Storm Warning 139, NWS Anchorage, AK

776 
FZAK51 PAFC 230412 CCA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-231230-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 mb low 145 nm SE of King Cove will strengthen to 961 mb 
as it moves to 25 nm NW of Port Heiden Wed morning, then track 
inland across Bristol Bay Wed afternoon. An associated front 
over the southwest Gulf will move to the northern Gulf and push 
onshore along the north Gulf coast Wed morning. 

NOTICE: Please comment on a U.S. Coast Guard proposal to terminate
medium frequency NAVTEX broadcasts. Visit https://go.usa.gov/xVHc3
to submit comments by November 12, 2019.

$$

PKZ119-231230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 55 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 22 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-231230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-231230-
Resurrection Bay-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas 
south of Caines Head. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt early, becoming S 25 kt. Seas 2 ft 
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Higher winds and seas south of Caines
Head. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-231230-
Prince William Sound-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 30 kt by afternoon. Seas 12 ft 
subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-231230-
Port Valdez-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-231230-
Valdez Narrows-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-231230-
Valdez Arm-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-231230-
Passage Canal-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain 
showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-231230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 60 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft building to 27 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-231230-
Barren Islands East-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft building to 29 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ132-231230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming S 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 55 kt. Seas 34 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 31 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ136-231230-
Chiniak Bay-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 50 kt late this evening, then 
becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 20 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-231230-
Marmot Bay-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 50 kt around midnight, then 
becoming SE 40 kt late. Seas 7 ft building to 22 ft after 
midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-231230-
Shelikof Strait-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 50 kt around, then shifting to 
SE 35 kt late. Seas 7 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-231230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 45 kt shifting to SE 40 kt during the morning. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. Widespread rain 
showers.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-231230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft building to 11 ft after midnight.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-231230-
Kachemak Bay-
812 PM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

737 
FZAK51 PAFC 231159
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-240100-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front associated with a 959 mb eastern Bering low remains over 
the Gulf through Fri morning. The low weakens to 981 mb Thu 
morning over the Alaska Peninsula before moving to 30 nm north of
Middleton Island at 1003 mb Fri morning.

NOTICE: Please comment on a U.S. Coast Guard proposal to terminate
medium frequency NAVTEX broadcasts. Visit https://go.usa.gov/xVHc3
to submit comments by November 12, 2019.

$$

PKZ119-240100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 55 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 22 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms this
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-240100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22
ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-240100-
Resurrection Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt early...becoming N during the morning...then 
shifting to S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in 
the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-240100-
Prince William Sound-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-240100-
Port Valdez-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-240100-
Valdez Narrows-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-240100-
Valdez Arm-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt except SE 30 kt near the Sound. Seas 6 ft. 
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-240100-
Passage Canal-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-240100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 55 kt early becoming SE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-240100-
Barren Islands East-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt shifting to SE in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft 
building to 29 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 29
ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft
subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ132-240100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 55 kt. Seas 22 ft early building to 34
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 31 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ136-240100-
Chiniak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ137-240100-
Marmot Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-240100-
Shelikof Strait-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 50 kt. Seas 10 ft this morning
building to 24 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 13 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-240100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-240100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-240100-
Kachemak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

192 
FZAK51 PAFC 232350
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-241245-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 968 mb low over Bristol Bay will move inland this evening. A
cold front associated with this low will move E across the Gulf on
Thursday. High pressure moves in over the Gulf on Friday. 

NOTICE: Please comment on a U.S. Coast Guard proposal to terminate
medium frequency NAVTEX broadcasts. Visit https://go.usa.gov/xVHc3
to submit comments by November 12, 2019.

$$

PKZ119-241245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Widespread rain showers.
Isolated thunderstorms.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. Isolated 
thunderstorms.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-241245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms.
.THU...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22
ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-241245-
Resurrection Bay-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.THU...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-241245-
Prince William Sound-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-241245-
Port Valdez-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-241245-
Valdez Narrows-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

.TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-241245-
Valdez Arm-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-241245-
Passage Canal-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-241245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-241245-
Barren Islands East-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft
subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ132-241245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 31 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ136-241245-
Chiniak Bay-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-241245-
Marmot Bay-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-241245-
Shelikof Strait-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 13 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-241245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-241245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-241245-
Kachemak Bay-
350 PM AKDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
839 AM AKDT Tue Oct 22 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper level low which has been anchored in the central Bering
is now starting to drift slowly south. Numerous shortwaves
continue to rotate around the periphery of the broad low with
several open waves pushing south through the western Bering and
over the western and central Aleutians. An upper level trough
with an associated surface low is located just to the south of
the eastern Aleutians and western Alaska Peninsula, with another
upper trough and surface low near Nunivak Island. Weak troughing
extends into the southwestern Gulf with ridging building into the
central and eastern Gulf following the low pressure system
tracking inland into British Columbia. The next incoming storm is
in the process of spinning up well to the south of the eastern
Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models have come into good agreement regarding the track and
strength of the very strong low moving north towards the Alaska
Peninsula and Bristol Bay area tonight through Wednesday. This is
also the case with the rather powerful north Pacific low tracking
in from the west to the south of the Aleutians Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Wednesday
morning. Easterly winds across the Chugach Mountains and through
Turnagain Arm will increase rapidly tonight through Wednesday
morning. While a northerly gradient down Cook Inlet is expected
to keep the stronger surface winds bent away from the terminal,
wind shear due to stronger easterly winds aloft will be a
potential concern.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Thursday)...

