Storm Warning 181, NWS Anchorage, AK

993 
FZAK51 PAFC 090102
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091345-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front across the western Gulf Sun afternoon will move over the
AKPEN Sun night. A second front will move northward across the
Gulf from Mon morning through Tue morning. 

$$

PKZ119-091345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft building to 27 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 55 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
29 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 32 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 50 kt. Seas 35 ft subsiding to 29 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091345-
Resurrection Bay-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of
Caines Head. Rain.
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Higher winds and seas S 
of Caines Head. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091345-
Prince William Sound-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt near Hinchinbrook Entrance. 
Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091345-
Port Valdez-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091345-
Valdez Narrows-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091345-
Valdez Arm-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091345-
Passage Canal-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 55 kt. Seas 30 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 28 ft
subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas
11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091345-
Barren Islands East-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft building to 34 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 32 ft
subsiding to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, S wind 45 kt diminishing
to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091345-
Chiniak Bay-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft
subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091345-
Marmot Bay-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas
6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091345-
Shelikof Strait-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 55 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 26 ft
subsiding to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft
subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091345-
Kachemak Bay-
402 PM AKST Sun Dec 8 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

803 
FZAK51 PAFC 091220
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100145-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 957 mb low 110 nm southwest of Sitkinak moves into the Bering 
Mon afternoon. The associated storm force front in the central 
Gulf moves to the northern Gulf Mon afternoon. A 960 mb North 
Pacific low moves 340 nm southeast of Sitkinak at 961 mb Tue 
night.

$$

PKZ119-100145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 31 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
28 ft subsiding to 20 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 31 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100145-
Resurrection Bay-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 
kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100145-
Prince William Sound-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100145-
Port Valdez-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100145-
Valdez Narrows-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100145-
Valdez Arm-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100145-
Passage Canal-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft
subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100145-
Barren Islands East-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
30 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 45 kt becoming
S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 28 ft subsiding to 22 ft in the 
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100145-
Chiniak Bay-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft
subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100145-
Marmot Bay-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100145-
Shelikof Strait-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt increasing to NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100145-
Kachemak Bay-
320 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

403 
FZAK51 PAFC 091846 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100430-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 957 mb low 110 nm southwest of Sitkinak moves into the Bering 
Mon afternoon. The associated storm force front in the central 
Gulf moves to the northern Gulf Mon afternoon. A 960 mb North 
Pacific low moves 340 nm southeast of Sitkinak at 961 mb Tue 
night.

$$

PKZ119-100430-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 31 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 28 ft subsiding to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100430-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 31 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100430-
Resurrection Bay-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10  kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100430-
Prince William Sound-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100430-
Port Valdez-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100430-
Valdez Narrows-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100430-
Valdez Arm-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100430-
Passage Canal-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100430-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100430-
Barren Islands East-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
30 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.WED...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100430-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 45 kt
becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 28 ft subsiding to 22 ft
in the  afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100430-
Chiniak Bay-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100430-
Marmot Bay-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft  subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 12 ft in the afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100430-
Shelikof Strait-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt increasing to NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100430-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100430-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100430-
Kachemak Bay-
946 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

617 
FZAK51 PAFC 100025
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101300-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the northern Gulf will move inland tonight. A second 
front will move northwestward across the Gulf Tue afternoon into Wed 
morning. 

$$

PKZ119-101300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Near 
the coast, SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 26
ft subsiding to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt in the evening becoming S 25 kt. Seas 24 ft 
subsiding to 18 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101300-
Resurrection Bay-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. Higher winds and seas S of
Lowell Point.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 
kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101300-
Prince William Sound-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101300-
Port Valdez-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101300-
Valdez Narrows-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101300-
Valdez Arm-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101300-
Passage Canal-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101300-
Barren Islands East-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft building to 24 ft after midnight.
.WED...E wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101300-
Chiniak Bay-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 18 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101300-
Marmot Bay-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101300-
Shelikof Strait-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft 
building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after midnight.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after
midnight.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101300-
Kachemak Bay-
325 PM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
450 PM AKST Sat Dec 7 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A high amplitude pattern has set up with a ridge axis over eastern
Alaska and longwave trough axis bisecting the central Aleutians.
There is a potent jet core south of the Aleutians with an
intensity of 170+ knots. A fetch of warm air is pushing up the
Cook Inlet. This morning the observed temperature at Seldovia was
52 degrees Fahrenheit. On the latest satellite imagery there is a
low near Kodiak and another low near Nunivak Island. The
precipitation shield spans from the central Bering across
Southwest Alaska into portions of Southcentral and back into the
north Pacific. Meanwhile farther west, a low continues to spin
near Attu Island.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models continue to move towards a consensus with the primary
surface lows that will impact AK over the next couple of days.
They have all converged on a solution that carries tonight's
system up through the Kenai Peninsula and Northern Cook Inlet.
Then, shifting to the storm on Sun night, there is some marginal
discrepancy between the NAM and some of the other models on the
exact strength and track of the low as it hugs the Western AK
coast. In general though, most of the impacts associated with this
would be much the same. However, we will continue to refine the
track to assess the need for any High Wind Warnings or Winter
Weather products. The higher resolution guidance was used this
afternoon to hone in on a deformation band of snow setting up
across the Lower Kuskokwim Valley this evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Wind shear remains the main concern today as winds at the
terminal will remain out of the north with stronger southeasterly
flow aloft and over the Turnagain Arm. As a frontal boundary
approaches tonight, it will bring southeast winds into the
airport. The timing of these winds could vary by an hour or two.
There will be a brief shot of precipitation as the front passes
through that could briefly lower the ceilings.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

