Gale Watch 3, NWS Buffalo, NY

212 
WHUS71 KBUF 062118
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
418 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

LOZ042-043-070530-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-190207T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0003.190208T0700Z-190209T1100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
418 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 13 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-062>065-070530-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0003.190208T0700Z-190209T1100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
418 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...11 to 15 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

163 
WHUS71 KBUF 070012
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
712 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

LOZ042-043-070815-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-190207T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0003.190208T0700Z-190209T1100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
712 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 13 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-062>065-070815-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0003.190208T0700Z-190209T1100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
712 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...11 to 15 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

500 
WHUS71 KBUF 070304
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

LOZ042-043-071115-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-190207T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0003.190208T0700Z-190209T1100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1004 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory.

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 13 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-062>065-071115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0003.190208T0700Z-190209T1100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
1004 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...11 to 15 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

663 
WHUS71 KBUF 070830
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
330 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

LOZ042>045-062>065-071630-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0003.190208T0700Z-190209T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0004.190208T0800Z-190209T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
330 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Gale
Warning, which is in effect from 3 AM Friday to 7 AM EST
Saturday. This upgrades the Gale Watch which was previously in 
effect.

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...11 to 15 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-071630-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0004.190208T0500Z-190208T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
330 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Gale
Warning, which is in effect from midnight tonight to 4 PM EST
Friday.

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...5 to 8 feet in ice free areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-071630-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0017.190208T0300Z-190209T1200Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
330 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
Saturday.

* WINDS...West to 30 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
206 PM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will continue eastward through the night. Rain and
freezing rain will transition to widespread drizzle and freezing
drizzle as that occurs. On Thursday, another surface low will
track to our west and north, bringing milder and wet conditions
by afternoon followed by windy and colder conditions Thursday
night and Friday. Cold air flowing across Lake Ontario Friday
night and Saturday will bring accumulating lake effect snow to
areas east and southeast of the Lake.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Amorphous inverted surface troughing can be noted extending up
into western New York in the surface observations. The axis of
this aligns fairly well with the surface freezing line which
currently extends through Erie County eastward, basically down
the Thruway. As we go through the evening, hi-res model
solutions favor closing off the troughing into a closed surface
low and tracking said low down the then location of the surface
trough axis. The exact corridor of this track isn't particularly
well agreed upon even at this close juncture, however the mere
presence of the closed surface circulation suggest a stronger
possibility of sub-freezing temperatures lingering to the north
of its track through the evening hours than an open solution
would. That said, northeasterly flow to the north of the track
will continually feed colder air toward the western Lake Ontario
shoreline. This will lead to the strongest ice accumulations
north of the Niagara Escarpment, where below freezing
temperatures should remain for the duration. South of the
Thruway, temperatures have risen enough to at least temporarily
halt ice accretion.

Behind the passing surface wave this evening, large scale
forcing for ascent should start to wane. This will allow for
steady precipitation to end around the evening rush hour in
Buffalo and shortly thereafter in Rochester, while lingering in
the North Country through the evening. However, almost no dry
advection is present in the wake of this wave. As a result,
abundant low level moisture will likely result in widespread
drizzle/freezing drizzle (dependent upon the surface
temperatures) and fog right into Thursday morning. And in
particular for the Buffalo and Rochester areas, while we may
slide slightly above freezing this evening, there is a good
likelihood that we drop back below overnight with drizzle
transitioning back to freezing drizzle.

Warm advection increases rapidly on Thursday with southerly flow
increasing. This should mix out fog and low level moisture. As a
result, temperatures should jump rapidly during the day into the
50s as rain ahead of a cold from approaches from the west.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
The system dry slot will punch through the region late Thursday
night into Friday, as the low pressure center continues to
deepen as it lifts through Ontario into Quebec, forcing a
powerful cold front through the area. This will bring a quick
end to the precipitation as the cold front swings through. Cold
air will rapidly rush into the area in wake of the front, with
temperatures dropping into the 20s through the day Friday. There
will be the potential for a flash freeze given wet surfaces
from all the preceding rain.

In addition, an increasing pressure gradient coupled with drier air
and cold air advection into the region will likely result in a
period of strong gusty winds. The potential for the strongest
wind gusts look to be in the typically favored west-southwest
flow areas northeast of Lake Erie and Ontario, including the
Buffalo/Niagara Falls area over to Rochester. Momentum transfer
profiles suggesting these areas will likely see gusts of 50 to
55 mph, perhaps even higher. Wind headlines will need to be
considered as the event nears.

