High Wind Warning 1, NWS Juneau, AK

899 
WWAK77 PAJK 011401
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
501 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

AKZ025-011515-
/O.CAN.PAJK.HW.A.0001.190101T1800Z-190102T0300Z/
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island-
Including the city of Juneau
501 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Juneau has cancelled the High
Wind Watch. 

Southerly winds will gust to around 55 mph this afternoon near
downtown Juneau and Douglas but remain below warning criteria.

$$

AKZ027-028-020215-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0001.190101T2100Z-190102T0600Z/
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Craig, Klawock, Ketchikan, and Metlakatla
501 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM
AKST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Coastal areas of Prince of Wales Island and the 
  Southern Inner Channels including Craig, Hydaburg, Ketchikan, 
  and Metlakatla. 

* WINDS...Southeast winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts of 60 to 70 
  mph expected. 

* TIMING...Strong winds will increase through the day. Strongest 
  winds will be felt on Prince of Wales Island by mid afternoon 
  and during the early evening hours in the Ketchikan area. 

* IMPACTS...Improperly moored boats may break free. Loose 
  objects will blow around. Power outages are possible due to 
  falling trees and branches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 MPH or gusts
of 58 MPH or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

278 
WWAK77 PAJK 012145
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1245 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

AKZ027-028-020600-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190102T0600Z/
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Craig, Klawock, Ketchikan, and Metlakatla
1245 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...Coastal areas of Prince of Wales Island and the 
  Southern Inner Channels including Craig, Hydaburg, Ketchikan, 
  and Metlakatla. 

* WINDS...Southeast winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts of 60 to 70 
  mph expected. 

* TIMING...Strongest winds will be felt on Prince of Wales Island
  by mid afternoon and during the early evening hours in the 
  Ketchikan area. 

* IMPACTS...Improperly moored boats may break free. Loose 
  objects will blow around. Power outages are possible due to 
  falling trees and branches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 MPH or gusts
of 58 MPH or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

741 
WWAK77 PAJK 020209
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
509 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

AKZ027-020315-
/O.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190102T0600Z/
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Including the cities of Craig and Klawock
509 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Juneau has cancelled the High
Wind Warning. 

Winds are diminishing along the southern outer coast this evening.
Highest winds reported were sustained winds of 40 mph with gusts 
to 51 mph at Hydaburg during the late morning hours.

This will be the final statement on this event.

$$

AKZ028-020600-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190102T0600Z/
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Ketchikan and Metlakatla
509 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...Coastal areas of Prince of Wales Island and the 
  Southern Inner Channels including Craig, Hydaburg, Ketchikan, 
  and Metlakatla. 

* WINDS...Southeast winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts of 60 to 70 
  mph expected. 

* TIMING...Strongest winds will be felt on Prince of Wales 
  Island by mid afternoon and during the early evening hours in 
  the Ketchikan area. 

* IMPACTS...Improperly moored boats may break free. Loose 
  objects will blow around. Power outages are possible due to 
  falling trees and branches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 MPH or gusts
of 58 MPH or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

379 
WWAK77 PAJK 020539
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
839 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

AKZ028-020645-
/O.EXP.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190102T0600Z/
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Ketchikan and Metlakatla
839 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

Winds across the southern inner channels are diminishing this
evening. The highest wind gusts were 90 mph at Ketchikan Salmon 
Landing. Wind gusts to 40 mph may continue for a couple more 
hours.

This will be the final statement on this event.

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
253 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018

.SHORT TERM...Heavy rain and strong winds to welcome in the New
Year in Southeast Alaska. Currently, a strong front is pushing
through interior parts of the Panhandle. Winds have gusted as high
as 60 mph in Ketchikan per marine exchange observations, with
frequent gusts of 40 to 50 mph across the rest of the inside
waters this morning. Heavy rainfall has also accompanied the front
with widespread rainfall totals of up to an inch so far this
afternoon. Snowfall has been confined to the higher elevations of
the Klondike Highway and in Hyder. Several inches of snow will
likely occur in the Hyder area before the precipitation changes to
rain this evening.

Those hoping for a break for the New Year's Eve festivities will be
in luck this evening.  Looks like a break in the winds and rain
through midnight for at least the northern and central Panhandle,
while rain continues over the south as the front gets hung up there.

Attention then turns to a second strong disturbance ejecting
northward towards the Panhandle on the nose of a 140kt Pacific jet
for Tuesday afternoon.  Strong low level baroclinic zone will
enhance the low level wind fields and the moisture transport with
this system.  Surface gradients will be quite favorable for strong
winds throughout the Panhandle.  Sitka-Ketchikan gradients peak
around 13mb with Juneau-Ketchikan gradients around 15mb Tuesday
afternoon.  Low level jet of up to 60 kt at 925mb will couple to the
strong surface gradient forcing and lead to strong gales over the
inside waters with wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph likely in places
favorable to channeled SE winds. Went with a High Wind Warning for
the southern Panhandle where the gradient will be favorable for the
longest.  The EC is showing the potential for a surface wave riding
the front tomorrow afternoon which could complicate the wind field
further north.  Thus went with a High Wind Watch for Juneau to allow
the night shift further time to gauge wind potential there.

Very strong southerly moisture transport through Tuesday evening
will result in significant rainfall amounts Panhandle-wide. 2 to 3
inches of rainfall occurring in a few hours will lead to the
potential for smaller streams and creeks to approach bankfull or
briefly overflow their banks.  Larger river systems will also see
some rises but no major flooding is anticipated at this time. This
moisture transport and dynamic cooling will lead to heavy snowfall
on the Klondike highway.  Thus have issued a Winter Storm Warning
for 5 to 10 inches of heavy, wet snow near White Pass Tuesday
afternoon.

Winds will begin to subside over the south Tuesday night. For areas
further north, expect gusty south winds to continue as CAA commences
behind the front.  Snow levels will slowly fall as showers continue
through Wednesday but at this time not expecting any snow near sea
level.

.LONG TERM...Guidance continues to point toward a more zonal flow
pattern for the latter half of the week. Some colder air will
also be pushed into the area from the Bering Sea area causing
temperatures and snow levels to drop. Confidence is average as
most guidance has a good handle on the overall pattern. However,
there is a series of strong lows that the models are insisting on
bringing N toward Haida Gwaii (one on Thu followed by one on Sat,
through that timing is rather vague). Confidence is rather low as
successive model runs have kept pushing the systems further and
further S. Also confidence on timing is rather lacking as well.

As such, the main changes in the long range focused on the
cooling of temperatures across the area as the cooler air mass
moves in. Highs for late week now may not get above freezing in
some northern areas. Showers are also expected to remain in the
area due to persistent onshore flow, but precip chances remain in
the 30 to 50 percent range due to lack of any confidence on any
strong storms moving in. Wpc used for most changes in the
extended.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind Tuesday afternoon for AKZ019-024-026.
     High Wind Warning from noon to 9 PM AKST Tuesday for AKZ027-028.
     Strong Wind until 3 PM AKST this afternoon for AKZ019-021-023-
     025-027.
     High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon
     for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind Tuesday afternoon for AKZ021-022.
     Strong Wind from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon for
     AKZ023.
     Strong Wind from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon for
     AKZ020.
     Winter Storm Warning from 3 AM to 6 PM AKST Tuesday for AKZ018.
     Strong Wind Tuesday afternoon for AKZ018.
MARINE...Storm Warning for PKZ052.
     Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-022-031>034-036-041>043-051.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-021-035-053.

&&

DEL/EAL

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