Alert archive / Colorado / Blizzard Warnings in 2019
Blizzard Warning 3, NWS Goodland, KS
NWS Goodland, KS issued this blizzard warning at Mar 12, 2019, 10:41 AM MDT for Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; Cheyenne County, Sherman County, Wallace County, Kansas; Dundy County, Nebraska. It took effect at Mar 13, 2019, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 15 hr. 20 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 12, 2019, 10:41 AM MDT (16:41 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 13, 2019, 12:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Mar 14, 2019, 3:09 AM MDT
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Goodland, KS
Counties Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Dundy County, NE
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2:45 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 1 S Flagler, CO | VISIBILITY FALLING TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES AS WAVES OF SNOW MOVE THROUGH. |
| Mar 13, 2:49 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | Yuma, CO | CAN ONLY SEE A BLOCK IN THE BLOWING SNOW. |
| Mar 13, 3:47 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 6 N Burlington, CO | CALLER REPORTED NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS. |
| Mar 13, 3:48 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 4 S Burlington, CO | 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW. WINDS GUSTING TO 59 MPH. ASOS STATION ITR, BURLINGTON CO AIRPORT. |
| Mar 13, 4:20 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 6 Wsw Bonny Reservoir, CO | VIA FACEBOOK. |
| Mar 13, 4:29 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 9 N Parks, NE | VIA FACEBOOK. |
| Mar 13, 4:30 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 6 N Saint Francis, KS | VIA FACEBOOK. |
| Mar 13, 4:36 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 5 Nw Benkelman, NE | VIA FACEBOOK. |
| Mar 13, 4:37 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | Arapahoe, CO | VISIBILITY NO MORE THAN A BLOCK. VIA FACEBOOK. |
| Mar 13, 5:02 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 6 Nw Bird City, KS | 1/4 MI VISIBILITY. VIA FACEBOOK. |
| Mar 13, 5:10 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 13 Nw Saint Francis, KS | 37MPH WIND SPEED MEASURED. |
| Mar 13, 5:16 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 13 N Edson, KS | 1/8 MILE VISIBILITY. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 60 MPH. |
| Mar 13, 5:35 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 1 W Saint Francis, KS | 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY FROM BLIZZARD AT MESONET STATION SYF, ST. FRANCIS CITY. |
| Mar 13, 6:00 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | Joes, CO | CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED WHITE OUT CONDITIONS. 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY AND ESTIMATED WINDS OF 40-45 MPH. |
| Mar 13, 6:02 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | Kanorado, KS | NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY. REPORT VIA FACEBOOK. |
| Mar 13, 6:08 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 1 Nne Goodland, KS | 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY. BLIZZARD WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT ASOS STATION GLD, GOODLAND. |
| Mar 13, 6:14 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | Kit Carson, CO | SHERIFF REPORTED WHITE OUT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN KIT CARSON, COLORADO. |
| Mar 13, 6:20 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | Sharon Springs, KS | SHERIFF DISPATCH REPORTED WHITEOUT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT SHARON SPRINGS. |
| Mar 13, 6:48 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | 10 N Goodland, KS | WHITEOUT CONDITIONS REPORTED. CANNOT SEE ROAD. |
| Mar 13, 7:24 PM MDT | BLIZZARD | Burlington Co Airport, CO | 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY FROM BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT ASOS STATION ITR, BURLINGTON CO AIRPORT. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1783 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 86 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
324 WWUS43 KGLD 121641 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 1041 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...Significant Winter Storm Possible... .A powerful low pressure system will move over the High Plains Wednesday into Thursday. On the cold side of this system, the potential exists for a significant winter storm due to combination of high winds and heavy, wet snow. Blizzard conditions are be possible for portions of the region. The most favored area for potential blizzard conditions lies over northeast Colorado. COZ090-091-130600- /O.UPG.KGLD.WS.A.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 1041 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Yuma County and Kit Carson County Counties. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ002>004-NEZ081-130600- /O.EXB.KGLD.WS.A.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Red Willow- Including the cities of Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, and McCook 1141 AM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...In Kansas, Rawlins, Decatur and Norton Counties. In Nebraska, Red Willow County. * WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Blizzard conditions will be possible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. Power outages and road closures will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$ KSZ001-013-NEZ079-080-130600- /O.EXT.KGLD.WS.A.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, and Palisade 1041 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /1141 AM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 60 to 80 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Kansas, east central and northeast Colorado and southwest Nebraska. * WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Blizzard conditions will be possible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. Power outages and road closures will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$
12 follow-up statements
634 WWUS43 KGLD 121658 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 1058 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...Significant Winter Storm Possible... .A powerful low pressure system will move over the High Plains Wednesday into Thursday. On the cold side of this system, the potential exists for a significant winter storm due to combination of high winds and heavy, wet snow. Blizzard conditions are be possible for portions of the region. The most favored area for potential blizzard conditions lies over northeast Colorado. COZ090-091-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 1058 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Yuma County and Kit Carson County Counties. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.WS.A.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 1058 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /1158 AM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...In Kansas, Rawlins, Decatur and Norton Counties. In Nebraska, Red Willow County. * WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Blizzard conditions will be possible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. Power outages and road closures will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$
