Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2019

Wind Advisory 11, NWS Buffalo, NY

March 14, 20199 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this wind advisory at Mar 14, 2019, 3:55 AM EDT for 9 counties in New York. It took effect at Mar 14, 2019, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 14, 2019, 3:55 AM EDT (07:55 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 14, 2019, 6:00 PM EDT
Expired
Mar 15, 2019, 12:26 PM EDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-03-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-03-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 230 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2174 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
439 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

462 
WWUS71 KBUF 140755
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
355 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

NYZ019-085-141600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190314T2200Z-190316T0000Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
355 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT
Friday.

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...From early this evening through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph this 
  evening and overnight. Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 
  50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times, including the New
  York State Thruway and Routes 5 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ007-141600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T0100Z-190316T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
355 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 9 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT
Friday.

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson County, especially the northwest face of
  the Tug Hill tonight, and northern Jefferson Friday.

* TIMING...From late this evening through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph late this 
  evening and overnight. Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 
  50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ008-141600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T0100Z-190315T1000Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
355 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 9 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT
Friday.

* LOCATIONS...Lewis County. Especially through the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...From late this evening through late tonight.

* WINDS...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010>012-141600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T1000Z-190316T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, and Warsaw
355 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 6 AM to 8 PM EDT Friday.

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, Genesee, 
  and Wyoming counties.

* TIMING...From late tonight through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

Thomas/Apffel
6 follow-up statements
191 
WWUS71 KBUF 141336
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
936 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

NYZ019-085-142145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190314T2200Z-190316T0000Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
936 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...From early this evening through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph this 
  evening and overnight. Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 
  50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times, including the New 
  York State Thruway and Routes 5 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ007-142145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T0100Z-190316T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
936 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson County, especially the northwest facing
  slopes of the Tug Hill to near Fort Drum tonight, and northern 
  Jefferson Friday.

* TIMING...From late this evening through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph late this 
  evening and overnight. Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 
  50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ008-142145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T0100Z-190315T1000Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
936 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Lewis County. Especially through the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...From late this evening through late tonight.

* WINDS...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010>012-142145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T1000Z-190316T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, and Warsaw
936 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, Genesee, 
  and Wyoming counties.

* TIMING...From late tonight through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
282 
WWUS71 KBUF 141855
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
255 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

NYZ019-085-150300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190314T2200Z-190316T0000Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
255 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...From early this evening through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph tonight.
  Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times, including the New 
  York State Thruway and Routes 5 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ007-150300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T0100Z-190316T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
255 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson County, especially the northwest facing 
  slopes of the Tug Hill to near Fort Drum tonight, and northern 
  Jefferson Friday.

* TIMING...From late this evening through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph tonight.
  Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ008-150300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T0100Z-190315T1000Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
255 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Lewis County. Especially through the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...From late this evening through late tonight.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010>012-150300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T1000Z-190316T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, and Warsaw
255 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, Genesee, 
  and Wyoming counties.

* TIMING...From early Friday morning through early Friday 
  evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
283 
WWUS71 KBUF 142351
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
751 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

NYZ019-085-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-190316T0000Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
751 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...From early this evening through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  tonight. Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times, including the New 
  York State Thruway and Routes 5 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ007-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T0100Z-190316T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
751 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson County, especially the northwest facing 
  slopes of the Tug Hill to near Fort Drum tonight, and northern 
  Jefferson Friday.

* TIMING...From late this evening through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  tonight. Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ008-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T0100Z-190315T1000Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
751 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Lewis County. Especially through the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...From late this evening through late tonight.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010>012-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T1000Z-190316T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, and Warsaw
751 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, Genesee, 
  and Wyoming counties.

* TIMING...From early Friday morning through early Friday 
  evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$
325 
WWUS71 KBUF 150227
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1027 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

NYZ019-085-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-190316T0000Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
1027 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...Through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph overnight.
  Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times, including the New 
  York State Thruway and Routes 5 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ007-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-190316T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
1027 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson County, especially the northwest facing 
  slopes of the Tug Hill to near Fort Drum tonight, and northern 
  Jefferson Friday.

* TIMING...Through early Friday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph overnight.
  Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph Friday.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ008-151000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-190315T1000Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
1027 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Lewis County. Especially through the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...Through late tonight.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010>012-151030-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T1000Z-190316T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, and Warsaw
1027 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, Genesee, 
  and Wyoming counties.

* TIMING...From early Friday morning through early Friday 
  evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$
064 
WWUS71 KBUF 150822
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
422 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2019

NYZ008-150930-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-190315T1000Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
422 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Wind
Advisory.

$$

NYZ019-085-151630-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-190316T0000Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
422 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ007-151630-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-190316T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
422 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson County.

* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010>012-151630-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.190315T1000Z-190316T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, and Warsaw
422 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, Genesee, 
  and Wyoming counties.

* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles may be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

Apffel
584 
WWUS71 KBUF 151626
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1226 PM EDT Fri Mar 15 2019

NYZ001>003-007-010>012-019-085-151730-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-190316T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Jefferson-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Watertown, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
1226 PM EDT Fri Mar 15 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Wind
Advisory.

Wind gusts should remain generally 45 mph or lower for the
remainder of the afternoon.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 14, 1:46 AM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 1:46 AM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
146 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A strengthening southerly flow between an exiting area of high
pressure and a powerful storm over the central plains will usher a
Springlike airmass into our region for Thursday...as temperatures
will soar well into the 50s and 60s. The brief spell of very mild
weather will be accompanied by some rain showers...but the day will
be far from a washout. The first of several cold fronts will plow
across our region Thursday night and Friday...effectively bringing
an end to our Springlike weather.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Abundant cloud cover in association with moderately strong warm
advection will continue to shroud our region overnight.
Temperatures will remain steady or gradually rise due to an
increasing southerly flow which will mix the boundary layer and
hinder radiational cooling.

We can then anticipate a notably milder day for Thursday. A
southwest flow aloft will pump 850 mb temperatures to and above
+12C. This will support afternoon temps in the low to mid 60s
across the western counties...the warmest since the first half of
October when there were widespread temps in the 70s and 80s. The
mercury across the North Country should climb into at least the mid
to upper 50s. Given the south to southeast flow in the lower part of
the boundary layer...the risk for any lake cooling will be negated.
There will also be some downsloping to add to a well mixed
environment. This will particularly be the case across the Niagara
Frontier, Rochester Area, and areas north of the Tug Hill, where
compressional downslope warming will be most effective.

As a warm front that ushers in the warm advection moves northward
on Thursday, a weak short wave looks to advance northward as the
mid-level ridge pushes east of the area. Some showers seem set
to blossom along this boundary as it advances through western
New York and the northern Finger Lakes, however as we enter fully
into the warm sector by late afternoon and evening, these should
gradually subside in the interim between the warm frontal passage
and the cold front that will arrive Thursday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Thursday night the strong low over the central portion of the nation
will elongate, begin to weaken, and move to near the southern tip of
James Bay by Friday morning. A trailing surface cold front will
cross the area from west to east late Thursday night and Friday
morning. There may still be a few areas of showers Thursday evening
across the region, supported by ongoing warm advection and
increasing large scale ascent ahead of the mid level trough. The
most widespread rain will occur just ahead of the cold front where
low level convergence and moisture transport is maximized. This area
of steadier rain will arrive in Western NY by late evening, then
spread east across the region overnight, reaching the eastern Lake
Ontario region before daybreak Friday.

Model guidance continues to suggest a line of strong to severe
convection will develop upstream across portions of Indiana, Ohio,
and southern Lower Michigan Thursday afternoon just ahead of the
cold front. Instability will be much more limited by the time the
front approaches Western NY late Thursday evening due to unfavorable
diurnal timing and a cooler airmass in general in our region. This
will likely allow the line of convection to weaken prior to reaching
Western NY, although a few scattered thunderstorms are possible. The
wind field aloft is very strong, so any storms that do develop may
produce gusty winds. The severe weather chances in our region are
low, but non-zero given the strong wind field available.

Temperatures will stay in the 50s in most areas through much of
Thursday night, with Western NY dropping back into the 40s before
daybreak Friday following the frontal passage. Central NY and the
eastern Lake Ontario region will stay warm through midday Friday
before temperatures begin to drop in the afternoon as cold advection
increases.

Showers will end from west to east Friday morning with the passage
of the cold front. Wrap around moisture will arrive later in the
afternoon across Western NY, allowing a few scattered showers to re-
develop. It will turn quite windy behind the cold front Friday,
especially in the typical areas northeast of Lake Erie. BUFKIT
soundings continue to show 45-50 knots available in the 2-5K foot
layer, and this may produce wind gusts in the 45-50 mph range at the
surface from the Lake Erie shore northeast across the Niagara
Frontier.

Friday night a secondary cold front will cross the area, along with
deeper wrap around moisture and ascent associated with the main mid
level trough. The arrival of forcing and moisture will allow
showers to increase in coverage during the evening, with rain
transitioning to snow overnight as the boundary layer cools in a
fairly strong cold advection regime. There may be a coating of
accumulation overnight at lower elevations and up to an inch across
higher terrain.

