Alert archive / New York / Snow Squall Warnings in 2019
Snow Squall Warning 8, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this snow squall warning at Dec 18, 2019, 11:38 AM EST for 6 counties in New York. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 18, 2019, 11:38 AM EST (16:38 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 18, 2019, 12:45 PM EST
- In force
- 67 min
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1343 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 75 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -86 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 42 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
334
WWUS51 KBUF 181639
SQWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Snow Squall Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1138 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
NYC029-037-051-055-063-069-181745-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SQ.W.0008.191218T1638Z-191218T1745Z/
Erie NY-Livingston NY-Niagara NY-Monroe NY-Genesee NY-Ontario NY-
1138 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Snow Squall Warning for...
Northeastern Erie County in western New York...
Northern Livingston County in western New York...
Southeastern Niagara County in western New York...
Southern Monroe County in western New York...
Genesee County in western New York...
Northwestern Ontario County in western New York...
* Until 1245 PM EST.
* At 1138 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line
extending from near Chili to near Akron, moving southeast at 20
mph.
HAZARD...Extremely poor visibility in heavy snow and blowing snow.
Wind gusts up to 30 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Dangerous life-threatening travel.
* This includes the following highways...
Interstate 390 between exits 10 and 12.
Interstate 90 between exits 48A and 44.
Locations impacted include...
Rochester, Clarence, Chili, Batavia, Canandaigua, East Rochester,
Fairport, Brighton, Darien Lakes State Park and Henrietta.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Consider avoiding or delaying travel until the snow squall passes
your location. If you must travel, use extra caution and allow extra
time. Rapid changes in visibility and slick road conditions may lead
to accidents.
&&
LAT...LON 4313 7872 4312 7740 4307 7737 4304 7737
4303 7735 4290 7727 4288 7851
TIME...MOT...LOC 1638Z 314DEG 17KT 4309 7768 4310 7849
$$
Zaff1 follow-up statement
013
WWUS51 KBUF 181716
SQWBUF
Snow Squall Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1216 PM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
NYC029-037-051-055-063-069-181745-
/O.CON.KBUF.SQ.W.0008.000000T0000Z-191218T1745Z/
Erie NY-Livingston NY-Niagara NY-Monroe NY-Genesee NY-Ontario NY-
1216 PM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
...A SNOW SQUALL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN ERIE...NORTHERN LIVINGSTON...SOUTHEASTERN NIAGARA...
SOUTHERN MONROE...GENESEE AND NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO COUNTIES...
At 1216 PM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line
extending from near Henrietta to near Pembroke, moving southeast at
15 mph.
HAZARD...Extremely poor visibility heavy snow and blowing snow. Wind
gusts up to 30 mph.
SOURCE...Radar and webcams.
IMPACT...Dangerous life-threatening travel.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 390 between exits 10 and 12.
Interstate 90 between exits 48A and 44.
Locations impacted include...
Rochester, Clarence, Chili, Batavia, Canandaigua, East Rochester,
Fairport, Brighton, Darien Lakes State Park and Henrietta.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Consider avoiding or delaying travel until the snow squall passes
your location. If you must travel, use extra caution and allow extra
time. Rapid changes in visibility and slick road conditions may lead
to accidents.
&&
LAT...LON 4313 7872 4312 7740 4307 7737 4304 7737
4303 7735 4290 7727 4288 7851
TIME...MOT...LOC 1716Z 311DEG 14KT 4302 7756 4303 7837
$$
ZaffWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this snow squall warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this snow squall warning went out at Dec 18, 9:33 AM EST, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 9:33 AM EST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
933 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Lake effect snow will be heavy today east of the lakes as a strong
cold front crosses the area. Outside of lake effect areas, the cold
front will produce snow showers and a few brief heavy snow squalls.
Lake effect snow will continue tonight into Thursday southeast of
the lakes before tapering off Thursday night. Very cold air will
arrive this afternoon afternoon through Thursday with wind chills
below zero at times. A period of mainly dry weather and warming
temperatures will then begin this weekend and continue through at
least the first half of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
...Periods of Heavy Lake Effect Snow...Blowing Snow and Plummeting
Temperatures Today...
Off Lake Erie...
Regional radars showing the Lake Erie lake effect snow has become
disrupted by the first cold frontal boundary crossing the area. A
few pockets of moderate snow will continue to move from the western
Southern Tier east through the western Finger Lakes. The lake effect
snow will likely remain disorganized through early afternoon as
boundary layer flow veers over Lake Erie, shortening the fetch.
