Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Columbia, SC

526 
WWUS52 KCAE 222253
SVSCAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
653 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

SCC017-027-075-079-085-222315-
/O.CON.KCAE.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-190622T2315Z/
Calhoun SC-Clarendon SC-Sumter SC-Orangeburg SC-Richland SC-
653 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR CALHOUN...NORTHWESTERN CLARENDON...SOUTHWESTERN SUMTER...CENTRAL
ORANGEBURG AND SOUTHEASTERN RICHLAND COUNTIES...

At 652 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near St. Matthews to 9 miles west of Edisto Gardens,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Orangeburg, Brookdale, St. Matthews, Bowman, Poinsett State Park,
Claflin College, South Carolina State University, Pinewood, Cameron,
Paxville, Fort Motte, Yonder Field, Brogdon, Privateer, Wilkinson
Heights and Lakewood.

LAT...LON 3383 8019 3356 8074 3329 8058 3324 8068
      3372 8101 3375 8096 3376 8093 3377 8092
      3382 8083
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 273DEG 30KT 3374 8080 3347 8104 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

fwa

393 
WWUS52 KCAE 222305
SVSCAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
705 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

SCC017-027-075-079-085-222315-
/O.EXP.KCAE.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-190622T2315Z/
Calhoun SC-Clarendon SC-Sumter SC-Orangeburg SC-Richland SC-
705 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CALHOUN...NORTHWESTERN
CLARENDON...SOUTHWESTERN SUMTER...CENTRAL ORANGEBURG AND SOUTHEASTERN
RICHLAND COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central South Carolina.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Columbia.

LAT...LON 3383 8019 3356 8074 3329 8058 3324 8068
      3372 8101 3375 8096 3376 8093 3377 8092
      3382 8083
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 273DEG 30KT 3374 8069 3347 8093 

$$

fwa

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
200 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary will remain in the forecast area through
tonight bringing a possibility of severe thunderstorms. The
front will become diffuse under upper ridging early next week
and this pattern supports mainly scattered afternoon
thunderstorms and above normal temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
The main concern again is...the increasing potential for
organized severe thunderstorms this afternoon into the early
evening. Another mesoscale convective system (MCS) in the
Carolina Mountains at 17z is forecast to move southeast in
northwest flow aloft and move across the region through early
evening. In addition, convection increasing in east central GA
near outflow boundaries where instability strong to extreme
moving toward the CSRA likely to intensify. The meso-analysis
across our area at 17z...A low level cap and negative CAPE has
kept clouds at bay and weaker surface based instability through
the early afternoon. However a closer look at the area laps and
forecast soundings suggest a somewhat loaded gun sounding with
considerable CAPE in the mixed layer MUCAPE 3000-4000 J/kg
across the southern CWA. The effective deep layer shear near 30
knots is a concern. The potentially strong to extreme
instability across the southern CWA should be enough to sustain
or promote severe convection given the relatively strong deep
layer effective shear. SPC has a good part of the CWA in
enhanced risk of severe weather...even deeper into the capped
environment...and a convective watch appears likely. The high
resolution models all show convection in the area with different
solutions...but expect most storms to move east of the area
after 00z. high pops early then Decreasing pops overnight. Heavy
rain possible with high precipitable water but storm movement
should limit precip amounts. Temperatures again in the low 70s
for lows. Stratus may develop across the north Midlands after
midnight and spread south as boundary shift to the south.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Upper ridge axis just to the west of the region. The latest
models appear to shift the frontal boundary a little further
south, so the stronger instability may be in Georgia or across
the western CWA/CSRA. The northern Midlands should be in a more
stable environment than previous days. Expect slightly cooler
temperatures due to considerable clouds at least early and the
frontal boundary further south, so cut temps a bit. With weak
short waves rotating over ridge and possibly moderate
instability and high low-level moisture, scattered afternoon
convection expected but severe threat appears lower.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The weather pattern over the Southeast U.S. transitions from a
northwest flow aloft to a building summer time ridge axis during the
next week. Increased subsidence, the lack of significant upper
level forcing, and rising H5 heights will lead to a slight
chance of diurnal convection Monday through Tuesday.

A low level southerly flow later next week will increase POPs to a
chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms Wednesday
through Saturday. Temperatures will be near normal for late June.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Surface boundary across the area to focus convection/convergence
this evening. Scattered cumulus across the area early this
afternoon with some mid level clouds. Another mesoscale
convective system moving southeast from the Carolina Mountains
across the region late this afternoon and early evening. Other
storms approaching from east central Georgia. Despite capping at
the moment, The air mass will be strongly unstable across the
region through the early evening. Brief restrictions expected
early evening associated with convection. gusty winds also
possible near storms mainly from the west- northwest direction,
possibly in excess of 30 knots.

Frontal boundary shifts south overnight, stratus may develop
late tonight although confidence not high. This will result in
IFR ceilings at CAE/CUB and possibly OGB. Brief fog possible at
all terminals with light winds in the boundary layer. Ceilings
should improve by 14z-16z. Light winds becoming northwest or
north after 12z.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Scattered mainly afternoon and
evening thunderstorms and associated restrictions will occur during
the period. A few locations may have early morning stratus and
fog.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Columbia SC
616 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

GAZ040-063-064-SCZ016-018-020-021-025-026-115-116-232230-
Lincoln-McDuffie-Columbia-Chesterfield-McCormick-Newberry-Fairfield-
Edgefield-Saluda-Northern Lancaster-Southern Lancaster-
616 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Midlands of South Carolina
and the Central Savannah River area of Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GAZ065-077-SCZ022-027>031-035>038-041-232230-
Richmond-Burke-Kershaw-Lexington-Richland-Lee-Aiken-Sumter-Barnwell-
Orangeburg-Calhoun-Clarendon-Bamberg-
616 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 424 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Midlands of South Carolina
and the Central Savannah River area of Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms mainly across the west/south
Midlands and CSRA. Damaging wind main threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Continue Spotter activation.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
612 PM EDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NNW CHERRYVALE        33.98N 80.47W
06/22/2019  M50 MPH          SUMTER             SC   ASOS

            SHAW AFB ASOS REPORTED GUST OF 50 MPH.

&&

DA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
618 PM EDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N CAMDEN              34.33N 80.60W
06/22/2019                   KERSHAW            SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED TREES DOWN ON
            HIGHWAY 521 AT LOCKHART ROAD.

&&

LM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
623 PM EDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S ORANGEBURG          33.46N 80.86W
06/22/2019  M49 MPH          ORANGEBURG         SC   ASOS

            ORANGEBURG MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED
            WIND GUST OF 49 MPH.

&&

DA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
625 PM EDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NNW CHERRYVALE        33.97N 80.47W
06/22/2019  M51 MPH          SUMTER             SC   ASOS

            SHAW AFB ASOS REPORTED 51-MPH WIND GUST.

&&

DA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
626 PM EDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 ESE GASTON            33.79N 80.99W
06/22/2019                   CALHOUN            SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED TREES DOWN ON I-26
            NEAR MILE MARKER 137.

&&

LM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
629 PM EDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE LAKEWOOD          33.82N 80.33W
06/22/2019                   SUMTER             SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES REPORTED DOWN ON OLD MANNING ROAD.

&&

DA