Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2019
Storm Warning 11, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 31, 2018, 3:30 PM AKST. It was in force for 25 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 31, 2018, 3:30 PM AKST (00:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 1, 2019, 4:01 PM AKST
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
354 FZAK52 PAFC 010030 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-011315- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 964 mb low 200 nm east of Adak Mon afternoon moves into Bristol Bay by Tue afternoon. A 970 mb low 160 nm south of Sand Point Mon afternoon moves near Pilot Point at 955 mb by Tue morning. The associated front moves across the Alaska Peninsula by Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ150-011315- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 18 ft building to 28 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ155-011315- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 40 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 26 ft subsiding to 19 ft after midnight. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ160-011315- Bristol Bay- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Freezing spray north of 58 N. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-011315- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. From Port Moller E, NE wind 30 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...W wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. From Port Moller E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. From Port Moller E, seas 11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ170-011315- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming W 50 kt after midnight. From Unalaska E, SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ171-011315- Unalaska Bay- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain showers. .TUE...W wind 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of blowing snow. Snow and rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ172-011315- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 19 ft building to 25 ft after midnight. .TUE...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ173-011315- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain showers. .TUE...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ174-011315- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE...W wind 45 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ175-011315- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-011315- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ177-011315- Adak to Kiska- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ178-011315- Kiska to Attu- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ179-011315- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ180-011315- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Rain showers and snow. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. $$ PKZ181-011315- North and West of Nunivak Island- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. .WED...S wind 15 kt. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. $$ PKZ185-011315- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 330 PM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 25 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray west of 175 W. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray west of 175 W. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NW 20 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
501 FZAK52 PAFC 011239 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-020115- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 954 mb low 100 nm northeast of Chignik moves into Interior Alaska and weakens today. An associated front moves over the Eastern Bering through Thu morning. A series of small, weak areas of low pressure over the Western Bering move across the rest of the Bering through Thu morning. $$ PKZ150-020115- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 28 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ155-020115- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft after midnight. .WED...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ160-020115- Bristol Bay- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-020115- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt except W 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-020115- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 45 kt. From Unalaska E, NW wind 20 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. .WED...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ171-020115- Unalaska Bay- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-020115- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ173-020115- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ174-020115- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. $$ PKZ175-020115- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ176-020115- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft. $$ PKZ177-020115- Adak to Kiska- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. $$ PKZ178-020115- Kiska to Attu- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ179-020115- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 35 kt by noon. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ180-020115- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt except NW 35 kt S of Cape Newenham. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-020115- North and West of Nunivak Island- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. .WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. $$ PKZ185-020115- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 339 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$
740 FZAK52 PAFC 012049 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 Updated Zones 170 and 173 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-020415- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 954 mb low 100 nm northeast of Chignik moves into Interior Alaska and weakens today. An associated front moves over the Eastern Bering through Thu morning. A series of small, weak areas of low pressure over the Western Bering move across the rest of the Bering through Thu morning. $$ PKZ150-020415- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 28 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ155-020415- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft after midnight. .WED...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ160-020415- Bristol Bay- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-020415- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt except W 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-020415- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 45 kt. From Unalaska E, NW wind 20 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 26 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. .WED...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ171-020415- Unalaska Bay- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-020415- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ173-020415- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ174-020415- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. $$ PKZ175-020415- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ176-020415- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft. $$ PKZ177-020415- Adak to Kiska- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. $$ PKZ178-020415- Kiska to Attu- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ179-020415- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 35 kt by noon. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ180-020415- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt except NW 35 kt S of Cape Newenham. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-020415- North and West of Nunivak Island- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. .WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. $$ PKZ185-020415- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 1149 AM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$
417 FZAK52 PAFC 020101 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-021345- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A front over the eastern Bering moves inland Wed morning. A 983 mb complex low forms 300 nm west of Saint Paul Wed afternoon and moves 240 nm northwest of Saint Paul at 990 mb Thu afternoon. A front approaches the western Aleutians Thu afternoon. $$ PKZ150-021345- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 23 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes in the early morning. Seas 18 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ155-021345- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft after midnight. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ160-021345- Bristol Bay- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters building to 13 ft. Snow showers. .WED...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-021345- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Snow and rain showers. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-021345- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 11 ft after midnight. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ171-021345- Unalaska Bay- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers. .WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-021345- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. .WED...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ173-021345- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ174-021345- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. .WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ175-021345- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ176-021345- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow and rain showers. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ177-021345- Adak to Kiska- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray after midnight. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow showers. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ178-021345- Kiska to Attu- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow showers. .WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ179-021345- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. .WED...E wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. .WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ180-021345- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing spray. .THU AND THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. $$ PKZ181-021345- North and West of Nunivak Island- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. .WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. .SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. $$ PKZ185-021345- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 401 PM AKST Tue Jan 1 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 31, 5:36 AM AKST, 9 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 5:36 AM AKST, 9 hours 54 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
536 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The longwave trough over the Bering continues to be the main
player in the weather for our forecast area. The specifics of the
low have shifted in the past day, in that there is no longer an
anchoring low at the base of the trough. There are now a few low
pressure centers circulating within the larger area of low
pressure.
