Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 75, NWS Atlanta, GA

February 20, 2019Cherokee County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Feb 20, 2019, 12:18 AM EST for Cherokee County, Georgia. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2019, 12:18 AM EST (05:18 UTC)
Expired
Feb 20, 2019, 6:12 PM EST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Cherokee County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Etowah River Downstream I-575 at Canton (ECTG1). The gauge peaked at 22.64 ft at Feb 21, 2019, 6:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate10152002/2002/21
Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
23 ft
Major stage
27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02391860, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

514 
WGUS42 KFFC 200518
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1218 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Etowah River near East Canton affecting Cherokee County


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC057-201917-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0075.190220T0518Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECTG1.1.ER.190220T0446Z.190220T0446Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1218 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Etowah River near East Canton.
* From early this morning until further notice.
* At 11 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* At 16 feet...Bankfull conditions are reached along the river 
  generally east of Canton. The water begins to flood low lying areas
  behind a pump station off Riverstone Parkway and near the 
  Interstate 575 bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3434 8427 3428 8425 3427 8436 3422 8446
      3427 8450 3433 8440             

$$
3 follow-up statements
266 
WGUS82 KFFC 201125
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Cumming affecting Forsyth County 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Conasauga River near Tilton affecting Gordon...Murray and 
  Whitfield Counties 

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 

  Oostanaula River near Calhoun affecting Gordon County 

  Armuchee Creek near Armuchee affecting Floyd County 

  Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park affecting Floyd County 

  Etowah River near East Canton affecting Cherokee County 


GAC083-TNC065-210124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-190222T1017Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190218T0537Z.190220T1200Z.190222T0417Z.UU/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 15 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand along Sells Lane 
  in Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. These roads and other roads with creeks flowing into 
  Lookout Creek will flood causing the roads to be closed. The water 
  will be a few feet deep on portions of these roads. Also minor 
  flooding will continue to expand downstream as the creek crosses 
  the Tennessee border into the Tiftona area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

GAC313-210124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190218T0631Z.190221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.4 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.7 feet by this evening. 
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC129-213-313-210124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-190223T1800Z/
/TLNG1.1.ER.190220T0057Z.190222T1200Z.190223T1200Z.NO/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conasauga River near Tilton.
* From tomorrow morning until Saturday afternoon.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.9 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19.1 feet by Friday morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* At 18 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pastures along the river  upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the Brackett Ridge Road bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3472 8483 3463 8488 3463 8495 3471 8497


$$

GAC055-210124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0068.190221T0810Z-190222T0300Z/
/SUMG1.1.ER.190221T0810Z.190221T1200Z.190221T2100Z.NO/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* From early tomorrow until Thursday evening.
* At 5 AM Wednesday the stage was 13 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding of woodlands and fields begins along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. Highway 27 
  or Rome Boulevard. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

GAC129-210124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALG1.1.ER.190220T0130Z.190220T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oostanaula River near Calhoun.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 21 feet.
* At 23 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands...fields and pastures upstream and downstream from the 
  gage behind the water treatment plant off Mauldin Road. A boat ramp
  and small parking lot on the upstream and right bank side of the 
  Georgia Highway 136 Connector will be under at least 2 feet of 
  water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3455 8499 3455 8492 3439 8506 3443 8512 3453 8504


$$

GAC115-210124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCG1.1.ER.190220T0323Z.190221T0200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Armuchee Creek near Armuchee.
* Until further notice.
* At 5 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.8 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 21.8 feet by tonight then 
  begin falling.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding continues and expands further into 
  the woodlands...fields and pastures along the creek upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Old Dalton Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3449 8521 3448 8515 3442 8518 3436 8512
      3433 8515 3442 8525             

$$

GAC115-210124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RMBG1.1.ER.190220T0053Z.190220T1045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 5 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* At 26 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pastures along the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on the old Lock and Dam behind the Trading Post. The boat ramp will
  be completely under water at Lock and Dam park. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8524 3421 8518 3417 8526 3420 8536
      3425 8531 3423 8526             

$$

GAC057-210124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECTG1.1.ER.190220T0446Z.190220T1045Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Etowah River near East Canton.
* Until further notice.
* At 5 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand in the woodlands 
  and fields along the river generally east of Canton near the 
  Interstate 575 bridge. A rock landing and grassy lot behind a pump 
  station off of Riverstone Parkway and areas behind the businesses 
  on Old Ball Ground Highway and Keith Drive are flooded with up to 
  two feet of water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3434 8427 3428 8425 3427 8436 3422 8446
      3427 8450 3433 8440             

