Severe Thunderstorm Warning 293, NWS Atlanta, GA

751 
WWUS52 KFFC 231943
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
343 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

GAC015-115-129-232000-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0293.000000T0000Z-190823T2000Z/
Floyd GA-Gordon GA-Bartow GA-
343 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL FLOYD...SOUTHWESTERN GORDON AND NORTHWESTERN BARTOW
COUNTIES...

At 343 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Oostanaula, or
near Calhoun, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Calhoun, Adairsville, Plainville and Oostanaula. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3445 8512 3447 8511 3453 8497 3452 8484
      3432 8489 3432 8502 3442 8511
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 241DEG 8KT 3447 8505 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
247 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

Weak frontal boundary continues to sag south across far northern GA
this afternoon. The front will move slowly southward overnight, and
should stall across central portions of the CWFA overnight or into
tomorrow. In the mid levels, mostly zonal flow will allow several
pieces of shortwave energy to move quickly east within the flow,
interacting with the stalled boundary.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are anticipated for
the next two days. Widespread severe weather is not anticipated, but
a few stronger storms or an isolated severe storm will be possible.
Gusty winds and frequent lightning will be possible with the
stronger storms. In addition, PWATs of 2"+ with BL winds of less than
15kt will allow for slow moving heavy rainers.

NListemaa

.LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...

To start the new week, a potential tropical low pressure system,
currently Invest 98L with a 70% chance of development over the next
48 hours, will be making its way northward off the southeastern
Atlantic coastline. At the same time, a strong surface high
pressure will be over Maine/New Brunswick and moving eastward. The
high to the NNE and the low to the ESE will form a pressure
gradient with northeasterly winds against the lee side of the
Appalachian Mnts, causing cold air damming and forcing a wedge
front to push through most of the forecast area and replace the
prepositioned stationary front. This will be our best chance of
breaking our current streak of 28 days of temperatures at or above
70 for Atlanta, barring any strong outflows later today. This is
the 13th longest streak of its kind on record going back to 1978.

With the continuing fetch of warm moist air moving overhead from the
Gulf. PWATs around and over 2" are expected through the beginning of
next week. Combined with the extra forcing from the frontal boundary
should create likely rain chances with scattered convective
showers and thunderstorms until the front begins to lift on
Tuesday.

Afterwards, a mid-level trough will sweep across the southeastern
CONUS, returning the forecast area to conditions we've known and
'loved' over the past several weeks. The southwesterly mid-level
flow will continue to bring Gulf moisture into the region,
continuing at least scattered showers and thunderstorms through at
least Wednesday. High pressure is then expected to follow by
Thursday and Friday with at least slight chances for showers and
thunderstorms. It's currently unclear exactly how much drier air
will filter into the forecast area with this next weather pattern
as things diverge within the model guidance, however, as the time
frame gets closer and other synoptic features come and go we
should get a better feel if a break from the rains can be
expected.

Thiem

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Greater cover of shra/tsra expected this afternoon. Activity could
linger well into the evening hours. About the same coverage
expected tomorrow afternoon. Winds will start out on the west
side, but try and go to the NE around 14-15Z tomorrow.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Med confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          72  87  68  79 /  60  70  60  50
Atlanta         75  89  71  81 /  60  70  60  60
Blairsville     66  81  64  74 /  50  70  60  50
Cartersville    71  89  70  83 /  60  70  50  60
Columbus        75  90  74  87 /  60  60  60  80
Gainesville     72  85  67  79 /  60  70  60  50
Macon           74  91  72  85 /  50  60  60  70
Rome            71  89  70  84 /  50  70  50  70
Peachtree City  73  90  71  83 /  60  70  60  70
Vidalia         74  92  74  89 /  30  60  50  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1151 AM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-241600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1151 AM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected across much of north and
central Georgia this afternoon into tonight. A few storms could be
strong to severe with gusty winds, frequent lightning and locally
heavy rainfall possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected across much of north
and central Georgia through Thursday...mainly in the afternoons
and evenings. A few storms could be strong to marginally severe
with gusty winds, frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
156 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

GAZ008-015-016-231845-
Union GA-White GA-Lumpkin GA-
156 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN UNION...WHITE AND
LUMPKIN COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

At 155 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Porter Springs, or 7
miles north of Dahlonega...moving east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dahlonega, Cleveland, Helen, Suches, Unicoi State Park, Whitley Gap
Shelter, Robertstown, Mossy Creek, Camp Coleman Lake, Leaf, Smithgall
Woods Conservation Are, Porter Springs, Turners Corner, Sautee,
Gaddistown, Gooch Mountain Shelter and Qualatchee Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3475 8364 3468 8364 3467 8365 3467 8364
      3466 8366 3463 8365 3454 8365 3454 8411
      3473 8409
TIME...MOT...LOC 1755Z 275DEG 8KT 3464 8394

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
306 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

GAZ030-031-231945-
Polk GA-Paulding GA-
306 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN POLK AND PAULDING
COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 305 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Yorkville, or 9 miles
west of Dallas...moving northeast at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dallas, Braswell and Yorkville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3404 8492 3399 8481 3391 8480 3387 8504
      3390 8504 3391 8507 3394 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 241DEG 8KT 3393 8501

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH