Gale Warning 644, NWS Anchorage, AK

322 
FZAK52 PAFC 261236
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-270200-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A strong front moves across the Bering Mon afternoon through Tue 
afternoon. A low approaches the Alaska Peninsula Wed morning. 

$$

PKZ150-270200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...N wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-270200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. W of the Shumagin Islands, N wind 20 kt 
increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ160-270200-
Bristol Bay-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-270200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, NE wind 15 kt becoming
NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ170-270200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19
ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 
ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-270200-
Unalaska Bay-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 2 ft
building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-270200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-270200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-270200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ175-270200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-270200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-270200-
Adak to Kiska-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-270200-
Kiska to Attu-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-270200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ180-270200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-270200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-270200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
336 AM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 28 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

351 
FZAK52 PAFC 270021
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-271315-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A strong front will move across the eastern Bering Tue afternoon
and Tue night. A 990 mb low will move over Bristol Bay Wed
morning, then continue inland by Thu morning.

$$

PKZ150-271315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 20 ft.
Rain.
.THU...N wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-271315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-271315-
Bristol Bay-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-271315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, SE wind 15 kt becoming NW
35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-271315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-271315-
Unalaska Bay-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-271315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-271315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-271315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-271315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-271315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-271315-
Adak to Kiska-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-271315-
Kiska to Attu-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-271315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-271315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-271315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-271315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
321 PM AKST Tue Nov 26 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

939 
FZAK52 PAFC 271252
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-280130-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 990 mb low will move over Bristol Bay this morning, moving 
inland this evening. A North Pacific low will approach the Eastern
Aleutians Thu morning. 

$$

PKZ150-280130-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 21 ft.
Rain.
.THU...N wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ155-280130-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...N wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-280130-
Bristol Bay-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-280130-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, NE wind 15 kt becoming
NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ170-280130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-280130-
Unalaska Bay-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-280130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-280130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ174-280130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-280130-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-280130-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-280130-
Adak to Kiska-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ178-280130-
Kiska to Attu-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-280130-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-280130-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-280130-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-280130-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 27 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...W 35 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
536 AM AKST Mon Nov 25 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
At the surface, there is a decaying low near Cordova, a mature
low in the north Pacific and a second mature low near Kamchatka.
On the latest ASCAT (Advanced Scatterometer) has detected an area
of gale force winds over the Barren Islands and in the Gulf Of
Alaska associated a gap wind scenario. ASCAT has also detected a
broad area of gales in the Bering associated with the Kamchatka
low. There is a 150 knot jet core in the north Pacific and a 160
knot jet core nosing its way into the Western Bering. In the wake
of the arctic front, substantially colder temperatures have been
observed across the Anchorage Bowl. At Merrill Field the
temperature was 17 degrees Fahrenheit at midnight which is 15
degrees colder than the previous midnight observation for Merrill
Field.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good synoptic agreement with regards to the front
moving across the Bering today and Tuesday. However, there is a
low in the North Pacific and the models diverge with the
evolution of this feature. The current thinking is to hedge
towards the ECMWF and the NAM over the GFS which appears to be an
outlier at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds should persist this TAF
package.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
With the upper level low near the Alcan border, the arctic front
has moved into Southcentral Alaska bringing in colder
temperatures for the next two days. A surface trough just offshore
from the northern Gulf coast will keep some northerly outflow
winds through channeled terrain along the Gulf coast.

This pattern is the break in between systems as the next system
will begin to move into the region Tuesday night and Wednesday.
This system will be a very complex one and will have the potential
for both areas of heavy snowfall as well as mixed precipitation
type.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Wednesday)...

The weather pattern across Southwest Alaska is about to undergo a
radical change towards the warmer and wetter. A strong front
associated with a low is tracking across the Bering this morning.
This front will cause the wind flow to turn onshore/southwesterly.
Warmer air will replace the current cold air mass rather quickly.
The warmer than normal sea surface temperatures off the coast
will further support the warmer air mass that will be encroaching
into Southwest Alaska. Snow will begin along the coast of the
Kuskokwim Delta this afternoon. Overnight, the warmer air will
advance inland, changing the snow into rain as temperatures warm
through the day and into tonight into the 30s. Depending on the
intensity of the precipitation, heavier rates may allow for snow
to mix in, though above freezing surface temperature should limit
accumulations across the Kuskokwim Delta. Precipitation will
overspread the Lower Kuskokwim Valley and northern inland areas of
Bristol Bay tonight into Tuesday morning. Since the main front is
expected to stall out along the coast, the heaviest precipitation
will also remain over the Kuskokwim Delta, with only remnants
encroaching inland. Thus, while the Lower Kuskokwim Valley and
northern Bristol Bay should remain mostly snow through this event,
the precipitation amounts will be much lesser than areas further
west, where there is greater confidence that rain will be the
dominant precipitation type. Thus, there are no winter weather
advisories in effect for Southwest Alaska.