$$

GAC117-201726-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-190220T1726Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.190220T0045Z.190220T0800Z.190220T1126Z.UU/
625 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Big Creek near Cumming.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 5 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.2 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 6 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage later today .
* At 7 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the natural 
  flood plain of the creek upstream and downstream from the gage at 
  Atlanta Highway or Georgia Highway 9. Large portions of the 
  sidewalk and boardwalk of the Big Creek Greenway will be flooded. 
  The areas under the Georgia 400 Highway and McFarland Road will be 
  covered with around two feet of water. A portion of the sidewalk 
  under Majors Road will be covered with around 3 feet of water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3418 8424 3417 8420 3411 8419 3410 8420
      3410 8425 3411 8424             

$$
383 
WGUS82 KFFC 201644
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

  Conasauga River near Tilton affecting Gordon...Murray and 
  Whitfield Counties 

  Oostanaula River near Rome US Hwy. 27 affecting Floyd County 

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Oostanaula River near Calhoun affecting Gordon County 

  Armuchee Creek near Armuchee affecting Floyd County 

  Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park affecting Floyd County 

  Etowah River near East Canton affecting Cherokee County 


GAC083-TNC065-210643-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-190221T1030Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190218T0537Z.190220T0715Z.190221T0430Z.UU/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until late tonight.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 13 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands along Sells Lane in 
  Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. All these roads will be closed. Also minor flooding 
  expands much further downstream as the creek crosses the Tennessee 
  border into the Tiftona area.


&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

GAC313-210643-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190218T0631Z.190220T0830Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC129-213-313-210643-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-190223T2000Z/
/TLNG1.1.ER.190220T0057Z.190220T1530Z.190223T1400Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Conasauga River near Tilton.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.0 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late 
  Saturday morning.
* At 18 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pastures along the river  upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the Brackett Ridge Road bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3472 8483 3463 8488 3463 8495 3471 8497


$$

GAC129-210643-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALG1.1.ER.190220T0130Z.190220T1545Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oostanaula River near Calhoun.
* Until further notice.
* At 11AM Wednesday the stage was 22.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 21 feet.
* At 23 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands...fields and pastures upstream and downstream from the 
  gage behind the water treatment plant off Mauldin Road. A boat ramp
  and small parking lot on the upstream and right bank side of the 
  Georgia Highway 136 Connector will be under at least 2 feet of 
  water.


&&

LAT...LON 3455 8499 3455 8492 3439 8506 3443 8512 3453 8504


$$

GAC115-210643-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCG1.1.ER.190220T0323Z.190221T1500Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Armuchee Creek near Armuchee.
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.8 feet by tomorrow late 
  morning then begin falling.
* At 23 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the woodlands...
  fields and pastures along the creek upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Old Dalton Road.


&&

LAT...LON 3449 8521 3448 8515 3442 8518 3436 8512
      3433 8515 3442 8525             

$$

GAC115-210643-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0078.190220T1703Z-190221T0705Z/
/RTMG1.1.ER.190220T1703Z.190221T0000Z.190221T0105Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oostanaula River near Rome US Hwy. 27.
* From this afternoon until late tonight.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.9 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 25.2 feet by this evening.The river will fall below
  flood stage by this evening.
* At 25 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Turner McCall bridge or U.S. Highway 27. The 
  Heritage Park Rome Greenway continues to flood with some locations 
  up to 5 feet deep. All drainage valves must be closed at the 
  outfalls in Rome. The flood gate on the Rome levee should be 
  closed.

&&

LAT...LON 3431 8520 3428 8514 3421 8518 3425 8524


$$

GAC115-210643-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RMBG1.1.ER.190220T0053Z.190220T1631Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* At 26.0 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pastures along the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on the old Lock and Dam behind the Trading Post. The boat ramp will
  be completely under water at Lock and Dam park. 


&&

LAT...LON 3425 8524 3421 8518 3417 8526 3420 8536
      3425 8531 3423 8526             

$$

GAC057-210643-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECTG1.1.ER.190220T0446Z.190220T1330Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Etowah River near East Canton.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand in the woodlands 
  and fields along the river generally east of Canton near the 
  Interstate 575 bridge. A rock landing and grassy lot behind a pump 
  station off of Riverstone Parkway and areas behind the businesses 
  on Old Ball Ground Highway and Keith Drive are flooded with up to 
  two feet of water. 
 

&&

LAT...LON 3434 8427 3428 8425 3427 8436 3422 8446
      3427 8450 3433 8440             

$$

GAC117-121-210643-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-190223T2200Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190221T1200Z.190223T1600Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.8 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.7 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Saturday 
  morning.
* At 9 feet...Minor flooding expands along the creek from near 
  Cumming to Alpharetta and Roswell. Backyards of homes off Seale 
  Drive and Gunter Court and portions of the Golf of Georgia begin to
  flood. The Big Creek Greenway experiences significant flooding up 
  to 3 feet deep...which results in closure of most of the paths. 
  This especially occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Kimball Bridge Road and Rock Mill Park. A large portion of the YMCA
  Campground off Preston Ridge Road will be under a foot of water. 