One of these is the closed low moving over southwest Alaska, which
stacks down to the surface and is the powerful low that has
produced hurricane force wind gusts and heavy snow for many
locations in our forecast area over the past day. Another feature
is an open 500MB trough currently over the western Aleutians.
This trough will strengthen as it moves east and will become the
low that is anticipated to move through our forecast area on
Tuesday.
The longwave ridge that was located over the ALCAN border
yesterday has slid east to be over the Yukon this morning, with a
ridge extending back over the Brooks Range in Alaska. This ridging
will keep low tracks moving up the West Coast of the state as they
move in from the Bering Sea.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are doing a little better today, well enough that we have
gained confidence in a forecast picture for the next incoming low
on Tuesday. Models still aren't the most consistent run to run,
with this evening's model run taking a different low track for the
low coming in Tuesday. The GFS and ECMWF are in agreement with
each other, so chose to stick with this solution. It works well
with continuity also. The Canadian is out in left field, as it
has been lately so ruled that one out and the NAM is a bit shaky
in consistency as well. As with yesterday, model agreement falls
apart past 48hrs, so not looking past a couple days with the
forecast.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...MVFR conditions will persist for most of the day with low
ceilings. However, wind shear continues to be an issue, as
evident from multiple PIREPs reporting severe turbulence. Early
this morning winds will push down to the surface, gusting out of
the south. As the day progresses winds will diminish at the
surface but wind shear will remain.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Today
through Tuesday night)...
The strong low and associated frontal system which brought strong
winds and heavy precipitation to the region yesterday and last
night will exit northward today. Marginally colder low level air
will filter into Southcentral leading to fairly widespread gusty
southerly winds for most areas. Showers will linger, mainly along
south to southwest facing mountain slopes. Temperatures, which
have risen above freezing across much of Southcentral, will
remain elevated until winds begin to die down late this afternoon
and into the evening hours. Winds will lighten up tonight as high
pressure briefly builds overhead out in front of another strong
storm system moving up from the Pacific.
This storm looks like it will take a further east track than the
current storm, but still pass to the west of Southcentral as it
moves northward across Southwest Alaska late tonight through
Tuesday. There are some fundamental differences with this second
storm which will lead to different weather impacts. Most
significantly, the low will reach its lowest pressure earlier,
which means the northward movement of the storm across Southwest
Alaska will be lower. The significance of this is that the
occluded front will cross the Anchorage area 9 to 12 hours before
the low reaches Anchorage's latitude, which is not a great
scenario for high winds. Another key difference is that the track
of the low will lead to very strong pressure gradients down Cook
Inlet. As the occluded front approaches late tonight the Turnagain
Arm jet (and winds coming across the Kenai and Chugach Mountains)
will bend southward which will protect the Anchorage hillside
from the strongest winds. As the low passes to the north Tuesday
afternoon, Turnagain winds will bend into Anchorage, but pressure
gradients will already have greatly weakened and the winds won't
be all that strong. Bottom line, the winds with this next system
will not be nearly as strong or impactful.
As for precipitation, western Prince William Sound will only see a
quick shot of heavy precipitation right with frontal passage.
Temperatures will be starting out warmer than prior to the current
low, so do not think blowing snow should be a big issue through
Turnagain Pass, though there will certainly still be some reduced
visibilities in falling snow. Eastern Prince William Sound,
including the Cordova and Valdez areas, will see a longer period
of heavy precipitation. First the front will move through Tuesday
morning, then a series of upper waves will rotate across the Gulf
and pass right overhead through Tuesday night or Wednesday. Much of
this will be in the form of rain at sea level, but Thompson Pass
could see periods of heavy wet snow.
