Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Goodland, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1046 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1046 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2019

Based on the current radar coverage...have dropped the Severe
Thunderstorm Watch for areas along/west of Highway 27.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 215 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2019

What appears to a number of different rounds of severe
thunderstorms has begun this afternoon. So time is short. Front
has moved into the northwestern portion of the forecast area.
Models have slowed down the progression of the cold front across
the area. This is due to a wave/surface low over southeast
Colorado. The front is expected to stall or move rather slowly
until later on this evening.

Discrete, isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop near or
slightly to the east of the front initially. Then additional
development is expected along and just behind the front by later
this afternoon. By mid to late evening all this activity is going
to merge together into a large cluster and move across the area
through the overnight hours. It is also possible that elevated
thunderstorms develop behind the front later in the night.

The high resolution/Cams are different but it is their attempt to
depict the above scenarios. So large hail and maybe a tornado or
two can be expected until the storms merge. Then the threat will
shift to more of a wind threat that could last through the night.
Through the overnight hours, locally heavy rainfall and flash
flooding will be possible as well.

There will be lingering precipitation during the day tomorrow but
hard to tell how much or how long it will be. Models consistent in
cooling off high temperatures into the 60s for Sunday. Clouds
clear out later tomorrow into the evening with the winds becoming
light. Did not have time to do a climate section. However the
current forecast lows for Sunday night from the upper 30s into
the lower 40s means low temperature records will be broken.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 215 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2019

Not much time to write due to severe weather beginning.

Earlier system that was affecting the area Tuesday is not as
strong, and the pops have gone down.

Mean trough remains out west. The trough, rather complex with
numerous smaller waves to move through the area, will affect the
area from Thursday night into Saturday. So unsettled weather is
expected during that time.

Warmer temperatures, near to slightly below normal, are expected
from Monday through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1005 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2019

For KGLD and KMCK, sub vfr cigs expected from taf issuance through
about 11z or 12z as post frontal stratus moves in with north winds
gusting around 30kts. After 13z vfr conditions return with winds
during the day gusting up to 35kts then quickly decreasing and
becoming light and variable in the evening.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...BULLER
LONG TERM...BULLER
AVIATION...99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1045 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2019

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-100445-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1045 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2019 /1145 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect for areas east of
Highway 27.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected through the
overnight hours. Through the early evening hours, the main threats
will be large hail and isolated tornados. Damaging winds will also
be possible and these winds could cause blowing dust which could
significantly reduce the visibility.

After early evening, these storms will merge, and form a large
cluster that will move across the area through the overnight hours.
After this happens, damaging winds will become the main threat and
will be rather widespread. As before these winds could cause blowing
dust. Through the overnight hours, locally heavy rainfall and flash
flooding will be possible with any of these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Flooding concerns will have to be monitored on Sunday as locally
heavy rainfall from the overnight period Saturday could have
lingering issues for portions of the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1007 PM MDT SAT JUN 8 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             2 SSW GOODLAND          39.32N 101.73W
06/08/2019  E1.75 INCH       SHERMAN            KS   PUBLIC

&&

MB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1008 PM MDT SAT JUN 8 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SW FIRSTVIEW          38.81N 102.54W
06/08/2019  M61 MPH          CHEYENNE           CO   MESONET

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1009 PM MDT SAT JUN 8 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WINONA                  39.07N 101.25W
06/08/2019                   LOGAN              KS   PUBLIC

            WINONA HAS LOST POWER. UNKNOWN WHETHER FROM
            STRAIGHTLINE WINDS OR TORNADO.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1010 PM MDT SAT JUN 8 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     TORNADO          2 NE RUSSELL SPRINGS    38.93N 101.15W
06/08/2019                   LOGAN              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1036 PM MDT SAT JUN 8 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1029 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NW HOXIE              39.36N 100.45W
06/08/2019  M73 MPH          SHERIDAN           KS   MESONET

&&

MB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1111 PM MDT SAT JUN 8 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1109 PM     TSTM WND GST     QUINTER                 39.07N 100.24W
06/08/2019  M62 MPH          GOVE               KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&