&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$
210 
WGUS82 KFFC 202312
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
612 PM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Etowah River near East Canton affecting Cherokee County

 
GAC057-202342-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-190220T2312Z/
/ECTG1.1.ER.190220T0446Z.190220T1330Z.190220T2142Z.UU/
612 PM EST Wed Feb 20 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Etowah River near East Canton.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 5 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.4 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* At 16 feet...Bankfull conditions are reached along the river 
  generally east of Canton. The water begins to flood low lying areas
  behind a pump station off Riverstone Parkway and near the 
  Interstate 575 bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3434 8427 3428 8425 3427 8436 3422 8446
      3427 8450 3433 8440             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 19, 9:59 PM EST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 9:59 PM EST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
959 PM EST Tue Feb 19 2019

.UPDATE...

Has been another active evening across the forecast area as
another area of frontogentic forcing and strong isentropic lift
allowed for banded convection at times. In addition, with such low
freezing levels, was not difficult at all to get hail with the
convection, the latest case being the cluster that move through
Dade county. Things have settled down now and expect a quieter
night with rain still around but forcing less. Temps now safely
above freezing across the NE mountains but not by much. Models
agree in keeping outside any freezing rain thresholds overnight
but will certainly bear watching. Went ahead and edited pops for
the Wed timeframe keeping lower pops for all but the far northern
sections until prefrontal activity moves in toward evening.

Deese

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 708 PM EST Tue Feb 19 2019/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 258 PM EST Tue Feb 19 2019/

.Afternoon Forecast Package...

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...

Showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across North and portions
of central GA as good East to Southeasterly flow continues across the
area. The increased easterly flow is helping to push the high
pressure wedge down into our area as the axis of highest QPF looks
to stay north and west of our area. With rain expected to continue
into the extended periods we are still looking for some flooding
across N GA with 6 day totals in the 3-6 inch range. Have added a
few more counties into the current flood watch and will keep it
going through Saturday morning. The watch extends from Haralson...to
Cherokee...to White counties and all areas north of that line. Winds
will be elevated and gusty at times tonight and Wednesday with some
places at the higher elevations gusting to around 30kts.
Temperatures...especially under the wedge will stay a bit cool with
lows tonight in the 30s and highs in the 40s Wed. Locations not
under the influence of the wedge will see temps get up into the 60s
and 70s Wednesday which will be mainly across central portions of
the state.

01

LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

Overall, only minimal changes to the extended period. The only
addition is another wedge front system that will move into the
area Friday Night into Saturday as a strong New England surface
high pressure quickly moves off into the Atlantic. This extra lift
could further enhance rainfall totals for North Georgia during
that time frame. Otherwise, the preceding discussion follows.

Following this continuous bout of rain through Sunday, the next
wave looks just as strong and begins to move into the area on
Monday. A fairly active pattern looks likely afterwards with low
pressure waves causing trouble in the forecast area every few
days.

Thiem

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 635 AM EST Tue Feb 19 2019/

LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Monday/...

The long term period picks up with another period of possible heavy
rainfall late Wednesday as the wedge breaks down and a cold front
pushes towards the area. Current models don't show the front making
much progress into the area before becoming more parallel to the
flow and stalling. With the front stalled somewhere in the
vicinity, likely to categorical pops have been included for
northern Georgia through Saturday as multiple waves of
precipitation move through the area. With instability present,
thunder has also been included for multiple days of the forecast.
Also, with such high PW values forecast Wednesday through the
rest of the long term, heavy rain is expected at times over
multiple days continuing concerns for flash flooding and river
flooding. Portions of northwestern GA already has a few rivers in
flood. The Flood Watch is still in effect for portions of
northeast Georgia through early [Saturday]. Make sure to stay
updated to the forecast for any changes to the watch.

The next more organized system looks to impact the area late
Saturday into Sunday as a surface low develops across the midwest
and pushes a cold front into the state on Sunday. With good
instability across central Georgia and high PW values, this system
will bring another round of heavy rain and thunderstorms to the
area.

Overall, with the bulk of the precipitation expected to fall in
the short term, current QPF totals from Thursday through Sunday is
about 1 to 3+ inches with the highest amounts across northern
Georgia. For more information on the excessive rainfall refer to
the latest ESF. Temperatures through the extended are mostly above
average, with highs generally in the 60s and 70s with lows in the
40s to lower 60s. Some areas are even pushing low 80s across
central Georgia through the weekend.

Reaves

AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...

