Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2019
Flood Watch 4, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flood watch at Oct 31, 2019, 3:16 AM EDT for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It took effect at Oct 31, 2019, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 23 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 31, 2019, 3:16 AM EDT (07:16 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 31, 2019, 2:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Nov 1, 2019, 1:05 PM EDT
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 689 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 143 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
141 WGUS61 KBUF 310716 FFABUF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 316 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 NYZ006>008-311530- /O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0004.191031T1800Z-191102T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 316 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * Flood Watch for a portion of central New York...including the following counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. * From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through Friday evening. * Widespread moderate to heavy rain will develop this afternoon and continue tonight across the eastern Lake Ontario region. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are expected. * Excessive runoff from the heavy rain may result in flooding of poor drainage areas and small creeks late this afternoon through tonight. Larger rivers will also experience significant rises by later Friday, with flooding possible along the Moose River near McKeever, the Black River, and their tributaries. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates && $$ Hitchcock
5 follow-up statements
832 WGUS61 KBUF 311034 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 634 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 NYZ006>008-311845- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.191031T1800Z-191102T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 634 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of central New York...including the following counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. * From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through Friday evening. * Widespread moderate to heavy rain will develop this afternoon and continue tonight across the eastern Lake Ontario region. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are expected. * Excessive runoff from the heavy rain may result in flooding of poor drainage areas and small creeks late this afternoon through tonight. Larger rivers will also experience significant rises by later Friday, with flooding possible along the Moose River near McKeever, the Black River, and other rivers that drain the Tug Hill Plateau and western Adirondacks. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates && $$ Hitchcock
132 WGUS61 KBUF 311733 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 133 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 NYZ006>008-010145- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.191031T1800Z-191102T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 133 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of central New York...including the following counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. * Through Friday evening. * Widespread moderate to heavy rain will continue to overspread the area this afternoon and continue tonight. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are expected. * Excessive runoff from the heavy rain may result in flooding of poor drainage areas and small creeks late this afternoon through tonight. Larger rivers will also experience significant rises by later Friday, with flooding possible along the Moose River near McKeever, the Black River, and other rivers that drain the Tug Hill Plateau and western Adirondacks. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates && $$
047 WGUS61 KBUF 010019 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 819 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 NYZ006>008-011000- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-191102T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 819 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of central New York...including the following counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. * Through Friday evening. * Widespread moderate to heavy rain will result in between 2 and 3 inches of rain. * Excessive runoff from the heavy rain may result in flooding of poor drainage areas and small creeks tonight. Larger rivers will also experience significant rises by later Friday, with flooding possible along the Moose River near McKeever, the Black River, and other rivers that drain the Tug Hill Plateau and western Adirondacks. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates && $$ Apffel
884 WGUS61 KBUF 010755 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 355 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019 NYZ006>008-011600- /O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-191102T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 355 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of central New York...including the following counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. * Through this evening. * Widespread heavy rain produced 2.5 to 3 inches of rain across the eastern Lake Ontario region, highest across the Tug Hill and western foothills of the Adirondacks. The rain has tapered off, but excessive runoff will continue today. * Excessive runoff from the heavy rain may result in flooding of poor drainage areas and small creeks. Larger rivers will also experience significant rises by later today, with flooding possible along the Moose River near McKeever, the Black River, and other rivers that drain the Tug Hill Plateau and western Adirondacks. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further details or updates && $$ Hitchcock
066 WGUS61 KBUF 011705 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 105 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019 NYZ006>008-011815- /O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-191102T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 105 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flood Watch for a portion of central New York has been cancelled. However, river flood warnings will continue for the Black River at Boonville and for the Moose River below McKeever. $$ JM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Oct 31, 2:05 AM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 2:05 AM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
205 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure over the Ohio Valley will deepen while moving across
western NY on Thursday. The low will bring a period of light rain
tonight then more of a soaking moderate to heavy rainfall to the
region on Thursday. The low will also bring a period of strong gusty
winds beginning Thursday night and lasting through midday Friday.