Coastal Flood Advisories are in effect for the coast everywhere
from Cape Newenham northward through Hooper Bay. 40-55 mph winds
will be directed directly into the coast of the Kuskokwim Delta.
This combined with the new moon phase will cause already
astronomically high tides to rise well above where they would be
with no wind. Near Cape Newenham and Goodnews Bay, the winds will
be somewhat parallel to the coast, so high tides will only be 2-4
feet above a normal high tide. Further north in the Kuskokwim Bay
on up through Hooper Bay, the winds will be stronger and plowing
right into the coast, this will support tides of 4-7 feet above a
normal high tide, especially Tuesday morning. Thus, coastal
flooding will likely be the greatest impact for the area.

The front stalls over the Kuskokwim Delta on Tuesday, while
further east, any precipitation will be tied to waves moving north
along the front, and thus will be more intermittent. On Tuesday
night through Wednesday, the front will resume drifting eastward.
At this point the model differences are much greater, pertaining
to how a low tracks up Shelikof Strait on Wednesday. These large
model differences result in much more uncertainty to how long and
how intense the precipitation over Southwest Alaska will be on
Wednesday. A westward track along with encroaching cold air from a
cold front may result in significant snowfall accumulations along
the Alaska Range, while the models that keep the low further east
in the Gulf will direct that precipitation into Southcentral, and
only snow showers will remain over Southwest Alaska. This will be
refined in future forecasts.

Looking ahead to Thanksgiving Day, despite the aforementioned
model differences, most of them are suggesting another polar air
mass settles into the area, so seasonably cold and dry weather is
likely.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Wednesday)...

The main theme in the Bering will be the front currently over the
western Bering that will slowly track over the eastern Bering
through Wednesday. Today is when the front will be strongest,
where storm force winds are expected from the western Aleutians
now across the open waters of the Bering today and impacting
Nunivak Island this evening. The winds and associated high seas
will be the primary impacts from the front, beyond the front's
slow movement resulting in a prolonged period of gales for the
eastern Bering through the day Tuesday. Behind this front, a
reinforcing Siberian air mass will stream eastward across the
Bering through Wednesday. This should return much of the Bering
back to widespread snow showers with frequent breaks and sunshine
in between. This pattern will persist through Wednesday, when
another warm front moves into the western Aleutians. Not much
precipitation is expected with this front, with a strong high in
place over the central Aleutians.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5)...
Southerly gales are expected to spread from west to east across
the Bering and Aleutians Thursday and Friday as a front works its
way across the area. Northerly Gales are expected south of the
eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula on Thursday and Friday with
strong inflow into a low over the southern Gulf.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Shortwave energy initially over the eastern Aleutians/Bering Sea
into the North Pacific on Wednesday should progress eastward and
weaken while a mid-latitude system to the south remains separated
from most of this energy and eventually drops southeastward.
Toward the end of the week and weekend the pattern will become
more dominated by a deep upper low moving into or just inland from
the extreme western/northern Bering. The overall trough containing
the upper low should extend south into the mid-latitude Pacific,
with the trough axis most likely reaching the eastern Bering
around next Mon. Expect a downstream ridge aloft to cross the
mainland around Fri-Sat and continue into western Canada. For the
southern Alaska mainland this will lead to a warming trend
Wednesday and Thursday, with warmer than normal temperatures
continuing through the weekend. Precipitation type will therefore
be an issue for most of the extended forecast.

Operational model runs and individual ensemble members display a
decent amount of spread and run-to-run variability to temper
confidence in the forecast, and thus it is a little below
average.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Coastal Flood Advisory: 155 161.
MARINE...Storm Warning: 177-179 181 185 411-414.
Gale Warning: 127 130 131 165 170 173 175 176 180 351.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JPW
MARINE/LONG TERM...BL