The incoming colder air will allow for a brief lake response later
Friday into Friday night, this will especially be the case east
and southeast of a fully open Lake Ontario. A few inches of
snowfall is not out of the question.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
On Saturday a cold...but increasingly dry west-northwesterly flow
will be in place across our region...in between departing low
pressure over Labrador and high pressure building across the Central
Great Lakes. This should result in scattered lake effect snow
showers gradually diminishing downwind of Lake Ontario...with mainly
dry conditions the rule elsewhere. With 850 mb temps in the lower
half of the negative teens...highs will struggle to get out of the
lower to mid 20s in most locations...with portions of the North
Country not making it out of the upper teens.

Saturday night and Sunday the aforementioned surface ridge will
settle southeastward and off the mid-Atlantic coastline...with
its axis drifting across our region and eventually into central
and eastern New York. This will provide our area with mainly dry
and quiet weather...with just an outside chance of some light snow
attendant to a developing weak baroclinic zone aloft/passing upper
level jet streak possibly reaching the Southern Tier later Sunday
afternoon. Otherwise temperatures will continue to run a bit below
average...with lows in the 5 to 15 above range Saturday night
followed by highs in the mid 20s to lower 30s on Sunday.

Sunday night and Monday the above mentioned weak baroclinic zone and
passing upper level jet will bring a general chance of some light
snow areawide...with the bulk of this likely to come Sunday night.
Following the passage of these features...Canadian high pressure
will then build across our region and bring a return to mainly dry
weather during Monday. As for temperatures...lows Sunday night
should range from the teens across the North Country/interior
portions of the Southern Tier to the lower 20s south of Lake
Ontario...with highs on Monday then climbing back into the upper
20s to mid 30s.

As we move on into the last 24 hours of this period...another system
of southern stream origins then looks to advance into the region
during the Monday night-Tuesday time frame. Given the distant time
frame and with model guidance not surprisingly all over the place on
its  strength...track...and timing...for now have just introduced
some broadbrush chance PoPs for rain and snow...with temperatures
nudging back up to a little above normal.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Low end MVFR conditions will likely yield to IFR conditions as
rain and freezing rain gradually yields to drizzle and freezing
drizzle overnight. Visibilities and ceilings will remain
degraded into Thursday morning, after which increasing southerly
flow should allow for a period of VFR conditions before the
arrival of a cold front Thursday night.

Outlook...

Thursday...IFR/MVFR with rain and possibly a thunderstorm.
Friday...IFR/MVFR windy with rain to snow.
Saturday..VFR/MVFR with a chance of snow showers.
Sunday...VFR.
Monday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of snow.

&&

.MARINE...
An inverted trough will pass across the Eastern Great Lakes region
today and tonight, with an easterly flow across Lake Ontario.
Freshening winds will increase to around 20 knots on the western
waters of Lake Ontario, with small craft advisories continuing. As
this surface feature advances eastward winds will slacken, with
conditions falling below small craft thresholds early Thursday
morning.

Another surface low will pass by to our west and north Thursday
night and Friday. This track, and deepening to the surface low will
bring much stronger winds...possibly to gale force on the Great
Lakes. This potential will be added to the HWO product.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Another system is expected to track to our west on Thursday,
with another period of warmer temperatures and rain expected.
This system has the potential to produce more substantial
rainfall from Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. This has
the potential to cause additional flooding in some areas due to
rainfall and run-off, depending on how much rainfall and how
warm it gets. This has the potential to again start to move the
ice jams on the Buffalo area creeks, thus a flood watch was
issues for Thursday to Friday morning.

IMPORTANT NOTE: Users should be wary of unrepresentative gauge
readings with ice as hydro gauges are designed to measure for
ice free conditions. High levels seen on many of the Buffalo
Area Creek gauges are not representative of the true flow of
water. Ice buildup around the gauge can result in much higher
readings than are actually occuring on the river as a whole. For
these reasons, gauge readings due to ice jams are not counted
as records.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for NYZ007-008.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
     NYZ004>006-014.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for NYZ001>003-
     010-011.
     Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning for
     NYZ010.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Thursday for LOZ042-043.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Fries/Thomas
NEAR TERM...Fries
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...Fries
MARINE...Thomas
HYDROLOGY...Apffel/TMA/Fries

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
523 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

NYZ001>003-010-011-071030-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
523 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is the potential for substantial rainfall along with warmer
temperatures Thursday afternoon and Thursday night which could have
possible impacts on area creeks and rivers, especially any that
recently experienced ice jam flooding.