Colder air filtering in behind this system will change rain showers
over to snow especially across higher terrain with some minor
accumulations on Friday into the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Tonight, the first initial wave of low pressure and a shortwave
will steam northeast across the region. The first surge of
mainly light precipitation for our region is moving across as a
potent 50kt LLJ passes by just to our south through eastern
Pennsylvania. Rain should make its way to the eastern Lake
Ontario region around midnight. Then, with the passage of this
first wave, there still looks to be a brief break or lull in the
widespread precipitation after midnight. Rainfall amounts rest
of tonight will stay light and range from a 0.10 to 0.25 across
area basins with the greatest amounts south and east closer to
the LLJ. Temperatures have fallen into the lower 50s this
evening, but should rise into the mid or even upper 50s late
tonight as southerly flow begins to increase.
Thursday, the well advertised rapidly intensifying low pressure is
forecast to move out of Ohio. While there still remains some
uncertainty with the exact track and how quickly it will deepen, a
widespread soaking rainfall seems likely all day, arriving shortly
after daybreak over western NY and by midday over the rest of the
forecast area. With favorable jet dynamics in place and a 50+ knot
LLJ, expect rain to become heavy at times. When all said and done, a
total of 1-2 inches will be possible with this system, though stripe
of where heavier rain occurs still is in question based on some of
the latest guidance. Otherwise, outside of the precipitation, its
going to be a mild day with highs topping out in the 60s. So, not
the most pleasant day or evening to be out and about Trick or
Treating. Keep your rain gear handy!
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
...Damaging Winds Likely for Parts of the Region...
The well advertised high wind event will quickly unfold Thursday
night...as a complex storm system will track through the Lower Great
Lakes to the St Lawrence Valley. While there is NO DOUBT that it
will become quite windy across western and north central New York
Thursday night into Friday...the upcoming cyclone will have a couple
components to it that will make it a little different that the
classic cutter storms that generate damaging winds.
To begin with...many of the guidance packages are locking into the
main surface low passing directly over our forecast area rather than
to our west (as per climatology). This has remained the case with
the 18z and tonight's 00z available guidance. Furthermore...a
less well defined shortwave over the Mid Atlantic region by late
Thursday will track up the Northeast coast...thereby prompting
a pseudo Miller B cyclogenetic event over northern New England.
In other words...we are not talking about one powerful storm
system but a pair of surface lows that will push from western
New York into southern Quebec. This will add some uncertainty as
to the strength of the winds...as this is not a typical
scenario for our high wind events. Also...given the forecast
track there is still some debate as to whether we will
experience a true cold frontal passage with the typical blast of
strong winds. As of right now, most recent NAM and Canadian
suggest stronger/deeper low to the northwest which would allow
for more of a cold fropa with sw winds initially as early as mid
evening Thu night. The 18z GFS and 12z ECMWF focus the
deepening low more north and eventually nne of the area, so less
of a cold fropa. This more eastward track in this guidance will
also likely remove the funnelling component of the low level
winds...possibly removing as much as 20 percent from the gusts.
On the other hand...there still is strong consensus that a 55 to
60kt low level jet will strengthen a bit back in the cold air as the
whole system deepens over the St Lawrence Valley. Given moderately
strong subsidence and a continued suggestion of a moderately
significant trop fold to at least 800mb...am confident that a
majority of the winds aloft will be mixed to the surface. The timing
for the strongest winds has also shifted a bit...with the highest
gusts over the western counties likely occurring between midnight
Thursday night and mid morning Friday (though the latest NAM and
Canadian could show an arrival as early as late evening on Thursday
night)...and from around daybreak to noon or so for the Eastern Lake
Ontario region. Am also somewhat concerned that the more westerly
component to the winds on Friday will target Oswego county and
portions of the North Country more significantly than modeled. Given
the uniqueness of this event in its evolution...will maintain the
current high wind watch while issuing a wind advisory for the
remainder of the region. Keep in mind that the advisory could be
upgraded to a warning in a later forecast package if deemed
necessary. During the remainder of Friday afternoon...winds should
steadily drop off from west to east.
