Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

460 
WWUS53 KFSD 132216
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
516 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

SDC099-132230-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-190713T2230Z/
Minnehaha SD-
516 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL MINNEHAHA COUNTY...

At 515 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Crooks, or 13
miles north of Sioux Falls, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Areas between Crooks and Baltic around 525 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4376 9698 4383 9695 4374 9665 4362 9682
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 301DEG 20KT 4373 9683 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Chapman

725 
WWUS53 KFSD 132226
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
526 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

SDC099-132236-
/O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-190713T2230Z/
Minnehaha SD-
526 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MINNEHAHA COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 530 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. However, gusty 
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 4376 9698 4383 9695 4374 9665 4362 9682
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 305DEG 19KT 4370 9677 

$$

Chapman

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
235 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

Towering cumulus working into western Beadle County as of 19Z ahead
of weak shortwave moving from central South Dakota into southwestern
Minnesota.  As the short wave moves east, could see isolated to
scattered storms develop.  With slightly stronger shear in the 700-
500 mb layer, 0-6 km bulk shear values are 30-35 knots. This
combined with 3500-4000 J/kg of weakly capped surface based CAPE
will create the potential for large hail and damaging winds through
the early evening hours.

Once the weak short wave moves through the area, expect overnight
period to be fairly quiet.  Southerly flow at 925 hpa increases
slightly through the overnight with heat and humidity building north
into the area.  With heating during the day on Sunday, should see
temperatures warm into the 90s.  Concern with cloud cover impacting
heating a bit, especially in the north as another shortwave moves
east along the North/South Dakota border. There is the potential for
additional storms with this disturbance, but should mainly be
focused north of the forecast area. With adequate heating and dew
points in the 70s, am concerned about the potential for areas along
and west of the James to reach heat advisory criteria. Considered a
heat headline, but through collaboration, opted to hold off for now.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

Upper ridge expands a bit on Monday, and could see more heat
advisory conditions, especially along and west of I-29.  A boundary
associated with a wave moving across southern Canada will approach
Monday night and linger through much of the week.  Depending on he
location of the boundary, there are sporadic chances of
thunderstorms throughout the remainder of the week, with hot and
humid conditions continuing.  High temperatures look to be near 90,
with lows near 70.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. A few showers
and thunderstorms are possible along Highway 14 in east central
South Dakota and southwest Minnesota. This activity could impact
KHON later this afternoon.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BT
LONG TERM...BT
AVIATION...05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1235 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

IAZ001>003-013-014-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-SDZ038>040-
052>062-141745-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-O'Brien-Clay-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-
Nobles-Jackson-Pipestone-Rock-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Jerauld-
Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-
1235 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
southwest Minnesota, central South Dakota, east central South
Dakota, south central South Dakota, and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated strong to potentially severe storms may develop in areas
along and north of Interstate 90 this afternoon and early
evening. The main risks will be hail up to the size of golfballs
and 60 mph winds.

Heat index values Saturday afternoon will average between 90 and
98 degrees.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Heat index readings will climb between 95-105 degrees beginning
Sunday and continuing through Thursday. Occasional thunderstorm
chances will remain in the forecast, especially late Monday,
Tuesday, and Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible after 3 PM.

IAZ012-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-SDZ050-063>071-141745-
Sioux-Plymouth-Cherokee-Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Dixon-Dakota-
Gregory-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Lincoln-Bon Homme-
Yankton-Clay-Union-
1235 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
west central Iowa, northeast Nebraska, south central South
Dakota, and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated storms are possible this evening. A strong storm or two
could produce large hail or strong gusty winds.

Heat index values Saturday afternoon will average between 90 and
98 degrees.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Heat index readings will climb between 95-105 degrees beginning
Sunday and continuing through Thursday. Occasional thunderstorm
chances will remain in the forecast, especially late Monday,
Tuesday, and Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.