Alert archive / Ohio / Wind Chill Advisories in 2019
Wind Chill Advisory 3, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this wind chill advisory at Jan 24, 2019, 2:27 PM EST for 19 counties in Ohio. It took effect at Jan 25, 2019, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 24, 2019, 2:27 PM EST (19:27 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 25, 2019, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2019, 12:11 PM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
Counties Ashland County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Erie County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 723 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -101 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -52 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
479 WWUS41 KCLE 241927 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 227 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...Heavy lake effect snow possible on Friday... .Lake effect snow will develop on Thursday night with a heavy southwest to northeast oriented band setting up near the Pennyslvania portion of the Lake Erie shoreline on Friday. Uncertainty remains in the exact position of this band but heavy snow will occur if the band moves onshore. The band will shift north over Lake Erie on Friday night. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph can also be expected. OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-250330- /O.NEW.KCLE.WC.Y.0003.190125T1100Z-190125T1800Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, and Mount Vernon 227 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 14 below zero expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Much colder air will spread into the region before sunrise and continue to drop temperatures into the middle of the morning with a slow recovery toward noon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. && $$ PAZ001-250330- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.A.0002.190125T0600Z-190126T0900Z/ Northern Erie- Including the city of Erie 227 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 7 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Northern Erie county. * WHEN...From 1 AM EST Friday through late Friday night. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch for heavy lake effect snow means there is a potential for a large amount of snow in only a few hours. Visibilities and depth of snow can vary greatly, impacting travel significantly. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
5 follow-up statements
294 WWUS41 KCLE 250218 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 918 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...Heavy lake effect snow possible on Friday... .Lake effect snow will develop late tonight with a heavy southwest to northeast oriented band setting up near the Pennyslvania portion of the Lake Erie shoreline on Friday. Uncertainty remains in the exact position of this band but heavy snow will occur if the band moves onshore. The band will shift north over Lake Erie on Friday night. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph can also be expected. OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-251030- /O.EXT.KCLE.WC.Y.0003.190125T0900Z-190125T1800Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, and Mount Vernon 918 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 15 below zero expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. && $$ PAZ001-251030- /O.EXT.KCLE.WS.A.0002.190125T0900Z-190126T0900Z/ Northern Erie- Including the city of Erie 918 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Northern Erie county. * WHEN...From 4 AM EST Friday through late Friday night. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch for heavy lake effect snow means there is a potential for a large amount of snow in only a few hours. Visibilities and depth of snow can vary greatly, impacting travel significantly. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
630 WWUS41 KCLE 250821 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 321 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...Periods of heavy lake effect snow expected today... .Lake effect snow has developed behind a cold front that moved across the area last evening. Occasional snow showers will continue through the early morning hours with a period of heavier snow expected late this morning into this afternoon as a stronger band of snow settles south into the area. Snowfall rates may approach 2 inches per hour along the shoreline before the dominant band pushes north out over the lake during the afternoon. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph can also be expected. PAZ001-251630- /O.UPG.KCLE.WS.A.0002.190125T0900Z-190126T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.WW.Y.0007.190125T0821Z-190126T0000Z/ Northern Erie- Including the city of Erie 321 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with locally up to 8 inches near North East. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph at times. * WHERE...Northern Erie county. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. The heaviest snow will occur late this morning into early this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible late this morning and early this afternoon. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-251630- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0003.190125T0900Z-190125T1800Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, and Mount Vernon 321 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 15 below zero expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
297 WWUS41 KCLE 250947 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 447 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...Periods of heavy lake effect snow expected along the Pennsylvania shoreline today... .Lake effect snow has developed behind a cold front that moved across the area last evening. Occasional snow showers will continue through the early morning hours with a period of heavier snow expected late this morning into this afternoon as a stronger band of snow settles south into the area. Snowfall rates may approach 2 inches per hour along the shoreline before the dominant band lifts back north over the lake during the afternoon. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph can also be expected and will contribute to blowing and drifting of the fresh snow. PAZ001-251800- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Northern Erie- Including the city of Erie 447 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with locally up to 8 inches near North East. Southwest winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Northern Erie county. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. The heaviest snow will occur late this morning into early this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible late this morning and early this afternoon. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-251800- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190125T1800Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, and Mount Vernon 447 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 12 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Westerly winds of 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph will contribute to the cold wind chills this morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