In regards to pcpn...the widespread rain from the first half of
Thursday night will give way to lake enhanced showers that will
persist through much of Friday. As the cold air deepens in the wake
of the intensifying storm system...the rain showers will transition
to our first snow flakes of the season. There may even be a small
slushy accumulation on the grass or on elevated surfaces late
Thursday night and Friday morning...particularly across the Southern
Tier.
While it will remain cold enough aloft to support a lake response
Friday night...surface based ridging over the Upper Ohio Valley and
Mid Atlantic region will encourage the steering flow to back over
our region. This will direct weakening lake effect rain and wet snow
showers to move north...with only nuisance (trace to a couple
hundredths liquid) amounts expected due to the lowering cap and
synoptic drying.
A longwave trough digging across the Upper Great Lakes on Saturday
will push a cold front to our doorstep. While most areas will remain
rainfree within the southerly flow ahead of the front...there will
be the chance for some showers over the far western counties. Even
in those areas...the bulk of the day will be rainfree.
It will then become interesting Saturday night and Sunday...as a
fresh shot of cold air in the wake of the aforementioned cold front
will open the door for a more pronounced lake response. A well
aligned westerly flow should enable fairly well organized lake bands
east of both lakes...with wet snow being the primary p type. While
it is a little early to get specific about snowfall amounts...it
would not take much to envision several inches of snow accumulating
over the Tug Hill and portions of the Southern Tier. Stay tuned for
this one.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Weak warm air advection will take place for the start of this time
period ahead of an approaching trough from the Central Great Lakes.
This will result in slightly warmer max temps from what can be
expected over the weekend, as most areas will be in the upper 40s to
around 50 for Monday. Temperatures will warm slightly on Tuesday to
the upper 40s and low 50s.
Monday into the first half of Tuesday will be dry before chance POPs
cover most of the area on Tuesday afternoon. An area of low pressure
tracking from the Northern Great Lakes to near James Bay will drag
its associated cold front across the area late Tuesday into early
Wednesday. This will result in increased shower potential. As cold
air advection begins behind the passing cold front, some snow will
mix in across the higher terrain early Wednesday.
Timing uncertainty still exists with the passage of the cold front,
and strength of the front between the model guidance with the GFS
and the ECMWF. The GFS is more in the late evening on Tuesday for
frontal passage and the ECMWF is around daybreak on Wednesday
morning.
Showers will continue into Wednesday with chance POPs across the
area and some likely POPs downwind of the lakes as cooler air aloft
help with some lake enhancement for the precipitation.
Guidance continues to differ with the GFS bringing an area of high
pressure starting Wednesday evening and the ECMWF stalling the front
across the area resulting in more showery precipitation to continue
across the area. Wednesdays high temperatures will be in the low to
mid 40s with the cold air advection behind the frontal passage.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Rain is tapering off across Western NY while widespread rain moves
across the EAstern Lake Ontario region overnight. Showers will
persist through the early overnight hours before a break in showers
will move into the region behind the widespread rain. A south-
southeast flow has led to VFR conditions across the Lake Plains
including KBUF and KROC. KIAG will be on the fringe of a MVFR cloud
deck through the overnight becoming IFR by morning. Moisture will
remain across the higher terrain including KJHW where IFR/LIFR
conditions will persist into Thursday.
Eventually, cigs will lower again solidly into the MVFR range around
daybreak over western NY and by late morning farther east at ROC and
ART. For the rest of Thursday, as widespread moderate, to at times
heavy, rainfall spreads across the region, expect conditions to drop
to IFR or LIFR across the board.
Thursday night, low pressure will then pass through the region with
and very windy conditions will bring a high operational impact to
area terminals. The strong winds may arrive as early as late
Thursday evening over far western NY, including at JHW, BUF and IAG.
Outlook...
Friday...High operational impact expected. Windy with
showers likely.
