Gale Warning 699, NWS Anchorage, AK

521 
FZAK51 PAFC 040039
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-041400-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 996 mb low 80 nm Southeast of Middleton Island moves inland 
near Cape Decision at 1006 mb Wed morning. Its front wraps over 
the North Gulf Coast through Thu afternoon. A second front enters 
the Western Gulf Wed morning and moves to the Eastern Gulf Thu 
afternoon. A 1003 mb low forms 45 nm Northeast of Kodiak City by 
Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-041400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River
Basin. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Basin in
the morning. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ120-041400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ121-041400-
Resurrection Bay-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-041400-
Prince William Sound-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-041400-
Port Valdez-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-041400-
Valdez Narrows-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-041400-
Valdez Arm-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-041400-
Passage Canal-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-041400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-041400-
Barren Islands East-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 11 ft after
midnight.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ132-041400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-041400-
Chiniak Bay-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-041400-
Marmot Bay-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-041400-
Shelikof Strait-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Gusts to
35 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 4 ft building to 9 ft after
midnight.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7 
ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-041400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft by midnight.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-041400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-041400-
Kachemak Bay-
339 PM AKST Tue Dec 3 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft...except 5 ft in the outer bay
during the evening.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

045 
FZAK51 PAFC 041210
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-050045-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1005 mb low 80 nm southeast of Seward moves to 141 nm southeast
of Cordova at 1008 mb by Wed night, then to 26 nm south of Yakutat
at 1010 mb Thu night. A 1004 mb low forms 40 nm northeast of 
Kodiak City Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-050045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta
in the morning. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ120-050045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ121-050045-
Resurrection Bay-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-050045-
Prince William Sound-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-050045-
Port Valdez-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-050045-
Valdez Narrows-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-050045-
Valdez Arm-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-050045-
Passage Canal-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-050045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-050045-
Barren Islands East-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ132-050045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-050045-
Chiniak Bay-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-050045-
Marmot Bay-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft building to 3 ft after midnight.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-050045-
Shelikof Strait-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-050045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-050045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Patchy freezing fog.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-050045-
Kachemak Bay-
310 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

438 
FZAK51 PAFC 041712 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-050615-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1005 mb low 80 nm southeast of Seward moves to 141 nm southeast
of Cordova at 1008 mb by Wed night, then to 26 nm south of Yakutat
at 1010 mb Thu night. A 1004 mb low forms 40 nm northeast of 
Kodiak City Thu afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-050615-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta
in the morning. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ120-050615-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ121-050615-
Resurrection Bay-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-050615-
Prince William Sound-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-050615-
Port Valdez-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-050615-
Valdez Narrows-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-050615-
Valdez Arm-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-050615-
Passage Canal-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-050615-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.  and rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-050615-
Barren Islands East-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ132-050615-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-050615-
Chiniak Bay-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-050615-
Marmot Bay-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft building to 3 ft after midnight.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-050615-
Shelikof Strait-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-050615-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-050615-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Patchy freezing fog.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-050615-
Kachemak Bay-
812 AM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

062 
FZAK51 PAFC 050021
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-051345-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1006 mb low 75 nm Southwest of Middleton Island remains nearly 
stationary and dissipates Fri morning. Its front wraps over the North
Gulf Coast and dissipates Thu night. A 1012 mb low 210 nm Southeast 
of Sitkinak moves to 270 nm Southwest of Sitka and dissipates Fri 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-051345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt out of the Copper River
Basin. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ120-051345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Occasional snow.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft building to 8 ft after midnight.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ121-051345-
Resurrection Bay-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Occasional snow.
.THU...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-051345-
Prince William Sound-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ126-051345-
Port Valdez-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-051345-
Valdez Narrows-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-051345-
Valdez Arm-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-051345-
Passage Canal-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming Variable wind
10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-051345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  Snow and rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain with snow.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-051345-
Barren Islands East-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ132-051345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ136-051345-
Chiniak Bay-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-051345-
Marmot Bay-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-051345-
Shelikof Strait-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming NE 20 kt. Seas 4 
ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-051345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
Freezing spray in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-051345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Patchy freezing fog in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-051345-
Kachemak Bay-
321 PM AKST Wed Dec 4 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Occasional snow.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
506 PM AKST Mon Dec 2 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A vertically stacked low is centered over Prince William Sound
and the northern Gulf, with a plethora of weak upper level waves
rotating around Southcentral. Arctic air is filtering into
Southcentral from the north and west. Light snow is widespread
across the region, locally heavier ahead of short-waves. Strong
surface pressure gradients between the Gulf low and a surface
high over Bristol Bay combined with cold air advection is leading
to strong winds across the western Gulf and Kodiak Island, with
observations indicating Gale to Storm force winds. There are
likely Hurricane force wind gusts from Kamishak Bay to the Barren
Islands, areas which typically experience the strongest winds in
this pattern. The cold air advection is weakening with time, so
winds should begin to diminish by late this afternoon.