A strong low will begin to track east of the Kenai Peninsula this
evening. Easterly winds will rapidly increase Wednesday morning
across coastal areas along Prince William Sound as well as the
Whitter region and Turnagain Arm. The Turnagain Arm area is
expected to peak late Wed morning at around 60 mph with gusts
near 70 mph. Gusty northeasterly winds around 30 mph are also
likely in the Matanuska Valley at the same time. Periods of heavy
rain are expected along the associated front. However the Mat-Su
Valleys, Anchorage and the Western Kenai will be heavily
downsloped in cross barrier flow and thus precipitation will be
limited in those areas.

As the low moves onshore in SW AK Wednesday afternoon, it will
become vertically stacked and begin to slowly weaken. However,
strong southerly winds on the eastern side of the circulation will
continue to advect moisture northward into the Seward area, which
could see up to 2" of rain through early Thursday morning. Winds
will likewise diminish over the same time period. As such, areas
that were originally downsloped could begin to see light showers
by the afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Drying conditions and weak winds will persist through the first
half of today across the Southwest before a pattern change moves
in later this afternoon. A strengthening North Pacific low will
make its first impact to interior Bristol Bay this afternoon into
the early evening hours. Strong northeasterly winds and widespread
precipitation will accompany this system as it continues its path
northward towards the lower Kuskokwim Valley and Delta for
Wednesday. Precipitation associated with this low should fall as
rain for most locations, with the exception to locations in the
Kuskokwim Delta that may have cold enough temperatures to start
off as snow. This will quickly transition to rain once the warmer
air moves in. As the systems begins to move eastward on Thursday,
precipitation begins to taper off through the afternoon hours,
leaving only a few lingering showers across the region. Winds
will also begin to weaken, switching over to a north-northwesterly
flow as the low continues to exit the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The area of low pressure near the Pribilofs will continue to
weaken through the afternoon hours, while small craft northerly
flow remains over the central and western Bering through Wednesday.

This afternoon will see its first impacts from the North Pacific
low that is quickly deepening as it makes its way towards the
AKPEN. Gale force winds will move into areas south of the AKPEN
and into Bristol Bay starting this afternoon as the low's center
continues to move over Chignik in the overnight hours. Winds will
increase to storm-force on the south side of this low center
later tonight and through Wednesday evening. Wave heights will
quickly increase to between 25 and 30 feet in the coastal waters,
with up to nearly 40 foot seas southwest of Kodiak Island. As
the flow becomes northerly over the eastern Bering Wednesday
morning, winds will increase to gale-force for much of the day
before weakening to small crafts through Thursday morning.

The next potential storm-force low system begins to enter the
western Aleutians and Bering on Thursday morning. See the Marine
and Long Term discussions for more details on this system.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...
For the Gulf side, the main concern on Thursday is with the
progression of a low across the Gulf. Models vary on the track of
the low resulting in differences of northwest winds near the
Barren Islands ranging from gale force to light winds. Currently a
more northerly low track seems more favorable resulting in small
craft winds through the Barrens, but confidence is low.

The focus then shifts to a system approaching the western
Aleutians Thursday. There is high confidence with this system
being storm force into Friday. Confidence diminishes over the
weekend as the low moves into the Bering and the models diverge
with its track.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long term, beginning on Thursday, has one low exiting the
Gulf and a new low approaching the western Aleutians from the
North Pacific. The North Pacific low is bringing a long fetch of
warm air and moisture with it. As the low tracks east on Friday,
ridging will build in over the southern mainland. On Saturday the
ridge will block the progression of the low and the low will start
to track north into the Bering. Model confidence is low with how
the low will move into the Bering, however there is high
confidence of an atmospheric river setting up between the low and
the ridge. Models are also starting to converge on a more western
setup of the atmospheric river which places it closer to the
Alaska Peninsula.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 131 132 138 150 155.
		 Gale Warning 120 125 129 130 136 137 139 140 141 160 165 170
					  172 180 181 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AH
MARINE/LONG TERM...DK