Mesoscale guidance and upstream radar/satellite trends continue to
suggest a robust Lake Huron connection will develop later this
afternoon, initially targeting northern Chautauqua and
northern/western Cattaraugus counties. This developing upstream
connection will allow the Lake Erie lake snow to intensify again
later this afternoon.
This upstream Lake Huron connection will then move slowly
southwestward across the western Southern Tier late this afternoon
and tonight as boundary layer flow continues to veer. The heaviest
snow will likely fall through the first half of tonight. Later
tonight, lowering inversion heights and eventually a loss of the
Lake Huron connection will allow the band to weaken.
Placement of where the heaviest snows is tough to pinpoint in a
multiple band structure, but it seems reasonable that the focus
would be across the northern half of Chautauqua county to
western Cattaraugus county. The heaviest snowfall amounts will
likely be closely tied to the upstream Lake Huron connection
with the potential storm totals of 6-12 inches, with localized
heavier amounts certainly possible.
Off Lake Ontario...
Regional radars showing an intense band of heavy snow, likely
producing 3-4 inch per hour snowfall rates at times. This band has
drifted south into central/northern Oswego County and the southern
Tug Hill. The arctic front is still just upstream of the band.
Boundary layer flow will likely back slightly over the next hour or
two just ahead of the arctic front, carrying the band back over the
central Tug Hill for an hour or two, before it moves back south
again in the wake of the arctic front. The band should continue to
produce high end 3-4 inch per hour snowfall rates through midday,
and may produce some thunder and lightning as well.
This afternoon boundary layer flow will quickly veer to the
northwest, shoving the lake band to the southeast corner of the
lake. Snowfall rates will likely diminish considerably after the
flow becomes northwest by mid afternoon.
Once the northwest flow becomes established, multiple lake effect
snow bands will develop. The intensity of the bands will likely
depend on the expected upstream Georgian Bay connection during
the mid to late afternoon. The heaviest snows should focus
across the southeast portion of the lake across Wayne, Northern
Cayuga, and southwest Oswego counties by mid to late afternoon,
but this will depend upon the exact evolution of the upstream
Georgian Bay connection.
a Georgian Bay to Lake Ontario connection will remain in place
through the night and into the morning on Thursday. This will result
in continued lake snows for the Rochester Metro area through the
early morning hours, and much of the south shore of the lake. Early
in the night can expect the best chances for accumulating snow as
snowfall will be moderate for a few hours. Through the course of the
night increased ridging will start to help lower equilibrium heights
over the lake, which will cause the snow to start to get lighter in
intensity through the morning hours. In addition to the ridging,
synoptic moisture will shift east of the area, giving way to drier
air. With the multi lake connection still supporting the lake band
there will be continued light snow through daybreak with additional
weakening after that time. Snow accumulation's through the night
will generally be around 3-5 inches in the most persistent snows,
with most of this falling during the first half of the night. A
Winter Weather Advisory will be in place through this period for
counties along the south shore of Lake Ontario from Orleans County
to Northern Cayuga County.
Finally, between the main areas of lake effect snow the cold front
will produce a few snow showers and snow squalls this morning across
much of the region. A spray of Lake Huron snow showers is also
likely across much of the region this afternoon, with relatively
light accumulations away from the main lake effect areas. Blowing
snow will be common today with wind gusts up to 40 mph on the lake
plains, and 30 mph farther inland.
Strong cold air advection will send temperatures tumbling through
the day today. Readings in the 20s early in the day will be in the
teens by the end of the day with wind chills falling below zero.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Tonight, lake effect snow will continue south of Lake Ontario
and southeast of Lake Erie. Continued cold air advection will
drop temperatures through the night, with 850H temperatures
dropping to around -20C overnight. This will result in low
temperatures in the single digits for most areas with some
subzero temperatures east of Lake Ontario.