Another challenging forecast as IFR cigs have arrived much earlier
than model projections. Thinking now is that they will just remain
down for the duration and go straight ti LIFR around 08Z for the
ATL sites. Not much change throughout the day on Wed with a steady
state forecast in order. We will see a line of SHRA/TSRA arrive
late in the period requiring a Prob30 for the TS for ATL. Winds
will continue to be gusty through the first part of tonight before
we lose the gusts Wed morning.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
Medium on LIFR timing.
High on remaining elements.

Deese

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          37  48  46  65 /  60  60  80  50
Atlanta         39  53  51  64 /  60  50  90  70
Blairsville     36  47  47  61 / 100 100 100  80
Cartersville    39  52  51  60 /  70  80 100  80
Columbus        46  65  62  74 /  40  40  70  70
Gainesville     37  45  45  63 / 100  70  90  70
Macon           43  60  58  75 /  40  30  40  70
Rome            40  53  51  60 /  90 100 100  80
Peachtree City  41  57  54  66 /  50  40  80  70
Vidalia         47  70  62  80 /  40  40  40  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Saturday morning for the following zones:
Bartow...Catoosa...Chattooga...Cherokee...Dade...Dawson...
Fannin...Floyd...Gilmer...Gordon...Haralson...Lumpkin...Murray...
Paulding...Pickens...Polk...Towns...Union...Walker...White...
Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...Deese
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...Deese
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 2:40 PM EST, 9 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
240 PM EST Tue Feb 19 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-201945-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
240 PM EST Tue Feb 19 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A line of thunderstorms has been advancing across North Georgia
this afternoon which has caused periods of heavy rain and
localized flooding across portions the Atlanta metro.

A Flood Watch is in effect through Saturday morning for portions
of north and northwest Georgia. As a result of multiple periods
with heavy rainfall, some localized flooding of creeks and streams
may be possible across portions of northern Georgia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

The Flood Watch remains in effect through early Saturday.
Multiple rounds of rain are expected across much of the area
through Sunday, with 2 to as much as 6 inches possible by the end
of the week. The highest rainfall amounts at this time are
expected across northwest Georgia. An increased threat for river
and stream flooding will continue through the week as rain falls
over saturated grounds. Localized flash flooding will also be
possible, especially over the complex terrain of north Georgia.
Make sure to stay tuned to the latest forecasts and updates each
day for any changes to the forecast.

In addition, there is a chance of thunderstorms on Wednesday
afternoon through Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 19, 8:46 PM EST, 3 hours 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
846 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2019

GAZ001>004-200215-
Whitfield GA-Catoosa GA-Walker GA-Dade GA-
846 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WHITFIELD...CATOOSA...WALKER AND
DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EST...

At 844 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was near Trenton, moving
northeast at 65 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning and
           heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain will cause temporary
           street flooding, especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dalton, Lafayette, Ringgold, Trenton, Fort Oglethorpe, Rossville,
Chickamauga, Varnell, Lookout Mountain, Tunnel Hill, Cohutta, Blue
Spring, Fairview, Linwood, Chattanooga  Valley, Cloudland Canyon
State Park, Hooker, Cooper Heights, Rock Spring and Rising Fawn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3483 8491 3460 8553 3498 8560 3499 8499
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 239DEG 57KT 3488 8552

WIND...40MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 19, 8:17 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd11 days
Feb 19, 8:20 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd14 days
Feb 19, 8:46 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCatoosa, Dade, Walker29 min
Feb 19, 8:59 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGordon9 days
Feb 19, 11:54 PM ESTWind AdvisoryFFCCatoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Dawson, Fannin, Floyd and 10 more10 hr
Feb 20, 12:06 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton6 hr
Feb 20, 4:36 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett7 hr
Feb 20, 6:13 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton3 days
Feb 20, 9:36 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd7 days
Feb 20, 9:36 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd21 days
Feb 20, 11:37 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCatoosa6 days
Feb 20, 12:04 PM ESTFlash Flood WatchFFCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattooga and 30 more31 hr
Feb 20, 3:34 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFloyd, Gordon26 min
Feb 20, 4:37 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFannin, Gilmer, Union23 min
Feb 20, 4:58 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFloyd, Gordon8 days
Feb 20, 5:03 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDawson, Lumpkin, Towns, Union, White27 min
Feb 20, 5:35 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton, DeKalb, Fulton25 min
Feb 20, 5:56 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBartow, Floyd49 min
Feb 20, 6:02 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Rockdale28 min
Feb 20, 6:16 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDouglas, Heard29 min
Feb 20, 6:39 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Douglas, Fayette51 min
Feb 20, 6:49 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll, Douglas, Haralson, Paulding41 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.