577 WWUS41 KCLE 251444 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...Periods of heavy lake effect snow continue along the Lake Erie shoreline today... .Lake effect snow bands have moved further inland this morning, with snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour along the Interstate 90 corridor in northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. Additional snowfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches can be expected for much of the area, with 3 to 6 inches in northern Erie county. This will bring storm total accumulations of 6 to 10 inches across the Erie Lakeshore zone. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph can also be expected and will contribute to blowing and drifting of the fresh snow. PAZ001-252245- /O.UPG.KCLE.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.WS.W.0003.190125T1444Z-190126T0000Z/ Northern Erie- Including the city of Erie 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, bringing storm total accumulations of 6 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Northern Erie county. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for heavy lake effect snow means significant amounts of lake effect snow are forecast that will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ PAZ002-252245- /O.NEW.KCLE.WW.Y.0008.190125T1444Z-190126T0000Z/ Southern Erie- Including the city of Edinboro 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, bringing storm total accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, mainly across the northern half of the county. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Southern Erie county. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ012-089-252100- /O.NEW.KCLE.WW.Y.0008.190125T1444Z-190125T2100Z/ Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Including the cities of Mentor and Ashtabula 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches through this afternoon, bringing storm total accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Lake and Ashtabula Lakeshore counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-251800- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190125T1800Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, and Mount Vernon 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 10 to 14 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Westerly winds of 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph will contribute to the cold wind chills this morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
081 WWUS41 KCLE 251711 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1211 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...Lake effect snow continues this afternoon... .Lake effect snow bands continue to impact the Interstate 90 corridor in northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania early this afternoon. Additional snowfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches can be expected for much of the area, bringing storm total accumulations of 6 to 10 inches across the northern Erie county. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph can also be expected and will contribute to blowing and drifting of the fresh snow. OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-251815- /O.CAN.KCLE.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190125T1800Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, and Mount Vernon 1211 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Wind chill values continue to rise early this afternoon, therefore the advisory is cancelled. $$ PAZ001-260000- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Northern Erie- Including the city of Erie 1211 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 1 to 3 inches, bringing storm total accumulations of 6 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Northern Erie county. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for heavy lake effect snow means significant amounts of lake effect snow are forecast that will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ PAZ002-260000- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-190126T0000Z/ Southern Erie- Including the city of Edinboro 1211 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, bringing storm total accumulations of 4 to 7 inches, mainly across the northern half of the county. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Southern Erie county. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ OHZ012-089-252100- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-190125T2100Z/ Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Including the cities of Mentor and Ashtabula 1211 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches, bringing storm total accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Lake and Ashtabula Lakeshore counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Jan 24, 12:56 PM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 12:56 PM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1256 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front over the mid-Atlantic states will shift east as an
arctic cold front moves through the central Great Lakes. The
arctic front will move across the area tonight with a trough
lingering across the eastern Great Lakes on Friday. A weak area
of low pressure will move east through the Ohio Valley on
Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Minor changes were made to the afternoon forecast to account for
current conditions and trends. Temperatures are holding near
steady as the arctic cold front approaches. The front is near
CHI with a bit of clearing or breaks in the overcast in Indiana
but this is fleeting and likely not be seen in Ohio. Areas of
flurries or very light snow showers prevail from just east of
CLE to YNG. These showers should diminish through the afternoon.
Previous discussion...
Snow continues across far Northeast Ohio and Northwest
Pennsylvania but will be exiting to the east through 10 AM.
Snowfall across the east has ranged from 0.5-2.0 inches and
portions of inland PA could see another 1-2" in that time. The
thin coating of snow and temperatures falling into the upper 20s
is contributing to slick conditions.
Allowed the Flood Watch to expire as we transition over to snow
early this morning. We still have rises occurring on several
area rivers and that will continue today as run-off channels
into area waterways. River Flood Warnings have been issued for 9
rivers already with ice jams occurring on the Chagrin and
Vermilion Rivers. With temperatures falling back below freezing
it is possible that these jams strengthen and persist.
