Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

August 15, 2019Cattaraugus County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Aug 15, 2019, 2:48 PM EDT for Cattaraugus County, New York. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2019, 2:48 PM EDT (18:48 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2019, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Cattaraugus County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-08-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-08-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1667 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 15, 10:03 AM EDT, 4 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 10:03 AM EDT, 4 hours 45 minutes before
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  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
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  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 15, 4:33 AM EDT, 10 hours 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
433 AM EDT Thu Aug 15 2019

NYZ001>008-010-011-014-160900-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Ontario-
433 AM EDT Thu Aug 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-013-019>021-085-160900-
Wyoming-Livingston-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
433 AM EDT Thu Aug 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms will develop today and these may produce gusty winds
and small hail this afternoon and early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-160900-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
433 AM EDT Thu Aug 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Apffel

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 15, 2:48 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
248 PM EDT Thu Aug 15 2019

NYZ020-021-151930-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
248 PM EDT Thu Aug 15 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN CATTARAUGUS AND
SOUTHWESTERN ALLEGANY COUNTIES...

At 247 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Olean, moving
northeast at 10 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm, along with brief heavy downpours.

Locations impacted include...
Olean, Allegany, Cuba, Weston Mills, St. Bonaventure, Portville,
Knapp Creek, Haskell Flats, West Clarksville, Rock City Park and
Little Genesee.

This includes Interstate 86 between exits 25 and 26.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4200 7852 4208 7853 4222 7829 4214 7817
      4201 7818
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 243DEG 11KT 4206 7842

Hitchcock

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 3:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus57 min
Aug 15, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Wyoming51 min
Aug 15, 3:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus50 min
Aug 15, 4:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany54 min
Aug 15, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus57 min
Aug 15, 4:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFMonroe47 min
Aug 15, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLivingston, Monroe, Ontario27 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.