wednesday
Issued at 157 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

Dry conditions are expected Thursday night through Friday night as
surface high pressure slides across the Great Lakes and upper
ridging works into the northern Plains. Mostly clear skies, a dry
air mass and light winds will provide for a couple cool nights,
especially in the typical cold spots of central and north central
WI, where 40s are expected. Mostly sunny skies are expected on
Friday with highs in the 70s to around 80, which is slightly below
normal for this time of year.

Dry weather should continue into Saturday morning as the surface
high will slide east of the region. By Saturday afternoon, weak
pieces of shortwave energy will move from the northern Plains into
the Great Lakes. Still some uncertainty on location and timing as
these features are tough to pin down, especially this far out.
Chance or slight chance POPs seems reasonable from Saturday
afternoon/evening into Sunday morning. Model disagreement
continues from Sunday into early next week, with the
location/timing of shortwaves, boundaries, and possible complexes
of storms. Overall, temps look to be near or slightly below normal
through the period.
&&

.AVIATION...for 18Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 1122 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

A cold front remains expected to move across the region this
afternoon and evening. VFR conditions can be expected until
thunderstorms become more widespread this afternoon. Some of the
thunderstorms could be strong to severe during the middle
afternoon to early evening hours, with strong winds and large hail
being the main threats. Winds will shift to the west and
northwest behind the front by early evening as showers and
thunderstorms come to an end from northwest to southeast. Good
flying weather is expected thereafter with relatively light winds
and fair weather clouds popping across the area by late Wednesday
morning.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM.....MPC
LONG TERM......Bersch
AVIATION.......MPC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
203 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-081915-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
203 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms with damaging
winds and large hail through the end of the evening. Heavy
rainfall could also lead to localized urban flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday

There is a chance of thunderstorms at times from Saturday
afternoon through next Tuesday. It is too early to determine
if any of the storms would become severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is anticipated, especially this afternoon
into this evening. Spotters are requested to report wind gusts
over 40 mph, wind damage, hail over a half inch in diameter,
and heavy rainfall or flooding.

LMZ521-522-541>543-081915-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
203 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Thunderstorms with strong winds and hail may pose a serious
risk for mariners through the evening. Small craft should
exercise caution this afternoon due to gusty southwest winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms may pose a risk to mariners at times from Saturday
night into early next week.

MPC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1230 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

WIZ011>013-071845-
Florence WI-Forest WI-Northern Marinette County WI-
1230 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FOREST...FLORENCE AND NORTHERN
MARINETTE COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM CDT...

At 1229 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
North Otter Creek Natural Area, or near Crandon, moving east at 40
mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Crandon, Kingsford, Florence, Pembine, Goodman, Homestead, Fern,
Tipler, Popple River and Headwaters Wilderness.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
this storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 4596 8833 4596 8825 4592 8810 4587 8807
      4581 8813 4578 8809 4579 8799 4576 8796
      4575 8787 4568 8778 4566 8783 4560 8777
      4556 8779 4556 8783 4550 8779 4544 8786
      4539 8786 4548 8902 4582 8900 4598 8836
TIME...MOT...LOC 1729Z 268DEG 35KT 4560 8879

Bersch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1238 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

WIZ010-071830-
Oneida WI-
1238 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ONEIDA COUNTY UNTIL
130 PM CDT...

At 1238 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Rhinelander, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rhinelander, Monico, Roosevelt, Starks, Gagen and Lennox.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4551 8905 4551 8943 4555 8943 4556 8947
      4569 8949 4574 8905
TIME...MOT...LOC 1738Z 264DEG 21KT 4561 8937

MPC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1243 PM CDT WED AUG 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1238 PM     HAIL             RHINELANDER             45.63N 89.41W
08/07/2019  M0.88 INCH       ONEIDA             WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

MPC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
128 PM CDT WED AUG 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0119 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S LAONA               45.53N 88.68W
08/07/2019                   FOREST             WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 TREES DOWN 2 MILES SOUTH OF LAONA. 1 TREE DOWN 1 MILE
            NORTH OF LAONA ON DIRT ROAD ALSO.

&&

MPC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
144 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

WIZ011>013-019-021-073-072000-
Southern Marinette County WI-Langlade WI-Florence WI-
Northern Oconto County WI-Forest WI-Northern Marinette County WI-
144 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FOREST...SOUTHERN FLORENCE...
MARINETTE...NORTHERN OCONTO AND NORTHEASTERN LANGLADE COUNTIES UNTIL
300 PM CDT...

At 142 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorms
across southern Forest County moving east at 25 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Crandon, Kingsford, Pembine, Goodman, Wausaukee, Homestead, Fern,
Popple River, Carter and Pearson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4582 8814 4578 8809 4579 8799 4577 8799
      4575 8787 4568 8778 4565 8783 4559 8778
      4556 8783 4550 8779 4535 8789 4535 8775
      4539 8769 4535 8765 4527 8770 4531 8912
      4547 8908 4547 8905 4583 8900 4588 8808
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 270DEG 20KT 4549 8851

Bersch

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
150 PM CDT WED AUG 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     HAIL             4 E CRANDON             45.56N 88.82W
08/07/2019  M0.75 INCH       FOREST             WI   PUBLIC

&&

BERSCH