Off Lake Ontario... As winds continue out of the northwest through
the night, a Georgian Bay to Lake Ontario connection will remain in
place through the night and into the morning on Thursday. This will
result in continued lake snows for the Rochester Metro area through
the early morning hours. Early in the night can expect the best
chances for accumulating snow as snowfall will be moderate for a few
hours. Through the course of the night increased ridging will start
to help lower equilibrium heights over the lake, which will cause
the snow to start to get lighter in intensity through the morning
hours. In addition to the ridging, synoptic moisture will shift east
of the area, giving way to drier air. With the multi lake connection
still supporting the lake band there will be continued light snow
through daybreak with additional weakening after that time. Snow
accumulation's through the night will generally be around 2-4 inches
in the most persistent snows, with most of this falling during the
first half of the night. A Winter Weather Advisory will be in place
through this period for counties along the south shore of Lake
Ontario from Orleans County to Northern Cayuga County
Off of Lake Erie... Much like off of Lake Ontario, a multi lake
connection will help drop some moderate to heavy snowfall at time
early Wednesday night for areas southeast of Lake Erie. The lake
band, initially pre-conditioning/developing over lake Huron will
cross SW Ontario and over Lake Erie where additional strengthening
will occur. Much like the Lake Ontario band, the greatest chance for
accumulating snow will be earlier on in the night before ridging and
increasingly drier air begin to influence the band, causing it to
weaken to light snow through the morning. This band having a bit
more of Lake Huron to work with upstream, looks like the stronger of
the two lake bands, and additional snowfall Wednesday night will
generally be 4-7 inches with some locally higher amounts along the
higher terrain. A Lake Effect snow warning remains in place through
7AM Thursday morning for Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties.
Outside of the two main lake bands, some disorganized lake snow
showers from the upper Great Lakes will drop some light snow across
the rest of the area, especially as the trough continues across the
area. Areas outside of the main lake bands can expect up to around a
half inch of accumulation, falling mostly early in the night.
Thursday, a large area of high pressure will be centered over the
Ohio Valley around daybreak on Thursday, and slowly track east to
the central Appalachians by Thursday night. AS this high tracks
east, continued increased ridging and drier air entrainment will
continue to weaken and break down lake snows off of both lakes.
Likely POPs for light snow showers southeast of both lakes will
continue to decrease through the morning, with just chance POPs by
the afternoon hours. Additional accumulation's of around a half inch
to one inch will be possible southeast of the lakes, falling mostly
early in the morning. 850H temperatures on Thursday will continue to
be near -20C with some slight warming late in the day. Temperatures
on Thursday will be in the single digits to low teens east of Lake
Ontario and in the upper teens to low 20s elsewhere.
Surface high pressure will linger over the region Thursday night
into Friday while a upper level ridge persists over southeast U.S.
Cold temperatures expected Thursday night with lows in the single
digits to teens across western NY to the minus single digits east of
Lake Ontario. Temperatures will rebound to the upper 20s to low 30s
across western NY to the teens east of Lake Ontario Friday.
Surface high pressure will track into New England and winds will
become light and southerly Friday night. Another chilly night
expected with lows in the teens across western NY to the minus
single digits east of Lake Ontario. A fast moving shortwave trough
may track across the Great Lakes Saturday while a cold front moves
across the region. Very little moisture is associated with this
feature and may only produce some passing clouds. Temperatures look
to break freezing across western NY Saturday with highs in the mid
to upper 30s and the upper 20s to low 30s east of Lake Ontario.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Fairly quiet weather continues through the Christmas holiday across
the eastern Great Lakes. Another fast moving shortwave trough will
likely track across Canada Saturday night into Sunday with moisture
staying north of the border and marginal temperatures. Greatest
chance of rain or snow showers will be east of Lake Ontario, closer
to the surface low. High pressure will move back into the region
Monday and Monday night before the next shortwave trough tracks to
the north.
Temperatures will climb above normal Sunday into early next week
with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and overnight lows in the
upper 20s to low 30s.
&&
.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A clipper passing north of Lake Ontario will cause general
widespread snow showers this morning, resulting in IFR/MVFR for
areas outside of heavier lake bands.
Lake effect snow initially east of Lake Ontario and east of
Lake Erie will shift southward with a passing cold front and
settle to the southeast of the Lake Erie and south of Lake
Ontario. Moderate to heavy snow within these two snow bands
along with blowing snow, will produced IFR with some LIFR
conditions possible during the peak of lake snow band intensity.
Conditions today for each terminal: KART has improved to mainly
VFR as lake effect snow moves south of the airfield. A few brief
bursts of IFR VSBY are still possible today in brief snow
showers. KJHW can expect periods of IFR/LIFR conditions through
the day today and into the night tonight with the Lake Erie
snow band. KROC can expect IFR with some periods of LIFR from
this afternoon through the evening as the Lake Ontario snow band
drops south over the KROC terminal. KBUF/KIAG mostly MVFR with
a brief period of early IFR with the passing cold front and snow
showers.
Tonight, the lake bands settle southeast of Lake Erie and south of
Lake Ontario, with primarily JHW and ROC affected by falling snow.
