Severe Thunderstorm Warning 146, NWS Cleveland, OH

175 
WWUS51 KCLE 212151
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
551 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019

OHC099-155-212230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-190721T2230Z/
Trumbull OH-Mahoning OH-
551 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN TRUMBULL AND NORTHEASTERN MAHONING COUNTIES...

At 551 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Youngstown,
moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Youngstown, Warren, Boardman, Niles, Campbell, Hubbard, Canfield,
Newton Falls, Lordstown, Vienna Center, Hilltop, Maplewood Park,
Austintown, Struthers, Girard, Vienna, McDonald, Poland, Craig Beach
and Lowellville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8087 4113 8099 4121 8099 4129 8052
      4100 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 241DEG 19KT 4112 8068 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Oudeman

778 
WWUS51 KCLE 212220
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
620 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019

OHC099-155-212230-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-190721T2230Z/
Trumbull OH-Mahoning OH-
620 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN TRUMBULL AND
NORTHEASTERN MAHONING COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM EDT...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4104 8087 4113 8099 4121 8099 4129 8052
      4100 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 241DEG 19KT 4119 8050 

$$

Oudeman

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
343 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak cold front will move south across the area this evening
as low pressure along the boundary shifts east across central
and southern Ohio to the mid Atlantic States by Monday
afternoon. A much cooler and less humid air mass will move into
the region for much of the week as high pressure gradually
builds into and across the Ohio Valley.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...

The main question in the near term is the amount and intensity
of convective development that is expected this evening. A
diffuse/weak frontal/lake breeze boundary located from the
south shore of Lake Erie to low pressure in central Indiana will
help focus convective development over the next several hours
as the low progresses eastward. The complex over northern IN
will likely move east as other development occurs in the CWA.
With PW near 1.7" heavy downpours are possible with the slow
moving storms. Downburst winds are possible too given DCAPE near
1100 J/KG and MLCAPE near 2000 J/KG. Coverage should increase
by 21 UTC over the western and central counties of the CWA from
near FDY to MFD Knox and MNN with lesser coverage to the east
across Stark County. The activity should decrease by midnight
and still linger into Monday over the southeast half of the area
as the surface wave makes its way east of Ohio. Convective
potential will decrease so will not mention thunder but some is
still possible. Cooler less humid air will gradually filter into
the region Monday and Monday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Big change from the weekend for the short term period. Surface high
pressure will work from west of the Great Lakes and across our
region. Aloft the upper trough axis swings across on Tuesday and
this may be enough to kick off a few isolated/scattered showers.
Otherwise fair with temperatures running a few degrees below normal
in the mid/upper 70s. By Thursday, though, the high shifts east and
we will gain a few degrees and highs will be back in the upper
70s/lower 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The stretch of good weather will continue to end the week. A cold
front on the horizon for the weekend is now being delayed by the
models and therefore have lowered the precip chances for Saturday.
Kept some mention for Sunday though at this point with increasing
heat/moisture. Temperatures through the period will be seasonable.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Sunday THROUGH Friday/...
A weak front boundary will settle south through the region this
evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected along
and ahead of the boundary. Generally VFR conditions are expected
but with showers and storms with MVFR conditions can be
expected from the mid afternoon into the evening especially
along and south of US-Route 30. Some lower clouds with MFR
ceilings are possible after midnight with scattered showers
which may linger into Monday east of I-71 and south I-90.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible early Monday evening with scattered
showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Cold frontal boundary south of the lake, but a trough remains with
the airmass change arriving on Monday. Winds will remain out of the
north to northeast tonight into Monday as a wave travels along the
front across Ohio. There is an uptick in wind expected tonight which
may make the nearshore waters choppy, but a second and better uptick
is expected Monday with the arrival of the cooler airmass. We could
very well see a Small Craft Advisory for Monday night. Beyond that
high pressure shifts from west of the lakes to the eastern lakes
through the course of the week with fair conditions on Lake
Erie.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LaPlante
NEAR TERM...LaPlante
SHORT TERM...Oudeman
LONG TERM...Oudeman
AVIATION...LaPlante
MARINE...Oudeman

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
803 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2019

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-220015-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Lucas-Wood-
Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-
Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
803 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
515 PM EDT SUN JUL 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW SMITHVILLE        40.87N 81.88W
07/21/2019  M1.76 INCH       WAYNE              OH   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KBJJ WOOSTER.

&&

DK