Storm Warning 115, NWS Anchorage, AK

056 
FZAK51 PAFC 192355
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-201300-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 mb low entering the southwestern Gulf this evening moves to
the northern Gulf 20 nm northwest of Middleton Island at 978 mb 
Fri afternoon and remains in the area through Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-201300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Near the coast, E wind 50 kt becoming SE 30 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ120-201300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-201300-
Resurrection Bay-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-201300-
Prince William Sound-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E wind 25 kt late. Higher winds 
and seas near Hinchinbrook Entrance. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Higher 
winds and seas near Hinchinbrook Entrance. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 
ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-201300-
Port Valdez-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-201300-
Valdez Narrows-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-201300-
Valdez Arm-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-201300-
Passage Canal-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-201300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-201300-
Barren Islands East-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-201300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-201300-
Chiniak Bay-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-201300-
Marmot Bay-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-201300-
Shelikof Strait-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 35 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-201300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-201300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-201300-
Kachemak Bay-
355 PM AKDT Thu Sep 19 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

418 
FZAK51 PAFC 201214
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-210045-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 mb 115 nm Southwest of Middleton Island moves to 55 nm West of
Cordova at 988 mb Sat morning. A 990 mb low forms 35 nm West of 
Middleton Island Sat morning and moves to 165 nm Southwest of Yakutat
at 1000 mb for Sun morning. Its front pushes across the North Gulf 
Coast and Gulf through Sun morning.

$$

PKZ119-210045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Near the coast, E wind 50 kt becoming SE
30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-210045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-210045-
Resurrection Bay-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-210045-
Prince William Sound-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to NW 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-210045-
Port Valdez-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-210045-
Valdez Narrows-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-210045-
Valdez Arm-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-210045-
Passage Canal-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-210045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-210045-
Barren Islands East-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-210045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-210045-
Chiniak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-210045-
Marmot Bay-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-210045-
Shelikof Strait-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-210045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-210045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-210045-
Kachemak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

556 
FZAK51 PAFC 201746
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-210330-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 mb 115 nm Southwest of Middleton Island moves to 55 nm West of
Cordova at 988 mb Sat morning. A 990 mb low forms 35 nm West of 
Middleton Island Sat morning and moves to 165 nm Southwest of Yakutat
at 1000 mb for Sun morning. Its front pushes across the North Gulf 
Coast and Gulf through Sun morning.

$$

PKZ119-210330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Near the coast, E wind 50 kt becoming SE
30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft...except 18 ft along the coast
in the morning. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-210330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
15 ft in the morning subsiding to 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-210330-
Resurrection Bay-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-210330-
Prince William Sound-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to NW 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-210330-
Port Valdez-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  Widespread rain
showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-210330-
Valdez Narrows-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-210330-
Valdez Arm-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-210330-
Passage Canal-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Gusts to 35 kt
developing near Whittier in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-210330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-210330-
Barren Islands East-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.  Seas
12 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-210330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-210330-
Chiniak Bay-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-210330-
Marmot Bay-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-210330-
Shelikof Strait-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-210330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-210330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight.  Seas
3 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-210330-
Kachemak Bay-
946 AM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

415 
FZAK51 PAFC 202349
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-211315-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 977 mb low near Middleton Island and its associated front remain 
over the northern and western Gulf through Sat evening at 995 mb, 
then move into the eastern Gulf Sun morning. A front associated 
with a central Bering low moves into the western Gulf on Sunday.

$$

PKZ119-211315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-211315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt except N near the coast. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-211315-
Resurrection Bay-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-211315-
Prince William Sound-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-211315-
Port Valdez-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-211315-
Valdez Narrows-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt in the evening diminishing to 10 kt. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-211315-
Valdez Arm-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt becoming diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-211315-
Passage Canal-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier in the morning. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-211315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-211315-
Barren Islands East-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-211315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-211315-
Chiniak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-211315-
Marmot Bay-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-211315-
Shelikof Strait-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-211315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-211315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-211315-
Kachemak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Fri Sep 20 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
517 PM AKDT Wed Sep 18 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is an upper level trough over southern Alaska this
afternoon, with the base of the trough over the southwest. There
is an associated surface low over the lower Kuskokwim basin into
Bristol Bay, and another along the Canadian border just north of
the Alaska Range. This is bringing strong onshore flow and
considerable showers to almost all of southern Alaska. There is a
weak ridge over the central and eastern Bering Sea, with a weak
upper level trough over the western Bering. There is a strong
low south of the western Aleutians moving rapidly eastward.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in fairly good agreement through Friday
afternoon. For the low in the Gulf on Friday the models were
previously handling it differently (especially the Nam), but now
they are in good agreement on a solution. Therefore, the forecast
confidence is higher than normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions are likely to persist. Some brief MVFR
conditions in showers are possible this evening. Gusty southerly
winds this afternoon will ease off a bit this evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Strong onshore flow and considerable showers will continue through
tonight. Another system will push into the Gulf Thursday night and
Friday. With this system the low will be in the Gulf, so the low
level flow will be offshore, but it still will bring
precipitation to most of Southcentral.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Tonight
through Friday)...

The wet weather pattern continues across Southcentral through
Friday. Once the current disturbance wanes, there will be a break
in the pattern. Usually after a widespread rain, fog is the first
concern. That should not be the case this time, as breezy
conditions are likely to persist overnight and through the day
Thursday, especially through aligned mountain gaps and along the
Copper River.