279 WWUS43 KGLD 121714 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 1114 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...Significant Winter Storm Possible... .A powerful low pressure system will move over the High Plains Wednesday into Thursday. On the cold side of this system, the potential exists for a significant winter storm due to combination of high winds and heavy, wet snow. Blizzard conditions are be possible for portions of the region. The most favored area for potential blizzard conditions lies over northeast Colorado. COZ090-091-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 1114 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Yuma County and Kit Carson County Counties. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.WS.A.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 1114 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /1214 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...In Kansas, Rawlins, Decatur and Norton Counties. In Nebraska, Red Willow County. * WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Blizzard conditions will be possible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. Power outages and road closures will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$
043 WWUS43 KGLD 121719 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 1119 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...Significant Winter Storm Possible... .A powerful low pressure system will move over the High Plains Wednesday into Thursday. On the cold side of this system, the potential exists for a significant winter storm due to combination of high winds and heavy, wet snow. Blizzard conditions are be possible for portions of the region. The most favored area for potential blizzard conditions lies over northeast Colorado. COZ090-091-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 1119 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Yuma County and Kit Carson County Counties. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.WS.A.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 1119 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /1219 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...In Kansas, Rawlins, Decatur and Norton Counties. In Nebraska, Red Willow County. * WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Blizzard conditions will be possible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. Power outages and road closures will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$
773 WWUS43 KGLD 121825 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 1225 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...Significant Winter Storm Possible... .A powerful low pressure system will move over the High Plains Wednesday into Thursday. On the cold side of this system, the potential exists for a significant winter storm due to combination of high winds and heavy, wet snow. Blizzard conditions are be possible for portions of the region. The most favored area for potential blizzard conditions lies over northeast Colorado. COZ090-091-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 1225 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Yuma County and Kit Carson County Counties. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.WS.A.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 1225 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /125 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...In Kansas, Rawlins, Decatur and Norton Counties. In Nebraska, Red Willow County. * WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Blizzard conditions will be possible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. Power outages and road closures will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$
264 WWUS43 KGLD 122017 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 217 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...Significant Winter Storm Possible... .A powerful low pressure system will move over the High Plains Wednesday into Thursday. On the cold side of this system, the potential exists for a significant winter storm due to combination of high winds and heavy, wet snow. Blizzard conditions are be possible for portions of the region. The most favored area for potential blizzard conditions lies over northeast Colorado. COZ090-091-130600- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 217 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Yuma County and Kit Carson County Counties. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-130600- /O.UPG.KGLD.WS.A.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 217 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /317 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze expected. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Kansas and southwest Nebraska. * WHEN...From noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Wednesday to noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive damage to trees and power lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$
960 WWUS43 KGLD 130534 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 1134 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...Significant Winter Storm Possible... .A powerful low pressure system will move over the High Plains Wednesday into Thursday. On the cold side of this system, the potential exists for a significant winter storm due to combination of high winds and heavy, wet snow. Blizzard conditions are be possible for portions of the region. The most favored area for potential blizzard conditions lies over northeast Colorado. COZ090-091-131400- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 1134 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 75 mph. * WHERE...Kit Carson County and Yuma County Counties. * WHEN...From noon Wednesday to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. Power outages possible. Road closures likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-131400- /O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 1134 PM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /1234 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY TO NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Kansas and southwest Nebraska. * WHEN...From noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Wednesday to noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Very strong winds could cause extensive damage to trees and power lines. Power outages and road closures possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$
183 WWUS43 KGLD 131122 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 522 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 COZ090-091-132000- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 522 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 85 mph. * WHERE...Kit Carson County and Yuma County Counties. * WHEN...From noon today to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-132000- /O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 522 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 /622 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TODAY TO NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches expected. Winds gusting 60 to around 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Kansas and southwest Nebraska. * WHEN...From noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ today to noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$