Saturday...Mainly VFR. A chance of showers.
Saturday night and Sunday...Mainly VFR, except IFR in lake
effect rain and snow showers east of the lakes.
&&
.MARINE...
Generally light northeasterly wind flow will remain in place across
the lower lakes through this evening. Winds will then gradually
become southerly over the course of the tonight and slowly
strengthen over the course of the day on Thursday as low pressure
tracks northeast and then deepens.
Low pressure will track past the region Thursday night into Friday
and with its passage expect a period of gale force winds across the
waters. Gale warnings continue for both lakes and the St. Lawrence
River starting Thursday night into Friday. The pressure gradient
across the lakes gradually relaxes later Friday. This will prompt
winds and waves to slowly subside as we head into the weekend.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Expect a general 1-2 inches of rain with the storm through Thursday
night. Locally higher amounts to 3 inches are possible, but guidance
is inconsistent on where axis of heaviest rain ends up. Will have to
monitor trends, since amounts in excess of 2 inches would pose a
risk for flooding. MMEFS ensembles show forecast points in the Black
River basin and perhaps on the Buffalo Creeks likely to reach action
stage. Only point attm that the ensembles show around 50 percent
chance of reaching minor flood stage is Black River at Watertown.
Risk continues in the HWO.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Strong southwest winds behind the front have the potential to cause
significant rises on Lake Erie and wave action on Lake Ontario.
Exact levels will depend heavily on wind speeds, but because of
the potential for strong winds a Lakeshore Flood Watch remains
in effect for Erie, Chautauqua, Jefferson, and Oswego counties.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Lakeshore Flood Watch from this evening through Friday
afternoon for NYZ010-019-085.
High Wind Watch from this evening through Friday evening for
NYZ001>003-007-010>012-019-085.
Lakeshore Flood Watch from late tonight through Friday evening
for NYZ006-007.
Wind Advisory from 2 AM to 5 PM EDT Friday for NYZ005-006-008.
Wind Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 5 PM EDT Friday for
NYZ004-013-014-020-021.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 8 PM this evening to 5 PM EDT Friday for
LEZ040-041.
Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 5 PM EDT Friday
for LEZ020.
Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT
Friday for LOZ042>045-062>065.
Gale Warning from 3 AM to 5 PM EDT Friday for SLZ022-
024.
&&
SYNOPSIS...AR/JLA
NEAR TERM...AR/JLA
SHORT TERM...JLA/RSH
LONG TERM...SW
AVIATION...AR/HSK/JLA
MARINE...AR
HYDROLOGY...Apffel/JLA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...ApffelHazardous weather outlook, Oct 30, 3:07 PM EDT, 12 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 NYZ001>003-011-012-311915- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ010-019-085-311915- Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Lakeshore Flood Watch. High Wind Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ004-013-014-020-021-311915- Wayne-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THURSDAY TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. The strong winds will be preceded by a soaking inch to an inch and a half of rain late Wednesday night into Thursday evening. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ005-311915- Northern Cayuga- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. The strong winds will be preceded by a soaking inch to an inch and a half of rain late Wednesday night into Thursday evening. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ008-311915- Lewis- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. This system also has the potential to cause flooding with rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches likely. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ007-311915- Jefferson- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Watch. Lakeshore Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006-311915- Oswego- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Lakeshore Flood Watch. This system also has the potential to cause flooding with rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches likely. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ030-311915- Lower Niagara River- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf SLZ022-024-311915- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042>045-062>065-311915- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THURSDAY TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-311915- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THURSDAY TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-311915- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 307 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THURSDAY TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 3:16 AM EDT | High Wind Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more | 34 hr |
| Oct 31, 3:37 AM EDT | Lakeshore Flood Warning | BUF | Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Niagara, Oswego | 40 hr |
| Oct 31, 3:39 AM EDT | Storm Warning | BUF | 33 hr | |
| Oct 31, 6:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Lewis | 60 min |
| Oct 31, 6:52 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Lewis, Oswego | 11 hr |
| Oct 31, 7:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Lewis | 34 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.