Small Craft Advisory 252, NWS Fairbanks, AK

490 
FZAK51 PAFG 091312
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
412 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-100315-
412 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A ridge of high pressure will persist into Wednesday in the high 
Arctic. A trough of low pressure over the Arctic Coast will weaken
tonight but will strengthen again Monday evening.

$$

PKZ225-100315-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
412 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 3 ft building
to 6 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. Freezing spray. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-100315-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
412 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-100315-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
412 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-100315-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
412 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt increasing to 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-100315-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
412 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt increasing to 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...E winds 35 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

Dec 19

465 
FZAK51 PAFG 100011
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
311 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-101515-
311 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A ridge of high pressure centered near 78 N 133 W will push to 
the southeast tonight and Tuesday. A trough of low pressure just 
south of the Arctic Coast will strengthen tonight but will weaken
on Tuesday.

$$

PKZ225-101515-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
311 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-101515-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
311 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-101515-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
311 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-101515-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
311 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-101515-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
311 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

Dec 19

327 
FZAK51 PAFG 101215
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
315 AM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-110315-
315 AM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A ridge of high pressure centered near 78 N 133 W will push to 
the southeast on Tuesday. 

$$

PKZ225-110315-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
315 AM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 10 kt. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-110315-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
315 AM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019


...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding.
Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 1 foot.  

$$

PKZ235-110315-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
315 AM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-110315-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
315 AM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 45 kt decreasing to 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-110315-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
315 AM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 45 kt decreasing to 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 
NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...E winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

Dec 19

050 
FZAK51 PAFG 102329
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
229 PM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-111515-
229 PM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A ridge near Banks Island will persist into Friday along with a
trough of low pressure just south of the Arctic Coast.

$$

PKZ225-111515-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
229 PM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-111515-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
229 PM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 1 foot. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.  

$$

PKZ235-111515-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
229 PM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-111515-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
229 PM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-111515-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
229 PM AKST Tue Dec 10 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 40 kt. 
.WED...E winds 40 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. 
.THU...E winds 35 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 25 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

Dec 19

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
218 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
An area of low pressure will bring strong winds, snow, blowing
snow and freezing rain to the west coast Monday and Tuesday,
primarily to areas south of the Bering Strait. Strong southerly
gap winds are expected Monday in the Alaska Range, with a strong
easterly winds expected near Delta Junction.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Overall the models initialize well and are in generally good
agreement through the middle of the week. There are still some differences
in the track and placement of a strong low that will move move
through the Bering Sea Monday and Tuesday.

Central and Eastern Interior: A northward moving front will bring
snow to areas north of the Yukon River this evening, with an inch
or so of accumulation. Strong southerly flow aloft will develop
over the Alaska Range tonight. This will limit chances for
precipitation for for most of the Interior for the first part of
the workweek. The southerly flow will help to bring above normal
temperatures for Monday and Tuesday. Strong southerly gap winds
are expected near passes on the north side of the Alaska Range.
Gusts of 60 to 70 mph are exepcted with the strongest winds
expected from the Parks Highway west. Strong easterly Tanana
Valley Jet winds are expected to develop as well on Monday with
gusts up to 50 mph expected near Delta Junction. We opted to
issue a High Wind Warning for zone 225 and Wind Advisories for
zones 223 and 226. Northeasterly winds will develop elsewhere
across the Interior. We will likely see gusts up to 40 mph with
blowing snow over summits along the Dalton and Elliott Highways.
Monday afternoon into early Tuesday.

West Coast and Western Interior: Gusty southeasterly winds
continue will continue along this evening over St. Lawrence
Island and coastal areas south of the Bering Strait. These winds
may cause some minor rises in water levels along the coast of
Norton Sound this evening, generally up to two feet above the
normal high tide line. Winds will quickly become more
northeasterlyin direction after midnight as the next system
approaches. This system, a 960 mb low will move into Bristol Bay
from the south around midnight tonight. This low will move to the
northwest Monday into Tuesday. This low will bring strong winds,
snow, blowing snow and freezing rain to areas. Winds will begin to
increase early Monday morning, with strong winds continuing into
Tuesday. St. Lawrence Island and the Yukon Delta will likely see
gusts of 60 to 70 mph on Tuesday. Warm air is expected to push up
north with this system. Therefore, while we expect precipitation
to initially begin as snow, we expect a transition over to
freezing by noon on Monday. Precipitation will taper off for most
places along the coast Monday evening; however, strong winds will
persist after the precipitation ends, into Tuesday.

North Slope and Brooks Range: Gusty easterly winds and blowing
snow continue will continue into this evening along the Beaufort
Sea Coast. Winds will die down late this evening as the strongest
winds push offshore. The pressure gradient will tighten up north
of the Brooks Range Monday evening. As the pressure gradient
tightens up, southerly gap winds with gusts up to 40 mph are
possible near passes on the north side of the Brooks Range. These
gap winds will persist into Tuesday evening. Another round of
gusty easterly winds and blowing snow is expected to begin Monday
evening and will persist into Tuesday evening.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...The low moving through the
Bering Sea has the potential to bring elevated water levels to the
west coast on Tuesday. Right now there is still some disagreement
between the models how fast the low will track to the northwest.
If the low moves slower, it will allow for more time with winds
from a favorable direction to cause elevated waters. We will have
to continue to monitor this situation.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory for AKZ223-AKZ226.

High Wind Warning for AKZ225-AKZ227.

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ213.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-
AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ217-AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ230.

Gale Warning for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ240-PKZ245.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ230-PKZ235.
&&

DEC 19

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1226 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

AKZ211-090600-
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
1226 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...Elevated Surf Today...

Easterly winds will bring elevated surf today to the southern
Seward Peninsula Coast today. Water levels are expected to be 2 to
3 feet above the normal high tide line. Water levels will drop
overnight as winds become more northeasterly.