Out west, a weak vertically stacked low is drifting eastward
across the northern Bering Sea, with an upper level short-wave
trough and surface cold front extending southward down to the
central Aleutians. This is producing a showery regime across the
central Bering Sea. Further south, a strengthening low is passing
just south of the central Aleutians, with the strongest winds and
heaviest precipitation all south of the Aleutian chain. The
airmass feeding into the back side of this system is quite cold,
with 850 temperatures of -8 degrees or colder. Thus, precipitation
from Adak eastward to Atka is falling primarily as snow.

Meanwhile, high pressure is building over Southwest Alaska. Aside
from areas of fog, skies are clear and temperatures are seasonably
cold (in the single digits and teens).

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are on good agreement with large scale features over the
next few days and forecast confidence is generally above normal.
The primary forecast challenge for Southcentral Alaska will be for
aviation interests, with areas of stratus and fog likely as snow
diminishes tonight.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Ceiling and visibility will both be quite the challenge,
with periods of snow expected through early Tuesday morning. In
between areas of snow and, once it tapers off, stratus is likely.
Will largely make use of satellite and radar trends for the
beginning of the TAF. Confidence will drop significantly beyond
the first 3 to 6 hours. For the most part would expect MVFR or IFR
conditions to prevail, with improving conditions through the day
Tuesday as drier air filters in from the north.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Tuesday
night through Thursday)...

Broad low pressure continues to spin over southcentral AK,
remaining nearly stationary, before it is expected to drift south
through tomorrow. The low is also decaying, with the last of the
main snow event tapering off this evening. The last of the main
push of snow is moving south over the Kenai Peninsula, so the
winter weather advisory for the western Kenai has been left to
remain in effect until 6PM this evening, when it looks that last
push will begin to taper off for the Kenai. After the last push is
done, snow showers will linger overnight for many locations in
southcentral AK, though little accumulation is expected...perhaps
a half inch for most areas.

While this low slowly exits, cold air is already filtering in on
the backside of the low. This is evident with some strong cold air
advection creating gale and storm force winds (especially through
gaps and passes) along the coast in the western Gulf of Alaska.
Other areas like Thompson Pass are also seeing strong offshore
flow. These winds will taper into tomorrow, but expect cold air
to continue to move into all areas of southcentral AK and stay in
place for the rest of the week. Substantial cooling will take
place, though it will battle cloud cover as it does. Therefore,
did slow the cooling trend and kept temperatures warmer.
Honed in on this for the lower Susitna Valley, Anchorage Bowl,
and Copper River Basin (to a lesser degree here) as stratus looks
to set up, preventing temperatures from bottoming out. From a
meteorological standpoint, it will be interesting to see how this
plays out as the week progresses.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Conditions across southwest Alaska remain fairly steady over the
next 48 hours. With light winds and ridging building in, patchy
fog will be a concern for southwest Alaska in mostly the coastal
areas. Tuesday looks to be quiet as high pressure remains in
place. Winds and precipitation chances pickup later Wednesday
evening ahead of the frontal boundary approaching in the Bering.
The front will then kick off day 3 with some precipitation and
gusty winds as it reaches the coast Wednesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A stacked low in the northern Bering tracks southward along a
substantial ridge in the north Pacific Monday evening. The showery
conditions in the cold air on the backside of this low will
persist through Monday night as a frontal boundary pushes south
on the northeast side of the ridge across the Pribilof Islands,
clearing the Aleutians by Tuesday night. Ridging keeps conditions
in the eastern Bering quiet through Tuesday. A storm force front
enters the western Aleutians Tuesday morning and decreases to
gale force by Tuesday night as it moves into the eastern Bering by
Wednesday night. A mix of rain and snow will occur along the
boundary.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Thursday through Saturday)...

The primary focus for this time frame will be a developing low
over the western Bering. Most of the models keep the center of the
low over the western Bering with only slow movement southeastward
towards the central Aleutians. Gales are expected around this
low Friday and into Saturday. Storm force winds are possible
across the western and central Aleutians as well. The leading warm
front will move into the western Gulf on Friday, which may persist
into Saturday. Gales are expected with the front as well. As the
front impacts the north Gulf coast on Saturday, a storm force
barrier jet may form through the north Gulf coast and into Prince
William Sound.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Thursday through Monday)...