507 WWUS43 KGLD 131430 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 830 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 COZ090-091-132300- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 830 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 85 mph. * WHERE...Kit Carson County and Yuma County Counties. * WHEN...From noon today to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-132300- /O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.190313T1800Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 830 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 /930 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TODAY TO NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches expected. Winds gusting 60 to around 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Kansas and southwest Nebraska. * WHEN...From noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ today to noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$
065 WWUS43 KGLD 132005 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 205 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 COZ090-091-140600- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 205 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 85 mph. * WHERE...Kit Carson County and Yuma County Counties. * WHEN...From 2 PM MDT /3 PM CDT/ today to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ001>004-013-NEZ079>081-140600- /O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Goodland, Benkelman, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 205 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 /305 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches expected. Winds gusting 60 to around 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Kansas and southwest Nebraska. * WHEN...From 2 PM MDT /3 PM CDT/ today to noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$
025 WWUS43 KGLD 132049 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 249 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 KSZ001-013-NEZ079-140600- /O.UPG.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne-Sherman-Dundy- Including the cities of St. Francis, Bird City, Goodland, and Benkelman 249 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 /349 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019/ ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...In Kansas, Cheyenne and Sherman Counties. In Nebraska, Dundy County. * WHEN...Until noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ COZ092-KSZ027-140600- /O.EXA.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Cheyenne County-Wallace- Including the cities of Arapahoe, Cheyenne Wells, and Sharon Springs 249 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of up to one to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 80 mph. * WHERE...In Kansas, Wallace County. In Colorado, Cheyenne County County. * WHEN...From 2 PM MDT /3 PM CDT/ today to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ COZ090-091-140600- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, and Burlington 249 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 6 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 85 mph. * WHERE...Kit Carson County and Yuma County Counties. * WHEN...From 2 PM MDT /3 PM CDT/ today to noon MDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ002>004-NEZ080-081-140600- /O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Hitchcock-Red Willow- Including the cities of Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 349 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches expected. Winds gusting 60 to around 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Kansas and southwest Nebraska. * WHEN...From 2 PM MDT /3 PM CDT/ today to noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$
387 WWUS43 KGLD 140523 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 1123 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-027-NEZ079-141400- /O.CON.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Sherman- Wallace-Dundy- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, Burlington, Arapahoe, Cheyenne Wells, St. Francis, Bird City, Goodland, Sharon Springs, and Benkelman 1123 PM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019 /1223 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019/ ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Kansas, east central and northeast Colorado and southwest Nebraska. * WHEN...Until noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. Power outages possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ KSZ002>004-NEZ080-081-141400- /O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Hitchcock-Red Willow- Including the cities of Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 1223 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of less than one inch. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. * WHERE...In Kansas, Rawlins, Decatur and Norton Counties. In Nebraska, Red Willow and Hitchcock Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM CDT this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. Power outages possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$
973 WWUS43 KGLD 140909 WSWGLD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Goodland KS 309 AM MDT Thu Mar 14 2019 COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-027-NEZ079-141015- /O.CAN.KGLD.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Sherman- Wallace-Dundy- Including the cities of Yuma, Wray, Burlington, Arapahoe, Cheyenne Wells, St. Francis, Bird City, Goodland, Sharon Springs, and Benkelman 309 AM MDT Thu Mar 14 2019 /409 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019/ ...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED... There will only be a slight chance of light snow through the morning. Current observations and reports from law enforcement show that blizzard conditions are no longer occur. Even though some blowing snow could occur into the early afternoon, blizzard conditions are no longer expected. Therefore, the blizzard warning has been cancelled. $$ KSZ002>004-NEZ080-081-141015- /O.CAN.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190314T1800Z/ Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Hitchcock-Red Willow- Including the cities of Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Culbertson, Trenton, Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook 409 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Only light snow is expected through the morning. Little to no blowing snow is also expected. Therefore, the winter weather advisory has been cancelled. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Mar 12, 10:04 AM MDT, 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 10:04 AM MDT, 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1004 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1004 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019
Update issued to cancel Dense Fog Advisory and expand the Flood
Watch. Based on current obs in the east...winds are mixing out
the affected areas prompting cancellation. Also based on surface
conditions in NE Colorado have included in the going Flood Watch.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 355 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019
As of 400 am CDT, 300 am MDT, skies across the Tri-State Region are
overcast due to expansive fields of cirrus and stratus. Temperatures
are in the mid 30s to low 40s. Winds are generally south at 5 to 15
mph. Latest WSR-88D trends indicate a few areas of light showers.
