Alert archive / North Dakota / Blizzard Warnings in 2019

Blizzard Warning 1, NWS Bismarck, ND

January 23, 20194 counties in North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this blizzard warning at Jan 23, 2019, 3:27 PM CST for 4 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Jan 23, 2019, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2019, 3:27 PM CST (21:27 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 23, 2019, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Jan 24, 2019, 1:24 AM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND

Counties Dickey County, ND, Foster County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Stutsman County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2019-01-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2019-01-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 163 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1056 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

630 
WWUS43 KBIS 232127
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
327 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

NDZ025-037-048-051-240530-
/O.UPG.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.190124T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.BZ.W.0001.190124T0000Z-190124T1500Z/
Foster-Stutsman-La Moure-Dickey-
Including the cities of Carrington, Jamestown, Lamoure, Edgeley, 
Kulm, Oakes, and Ellendale
327 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Visibilities to near zero
  at times with considerable drifting snow. Total snow
  accumulations less than one inch expected. Winds gusting as high
  as 50 mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Foster, Stutsman, La Moure and Dickey counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. 
  Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The dangerously 
  cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero could cause frostbite 
  on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If
you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get
stranded, stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ001-009-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-240530-
/O.NEW.KBIS.WC.Y.0006.190124T0600Z-190124T1800Z/
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Dunn-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Slope-
Hettinger-Bowman-Adams-
Including the cities of Crosby, Williston, Watford City, 
Killdeer, Halliday, Beach, Medora, Dickinson, Marmarth, Mott, 
New England, Bowman, and Hettinger
327 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /227 PM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/
TONIGHT TO NOON CST /11 AM MST/ THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as
  near 40 below zero expected. Gusty northerly winds to 40 mph
  with patchy blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and southwest North Dakota.

* WHEN...From midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight to noon CST /11 
  AM MST/ Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$

NDZ019-020-034-042-045-240530-
/O.EXA.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.190124T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
Mercer-Oliver-Morton-Grant-Sioux-
Including the cities of Beulah, Hazen, Center, Mandan, Elgin, 
Carson, New Leipzig, Fort Yates, Selfridge, and Solen
327 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /227 PM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blowing and considerable drifting snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of less than one inch expected. Winds gusting
  as high as 45 mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Mercer, Oliver, Morton, Grant and Sioux counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Wind chills
  as low as 35 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin 
  in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of blowing and
drifting snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect 
snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ002>005-010>013-240530-
/O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Mountrail-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-
Including the cities of Bowbells, Powers Lake, Lignite, Columbus,
Portal, Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, Bottineau, Rolla, Dunseith, 
Rolette, Shell Valley, St. John, New Town, Stanley, Parshall, 
Minot, Velva, Towner, Drake, and Rugby
327 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blowing and considerable drifting snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of less than inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 
  mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.
  The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero could cause
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of blowing and
drifting snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect 
snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ021>023-035-036-046-047-050-240530-
/O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.190124T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Burleigh-Kidder-Emmons-Logan-McIntosh-
Including the cities of Garrison, Washburn, Underwood, Wilton, 
Turtle Lake, Mcclusky, Goodrich, Harvey, Fessenden, Bismarck, 
Steele, Tappen, Linton, Strasburg, Napoleon, Gackle, Wishek, 
and Ashley
327 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blowing and drifting snow expected. Total snow
  accumulations of less than one inch expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 50 mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.  
  The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

JV
3 follow-up statements
341 
WWUS43 KBIS 240030
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
630 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

NDZ025-037-048-051-240830-
/O.CON.KBIS.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190124T1500Z/
Foster-Stutsman-La Moure-Dickey-
Including the cities of Carrington, Jamestown, Lamoure, Edgeley, 
Kulm, Oakes, and Ellendale
630 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Visibilities to near zero 
  at times with considerable drifting snow. Total snow 
  accumulations less than one inch expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 50 mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Foster, Stutsman, La Moure and Dickey counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.
  The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero could cause
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If
you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get
stranded, stay with your vehicle.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ002>005-010>013-240830-
/O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Mountrail-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-
Including the cities of Bowbells, Powers Lake, Lignite, Columbus,
Portal, Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, Bottineau, Rolla, Dunseith, 
Rolette, Shell Valley, St. John, New Town, Stanley, Parshall, 
Minot, Velva, Towner, Drake, and Rugby
630 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blowing and considerable drifting snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations of less than inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 
  mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of blowing and
drifting snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect
snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution
while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ019>023-034>036-042-045>047-050-240830-
/O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-Grant-
Sioux-Emmons-Logan-McIntosh-
Including the cities of Beulah, Hazen, Center, Garrison, 
Washburn, Underwood, Wilton, Turtle Lake, Mcclusky, Goodrich, 
Harvey, Fessenden, Mandan, Bismarck, Steele, Tappen, Elgin, 
Carson, New Leipzig, Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, 
Strasburg, Napoleon, Gackle, Wishek, and Ashley
630 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /530 PM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST /5 AM
MST/ THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blowing and drifting snow expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of less than one inch expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 50 mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. 
  The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ001-009-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-240830-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0006.190124T0600Z-190124T1800Z/
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Dunn-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Slope-
Hettinger-Bowman-Adams-
Including the cities of Crosby, Williston, Watford City, 
Killdeer, Halliday, Beach, Medora, Dickinson, Marmarth, Mott, 
New England, Bowman, and Hettinger
630 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /530 PM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM
MST/ TONIGHT TO NOON CST /11 AM MST/ THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 
  near 40 below zero expected. Gusty northerly winds to 40 mph 
  with patchy blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Most of western North Dakota.

