Severe Thunderstorm Warning 183, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

972 
WWUS54 KEWX 100224
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
924 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

TXC055-187-100233-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-190610T0300Z/
Caldwell TX-Guadalupe TX-
924 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL AND
SOUTHEASTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2893 9752 2909 9764 2911 9762 2919 9769
      2931 9761 2945 9763 2962 9761 2963 9759
      2969 9749 2967 9736 2961 9721 2958 9707
      2945 9688
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 334DEG 18KT 2941 9750 

$$

TXC123-177-285-100300-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-190610T0300Z/
DeWitt TX-Gonzales TX-Lavaca TX-
924 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL DEWITT...GONZALES AND NORTHWESTERN LAVACA COUNTIES...

At 923 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles southwest of
Gonzales, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Cuero, Gonzales, Yoakum, Hallettsville, Yorktown, Shiner, Moulton,
Smiley, Cheapside, Hochheim, Palmeto State Park, Westhoff, Worthing,
Henkhaus, Edgar, Oak Forest, Cost, Dilworth, Ottine and Monthalia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2893 9752 2909 9764 2911 9762 2919 9769
      2931 9761 2945 9763 2962 9761 2963 9759
      2969 9749 2967 9736 2961 9721 2958 9707
      2945 9688
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 334DEG 18KT 2941 9750 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HAMPSHIRE

354 
WWUS54 KEWX 100232
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
932 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

TXC123-177-285-100300-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-190610T0300Z/
DeWitt TX-Gonzales TX-Lavaca TX-
932 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL DEWITT...SOUTHEASTERN GONZALES AND NORTHWESTERN LAVACA
COUNTIES...

At 932 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Cheapside, or
13 miles northwest of Cuero, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Cuero, Yoakum, Hallettsville, Yorktown, Shiner, Smiley, Cheapside,
Hochheim, Westhoff, Worthing, Henkhaus, Edgar, Dilworth, Gruenau,
Sample, Glaze City, Wrightsboro, Mont, Sweet Home and Dreyer.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2896 9748 2911 9762 2919 9769 2931 9761
      2940 9760 2946 9746 2955 9721 2955 9710
      2945 9688
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 311DEG 27KT 2925 9741 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HAMPSHIRE

801 
WWUS54 KEWX 100253
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
953 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

TXC123-177-285-100303-
/O.EXP.KEWX.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-190610T0300Z/
DeWitt TX-Gonzales TX-Lavaca TX-
953 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL DEWITT...SOUTHEASTERN
GONZALES AND NORTHWESTERN LAVACA COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 PM
CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2896 9748 2911 9762 2919 9769 2931 9761
      2940 9760 2946 9746 2955 9721 2955 9710
      2945 9688
TIME...MOT...LOC 0253Z 329DEG 17KT 2917 9735 

$$

HAMPSHIRE

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
623 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

.AVIATION.../00Z TAFS/
Main concern this forecast period will be the convection during the
first 6 hours. Cluster of strong to severe storms will likely impact
the KAUS terminal right near the start of the forecast period.
Additional strong to severe storms will likely develop during the
next few hours then move across the area through 05Z-06Z. Hail
greater than one inch and winds greater than 50 knots will be
possible with the strongest storms. This convection is developing
ahead of a cold front that will usher in northerly winds and the
potential for convection through Monday. Expecting MVFR cigs to
develop once convection begins and will prevail until late Monday
afternoon. Northerly winds will be near 10 knots with gust to around
20 knots overnight. After 15Z-16Z Monday expecting northerly winds
10 to 20 knots with occasional gusts to 25 knots.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 505 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019/

UPDATE...
All grids, text, and graphics are being updated for Severe
Thunderstorm Watch #350, which expands the risk area to the entire
coastal plains. While Convection Allowing Models (CAMs) are still
problematic with specifics for the incoming convection, we now have
growing confidence in a wind/hail event for much of the I-35 corridor
including metro Austin and San Antonio. Now is the time to bring pets
indoors and move vehicles, yard furniture, etc., in garages or to the
safest possible area outside from wind/hail. Storms will move through
the Austin metro area between 6 and 730 pm, and metro San Antonio
between 8 and 10 pm.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019/

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)...
As a strong cold front approaches, a strong onshore surge of moisture
is combining with increasing mid level moisture from a Pacific tropical
plume spilling over the Mexican Plateau to minimize the daytime
mixing trends with respect to surface dewpoints. Dewpoints continued
to rise at KDRT and KGYB leading to the need to expand the Heat
Advisory for a few more counties. A few locations may hover near the
advisory criteria past 01Z, but rather than complicate the afternoon
forecast package further, we need to focus our attention on the very
strong cold front that is already generating severe weather over
North Central TX.