The most prevalent one is located over southeastern Colorado and
southwestern Kansas, moving northeast. At the surface, a lee trough
is intensifying along the Colorado Front Range. Aloft, an expansive
low pressure system is spiraling over the Baja peninsula, slowly
making its way to the east-northeast. A few minor shortwave troughs
are noted in the southwest flow in advance of this system.
Some differences in previous forecast runs have lead to a few
important adjustments to thinking regarding the incoming major storm
system. The focus of this discussion will explain the current
thinking, differences, and points of concern.
For today, fog may be a problem this morning and am monitoring for
potential issuance of a dense fog advisory. While this would
complicate headlines, it would be a pressing short-term need.
Forecast guidance has also become more pessimistic on showers this
morning across primarily northwest Kansas. Therefore, as with
previous forecasts, have lowered the precipitation chances for this
morning into the early afternoon. Very warm temperatures are
expected compared to recent cold weather. Afternoon high
temperatures are forecast to exceed 60 degrees across the entire
area, with perhaps some locations nearing 70 close to the junction
of Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska. South winds will pick up today
and become gusty by around noon generally along and south of the
Kansas/Nebraska border.
For tonight, the complicated weather time period begins. During the
overnight hours, am anticipating widespread precipitation to break
out across southeast Colorado and southwest Kansas, expanding NNE
throughout the night. There are now a few concerns with the rainfall
forecast. First, many pieces of forecast guidance have lessened the
anticipated rainfall amounts as a result of quicker movement of the
precipitation. Second, am growing more confident that we will
observe thunderstorms embedded within this area of precipitation.
This would heighten precipitation amounts due to the convective
nature. MUCape of 500-1000 j/kg increases confidence in thunderstorm
potential. Record-breaking precipitable water is still forecast so
there will be more-than-ample moisture for the atmosphere to work
with. Therefore, while forecast rainfall amounts have trended down
with this forecast run, still anticipate the potential for 1.5-2.0"
amounts, with some locations potentially receiving more rain depending
on where thunderstorms move. Therefore, will leave the flood watch
unaltered. Also, yesterday morning's frost depth at Goodland was 12
inches. Therefore, even with today's very warm weather, am not
anticipating soils to thaw completely. Therefore, the flooding
thinking/threat remains the same...there will be runoff due to
frozen and saturate soils.
On Wednesday, showers/thunderstorms will continue moving to the NNE.
However, one interesting trend has been a slight clearing ahead of
the rapidly developing surface low. A swath of marginal instability
redevelops in the wake of the exiting precipitation area. There is
an opportunity for that instability to be collocated with favorable
wind shear. Will need to watch this closely as there could be an
outside (minority) chance for some severe convection. For now, won't
highlight it in the HWO but may include a mention in the Situation
Report for weather partners.
