Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2019

Wind Advisory 10, NWS Buffalo, NY

March 9, 20198 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this wind advisory at Mar 9, 2019, 1:57 PM EST for 8 counties in New York. It took effect at Mar 9, 2019, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 27 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2019, 1:57 PM EST (18:57 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 9, 2019, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Mar 10, 2019, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -22 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1459 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

403 
WWUS71 KBUF 091857
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

NYZ019-085-100300-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  along the Lake Erie shore and northward facing slopes.

* TIMING...From early this evening through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph tonight 
  through early Sunday morning, becoming southwest 25 to 35 mph 
  with gusts up to 60 mph late Sunday morning through Sunday 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times, including the New York State Thruway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-100300-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T0700Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 2 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson and Lewis counties, especially the north 
  facing slopes of the Tug Hill Plateau and in the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...From overnight tonight through overnight Sunday night.

* WINDS...Southeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-100300-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T1500Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* TIMING...From late Sunday morning through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012-100300-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.190310T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
EDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 7 PM EST this evening to 11 PM
EDT Sunday.

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain and
  northward facing slopes.

* TIMING...This evening through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph tonight
  through early Sunday morning. Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts
  up to 50 mph late Sunday morning through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
9 follow-up statements
338 
WWUS71 KBUF 092132
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
432 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

NYZ019-085-100545-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
432 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  along the Lake Erie shore and northward facing slopes.

* TIMING...From early this evening through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...South 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times, including the New York State Thruway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-100545-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T0700Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
432 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 2 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson and Lewis counties, especially the north 
  facing slopes of the Tug Hill Plateau and in the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...From overnight tonight through overnight Sunday night.

* WINDS...South 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-100545-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T1500Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
432 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* TIMING...From late Sunday morning through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012-100545-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.190310T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
432 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain 
  and northward facing slopes.

* TIMING...From early this evening through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...South 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$
Reynolds
147 
WWUS71 KBUF 100006
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
706 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

NYZ019-085-100815-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
706 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  along the Lake Erie shore and northward facing slopes.

* TIMING...Through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...South 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times, including the New York State Thruway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-100815-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T0700Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
706 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 2 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson and Lewis counties, especially the north 
  facing slopes of the Tug Hill Plateau and in the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...From overnight tonight through overnight Sunday night.

* WINDS...South 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-100815-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T1500Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
706 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* TIMING...From late Sunday morning through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012-100815-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
706 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain 
  and northward facing slopes.

* TIMING...Through late Sunday evening.

* WINDS...South 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

Reynolds
980 
WWUS71 KBUF 100813
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
413 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

NYZ019-085-101615-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
413 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  along the Lake Erie shore and northward facing slopes.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph through
  early this morning, becoming southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts
  up to 60 mph late this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times, including the New York State Thruway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-101615-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
413 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson and Lewis counties, especially the north 
  facing slopes of the Tug Hill Plateau and in the Black River 
  Valley.

* TIMING...Through overnight tonight.

* WINDS...Southeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-101615-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T1500Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
413 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* TIMING...From late this morning through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012-101615-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
413 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain 
  and northward facing slopes.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$
728 
WWUS71 KBUF 101441
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1041 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

NYZ019-085-102245-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
1041 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times, including the New York State Thruway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-102245-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.190310T1500Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
1041 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* TIMING...From late this morning through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-102245-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1041 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson and Lewis counties, especially the north
  facing slopes of the Tug Hill Plateau and in the Black River
  Valley to near Fort Drum.

* TIMING...Through overnight tonight.

* WINDS...Southeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012-102245-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
1041 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
578 
WWUS71 KBUF 102038
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
438 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

NYZ008-102145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
438 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the High
Wind Warning.

Winds have become southwest behind the cold front and will no
longer channel down the Black River Valley resulting in subsiding
winds down the valley. 

$$

NYZ019-085-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
438 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times, including the New York State Thruway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
438 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-110445-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
438 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson county.

* TIMING...Through overnight tonight.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
438 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$
892 
WWUS71 KBUF 102042
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
442 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

NYZ019-085-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
442 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times, including the New York State Thruway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
442 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-110445-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
442 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson county.