Surface analysis shows a trough across Upper Michigan. This trough
will pull a stronger cold front across the area tonight with lake
effect snow developing behind it with west to southwest flow across
Lake Erie. The snow will be a little more widespread with the
passage of the front then forming into a stronger single band that
is expected to set up near or just offshore on Friday. Initial
expectations are for this band to set up east of the City of Erie,
with the heaviest snow focused into New York. The far northeast
portion of the county stands the best chance to see 6 or more inches
of snow but any fluctuation to the south could impact more of the
area. Issued a Winter Storm Watch given the uncertainty with the
placement of this band and potential for high snowfall rates if it
does move onshore.
In addition to the snow, much colder air arrives again behind the
front. Wind chill values will fall to between 0 and 15 below on
Friday morning and a portion of the area may need a Wind Chill
Advisory although the window of the -10 wind chills appears to be 4
hours or less. High temperatures on Friday will only be in the
teens.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Lake effect snow will be ongoing in NW PA on Friday night, but flow
will begin to shift more to the southwest over the region and snow
should lift north into the lake and western New York. This will be
in response to an upper trough and a weak surface low that will
ripple through the Great Lakes region for Saturday. This low is not
very impressive, but will bring a widespread chance for snow on
Saturday and disrupt any organized lake effect. The low itself will
depart the region by Sunday, but some residual snow may continue
over the area with the upper trough remaining over the region and
perhaps some favorable flow from some lake effect. Temperatures
through the period will be below normal with highs in the 20s. Lows
on Saturday night will be in the teens across the area with cloud
cover and possible snow about the area. Lows will crash on Sunday
night into the single digits as conditions clear between
systems.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
It appears to be a frigid and snowy end of January for northern Ohio
and NW PA. A stronger clipper system appears to take aim on the
region on Monday night into Tuesday. The extended guidance provides
several different solutions to the track, timing, and evolution of
this system, so too early to talk about snow amounts or impacts at
this point. However, it does appear that there will be plenty of
synoptic moisture moving in ahead of this system, so while clipper
systems tend to be drier in nature, this one brings a bit more
confidence in widespread snowfall, so continued with the likely pops
across the area. As the system departs, there could be some lake
effect snow in the typical snow belt regions, but the air mass dries
out considerably so will keep pop chances low.
While the snow with this system will be notable, the big concern
will be arctic temperatures surging in behind this low. By Wednesday
afternoon, 850 mb temperatures of -25 to -30C!!!! will be moving
over the region and temperatures will struggle to reach zero for
highs on Wednesday. Temperatures below zero seem fairly probable at
this point on Tuesday and Wednesday nights with this arctic air
mass, so cold may be the most important item to worry about in the
long term forecast, rather than the snow.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Minor improvement in conditions has taken place this morning
near Lake Erie with the movement of deeper moisture off to the
east with the exiting cold front. Generally MVFR conditions
prevail across the region with ceilings from 1500-2500 feet.
Locally worse conditions near YNG with IFR with lingering snow
showers. The next feature to tack is the approaching cold front
from just east of CHI to near STL. There is a narrow band of
thinner clouds with breaks ahead of the front over Indiana but
this will likely fill in as it approaches Ohio. Ceilings behind
the cold front are similar to those in place across the region
now so we don't expect much change through Friday. Lingering
flurries or light snow showers can not be ruled out. West to
southwest winds will increase to 15-20 knots and become gusty
with the cold frontal passage toward morning.
OUTLOOK...Non-VFR continues through most of the time through the
weekend with occasional snow.
&&
.MARINE...
Some persistent northwest winds across the eastern half of Lake Erie
this morning have allowed for higher waves to continue east of
Cleveland. With west winds to increase throughout the day and
persist through Friday, have gone ahead and extended the Small Craft
Advisory through 7 AM Saturday morning, or through the near shore
forecast period. Could certainly see the need to extend this into
the future. With the approaching low pressure system on Friday,
southwest winds on the lake will be quite strong up to 30 knots.
There is a chance for gales but, confidence isn't there at this
point. Winds will relax between systems on Friday night into
Saturday before low pressure system #2 reaches the area on Sunday,
increasing winds over the lake. This system will depart Sunday
night, bringing a reprieve for Sunday night into Monday. A third and
stronger low pressure system will reach the Great Lakes on Monday
night and impact the Lake Erie region into Tuesday.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through late Friday night
for PAZ001.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for LEZ145>149.