Once some the heavier precipitation along with potential strong
storms clears the area to the northeast, attention then turns to the
incoming cold front. A surface low pressure is expected to bomb over
eastern Colorado as it heads toward central Kansas, resulting in
significant pressure gradients and intense wind fields. A cold front
will rapidly advance SSE across the forecast area, beginning first
in northeast Colorado, spreading into southwest Kansas quicker. The
front will slowly advance east throughout the night but the main
initial push will be SSE across eastern Colorado into western
Kansas. Behind this front, mixing profiles and intense wind fields
just off the surface indicate the potential for a significant wind
event, similar to the April 17, 2018 high wind event. Will keep the
wording of 60 to 80 mph gusts as this still looks to be a decent
bet. While my career is still young, I can't remember a time a wind
field has been this impressive. According to CIPS analogs, one of
the closest analogs occurred in April 2001 and even that wind field
wasn't as impressive. As a result of the potential intensity of the
winds, decided to expand the high wind watch to cover all of the
forecast area. We may be in uncharted territory. Also, another round
of high winds can be expected Thursday morning/afternoon after a
brief lull...as in gusts of only 45 to 55 mph...in the early morning
hours Thursday. Favorable mixing/clearing will exist and sounding
profiles indicate that the region will be able to tap into high
winds aloft, bringing down gusts of 55-65 mph. One great thing about
this wind event, if there is such a thing, is that the soils will be
saturated so am not anticipating any dust threat. Would be shocked
if dust developed with the rain and snow forecast.
Finally, concerning the winter storm/blizzard threat...forecast
guidances continues to slowly shift the axis of heaviest snow
slightly to the northeast. Snow forecast for this run chopped into
projected totals across the area. A large portion of the current
winter storm watch, mainly locations east of a Wray, CO to Stratton,
CO line is only projected to receive trace amounts to 2 inches. This
snow forecast, which is in agreement with neighboring offices and
WPC, kept confidence too low to upgrade to a blizzard warning for
the winter storm watch area. If a blizzard warning was needed with
this forecast run, it would have only been issued for Yuma County
Colorado where the heaviest snow and high winds would likely combine
for blizzard conditions. While this is not to say we are out of the
woods for blizzard conditions across the rest of the winter storm
watch, the confidence just wasn't there to adjust the product any.
This is also part of the reason for expanding the high wind watch as
confidence is there for high winds, just not heavy/blowing snow.
Will continue to monitor how trends play out for this potential
blizzard.
With all this said, this significant storm system will bring a
variety of high-impact threats that will keep us all on our toes.
Please know that forecast adjustments will be required so stay tuned
to any forecast updates as the impacts may have changed for your
location.
.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 207 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019
Northwest flow develops aloft Thursday night as the system impacting
the region earlier in the week pushes east towards the Great Lakes.
Some breezy northwest winds carry into the early evening before
steadily declining. Patchy blowing snow could linger during this
time along and west of the Colorado border until winds drop off.
Dry conditions, sunny skies, and quiet weather are forecast Friday
through Monday, with west to northwest flow aloft as ridging builds
over the west coast. A warming trend is expected, with highs in the
upper 30s to mid 40s on Friday rising into the upper 40s to upper
50s in time for Monday. Low temperatures range in the teens and 20s
for the majority of the region, steadily warming as well. A few
eastern locations could see lows in the low 30s Sunday night.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 546 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019
Widespread poor aviation conditions expected into mid-morning
today and resuming once again this evening after 00z. Dense fog
and stratus has developed this morning, reducing ceilings at both
sites and visibility primarily at KGLD. KMCK currently reporting
IFR conditions while KGLD is currently LIFR. Later this morning,
some slightly drier air will move in from the west, quickly
eroding fog and stratus. During the evening hours, the beginnings
of the highly anticipated weather system begins to make an impact
in terms of widespread moderate/heavy rainfall and thunderstorm
activity. Not expecting any severe storms at this time. In
addition, low level moisture returns, bringing fog and stratus
back with it. South winds will dominate this period but a
significant cold front passage can be expected after 18z tomorrow.
Finally, low level wind shear is possible tonight as a result of
low level jet development. For now, confidence was too low to
place llws into the TAF.
&&
.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch from 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening through
Wednesday afternoon for KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042.
