Severe Thunderstorm Warning 76, NWS Goodland, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
125 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 125 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

Tonight...a line or broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms is
expected to exit the forecast area around or shortly after midnight.
Low temperatures range from the mid 40s to low 50s in far eastern
Colorado to around 60 in Norton and Graham counties.

Monday...its possible for a few strong to severe thunderstorms to
develop in the late afternoon to overnight hours across the far east
and northwest zones. The Storm Prediction Center has areas from near
McCook to Hill City east in a slight risk for severe storms.
Southerly winds increase in the afternoon with gusts in the 25 to 35
mph range along and south of the interstate. High temperatures in
the mid 70s to mid 80s. Low temperatures range from the low to mid
40s west, mid 50s east.

Tuesday...general idea is for an upper level low pressure area to
reach southwest Nebraska by the end of the day then into northeast
Nebraska by 12z Wednesday morning. Some wraparound showers and
thunderstorms are possible, mainly across the northwest 1/2 of the
area. Afternoon temperatures will be much cooler with readings
ranging from the low to mid 60s in the west to the upper 70s in
the east. Low temperatures in the low 40s west, low 50s east.

Wednesday...generally dry weather currently expected. High
temperatures in the 60s, low temperatures in the 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 125 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

Thursday...dry weather currently expected. High temperatures in the
low to mid 70s. Lows in the mid 40s to low 50s.

Friday...some weak disturbances move across the area from the
west/southwest supporting spotty chances for thunderstorms. High
temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s. Low temperatures in the mid
40s to around 50 west, mid 50s east.

Saturday...little change from Friday with a chance of afternoon
thunderstorms. High temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s. Lows
in the upper 40s west to mid 50s east.

Sunday...chance of afternoon thunderstorms as weather disturbances
move through from the west. High temperatures in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1115 AM MDT Sun May 26 2019

KGLD, sub vfr cigs expected from taf issuance through 19z or 20z
with winds from the southeast 10-15kts with higher gusts. From
20z-23z vfr conditions expected with winds increasing from the
south gusting near 30kts. From 23z-01z a line of strong to severe
thunderstorms is expected to impact the terminal very low
visibility in moderate to heavy rain, wind gusts in excess of
50kts and possibly some hail. After 02z winds begin the period
from the southeast near 15ks slowly veering to the south around
12kts by 07z then southwest near 10kts by 12z and west under 10kts
around 15z.

KMCK, sub vfr conditions expected from taf issuance through about
05z with winds increasing from the southeast gusting near 30kts.
From 00z-02z a line of strong to severe thunderstorms may impact
the terminal with very low visibility in moderate to heavy rain,
wind gusts in excess of 50kts and possibly some hail. After 06z
vfr conditions are expected with winds gradually veering to the
south then southwest at speeds under 10kts.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
135 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-271200-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
135 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019 /235 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Strong to severe thunderstorms will increase in coverage and
intensity through the remainder of the afternoon and into the mid
evening moving in a northeast to east direction. The primary threats
will be hail to three inches in diameter, wind gusts to 75 mph, a few
tornadoes, and locally heavy rainfall which may cause flash flooding.
The line or broken line of severe storms is expected to exit the area
around or shortly after midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

For Monday, isolated thunderstorms will be possible over the
northern and eastern portions of the area. A few of these storms
could become severe with large hail being the main threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed through this evening.