* TIMING...Through overnight tonight.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
442 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$
Reynolds
832 
WWUS71 KBUF 102050 CCA
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
450 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

NYZ019-085-110300-
/O.COR.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
450 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties, especially 
  near Lake Erie.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times, including the New York State Thruway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-110300-
/O.COR.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, and Batavia
450 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, and 
  Genesee counties.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-110445-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
450 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Jefferson county.

* TIMING...Through overnight tonight.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts could bring down trees and 
  powerlines and result in scattered power outages. Minor 
  property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and 
  siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be difficult at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds of 58 mph or greater will make driving difficult and
could result in property damage, including downed trees and power
lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Home owners should
secure loose objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
450 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$
Reynolds
232 
WWUS71 KBUF 102339
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
739 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

NYZ001>003-010-011-019-085-110300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
739 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 11 PM EDT this evening. The
High Wind Warning has been cancelled.

* LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Erie, Genesee, and 
  Chautauqua counties.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ007-110600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
739 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 2 AM EDT Monday. The High Wind
Warning has been cancelled.

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain.

* TIMING...Through overnight tonight.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

NYZ012-110300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Wyoming-
Including the city of Warsaw
739 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Wyoming County, especially across higher terrain.

* TIMING...Through late this evening.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Winds of this magnitude may bring down a few tree 
  limbs and result in isolated power outages. Travel in high 
  profile vehicles will be difficult at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong wind gusts of up to 57 mph will make driving difficult and
could result in minor property damage. Home owners should secure
personal property.

&&

$$

Reynolds
227 
WWUS71 KBUF 110259
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1059 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

NYZ007-110400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0600Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
1059 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Wind
Advisory.

Winds have weakened and will remain below Wind Advisory levels
overnight. 

$$

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-110400-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190311T0300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
1059 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Winds have weakened and will remain below Wind Advisory levels
overnight. 

$$
Reynolds

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 9, 12:53 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 12:53 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1253 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will drift east of the area this afternoon but
continue to provide dry and slightly warmer conditions. A low
pressure system will then track across the central Great Lakes
tonight through Sunday. This system will bring a period of rain to
the region tonight through early Sunday, which will start as a brief
period of wintry mix across portions of the Southern Tier and east
of Lake Ontario. This system will also bring strong winds to the
region later tonight and Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Visible satellite imagery showing clear skies and full sunshine
across the entire region early this afternoon, with the first of
some high/thin cirrus moving into Western NY. The full sunshine will
begin to fade behind increasing high clouds across Western NY later
this afternoon. Temperatures will top out in the mid to upper 30s in
most areas.

A sharp mid level trough and associated surface low will move into
the central Great Lakes late tonight and early Sunday before
reaching western Quebec by Sunday evening. A warm front ahead of
this system will cross the region from southwest to northeast
tonight, followed by a strong cold front on Sunday. This system will
bring a myriad of concerns to the area, including mixed precipitation
and high winds.

A strong push of warm advection and isentropic upglide will reach
Western NY late this evening, then overspread the remainder of the
area overnight. The low/mid level warm advection will have some
support from a leading mid level shortwave and increasingly
diffluent flow aloft. Expect precipitation to reach Chautauqua
County first by around 03Z, then spread quickly across the rest of
Western NY by 06Z before reaching the eastern Lake Ontario region by
09Z. Temperatures aloft and in the boundary layer should warm enough
to support just rain across the lower elevation lake plains of
Western NY from Rochester westward, although a few sleet pellets
cannot be ruled out if there is enough evaporational cooling.

Low level cold air will be more difficult to displace across the
interior Southern Tier, and this may allow for a few hours of
freezing rain across the interior Southern Tier, western Finger
Lakes, and points southeast of Lake Ontario. The freezing rain will
end by daybreak Sunday as temperatures warm above freezing, and most
of the precipitation tapers off. East of Lake Ontario, the column is
just a little colder, supporting both sleet and some freezing rain,
and possibly even some snow across Lewis and northeast Jefferson
counties. The wintry mix will continue through late morning Sunday
before temperatures rise above freezing and most of the
precipitation ends. Ice accumulations will be very light, on the
order a few hundredths of an inch. A Winter Weather Advisory has
been issued for the areas noted above for the wintry mix.