The deepest wrap around moisture will depart by Saturday, but cold
cyclonic northwest flow and some limited lake instability will
continue to support scattered to numerous snow showers southeast of
the lakes with some minor additional accumulations possible. It will
remain quite blustery, with gusts in the 25 to 35 mph range,
strongest near the lakes and across higher terrain. Highs will only
reach the mid 30s at lower elevations and around 30 across higher
terrain, back to below normal following a few warm days.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A chilly northwest flow will remain in place across the eastern
Great Lakes Saturday night and Sunday as high pressure builds into
the Ohio Valley. Enough marginal lake instability will remain to
support a few scattered snow showers southeast of the lakes, with
little in the way of additional accumulation. Temperatures will
remain below normal, with highs in the 30s and lows in the 20s for
most areas.

A northern stream shortwave will drop south-southeast from James
Bay through Quebec Canada and then across the lower Great Lakes
beginning Sunday night through Monday. Meanwhile, a weak wave
will also be in the process of round the base of the mid-level
trough Sunday night. With cold northerly flow (H850T -13C to
-15C) and the support from these shortwave a few more snow
showers-flurries and limited lake enhanced snow will continue
south-southeast of the lakes through Monday. After that, expect
dry conditions with high pressure over the upper Midwest
building east across the lower Great Lakes Monday night through
Tuesday. Also, a gradual warming trend will initiate across the
region with high temperatures approach near normal. Beyond
Tuesday, significant differences arise among model guidance
packages regarding the next system track and timing.

Otherwise, look for daytime highs primarily in the 30s Monday, with
a few upper 20s across the interior section (Tug Hill) east of Lake
Ontario. Tuesday, temperatures will begin to climb back to near
normal with highs peaking in the upper 30s to low 40s. Near normal
afternoon highs can be anticipated Wednesday with temperatures in
the 40s most locations.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Expect predominantly VFR conditions for today. The first of
several frontal boundaries will push across the state this
afternoon and evening. There will be lower cigs and some showers with
this, but still likely in the VFR flight category.

A more significant frontal boundary will cross tonight, with
widespread showers, and some gusty thunderstorms possible with
this boundary. Also, winds aloft will increase ahead of this
boundary, resulting in LLWS ahead of this front.

Outlook...

Friday...Mainly VFR...but with some showers east of Lake Ontario
during the morning and in the far west late in the afternoon.
Friday night...MVFR to IFR in widespread mixed precipitation.
Saturday...MVFR in snow showers.
Sunday...VFR.
Monday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of snow showers.

&&

.MARINE...
A departing area of high pressure will bring a light southerly flow
across the Eastern Great Lakes region through tonight.

As a deep surface low advances across the Central Plains, the
surface pressure gradient will gradually tighten across the Eastern
Great Lakes region Thursday. While winds will freshen a bit as a
result...a significant increase in wind speeds is not expected until
the storm system moves across the Upper Great Lakes to western
Quebec Thursday night and Friday with small craft advisories likely
on the Lakes.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Warmer weather in the 50s is expected Thursday and Friday for
the eastern Lake Ontario region. Snowmelt will increase, as well
as a round of rainfall Thursday night and Friday. Rainfall amounts
will not be significant with this system, around a half inch on
average east of Lake Ontario.

The warming temperatures will bring an elevated risk of ice
break-up and movement. Cumulative Thawing Degree Hours will
easily reach the threshold typically needed to cause river and
creek ice to break up and start to move. This will bring some
risk of ice jams to prone rivers east of Lake Ontario, but the
lack of heavy rainfall will keep the risk of associated flooding
more limited.

Some of the higher elevations of the Tug Hill and western
Foothills of the Adirondacks still have a significant snowpack
of over two feet with water equivalents of 8 to 12 inches. The
snowpack will initially absorb runoff and snowmelt, but
eventually will begin to release water Thursday night and
Friday.

At this time, given the lack of significant rainfall, we are not
expecting a significant flood risk. There is some low risk of
flooding from ice jams, and there will be significant within-
bank rises along the Black River by the weekend with this being
a slow responding river.

This potential will need to be monitored closely over the next few
days. Those living along creeks and rivers east of Lake Ontario
should monitor river conditions.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...Apffel/Fries/RSH
SHORT TERM...Hitchcock
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Apffel
MARINE...RSH/Thomas
HYDROLOGY...Hitchcock
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 13, 2:37 PM EDT, 13 hours 18 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
237 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2019

NYZ001-002-010>012-019-085-141845-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
237 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Gusty winds are expected Friday behind a strong cold front. Wind
gusts may exceed 45 mph, from the Lake Erie shore northeast across
the Niagara Frontier.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003>005-013-014-020-021-141845-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
237 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006>008-141845-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
237 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Warmer temperatures Thursday and Friday will bring increased snowmelt
and also bring an increased risk of a few ice jams. Runoff from
snowmelt will result in within-bank rises along the Black River, with
river levels cresting over the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-141845-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
237 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-141845-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
237 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-141845-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
237 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-141845-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
237 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 14, 1:35 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF3 days

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.