Special Weather Statement, NWS Cleveland, OH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
305 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Unsettled weather with showers and thunderstorms will be
present across the region on and off this afternoon through
Thursday. High pressure will build over the region on Friday and
remain through the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will continue to impact the region through this
evening. A few of these thunderstorms have been producing
damaging wind gusts...with a few reports of trees down and other
associated thunderstorm wind damage. These thunderstorms are
forecast to continue into the evening hours. We should see a
break in the weather later tonight into early tomorrow morning
before another upper level shortwave moves east across the
region tomorrow. We will see another round of showers and
thunderstorms with this shortwave...mainly during the afternoon
and early evening hours. Unlike today...we are not expecting
strong storms tomorrow...more run of the mill thunderstorms.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Cold front will move across the region on Thursday. Shear will
increase along with the instability so the chances of severe weather
mentioned in the SPC day 3 outlook seem reasonable. The front should
clear the region THursday evening with showers and thunderstorms
ending. We will then see how much coverage of sprinkles or light
showers can develop downwind of the lake. Best chances for these to
occur will be across the Mid Ohio region and across NE OH/NW PA.
High pressure builds into the area Friday night.

Thursday will see highs near seasonal averages then cooling into the
70s on Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure should keep the region dry Saturday into Sunday.
MOdels then hint at a weakening front moving into the area MOnday
into Tuesday with increased chances of showers and maybe a few
thunderstorms.

Cool with highs in the 70s on Saturday then slowly warming. Highs
Sunday through Tuesday should be very close to seasonal averages.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Scattered thunderstorms will impact most terminals through the
20z to 23z time frame. If thunderstorms do occur...expect brief
reductions in visibility and gusty winds. Otherwise...much of
the shower activity should be over by 06z.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible in thunderstorms on Wednesday
afternoon/evening in showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
Upper level trough and its trough axis will move across the area
today with a stronger cold front arriving on Thursday. Winds
increase from the southwest on Thursday with small craft conditions
possible Willowick to Ripley. Will have to monitor this same region
for a low end small craft advisory continuing into Friday. Later
shifts will need to monitor this. Waterspouts will be possible early
Friday morning into Saturday as cooler air spills across the lake.
High pressure takes control of the region by Saturday with lighter
winds anticipated.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Riley
NEAR TERM...Riley
SHORT TERM...MM
LONG TERM...MM
AVIATION...Riley
MARINE...MM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
940 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-071345-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
940 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will expand across the area today. A few
of the strongest thunderstorms may produce wind gusts to 50 mph or
hail to the size of a penny. Thunderstorms will be most likely
between 12 PM and 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of a cold front on
Thursday afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds will possible along
with locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-071345-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
940 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of a cold front on
Thursday afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds will possible along
with locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
512 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019

OHZ020-021-029>031-037-038-047-062215-
Holmes-Summit-Richland-Medina-Ashland-Morrow-Wayne-Knox-
512 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN
RICHLAND...SOUTHERN MEDINA...ASHLAND...SOUTHEASTERN
MORROW...SOUTHWESTERN SUMMIT... WAYNE...HOLMES AND KNOX COUNTIES...

At 509 PM EDT, an area of strong thunderstorms will move east at 30
mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with
these storms.

Locations that may be impacted include... Mansfield, Wooster,
Ashland, Mount Vernon, Millersburg, Barberton, Wadsworth, Orrville,
Berlin, Rittman, Lexington, Walnut Creek, Doylestown, Lodi,
Loudonville, Fredericktown, Gambier, Creston, Utica and Bellville.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4024 8248 4027 8248 4028 8275 4035 8275
      4035 8279 4099 8244 4106 8242 4111 8161
      4091 8165 4044 8167 4045 8218 4024 8220
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 248DEG 27KT 4045 8228

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
521 PM EDT TUE AUG 6 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0251 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WARREN                  41.24N 80.82W
08/06/2019                   TRUMBULL           OH   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN, TENTS
            BLOWN OVER IN AND AROUND COURTHOUSE SQUARE.

&&

DK

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