An active weather pattern will continue through early next week.
Strong southerly flow aloft is advecting a stream of subtropical
moisture into Southcentral this evening. Rain, heavy at times, is
occurring over the southern Kenai Peninsula and Prince William
Sound. Snow is seen farther north in the western Susitna Valley as
well as wind gusts up to 55 mph over Turnagain Arm. All of this
will continue though Sunday morning as the associated low tracks
northward. Precipitation will remain all rain over the Kenai
Peninsula. Surface temperatures are expected to remain at or just
above freezing overnight across the Anchorage Bowl and much of the
Mat-Su. However, some models are hinting at slightly cooler air
briefly building in behind the aforementioned low. As such,
precipitation type north of and including Anchorage remains
somewhat uncertain. Given the current southeasterly surface winds,
much areas from approximately from the city of Kenai northward
will be downsloped for the majority of the event. Thus, any
wintery mix that does occur early Sunday morning will be light and
likely short-lived.

After a break midday Sunday, a second similar system will
approach Southcentral in the evening. This will again bring
strong winds along Turnagain Arm and the Anchorage Hillside by
early Monday morning. With the exception of higher elevations, an
all rain event is expected, with several inches possible over the
southern Kenai Peninsula.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Active weather continues across Southwest as the relentless North
Pacific wave-train of lows continues to barrage the region. One
departing strong gale force low is now lifting into the Bering
Strait, bringing strong southerly winds to the Kusko Delta while
another deformation zone tracks north into the Bristol Bay and
Kusko Valley. This second feature will bring rain/snow mix
turning to snow over the eastern Bristol Bay area and Alaska
Range, with heavier snow over the Kusko Valley. The bulk of snow
ends tonight with a brief respite in weather Sunday. Very quickly
Sunday evening and Sunday night, the next storm force low barrels
into the Bristol Bay region with the front plowing across
Southwest, bringing snow which will then transition to rain
(mainly over Bristol Bay). The bigger impact will be snow and
blowing snow once again over the Kusko Delta, however, this time,
there will likely be limited amounts of snow before the front
clears into the Bering Sea. However, with 35+ MPH winds, there
will likely be reduced visibility in brief heavy snow Sunday night
and Monday morning. Powerful E-SE winds will also blast through
parts of the region with this low, especially across Bristol Bay
and the Alaska Range where wind gusts will reach 60+ MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

One storm force low departs the Bering into the Strait, another is
right on its heels Sunday evening as it moves into Bristol Bay
and slowly tracks northward through Monday. This will bring more
rain/snow quickly turning to all rain to the Eastern Aleutians.
Broad cyclonic flow will remain over the Bering Sea as the low
tracks north, with cold air advection rain/snow showers spreading
over the remainder of the Chain and Bering Sea.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

...Bering Sea and Aleutian Coastal Waters...

An area of low pressure near Nunivak Island early Tuesday morning
will bring high sustained gale force winds to the eastern Bering
Sea and Bristol Bay region, with perhaps some low-end storm force
winds just offshore from the Kuskokwim Delta. This low will then
retrograde (move west) and slowly weaken as it reaches Saint
Matthew Island by evening, with the winds having subsided to less
than 30 knots by then. For the remainder of the region, winds and
waves will generally be less than 25 knots with waves generally
less than 15 feet. This will continue into Wednesday and Thursday
for all of the forecast area.

...Gulf of Alaska...

Sustained storm force winds ahead of a surface front will plague
the northern Gulf early Tuesday morning. A favorable dynamic fetch
ahead of this feature will allow seas to build into the 25 to 30
feet range. These winds will rapidly drop to the small craft
variety by the afternoon, as the best dynamics associated with the
front pushes inland. The wave heights will also drop due to the
decrease in wind energy.

This reprieve will be short- lived though, as yet another front,
associated with a north Pacific low, moves into the region late
Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. Sustained winds will increase to
gale force, with the long fetch allowing waves to once again
increase into the 20 to 25 feet range.

Heading into Thursday, both the waves and winds will subside as a
weakening area of low pressure enters the southwestern Gulf.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The forecast remains fraught with uncertainty due to model
discrepancy, but some items remain consistent. Synoptically, a
progressive pattern will persist over the Bering and Alaska.
Starting Tuesday, a vertically stacked low will drift to the
northern Bering, steering modified Arctic air over the Aleutians
and Bering. The low will gradually weaken and shift towards
Siberia, but in the meantime expect scattered showers over much of
the Bering/Aleutians through Thursday. Meanwhile, a North Pacific
low will drift northward and push a warm occluded front toward the
Southern Mainland. Models are consistent bringing decent
precipitation to the AKPEN/eastern Aleutians, but how far north
and east precipitation reaches is tough to discern, given the lack
of consistency with track of the steering low and potential for a
triple-point low to develop. But, right now it looks likely that
the North Gulf Coast will see precipitation as a front pushes
north in the Wednesday to Friday timeframe. By Friday, a strong
low will approach the western Aleutians and bring a good swath of
precipitation and gusty winds. The front will quickly traverse the
chain Friday, possibly turning the Southwest Mainland wet
Saturday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WSW 155.
MARINE...Storms 120 130-132 138 352.
         Gales 119 125 139-141 150 155 160 165 180 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
MARINE/LONG TERM...MM/PD