Both locations can expect IFR with periods of LIFR through the
evening. Some improvement for ROC to mostly IFR and to MVFR by the
morning on Thursday. JHW conditions remain IFR with periods of LIFR
through most of the night. Outside of these lake bands, KART, KBUF,
and KIAG VFR with some MVFR.
Outlook...
Thursday...IFR/MVFR with lake effect snow showers likely southeast
of the lakes...with mainly VFR elsewhere.
Friday through Monday...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
A strong cold front will cross the area early Wednesday morning.
Moderate to strong WSW winds early this morning will quickly veer to
the northwest by late in the day. Winds look to peak at 30
knots on both Lakes Erie and Ontario, producing high end Small
Craft Advisories on both lakes. Winds will gradually diminish
later tonight and Thursday as high pressure builds into the
Great Lakes.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A strong cold front will cross the eastern Great Lakes this
morning. Strong northwest winds will develop in the wake of the
cold front, with sustained winds peaking at around or just over
30 knots on Lake Ontario. This will bring the increased likelihood
of lakeshore flooding at the southeast corner of the lake from
Wayne to Oswego counties.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Lake Effect Snow Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
NYZ007-008.
Lakeshore Flood Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST
Thursday for NYZ004>006.
Lake Effect Snow Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for
NYZ006.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for NYZ002>005.
Lake Effect Snow Warning until 7 AM EST Thursday for NYZ019-
020.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NYZ012-
085.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
NYZ021.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for LEZ020.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for LEZ040-
041.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for
LOZ030.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for
LOZ042>045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock/TMA
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock/TMA
SHORT TERM...HSK/SW
LONG TERM...HSK
AVIATION...Hitchcock/SW
MARINE...Hitchcock/TMA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hitchcock/TMAHazardous weather outlook, Dec 18, 5:52 AM EST, 5 hours 46 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 NYZ007-008-191100- Jefferson-Lewis- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Lake Effect Snow Warning. Wind chill values will likely fall to 10 to 20 below zero tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ021-191100- Allegany- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind chill values will likely fall to zero to 10 below tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ002-003-191100- Orleans-Monroe- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind chill values will likely fall to zero to 10 below tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001-010-011-013-014-191100- Niagara-Northern Erie-Genesee-Livingston-Ontario- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Wind chill values will likely fall to zero to 10 below tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ004-005-191100- Wayne-Northern Cayuga- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Lakeshore Flood Warning. Wind chill values will likely fall to zero to 10 below tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006-191100- Oswego- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Lake Effect Snow Warning. Lakeshore Flood Warning. Wind chill values will likely fall to zero to 15 below tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ019-020-191100- Chautauqua-Cattaraugus- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Lake Effect Snow Warning. Wind chill values will likely fall to zero to 10 below tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Lake Effect Snow Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ012-085-191100- Wyoming-Southern Erie- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind chill values will likely fall to zero to 10 below tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-191100- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 552 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Dec 18, 8:35 AM EST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
835 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
NYZ005>008-181430-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-Northern Cayuga-
835 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...
LEWIS...EXTREME NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...
A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rate of 2 to 3 inches
per hour will continue east of Lake Ontario this morning. The
heaviest snow will be found from central Oswego County northeast
across the Tug Hill region.
The band will likely drift north again temporarily during the mid
morning before moving back south late this morning.
Travel will be extremely difficult in this band of intense lake
effect snow. If you must travel, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with deep snow cover on roads and near zero
visibility.
This includes Interstate 81 between exits 33 and 44.
LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4335 7588 4331 7649
4338 7676 4356 7645 4357 7628 4377 7629
4419 7539 4410 7517 4361 7511
HitchcockSpecial weather statement, Dec 18, 9:38 AM EST, 2 hours before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
938 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
NYZ006>008-181630-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
938 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...LEWIS
AND NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...
A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates of 2 to 3
inches per hour will continue east of Lake Ontario this morning. The
heaviest snow will be found from southern Jefferson, central and
southern Lewis, and northern Oswego counties.
The band will move a few miles to the north during the remainder of
the morning before moving south again early this afternoon.
Travel will be extremely difficult in this band of intense lake
effect snow. If you must travel, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with deep snow cover on roads and near zero
visibility.
This includes Interstate 81 between exits 33 and 44.
LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4338 7586 4342 7669
4356 7645 4357 7628 4369 7626 4378 7629
4383 7636 4387 7635 4384 7644 4386 7649
4387 7646 4407 7516 4361 7511
ZaffLocal storm report, Dec 18, 10:05 AM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 AM EST WED DEC 18 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0835 AM SNOW WATERTOWN 43.97N 75.91W
12/18/2019 M8.5 INCH JEFFERSON NY BROADCAST MEDIA
0900 AM SNOW S WATERTOWN 43.97N 75.91W
12/18/2019 M9.7 INCH JEFFERSON NY COCORAHS
0900 AM SNOW 3 SSW REDFIELD 43.50N 75.85W
12/18/2019 M4.5 INCH OSWEGO NY TRAINED SPOTTER
1004 AM SNOW REDFIELD 43.53N 75.82W
12/18/2019 M6.5 INCH OSWEGO NY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901919
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901920
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901921
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901922
HITCHCOCKSpecial weather statement, Dec 18, 10:05 AM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1005 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
NYZ001>003-181630-
Orleans-Niagara-Monroe-
1005 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
...BAND OF SNOW MOVING SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE
OF NIAGARA, ORLEANS, AND MONROE COUNTIES...
A narrow band of snow is quickly moving southeast toward the Lake
Ontario shoreline of Niagara, Orleans, and Monroe counties. This
band has the potential to briefly drop visibilities to near a
quarter of a mile, including over Route 104. Winds ahead of the
band are out of the west, but will switch to the northwest with
gusts nearing 40 mph. This will result in some blowing and drifting
snow at times. Temperatures will also start to fall toward the 20
degree mark after the boundary moves through.
Travel will be difficult as the band moves overhead. Road
conditions behind the band will also be variable due to drifting
snow.
LAT...LON 4341 7860 4341 7799 4339 7775 4328 7754
4332 7739 4304 7737 4312 7791 4313 7791
4314 7904 4325 7906 4330 7909
ZaffLocal storm report, Dec 18, 10:23 AM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1023 AM EST WED DEC 18 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1022 AM SNOW 8 N REDFIELD 43.64N 75.88W
12/18/2019 M5.0 INCH OSWEGO NY CO-OP OBSERVER
SINCE 7AM
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1901923
HITCHCOCKSpecial weather statement, Dec 18, 11:08 AM EST, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1108 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
NYZ004>006-181745-
Oswego-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
1108 AM EST Wed Dec 18 2019
...BAND OF SNOW MOVING SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE
OF WAYNE, NORTHERN CAYUGA, AND WESTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...
A new band of lake effect snow is moving southeast toward the Lake
Ontario shoreline of Wayne, northern Cayuga, and western Oswego
counties. By early afternoon, this band should effectively replace
the strong band currently moving across Northern Oswego and Tug Hill
Plateau. In both cases, expect difficult travel conditions with
some whiteouts. Snow rates are expected to be more variable for
this new band, with rates of 1, to briefly 3 inches per hour. Winds
will also increase with the new band, with some gusts 40 mph. This
will result in some blowing and drifting snow at times. Temperatures
will also start to fall toward the 20 degree mark early this
afternoon.
LAT...LON 4327 7615 4327 7620 4323 7633 4323 7646
4314 7677 4314 7737 4332 7738 4333 7714
4331 7697 4335 7681 4339 7673 4343 7668
4341 7613
ZaffThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 3:39 AM EST | Lakeshore Flood Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Oswego, Wayne | 20 hr |
| Dec 18, 3:44 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Wyoming | 61 min |
| Dec 18, 6:30 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis | 60 min |
| Dec 18, 7:18 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Monroe | 57 min |
| Dec 18, 7:32 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 58 min |
| Dec 18, 7:47 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Wyoming | 43 min |
| Dec 18, 8:31 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie, Livingston, Ontario, Wyoming | 44 min |
| Dec 18, 8:35 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Lewis, Oswego | 55 min |
| Dec 18, 9:38 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Lewis, Oswego | 112 min |
| Dec 18, 10:05 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Monroe, Niagara, Orleans | 85 min |
| Dec 18, 11:08 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Wayne | 97 min |
| Dec 18, 11:41 AM EST | Snow Squall Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Ontario, Wayne | 64 min |
| Dec 18, 12:13 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Lewis, Oswego | 47 min |
| Dec 18, 12:48 PM EST | Snow Squall Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wayne | 37 min |
| Dec 18, 1:19 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis | 86 min |
| Dec 18, 1:46 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 119 min |
| Dec 18, 2:36 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Niagara, Orleans | 84 min |
| Dec 18, 3:42 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis | 17 hr |
| Dec 18, 3:44 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 106 min |
| Dec 18, 5:38 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 82 min |
| Dec 18, 6:52 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Wayne | 53 min |
Nearby
Snow Squall Warnings in New York, 2019Every snow squall warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.