A strong cold front will cross the area late Thursday night through
early Friday. Strong gusty west-southwest winds in its wake will be
common across much of western and north central New York through
Friday afternoon. Wind gusts could exceed 50 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-085-071030-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
523 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is the potential for substantial rainfall along with warmer
temperatures Thursday afternoon and Thursday night which could have
possible impacts on area creeks and rivers, especially any that
recently experienced ice jam flooding.

A strong cold front will cross the area late Thursday night through
early Friday. Gusty west-southwest winds in its wake will be common
across much of western and north central New York through Friday
afternoon. Wind gusts could exceed 50 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ008-071030-
Lewis-
523 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is the potential for substantial rainfall along with warmer
temperatures Thursday afternoon and Thursday night which could have
possible impacts on area creeks and rivers.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-013-020-021-071030-
Wyoming-Livingston-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
523 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is the potential for substantial rainfall along with warmer
temperatures Thursday afternoon and Thursday night which could have
possible impacts on area creeks and rivers.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004>006-014-071030-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Ontario-
523 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is the potential for substantial rainfall along with warmer
temperatures Thursday afternoon and Thursday night which could have
possible impacts on area creeks and rivers.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-071030-
Jefferson-
523 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is the potential for substantial rainfall along with warmer
temperatures Thursday afternoon and Thursday night which could have
possible impacts on area creeks and rivers.

A strong cold front will cross the area Friday morning. Gusty west-
southwest winds in its wake will be common across much of western and
north central New York through Friday afternoon. Wind gusts could
exceed 50 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-071030-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
523 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Gales force winds are possible late Thursday night into Friday,
possibly into Friday night on Lake Ontario.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
850 AM EST WED FEB 06 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     FREEZING RAIN    NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT   43.11N  78.94W
02/06/2019  M0.04 INCH       NIAGARA            NY   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900706

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1010 AM EST WED FEB 06 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     FREEZING RAIN    3 S WILSON              43.27N  78.83W
02/06/2019  M0.10 INCH       NIAGARA            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0810 AM     FREEZING RAIN    2 NW TONAWANDA          43.00N  78.90W
02/06/2019  M0.00 INCH       ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRACE OF ICING.

0900 AM     FREEZING RAIN    3 WSW ELMA              42.81N  78.68W
02/06/2019  M0.00 INCH       ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            TRACE OF ICING.

1000 AM     FREEZING RAIN    DUNKIRK AIRPORT         42.49N  79.28W
02/06/2019  M0.09 INCH       CHAUTAUQUA         NY   ASOS

1000 AM     FREEZING RAIN    BUFFALO AIRPORT         42.94N  78.74W
02/06/2019  M0.17 INCH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

1000 AM     FREEZING RAIN    NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT   43.11N  78.94W
02/06/2019  M0.15 INCH       NIAGARA            NY   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900707
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900708
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900709
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900710
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900711
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900712

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1024 AM EST WED FEB 06 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     FREEZING RAIN    ROCHESTER AIRPORT       43.12N  77.68W
02/06/2019  M0.01 INCH       MONROE             NY   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900713

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1235 PM EST WED FEB 06 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1154 AM     FREEZING RAIN    LOCKPORT                43.17N  78.70W
02/06/2019  E0.25 INCH       NIAGARA            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MINOR TREE DAMAGE AND OVER 1,000 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT
            POWER DURING PEAK OF OUTAGE.

1157 AM     FREEZING RAIN    2 SSW BLASDELL          42.78N  78.84W
02/06/2019  M0.10 INCH       ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    BUFFALO AIRPORT         42.94N  78.74W
02/06/2019  M0.32 INCH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    ROCHESTER AIRPORT       43.12N  77.68W
02/06/2019  M0.10 INCH       MONROE             NY   ASOS

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT   43.11N  78.94W
02/06/2019  M0.34 INCH       NIAGARA            NY   ASOS

1214 PM     FREEZING RAIN    OSWEGO COUNTY AIRPORT   43.35N  76.39W
02/06/2019  M0.01 INCH       OSWEGO             NY   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1900714
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900715
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900716
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900717
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900718
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900719

JAM