Colder air will move back in behind this second storm Tuesday
night through Wednesday causing a transition in precipitation
type back to snow. The pattern looks favorable for some light
snow accumulation from the western Kenai to Anchorage and the
Mat-Su, which for some would be a welcome return to winter
after a couple days of above freezing temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Wednesday)...
Should be finally seeing the light at the end of the active
weather tunnel here in the short-term forecast for Southwest
Alaska. But first thing's first, we have the current storm to
finish up with and a second one following right behind it to get
through. The low over Southwest Alaska now is moving into interior
portions of the state. Behind the low, winds are gradually coming
down across Bristol Bay, and cooler air is beginning to wrap
around and return to the Kuskokwim Delta. Temperatures are not
expected to move all that much in either direction today, as the
area of clear skies behind it should cancel out any heating from
the weak sun. However, some sunshine is likely again today since
the area happens to be between storms during the daytime.
Having to watch Storm Number 2 now forming well south of the
Alaska Peninsula this morning. This SHOULD be the last of them
though, so here is the breakdown. The storm center is expected to
track east of Sand Point this evening as it tracks nearly due
north. This should allow for much of the Alaska Peninsula zone to
be under northwest winds, which will not be nearly as strong as
this first storm, so warning criteria winds are not expected.
Since the track of the storm once it emerges in Bristol Bay will
be just a bit further east, there is a somewhat better opportunity
for winds nearing hurricane force in terms of the peak gusts to
impact areas south of Iliamna, primarily along Lake Iliamna, as
the winds get funneled through the Kamishak Gap. A combination of
short-duration, mainly unpopulated area of impact, and
significant uncertainty as to whether or not warning criteria will
be met precluded the issuance of any warnings there. Nevertheless
it will still be very windy through the gap starting this evening
through some of the overnight hours, with winds of 40 to 55 mph
with gusts as high as 70 mph possible.
A track slightly further east should allow slightly cooler air to
move into the Kuskokwim Delta as the low tracks northward towards
the Lower Kuskokwim Valley late tonight. This is expected to cause
snowbands to form over or near Bethel overnight, which will
persist into the early afternoon. Winds will be lighter with this
second storm, so at this point blizzard conditions are not
expected. However, blowing snow in 3 to 5 inches of new snow are
expected, and as such any precautions regarding this hazard should
be taken. Further south across the waters of Bristol Bay, once the
low goes by, pressure gradients are significantly weaker behind the
low, and while gusty winds are still expected, warning level winds
are not. Finally, area-wide, temperature-wise they will remain
generally at or above freezing in Bristol Bay for this next storm.
While precipitation type issues add further complexity to the
forecast, at these temperatures it will be the difference between
rain and a wet snow, and relatively little accumulation is
expected outside of the mountains. Some downslope warming may also
help to keep things mainly dry to the lee of the Alaska Range.
Behind the low, cooler air and gusty westerly winds will lead to
snow shower activity developing on the west sides of the Kuskokwim
and Alaska Ranges. This may allow those areas such as King Salmon
and Iliamna that are unlikely to get much accumulation from the
storm itself to get some snow to recoat the ground. Have a Happy
New Year!
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Wednesday)...
Underneath a broad longwave trough over the Bering, the weather
across the Bering remains very active this morning. A final strong
storm system is developing south of the Alaska Peninsula this
morning and will impact the far eastern Bering with northwesterly
winds once the low tracks into mainland Alaska late tonight into
Tuesday. Otherwise, the remnants of a strong low that brought high
winds to the Western Aleutians a few days ago continues to swirl
across the Central Aleutians, The center is currently passing by
Atka. This low is forecast to track north of the chain today, then
turn more towards the southeast tonight as it gets absorbed into the
eastern Bering/Southwest Alaska low. Behind this Central Aleutians
low is much colder air, causing ocean-effect snow showers over most
of the western Bering. The low, cold air, and an impulse of upper
level energy racing behind the low are expected phase together and
intensify the northwesterly winds behind it. The core of strongest
winds is expected to pass over the Eastern Aleutians late tonight
through Tuesday afternoon, and are currently expected to be strong
enough to produce hurricane force gusts. Thus, a High Wind Watch is
in effect for the area.
After passing the eastern Aleutians, the low will be absorbed into
the stronger low over mainland Alaska, but remnant gusty winds
will move into the Alaska Peninsula Tuesday night.