Winds will be the other main concern, and will come in two phases. A
very strong 70+ knot low level jet will cross the area tonight and
early Sunday. Forecast soundings show a steep low level inversion
based near the ridge tops and near ridge flow perpendicular to the
Chautauqua Ridge. This will set the stage for a downslope wind event
along the Lake Erie shore as a portion of the low level jet is
ducted down the lee slopes of the Chautauqua Ridge. Wind gusts may
reach 60-65 mph in the favored areas along and just inland from Lake
Erie in Chautauqua and southern Erie counties later tonight. A High
Wind Warning remains in place to cover this.

The same low level jet will cross the eastern Lake Ontario region
late tonight and Sunday morning. This will force downslope winds to
develop off the Tug Hill Plateau, and also allow for terrain
channelled SSE flow down the Black River Valley to near Fort Drum.
The setup looks to be favorable to support gusts in the 55-60 mph
range across eastern Jefferson and central/northern Lewis counties
in the favorable downslope and valley channeling areas. With this in
mind, the Wind Advisory has been upgraded to a High Wind Warning.

The second phase of the event will be a more classic post-frontal
southwest flow event northeast of the lakes. The track of the
surface low is very favorable to our north and west, although the
surface low is no longer deepening, and in fact beginning to fill by
the time it reaches our longitude. Model soundings continue to show
about 55 knots just off the deck behind the cold front for Sunday
afternoon. Cold advection will steepen low level lapse rates
sufficiently to mix a good portion of this down to the surface,
supporting wind gusts of 55-60 mph along and northeast of the Lake
Erie shore from the Niagara Frontier to Rochester. It should be
noted that this event is not as strong as what we saw two weekends
ago, but still likely sufficient to bring down a few trees and
powerlines and result in scattered power outages.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
The strong winds will gradually subside Sunday night as the
storm system will exit across northern Quebec. Continued cold
advection within a deep cyclonic flow will support some snow
shower activity...mainly east of both lakes where orographics
will be the primary source of lift. H85 temps are forecast to
drop to -8c by daybreak Monday...and this will simply not be
cold enough to support true lake effect.

For Monday and Monday night...the deepening cold air in the cyclonic
flow over the Great Lakes will finally support some lake effect snow
showers southeast of both lakes. Several inches of snow will be
possible for sites southeast of Lake Ontario...but the orthogonal
flow over a nearly completely frozen Lake Erie and less synoptic
moisture should keep the activity off that lake to a minimum.
Otherwise the region will be partly cloudy with some flurries and
scattered light snow showers.

Steady warm advection associated with an amplifying ridge over the
Ohio Valley and Upper Great Lakes Tuesday and Tuesday night will
bring an end to any leftover lake driven snow showers...while the
remainder of the region will experience fair dry weather.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
An expansive surface high from Ontario Canada through New York State
into the Mid-Atlantic will provide one more day of quite weather
across the Empire State Wednesday with an abundant amount of March
sunshine and fair weather. Late in the day Wednesday, look for some
increase in high clouds from the next storm system that will impact
the region through the end of the week. As low pressure over the
Central Plain tracks northeast into the Upper Great Lakes it will
bring increasing chances for some rain showers starting Wednesday
night and especially Thursday. Friday, this low pressure system will
tracks off into Canada sending its associated cold front across the
region with additional chances for showers. It will also turn much
colder behind the front with rain showers changing over to snow
showers Friday night into Saturday. Otherwise, look for highs during
this period to average well above normal with upper 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Low pressure will move into the central Great Lakes late tonight,
then reach western Quebec by Sunday evening. A warm front will move
across our region in advance of the surface low tonight, with rain
spreading from southwest to northeast across the area. The rain will
start as a few hours of freezing rain from the interior Southern
Tier to the western Finger Lakes and points southeast of Lake
Ontario. The North Country will see a mix of sleet, freezing rain,
and snow. CIGS will deteriorate to a mix of MVFR and IFR across
higher terrain once the precipitation begins tonight. Southeast
downslope winds will likely hold the lake plains to VFR through
early Sunday, including all the TAF sites except KJHW.