* WHEN...From midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight to noon CST /11 
  AM MST/ Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

&&

$$
twh
754 
WWUS43 KBIS 240416
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1016 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

NDZ025-037-048-051-241230-
/O.CON.KBIS.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190124T1500Z/
Foster-Stutsman-La Moure-Dickey-
Including the cities of Carrington, Jamestown, Lamoure, Edgeley, 
Kulm, Oakes, and Ellendale
1016 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Visibilities to near zero 
  at times with considerable drifting snow. Total snow 
  accumulations less than one inch expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 50 mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Foster, Stutsman, La Moure and Dickey counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If
you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get
stranded, stay with your vehicle.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ002>005-010>013-241200-
/O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Mountrail-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-
Including the cities of Bowbells, Powers Lake, Lignite, Columbus,
Portal, Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, Bottineau, Rolla, Dunseith, 
Rolette, Shell Valley, St. John, New Town, Stanley, Parshall, 
Minot, Velva, Towner, Drake, and Rugby
1016 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blowing and considerable drifting snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations of less than inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 
  mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of blowing and
drifting snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect
snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution
while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ019>023-034>036-042-045>047-050-241200-
/O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-Grant-
Sioux-Emmons-Logan-McIntosh-
Including the cities of Beulah, Hazen, Center, Garrison, 
Washburn, Underwood, Wilton, Turtle Lake, Mcclusky, Goodrich, 
Harvey, Fessenden, Mandan, Bismarck, Steele, Tappen, Elgin, 
Carson, New Leipzig, Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, 
Strasburg, Napoleon, Gackle, Wishek, and Ashley
1016 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /916 PM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST /5 AM
MST/ THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Blowing and drifting snow expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of less than one inch expected. Winds gusting as 
  high as 50 mph. Dangerous wind chills late tonight.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. 
  The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

NDZ001-009-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-241230-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0006.190124T0600Z-190124T1800Z/
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Dunn-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Slope-
Hettinger-Bowman-Adams-
Including the cities of Crosby, Williston, Watford City, 
Killdeer, Halliday, Beach, Medora, Dickinson, Marmarth, Mott, 
New England, Bowman, and Hettinger
1016 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /916 PM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM
MST/ THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 
  near 40 below zero expected. Gusty northerly winds to 40 mph 
  with patchy blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Most of western North Dakota.

* WHEN...From midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight to noon CST /11 
  AM MST/ Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

&&

$$
975 
WWUS43 KBIS 240724
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
124 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019

NDZ025-037-048-051-241530-
/O.CAN.KBIS.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190124T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBIS.WC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-190125T1800Z/
Foster-Stutsman-La Moure-Dickey-
Including the cities of Carrington, Jamestown, Lamoure, Edgeley, 
Kulm, Oakes, and Ellendale
124 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills ongoing. Wind chills as low as 40
  below zero ongoing. 

* WHERE...Foster, Stutsman, La Moure and Dickey counties.

* WHEN...Until noon CST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$

NDZ002-003-010-011-019>021-034-035-042-045-046-241530-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KBIS.WC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-190124T1800Z/
Burke-Renville-Mountrail-Ward-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Morton-
Burleigh-Grant-Sioux-Emmons-
Including the cities of Bowbells, Powers Lake, Lignite, Columbus,
Portal, Mohall, Glenburn, Sherwood, New Town, Stanley, Parshall, 
Minot, Beulah, Hazen, Center, Garrison, Washburn, Underwood, 
Wilton, Turtle Lake, Mandan, Bismarck, Elgin, Carson, 
New Leipzig, Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, and Strasburg
124 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 /1224 AM MST Thu Jan 24 2019/

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM MST/
TODAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills ongoing. Wind chills as low as 40 
  below zero ongoing.