High Wind Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday
afternoon for KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042.
Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday afternoon through late
Wednesday night for KSZ001-013.
CO...Flood Watch from 6 PM MDT this evening through Wednesday
afternoon for COZ090>092.
High Wind Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday
afternoon for COZ090>092.
Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday afternoon through late
Wednesday night for COZ090-091.
NE...Flood Watch from 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening through
Wednesday afternoon for NEZ079>081.
High Wind Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday
afternoon for NEZ079>081.
Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday afternoon through late
Wednesday night for NEZ079-080.
&&
UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...RRH
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...RRHHazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 9:24 AM MDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 924 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-131530- Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins- Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove- Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow- 924 AM MDT Tue Mar 12 2019 /1024 AM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... Dense Fog Advisory is in effect this morning for areas east of Highway 27. Moderate to occasional heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Since this rainfall will be occurring on frozen ground, this could cause flooding, especially near rivers and smaller streams. A flood watch has been issued for all areas except northeast Colorado. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... Heavy rainfall and thunderstorms will continue across northwest Kansas and southwest Nebraska during the day Wednesday. Any additional precipitation will run off, intensifying any flooding issues. For Wednesday afternoon and evening, north winds will increase into the 30 to 50 mph range with gusts 60 to 80 mph possible behind a cold front. Strong winds will continue into Thursday with gusts to 55 to 65 mph throughout the day. Rain will change to snow from northwest to southeast Wednesday afternoon and evening, earliest over northeastern Colorado. The snow is expected to be the most intense from the late afternoon into the nighttime hours. Although some snow can be expected over the entire area, the highest snow amounts will be along and north of a line from Flagler, Colorado to Goodland, Kansas to Benkelman, Nebraska. Blizzard or near blizzard conditions are possible, especially on from Wednesday afternoon into the nighttime hours across northeast Colorado. Travel will become hazardous. Power outages and tree damage cannot be ruled out as well. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be required.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 12, 8:49 AM MDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
849 AM MDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0821 AM DENSE FOG LENORA 39.61N 100.00W
03/12/2019 NORTON KS PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY IN DENSE
FOG VIA FACEBOOK.
&&
EVLocal storm report, Mar 12, 8:50 AM MDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
850 AM MDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0847 AM DENSE FOG LENORA 39.61N 100.0W
03/12/2019 NORTON KS AWOS
1/4 MI VISIBILITY FROM DENSE FOG AWOS AT
NORTON.
&&
EVLocal storm report, Mar 12, 8:51 AM MDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
851 AM MDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0740 AM DENSE FOG OBERLIN 39.82N 100.53W
03/12/2019 DECATUR KS PUBLIC
1/4 MI VISIBILITY FROM DENSE FOG REPORTED BY
PUBLIC VIA FACEBOOK.
&&
EVLocal storm report, Mar 12, 8:52 AM MDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
852 AM MDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0753 AM DENSE FOG 2 E MCCOOK 40.21N 100.59W
03/12/2019 RED WILLOW NE ASOS
1/4 MI VISIBILITY FROM DENSE FOG AT ASOS
STATION MCK, MCCOOK AIRPORT.
&&
EVLocal storm report, Mar 12, 9:20 AM MDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
920 AM MDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0821 AM DENSE FOG LENORA 39.61N 100.00W
03/12/2019 NORTON KS PUBLIC
1/4 MILE VISIBILITY FROM DENSE FOG REPORTED
FROM PUBLIC VIA FACEBOOK.
&&
EVLocal storm report, Mar 12, 10:30 AM MDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1030 AM MDT TUE MAR 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0753 AM DENSE FOG 2 E MCCOOK 40.21N 100.59W
03/12/2019 RED WILLOW NE ASOS
1/4 MI VISIBILITY FROM DENSE FOG AT ASOS
STATION MCK, MCCOOK AIRPORT.
0821 AM DENSE FOG 6 NNW STRATTON 40.23N 101.27W
03/12/2019 HITCHCOCK NE PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED 1/4 VISIBILITY IN DENSE FOG
VIA FACEBOOK.