&&
SYNOPSIS...LaPlante
NEAR TERM...LaPlante
SHORT TERM...Sefcovic
LONG TERM...Sefcovic
AVIATION...LaPlante
MARINE...SefcovicHazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 5:56 AM EST, 8 hours 31 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 556 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 OHZ011>014-020>023-029>033-038-047-089-PAZ002-003-251100- Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes-Knox- Ashtabula Lakeshore-Southern Erie-Crawford- 556 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A light coating of snow may lead to slick conditions on area roadways early this morning. Rises continue on many area rivers this morning as water from rain and snowmelt on Wednesday continue to channel into area rivers. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Wind chills on Friday morning and again Friday night will fall to between zero and 10 below zero. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Reports of snowfall are appreciated. PAZ001-251100- Northern Erie- 556 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. In addition, a light coating of snow may lead to slick conditions on area roadways early this morning. Rises continue on many area rivers this morning as water from rain and snowmelt on Wednesday continue to channel into area rivers. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. Wind chills on Friday morning and again Friday night will fall to between zero and 5 below zero. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Reports of snowfall are appreciated. OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027-028-036-037-251100- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Wyandot- Crawford-Marion-Morrow- 556 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Rises continue on many area rivers this morning as water from rain and snowmelt on Wednesday continue to channel into area rivers. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Wind chills on Friday morning and again Friday night will fall to between zero and 12 below zero. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ061-142>149-162>169-251100- Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH- Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH- Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH- Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH- Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH- Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- 556 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Freezing spray in likely on the east half of Lake Erie on Friday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 24, 9:58 AM EST, 4 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
958 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0836 AM SNOW 2 ESE PIERPONT 41.74N 80.54W
01/24/2019 M2.3 INCH ASHTABULA OH TRAINED SPOTTER
12-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900707
BMLocal storm report, Jan 24, 10:03 AM EST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1003 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0925 AM SNOW 4 SE HARBORCREEK 42.13N 79.89W
01/24/2019 M2.0 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER
12-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900708
BMLocal storm report, Jan 24, 12:44 PM EST, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1244 PM EST THU JAN 24 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0924 AM SNOW 3 NW UNION CITY 41.93N 79.89W
01/24/2019 M2.0 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER
12-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900709
BMLocal storm report, Jan 24, 12:46 PM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1246 PM EST THU JAN 24 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0937 AM SNOW 3 SE NORTH EAST 42.18N 79.79W
01/24/2019 M2.5 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER
12-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900710
BMLocal storm report, Jan 24, 12:52 PM EST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1252 PM EST THU JAN 24 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 AM SNOW 1 W MCKEAN 42.00N 80.17W
01/24/2019 M2.0 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER
12-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900711
BMLocal storm report, Jan 24, 1:12 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
112 PM EST THU JAN 24 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0922 AM SNOW 3 W ASHTABULA 41.88N 80.86W
01/24/2019 M2.0 INCH ASHTABULA OH TRAINED SPOTTER
12-HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CLE1900712
BMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 7:17 PM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Hancock | 27 hr |
| Jan 23, 8:08 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | CLE | Lake | 12 hr |
| Jan 23, 9:05 PM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Cuyahoga | 26 hr |
| Jan 23, 9:05 PM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Marion | 57 hr |
| Jan 23, 9:05 PM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Holmes, Wayne | 5 days |
| Jan 23, 10:31 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | CLE | Erie | 9 hr |
| Jan 23, 10:44 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CLE | Erie | 6 hr |
| Jan 23, 11:56 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CLE | Erie, Lorain | 6 hr |
| Jan 24, 12:58 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Trumbull | 3 days |
| Jan 24, 3:23 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Stark | 14 hr |
| Jan 24, 3:24 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Sandusky, Wood | 41 hr |
| Jan 24, 5:50 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | CLE | Erie, Lorain | 12 hr |
| Jan 24, 7:56 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | CLE | Lake | 6 hr |
| Jan 24, 11:45 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Trumbull | 30 hr |
Nearby
Wind Chill Advisories in Ohio, 2019Every wind chill advisory in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.