The steadier precipitation will end from west to east Sunday
morning, leaving just scattered light showers. CIGS on the lake
plains will likely deteriorate to MVFR once the downslope winds
diminish, with lower end MVFR continuing across higher terrain.

There will be strong low level wind shear tonight into Sunday
morning as a strong 70+ knot low level jet crosses the region.
Strong downslope winds will develop at the surface overnight along
the Lake Erie shore near KDKK, and also Sunday east of Lake Ontario
on the north slopes of the Tug Hill including KGTB. Finally, strong
southwest winds will develop northeast of Lake Erie Sunday
afternoon, including KBUF, KIAG, and KROC.

Outlook...

Monday and Tuesday...MVFR in scattered snow showers.
Wednesday...VFR.
Thursday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Strong low pressure will move across the central Great Lakes Sunday
morning before reaching western Quebec by Sunday evening. Easterly
winds will increase ahead of this system this evening, then become
south late tonight and increase further to 30 knots on Lake Ontario
and 35 knot gales on Lake Erie. Winds will become southwest on
Sunday following the passage of a cold front, with 35 knots on Lake
Erie and 30 knots on Lake Ontario.

Strong westerly winds will continue Sunday night into early Monday
on Lake Ontario as the surface low moves east across Quebec. This
will support at least 30 knots on Lake Ontario, with some potential
for a period of low end gales.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Cold air of recent days has allowed new ice to form on rivers
and creeks. Ice conditions are variable, but there is some thin
ice and shore ice on some of the Buffalo area creeks.

Warmer temperatures are expected this weekend with temperatures
possibly reaching the lower 50s Sunday. The critical thawing
degree hours of 300 may just be met. Snowmelt is expected, as
well as a modest round of rainfall tonight into Sunday
producing a third to a half inch. Even with conditions favorable
to break up the ice, the thin nature of the ice cover will
likely prevent any notable ice jams. Any ice jams that try to
develop will not last long, breaking free and flowing
downstream.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...High Wind Warning from 3 AM Sunday to 2 AM EDT Monday for
     NYZ007-008.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM EDT Sunday for
     NYZ007-008.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM EST to 11 AM EDT Sunday for
     NYZ006.
     Winter Weather Advisory from midnight EST tonight to 8 AM EDT
     Sunday for NYZ004-005-013-014.
     High Wind Warning from 11 AM to 11 PM EDT Sunday for
     NYZ001>003-010-011.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM EST this evening to 8 AM
     EDT Sunday for NYZ012-020-021.
     High Wind Warning from 7 PM EST this evening to 11 PM EDT
     Sunday for NYZ019-085.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 11 PM EST this evening to 10 PM EDT Sunday
         for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM EST this evening to 2
        PM EDT Tuesday for LOZ043.
         Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM EST this afternoon to 2 PM
         EDT Tuesday for LOZ042.
         Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM EST Sunday to 2 PM EDT
         Tuesday for LOZ045.
         Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM EST this evening to 2 PM
         EDT Tuesday for LOZ044.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock
SHORT TERM...HSK/RSH
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Hitchcock
HYDROLOGY...TMA/Hitchcock
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 1:57 PM EST, 0 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

NYZ007-008-101900-
Jefferson-Lewis-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 2 AM EDT MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ020-021-101900-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING TO
8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>003-010-011-101900-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-005-013-014-101900-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT TO
8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-101900-
Oswego-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST TO 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-085-101900-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-101900-
Wyoming-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING TO
8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-101900-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-101900-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 2:48 AM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFJefferson, Lewis10 hr
Mar 9, 3:52 AM ESTGale WarningBUF50 hr
Mar 9, 3:52 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF4 days
Mar 9, 12:54 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Jefferson, Lewis, Livingston and 4 more23 hr
Mar 9, 3:41 PM ESTGale WatchBUF12 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.