0500 AM DENSE FOG LEOTI 38.48N 101.36W
03/12/2019 WICHITA KS EMERGENCY MNGR
QUARTER MILE VISIBILITY REPORTED.
0255 AM DENSE FOG 3 N COLBY 39.43N 101.05W
03/12/2019 THOMAS KS AWOS
AWOS STATION CBK, 2 N COLBY, REPORTS 1/4
MILE VISIBILITY.
0610 AM DENSE FOG 10 SSW LEVANT 39.24N 101.23W
03/12/2019 THOMAS KS PUBLIC
LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE VISIBILITY
REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
0717 AM DENSE FOG 2 ENE OAKLEY 39.13N 100.82W
03/12/2019 THOMAS KS DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
KDOT WEBCAM AT EXIT 76 I-70 SHOWS 1/4 MILE
VISIBILITY.
0438 AM DENSE FOG 1 NNE GOODLAND 39.37N 101.70W
03/12/2019 SHERMAN KS ASOS
ASOS STATION GLD, GOODLAND.
0840 AM DENSE FOG 1 N HOXIE 39.36N 100.44W
03/12/2019 SHERIDAN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT
FROM SHERIFFS DISPATCH...VISIBILITY DOWN TO
A QUARTER TO HALF MILE. HIGHWAYS 83/24
AFFECTED.
0646 AM DENSE FOG 2 NNW ATWOOD 39.83N 101.05W
03/12/2019 RAWLINS KS AWOS
DENSE FOG REPORTED AT ATWOOD AIRPORT.
0821 AM DENSE FOG LENORA 39.61N 100.00W
03/12/2019 NORTON KS PUBLIC
1/4 MILE VISIBILITY FROM DENSE FOG REPORTED
FROM PUBLIC VIA FACEBOOK.
0821 AM DENSE FOG LENORA 39.61N 100.00W
03/12/2019 NORTON KS PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY IN DENSE
FOG VIA FACEBOOK.
0847 AM DENSE FOG LENORA 39.61N 100.0W
03/12/2019 NORTON KS AWOS
1/4 MI VISIBILITY FROM DENSE FOG AWOS AT
NORTON.
0753 AM DENSE FOG 1 NE HILL CITY 39.38N 99.83W
03/12/2019 GRAHAM KS ASOS
1/4 MILE VISIBILITY IN DENSE FOG. ASOS
STATION HLC, HILL CITY KS AIRPORT.
0740 AM DENSE FOG OBERLIN 39.82N 100.53W
03/12/2019 DECATUR KS PUBLIC
1/4 MI VISIBILITY FROM DENSE FOG REPORTED BY
PUBLIC VIA FACEBOOK.
0735 AM DENSE FOG 1 W SAINT FRANCIS 39.77N 101.81W
03/12/2019 CHEYENNE KS MESONET
1/4 MI VISIBILITY DENSE FOG AT MESONET
STATION SYF, ST. FRANCIS CITY.
0700 AM DENSE FOG JOES 39.66N 102.68W
03/12/2019 YUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER
REPORTED 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY IN DENSE FOG.
1053 PM DENSE FOG 4 S BURLINGTON 39.25N 102.28W
03/11/2019 KIT CARSON CO ASOS
KITR REPORTS 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY.
0453 AM DENSE FOG 4 S BURLINGTON 39.24N 102.29W
03/12/2019 KIT CARSON CO ASOS
ASOS STATION ITR, BURLINGTON CO AIRPORT.
0744 AM DENSE FOG CHEYENNE WELLS 38.82N 102.35W
03/12/2019 CHEYENNE CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
CDOT WEBCAM SHOWS 1/4 MI VISIBILITY AT
CHEYENNE WELLS, CO.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 4:39 AM MDT | Dense Fog Advisory | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma | 5 hr |
| Mar 12, 10:43 AM MDT | High Wind Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma | 52 hr |
| Mar 12, 2:17 PM MDT | Winter Weather Advisory | GLD | Cheyenne, Decatur, Norton, Rawlins, Sherman | 37 hr |
Nearby
Blizzard Warnings in Colorado, 2019Blizzard Warnings in Kansas, 2019Blizzard Warnings in Nebraska, 2019Every blizzard warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.