Scattered shower activity will redevelop Thursday afternoon along
the mountains and at the coast. This is in advance of the next low
that will bring another round of widespread wetting rain to much
of Southcentral. The low will quickly move northeastward out of
the Pacific and into the southwestern Gulf off Kodiak Island
Thursday evening. Rain should develop ahead of the low in many
areas of Southcentral late Thursday afternoon and evening,
including the Gulf Coast, Kenai Peninsula, and to a lesser extent,
Anchorage and the Mat-Su Valleys. Gusty downsloping winds through
the gaps should cut down on rainfall totals in Anchorage and the
other normal leeside areas. By Thursday night and into the day
Friday, rain overspreads nearly all of Southcentral, as the
low strengthens moving into Prince William Sound. With that said,
the moisture feed with this low is not as robust as with the Wed
rainfall event, so QPF totals area-wide should not be as much.
The notable exception to this will be the Copper River Basin,
which will get quite a bit more rain with this incoming low.

Cooler air, likely the coolest of the season so far, will wrap
around the west side of the low by Friday afternoon and evening.
This will bring snow levels down to the 4,000 to 5,000 foot range,
primarily through the Talkeetnas and Hatcher Pass. While amounts
are still uncertain, several inches are likely above this level
with this storm. Only cold rain is expected in the populated
lower elevation areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 3; Tonight
through Saturday)...

Scattered showers will decrease overnight as a surface trough
associated with a low now inland over the state slides east across
the region. Behind this trough, drier air is sinking south across
the Y-K Delta where satellite imagery is already showing a rapid
decrease in cloud cover for locations north and west of Bethel.
Across the Kuskokwim Valley, the decrease in cloud cover will lead
to radiational cooling, with overnight lows approaching the
freezing mark. Patchy fog will be possible from Bethel to
Sleetmute through the early morning hours of Thursday, a result of
the cooler temperatures and lingering low-level moisture from
recent precipitation. A second shortwave trough and associated
surface low will bring areas of showers to Bristol Bay and the
upper Kuskokwim Valley for Thursday. As this feature lifts
northeast, yet another shortwave trough gaining strength over the
northern Bering will dig southeast across the Y-K Delta Thursday
night and across the rest of the Southwest into Friday. This
system will usher in colder air with widespread low temperatures
near to slightly below freezing across interior locations
overnight by Saturday morning. Showers will also persist through
late Friday with this system, with enough colder air at higher
elevations creating the potential for mixed precipitation. A
ridge then builds across the region from west to east early
Saturday as the next frontal system approaches the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 3: Tonight
through Saturday)...

Any lingering areas of gale-force winds and showers along the
coastal areas of the eastern Aleutians and AKPEN will continue to
diminish overnight as low pressure tracks farther inland over
Southwest Alaska. Upstream, a second area of low pressure will
quickly slide east through Thursday, with the center of
circulation staying south of the chain. Although conditions will
remain unsettled over the eastern half of the chain, this track
will keep the strongest winds and heaviest precipitation away
from the region. High pressure builds over the western Aleutians
on Thursday, moving east on Friday. Areas of low stratus and fog
will accompany the ridge on its eastward trek. An area of low
pressure will develop over the northwestern Bering on Friday and
track east over top the ridge. This system will race east,
reaching Saint Matthew Island and the Pribilofs overnight Friday
and the west coast of Alaska Saturday morning.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...

On Saturday, a gale force low will be stationary along the North
Gulf Coast. Cold air advection will be pushing high end gale
force winds through the Barren Islands and Shelikof Strait,
although the highest seas will be through the Barrens where the
longer fetch winds will produce greater buildup. The low will move
east toward the Panhandle on Saturday. Attention turns to a
powerful developing low over the eastern Aleutians and eastern
Bering Sea. Uncertainty is higher with this low, but there is
increasing likelihood that gales to near storm force winds will
impact these areas, focused from Dutch Harbor eastwards, with the
peak strength around Saturday night through Sunday. The low will
shift into the Gulf on Sunday evening/overnight and last through
Monday. By this juncture, uncertainty with a developing triple
point low in the Gulf is high, but mariners should be expecting a
potential high end gale force to low end storm force low sometime
on Monday across the entire gulf of Alaska. The next strong low
moves into the western Bering Sea Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Beginning the extended period forecast on Friday evening, there
will be a low bringing widespread rain to Southcentral with a pair
of lows over the Bering Sea. The low over Southcentral will be
driven in part by an Arctic trough to the northwest, so colder
air will be filtering in behind the rain through the remainder of
the weekend. Attention quickly turns to a rapidly developing low
along the Aleutian Chain Saturday night. Currently, this looks to
rapidly deepen into a high end gale force to low end storm low as
it moves from eastern Bering Sea to the Gulf of Alaska Sunday and
Monday. Given the wrapped up nature of the low, the most rain is
likely to develop across parts of Southwest Alaska, Kodiak, and
the North Gulf Coast with much drier conditions inland given the
downslope pattern. Unsettled weather will switch back to the
Bering Sea midweek (23rd-27th) as the storm track moves west
again, giving a break from the rain across most of Southern
Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 150.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JPW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
MARINE/LONG TERM...JA