* WHERE...Portions of north central, northwest and south central 
  North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until noon CST /11 AM MST/ today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-036-047-050-241530-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190124T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBIS.WC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-190125T1800Z/
Bottineau-Rolette-McHenry-Pierce-Sheridan-Wells-Kidder-Logan-
McIntosh-
Including the cities of Bottineau, Rolla, Dunseith, Rolette, 
Shell Valley, St. John, Velva, Towner, Drake, Rugby, Mcclusky, 
Goodrich, Harvey, Fessenden, Steele, Tappen, Napoleon, Gackle, 
Wishek, and Ashley
124 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills ongoing. Wind chills as low as 40 
  below zero ongoing.

* WHERE...Portions of north central, south central and southeast 
  North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until noon CST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$

NDZ001-009-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-241530-
/O.CON.KBIS.WC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-190124T1800Z/
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Dunn-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Slope-
Hettinger-Bowman-Adams-
Including the cities of Crosby, Williston, Watford City, 
Killdeer, Halliday, Beach, Medora, Dickinson, Marmarth, Mott, 
New England, Bowman, and Hettinger
124 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 /1224 AM MST Thu Jan 24 2019/

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM
MST/ TODAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills ongoing. Wind chills as low as 35 
  below zero ongoing.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and southwest North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until noon CST /11 AM MST/ today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The dangerously cold wind chills could 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves. 

&&

$$
AJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Jan 23, 12:34 PM CST, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 12:34 PM CST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1234 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1230 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

Still no big changes this update. Thinking we will need to
increase forecast wind speeds tonight...and may need to add some
counties just west of the current winter weather advisory into the
advisory. Otherwise, arctic front was approaching the northwest
corner of the state. The worst visibility seen so far was in
Regina with 3 miles in light snow and blowing snow.

UPDATE Issued at 1011 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

No big changes this update. Arctic front had already passed
through Saskatoon in central/south central Saskatchewan, and
was approaching Regina. Thinking that the timing of the arctic
front (winds turning straight out of the north and falling
temperatures) reaching northwestern ND, for example at Crosby and
Divide/Burke County, around noon CST. We are planning on posting a
"timing map" for the arctic front.

There was also another "pre-arctic front" with gusty northwest
winds ahead of the more northerly arctic front that has already
entered northwestern ND.

Will be watching upstream obs for any indications of lower
visibilities. A bit uneasy with the boundary between blizzard
warning to the east and advisory to the west. Blizzard warning
means 1/4 mile or less vsby for a few hours. Winter weather
advisory is for 1/2 mile vsby for a few hours with little/no
falling snow. Splitting hairs on the forecast perspective...but
to drivers, it makes a big difference. Either case,
bad/iffy/dangerous for travel.

UPDATE Issued at 606 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

No major changes for this update. The latest short-term model runs
continue to advertise today/tonight's event about the same as
earlier runs.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 403 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

A powerful Arctic cold front will produce strong northerly winds
across North Dakota this afternoon through Thursday morning,
resulting in significant blowing and drifting snow and dangerous
wind chills. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for near
blizzard conditions at times across the previous watch area with
the exception Divide and Williams Counties.

Quiet weather will continue this morning with warm air advection
and clearing skies ahead of the approaching front.

The Arctic front will move across the Canadian border this
afternoon and quickly plunge southward through the evening. A
brief period of light snow is possible along the leading edge of
the colder air given a cyclonic flow regime and steep low-level
lapse rates. Accumulations are expected to remain below half an
inch at this time.

The bigger story will be strengthening northerly winds. Models
remain in agreement with strong pressure rises and cold air
advection leading to sustained winds around 30 mph and mix-down
gust potential of 35-45 mph. Given recent rounds of snowfall with
high snow-to-liquid ratios and colder temperatures outside far
southwest North Dakota, the expectation is that snow will be
easily blowable. However, recent research indicates that with very
little new snow falling it takes stronger winds than currently
forecast (sustained winds 10-15 mph higher) to produce true
widespread blizzard conditions. Therefore, blowing and drifting
snow is expected and will likely reduce visibility, perhaps to
near zero at times in open country, but confidence is not high
enough at this time in meeting true blizzard criteria to warrant
the issuance of a Blizzard Warning. Conditions will be closely
monitored and should winds appear stronger or more snow fall than
expected an upgrade to a warning in some locations could occur.
Regardless, travel will be hazardous today and those that must
travel should have a winter survival kit on hand and be prepared
for rapidly changing conditions.