Never failing to have some kind of weather going on, Tuesday night
into Wednesday will feature a return to a calmer wintertime
pattern with cold air settling over all of the Bering. This will
result in frequent snow showers over most of the area into
Wednesday. Weak, compact Arctic lows are likely to form within the
broad cold air mass over the Bering, which may briefly cause heavier
snow shower activity, potentially to the Pribilofs Wednesday
afternoon and evening, but the models handling of such small systems
is quite bad, and as such it would be premature to speculate further
on any details of those systems. Have a Happy New Year!
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...
The run to run consistency with the global models continues to be
poor. Generally speaking, anticipate a wet pattern for this forecast
period for the Bering and the southern tier of Alaska with the
possibility of a wintry mix for Southwest Alaska and eventually
creeping into Southcentral Alaska. The forecast period commences
Tuesday January 1st with a broad trough over NE Russia, the Bering
and Aleutians with southwest or southerly flow aloft over most of
mainland Alaska. There is a high amplitude ridge from Hawaii to the
Eastern Pacific to British Columbia. Meanwhile at the surface at 12z
Tuesday, both the GFS and the ECMWF have a low north of Unalaska and
a second surface low near Bristol Bay.
Neither model has either of these lows in the same place, with the
positions ranging 50-10 NM from the other solution. Yesterday's
eye sore courtesy of the GFS is still in the latest run of the
GFS but it is less intense and more plausible. The timing of the
precipitation shield and the gale/storm force winds are dependent
on the intensity and the placement of the lows that develop and on
the track of the low. There was more blending and hedging this
forecast package. Stay tuned for more details with these potential
winter weather storms. Many of the important decisions being made
with these storms are occurring one or two days out because the
models have not been doing well this winter.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Storm Warning 131.
High Wind Watch 185.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 120 125 130 131 138 155 170 171 172 173.
Gale Warning 128 132 136 137 139 140 141 150 160 165 174 175 176
177 180.
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW
MARINE/LONG TERM...PSIn the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 31, 10:59 AM AKST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1059 AM AKST MON DEC 31 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1146 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MIDDLETON ISLAND 59.45N 146.30W
12/30/2018 M56.00 MPH AK ASOS
0435 PM NON-TSTM WND GST AKUTAN 54.14N 165.79W
12/30/2018 M58.00 MPH AK AWOS
0546 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KOLIGANEK 59.73N 157.28W
12/30/2018 M60.00 MPH AK AWOS
0645 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PLATINUM 59.01N 161.81W
12/30/2018 M62.00 MPH AK AWOS
0655 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE NEWENHAM 58.65N 162.07W
12/30/2018 M60.00 MPH AK AWOS
0748 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FALSE PASS 54.84N 163.44W
12/30/2018 M64.00 MPH AK AWOS
0840 PM NON-TSTM WND GST COLD BAY 55.22N 162.74W
12/30/2018 M75.00 MPH AK ASOS
0844 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SPARREVOHN 61.10N 155.58W
12/30/2018 M82.00 MPH AK AWOS
0844 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SAND POINT 55.32N 160.49W
12/30/2018 M82.00 MPH AK AWOS
1130 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CHIGNIK 56.30N 158.42W
12/30/2018 M62.00 MPH AK AWOS
1205 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PORTAGE 60.78N 148.85W
12/31/2018 M94.00 MPH AK ASOS
0150 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ANCHORAGE 61.22N 149.87W
12/31/2018 M82.00 MPH AK DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
REPORTED FROM SMCA2 - SEWARD HWY/MCHUGH CREEK
0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST GLEN ALPS 61.10N 149.69W
12/31/2018 M71.00 MPH AK UNKNOWN
REPORTED FROM GAHA2
0254 AM NON-TSTM WND GST KING SALMON 58.74N 156.54W
12/31/2018 M60.00 MPH AK ASOS
0336 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ELMENDORF AIR FORCE BAS 61.25N 149.80W
12/31/2018 M51.00 MPH AK ASOS
0353 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ANCHORAGE 61.22N 149.87W
12/31/2018 M43.00 MPH AK ASOS
REPORTED AT ANCHORAGE INTL
&&
BLUDWIGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 3:20 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Dec 31, 3:30 PM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Dec 31, 3:30 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 31, 3:30 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Dec 31, 3:30 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 31, 3:46 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 31, 4:02 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Dec 31, 4:02 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 20 hr | |
| Dec 31, 4:02 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 23 hr | |
| Jan 1, 3:39 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 1, 3:39 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 1, 3:39 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 1, 3:49 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 1, 3:49 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 1, 11:36 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 16 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.