Peak CAPE values in the near storm environment appear to be in the
4500-5000 J/kg range with some locally higher values possible just
beyond the near storm environment. This will thus be the driving
force of the storm activity, and the high temps reaching around 100
to 102 over the Hill Country should provide plenty of downdraft
potential to result in severe storms with damaging wind potential
foremost, and with also a potential for some isolated severe hail
intense downpours capable of localized flooding. The assumption is
that the initial outflows will prevent a slow moving mesoscale
complex from dumping the type of rainfall noted by some of the higher
deterministic outputs (locally 5 inches). Most of the CAMs models
depict some isolated 3 inch pockets most likely to come in multiple
rounds. Thus it was decided not to play up the flash flood potential
for now. We may need to make a quick evening adjustment should the
outflows cease and the leading edge move slow and methodically along
the front and mid-level support. Once we are past midnight, the
severe potential should diminish to a more isolated and brief threat
while the locally heavy rain potential to near 3 inches should become
the dominant threat. By around 6 am, most of the CAMs solutions
shift the focus beyond our CWA borders with some scattered garden
variety activity to continue into daytime Monday.

Much cooler air will be a welcome break from todays excessive heat.
An additional cooling effect should come from a weak shortwave in NW
flow aloft that should keep PoPs at or above 30 percent for all
areas. Scattered PoPs should continue into Monday night with a weak
shortwave noted to be passing gradually through the area from 00Z to
12Z Tuesday.

LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...
Convection may remain scattered at the beginning of daytime Tuesday
but could decrease later in the day. Models show a gradually
decreasing chance through Wednesday, but NW flow patterns tend to
produce poor results in model performance, especially when trying to
pinpoint when chances are better in daytime or nighttime. By
Thursday, the Midwest troughing pattern aloft weakens and decreases
the NW flow pattern aloft over TX, thus lowering rain chances to
below 10 percent. A low amplitude ridging pattern aloft over TX
develops for the remainder of the 7-day forecast, but the pattern
looks weakly stable, and capable of being compromised by mesoscale
patterns. Will keep dry for now. The 2 days of welcome cooler weather
begin to return to near normals by Wednesday with above normal temps
expected to begin by Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              71  83  68  82  66 /  70  30  20  20  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  72  83  68  82  66 /  70  30  20  30  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     72  83  67  82  66 /  70  30  20  30  20
Burnet Muni Airport            66  79  64  79  63 /  80  30  20  20  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           70  79  66  84  68 /  60  60  30  30  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        69  82  66  81  64 /  70  30  20  20  10
Hondo Muni Airport             73  85  68  84  68 /  70  40  30  30  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        71  84  67  82  66 /  60  30  20  30  20
La Grange - Fayette Regional   75  88  70  85  67 /  40  30  20  30  20
San Antonio Intl Airport       72  84  69  82  68 /  70  40  20  30  20
Stinson Muni Airport           74  84  69  83  68 /  70  40  20  30  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for Atascosa-Bastrop-
Bexar-Caldwell-Comal-De Witt-Dimmit-Fayette-Frio-Gonzales-Guadalupe-
Hays-Karnes-Kinney-Lavaca-Lee-Maverick-Medina-Travis-Uvalde-Val
Verde-Wilson-Zavala.

&&

Aviation...10
Short-Term/Long-Term...Zeitler
Public Service/Data Collection...EWilliams

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
927 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-101430-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
927 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

A Heat Advisory is in effect from Noon to 8 PM today for areas
generally along and south of an Austin to San Antonio to Uvalde
line. Hot and humid weather will lead to afternoon heat indices
will peak in the 108 to 114 degree range. Hot and humid conditions
are also in store for the remainder of south central Texas this
afternoon.

A strong cold front moves into the area late this afternoon and
evening bringing scattered thunderstorms to the region. Some of
these thunderstorms could be severe for areas along and north of
a Carrizo Springs to La Grange line. Thunderstorm activity is
expected to continue into early Monday morning. Damaging winds,
large hail and locally heavy rainfall are possible, especially
over the Hill Country.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
819 PM CDT SUN JUN 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0756 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ENE SAN LEANNA        30.15N 97.80W
06/09/2019  E70 MPH          TRAVIS             TX   PUBLIC

            REPORTED THROUGH SPOTTERNETWORK.

&&

JWZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
844 PM CDT SUN JUN 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     HAIL             1 NW KERRVILLE          30.05N 99.15W
06/09/2019  E1.00 INCH       KERR               TX   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR
            KERRVILLE.

&&

EW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
849 PM CDT SUN JUN 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0826 PM     TSTM WND GST     STAPLES                 29.78N 97.83W
06/09/2019  M62 MPH          GUADALUPE          TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

EW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
850 PM CDT SUN JUN 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KYLE                    29.99N 97.88W
06/09/2019                   HAYS               TX   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN IN KYLE, TX.

&&

EW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
859 PM CDT SUN JUN 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     HAIL             LLANO                   30.75N 98.67W
06/09/2019  E2.75 INCH       LLANO              TX   COCORAHS

&&

EW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
859 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

TXZ171-188-100230-
Gillespie TX-Llano TX-
859 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GILLESPIE AND
SOUTHWESTERN LLANO COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

At 858 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorm 15
miles north of Fredericksburg and 15 miles northwest of
Fredericksburg, both moving south at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Cherry Spring, Crabapple, Doss, Enchanted Rock State Natural Area and
Harper.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 3054 9875 3037 9881 3039 9930 3050 9931
      3050 9897 3055 9896
TIME...MOT...LOC 0158Z 340DEG 9KT 3049 9892

CP