On top of all that, temperatures are forecast to plummet below zero
by sunrise Thursday morning, and not recover much during the rest of
the day. This will result in dangerous wind chills around 35
below zero, with the coldest values expected around the Turtle
Mountains.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 403 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

Global models are in agreement with a northwest flow pattern
persisting through the extended period, with numerous clipper
systems passing through. The strongest of these is forecast to
impact the area Saturday and Sunday. The GFS and ECMWF are in
agreement with a higher potential for accumulating snow and winds
as strong, if not stronger than the Wednesday/Thursday system
earlier in the week. A short-lived warming trend is forecast
through the weekend before Arctic air returns next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1230 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

A potent arctic cold front will enter the northwestern corner of ND
around Crosby around 18z, then push south/southeast across the state
this afternoon. Increasing northwest winds ahead of the arctic front
should become more northerly and increase to 20-28 knots sustained
with gusts 30-40 knots. Noted some MVFR cigs at KISN ahead of arctic
front and IFR/fog at Rolla at/before 18z today. MVFR cigs should
spread south and east across ND this afternoon with VFR/MVFR cigs
and vsbys in light snow and blowing snow, then VFR cigs later
tonight from northwest to southeast. Vsbys may reduce to IFR at
times in blowing snow. Northerly winds should persist through
tonight keeping MVFR/VFR vsbys in blowing snow most areas.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST
Thursday for NDZ021>023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051.

Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for NDZ002>005-
010>013.

&&

UPDATE...JV
SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...JV
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 23, 4:00 AM CST, 11 hours 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
400 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

NDZ002>005-010>013-021>023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-241000-
Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Mountrail-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-
McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Emmons-
Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
400 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
and southeast North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect this afternoon through
early Thursday morning.

Light snow and strong winds gusting to 45 mph are expected
this afternoon through early Thursday morning. Blowing and
drifting snow will reduce visibility to near zero at
times. Dangerous wind chills as low as 35 below zero are expected
tonight through Thursday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Accumulating snow and strong winds are possible Saturday and
Sunday.

Dangerous wind chills to 30 below are possible Sunday night and
Monday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NDZ001-009-017>020-031>034-040>045-241000-
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-Golden Valley-
Billings-Stark-Morton-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-
400 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /300 AM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest North
Dakota, south central North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Light snow and strong winds gusting to 35 mph are expected
this afternoon through early Thursday morning. Hazardous travel is
possible with reduced visibility and slick roads due to blowing
and drifting snow. Dangerous wind chills as low as 35 below zero
are expected tonight through Thursday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Accumulating snow and strong winds are possible Saturday and
Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

AJ

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 23, 10:02 AM CST, 5 hours 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1002 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

NDZ001-009-017>020-031>034-040>045-232215-
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-Golden Valley-
Billings-Stark-Morton-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-
Including the cities of Crosby, Williston, Watford City,
Killdeer, Halliday, Beulah, Hazen, Center, Beach, Medora,
Dickinson, Mandan, Marmarth, Mott, New England, Elgin, Carson,
New Leipzig, Bowman, Hettinger, Fort Yates, Selfridge, and Solen
1002 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /902 AM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

...WINTRY WEATHER WILL IMPACT TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

Light snow and strong winds gusting to 35 mph are expected
this afternoon through early Thursday morning. Hazardous travel is
possible with reduced visibility and slick roads due to blowing
and drifting snow. Additionally, dangerous wind chills as low as
35 below zero are expected tonight through Thursday morning.

MJ/JV
Special weather statement, Jan 23, 1:54 PM CST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
154 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

NDZ018>023-025-033>037-040>048-050-051-232200-
Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Stark-Morton-
Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-
Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
Including the cities of Killdeer, Halliday, Beulah, Hazen,
Center, Garrison, Washburn, Underwood, Wilton, Turtle Lake,
Mcclusky, Goodrich, Harvey, Fessenden, Carrington, Dickinson,
Mandan, Bismarck, Steele, Tappen, Jamestown, Marmarth, Mott,
New England, Elgin, Carson, New Leipzig, Bowman, Hettinger,
Fort Yates, Selfridge, Solen, Linton, Strasburg, Napoleon,
Gackle, Lamoure, Edgeley, Kulm, Wishek, Ashley, Oakes,
and Ellendale
154 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 /1254 PM MST Wed Jan 23 2019/

...DRIFTING SNOW WILL CAUSE ICY ROADS IN PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON...

Gusty winds will cause drifting snow that will melt and refreeze
on area roads this afternoon, leading to icy conditions. Black ice
may be difficult to see. This includes portions of Interstate 94
between Dickinson and Jamestown, and Highway 83 between Washburn
and the South Dakota state line south of Linton.

The North Dakota Highway Patrol advises against using cruise
control during icy conditions.

Even stronger winds will develop by late afternoon or early
evening, and will continue through early Thursday morning,
causing blowing and drifting snow and low wind chills.

CJS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 23, 4:00 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryBISBottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Foster and 15 more21 hr
Jan 23, 3:27 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryBISAdams, Billings, Bottineau, Bowman, Burke, Burleigh and 26 more45 hr

Nearby

Blizzard Warnings in North Dakota, 2019Every blizzard warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.