On Thursday, a front looks to move into Southwest Alaska. It may
be associated with a weak low, but the models are not in agreement
about that. Warmer air will be moving in behind the front, but
since the air mass ahead of the front will be quite cold, much of
the precipitation away from the immediate coast will fall as snow.
The front will quickly weaken as it moves inland. Meanwhile, a
couple lows will be consolidating across the western and central
Aleutians on Thursday. There is understandably significant model
disagreement on how this interaction will turn out, regarding
where the primary low ends up forming. A combination of a strong
Pacific jet well to the south of the Aleutians and the tapping of
a Siberian polar air mass will act to strengthen both lows. The
foreign models favor the north and western-most low, which would
keep most of the strongest winds and impacts over the Bering. The
GFS favors a much more south and eastward track of the center of
the low, which in turn shifts the impacts east over much more land
area. Beyond that, the model disagreement is too large to glean
any meaningful insight into the forecast.

For Southcentral, the long-term will begin with very cold air over
the Copper River Basin causing strong gap winds through Valdez,
the Matanuska Valley, and the Copper River Delta. While there are
some differences in timing, the models agree on a warm front
moving into the area on Friday. By this point it will be slow
moving, so it could result in a return to warmer temperatures, but
also unsettled/precipitation likely weather for the entire
weekend. There are large differences in how much precipitation and
what form it will be in, but it seems likely that there will be
coastal rain, and inland snow or mixed precipitation, along with
areas of strong winds. Thus, the cold snap will be just that,
short-lived.
&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 121.
MARINE...Gale 120 132 137 172-177 185.
         Storm 130 131 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SEB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...LB/KH
MARINE/LONG TERM...JW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1019 PM AKST MON DEC 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     SNOW             12 WSW MENDELTNA        61.99N 146.77W
12/02/2019  E6.0 INCH        VALDEZ-CORDOVA     AK   PUBLIC

            STILL SNOWING.

0501 PM     SNOW             1 NNW MEADOW LAKES      61.64N 149.62W
12/02/2019  M4.0 INCH        MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   PUBLIC

            OFF PITTMAN.

0355 PM     SNOW             15 NNW MENDELTNA        62.28N 146.55W
12/02/2019  E4.0 INCH        MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   PUBLIC

            REPORT RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0643 PM     SNOW             STERLING                60.54N 150.76W
12/02/2019  E8.0 INCH        KENAI PENINSULA    AK   PUBLIC

0639 PM     SNOW             2 NW SOLDOTNA           60.50N 151.10W
12/02/2019  M14.0 INCH       KENAI PENINSULA    AK   PUBLIC

0632 PM     SNOW             HOMER 8 NW              59.67N 151.59W
12/02/2019  M4.0 INCH        KENAI PENINSULA    AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            7 INCH SNOW DEPTH ON THE GROUND.

0631 PM     SNOW             3 WNW SOLDOTNA          60.50N 151.16W
12/02/2019  E8.0 INCH        KENAI PENINSULA    AK   PUBLIC

0340 PM     SNOW             2 NW SOLDOTNA           60.50N 151.10W
12/02/2019  M9.3 INCH        KENAI PENINSULA    AK   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL IS 12.5 INCHES WHEN INCLUDING
            THE SUNDAY MORNING BURST OF SNOW.

1000 PM     SNOW             21 NNW HOPE             61.16N 149.94W
12/02/2019  E5.5 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            STILL SNOWING.

0748 PM     SNOW             2 NE EAGLE RIVER        61.35N 149.53W
12/02/2019  E4.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            UPPER FIRE LAKE AREA.

0743 PM     SNOW             7 SE EAGLE RIVER        61.28N 149.39W
12/02/2019  E3.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            MILE 7 OF EAGLE RIVER RD.

0700 PM     SNOW             8 SSE ANCHORAGE         61.11N 149.82W
12/02/2019  M6.3 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HUFFMAN AND ELMORE RD. AREA.

0641 PM     SNOW             5 SE ANCHORAGE          61.18N 149.74W
12/02/2019  E4.5 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            TUDOR AND MULDOON AREA AS OF 4:10 PM.

0636 PM     SNOW             5 S ANCHORAGE           61.14N 149.85W
12/02/2019  E6.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            ABBOT LOOP AREA.

0626 PM     SNOW             2 E ANCHORAAGE          61.22N 149.81W
12/02/2019  E6.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            8TH AND BRAGAW ST.

0624 PM     SNOW             GIRDWOOD                60.96N 149.12W
12/02/2019  E2.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

0507 PM     SNOW             6 SSW ANCHORAGE         61.14N 149.95W
12/02/2019  E4.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            JEWEL LAKE AND DIAMOND.

0504 PM     SNOW             5 SE ANCHORAGE          61.19N 149.73W
12/02/2019  M5.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            MULDOON AND 36TH.

0457 PM     SNOW             5 E ANCHORAGE           61.21N 149.81W
12/02/2019  E6.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

0457 PM     SNOW             1 N ANCHORAGE           61.23N 149.87W
12/02/2019  E2.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            GOVERNMENT HILL.

0455 PM     SNOW             2.8 SW ANCHORAGE        61.20N 149.95W
12/02/2019  E2.3 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            MILKEY WAY AND WISCONSIN AREA.

&&