Gale Warning 477, NWS Anchorage, AK

172 
FZAK51 PAFC 281544 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-290315-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A trough of low pressure will impact the Gulf
through Mon morning. A 1007 mb low forms in the central Gulf 
by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-290315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...Light winds early shifting to SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-290315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...Light winds early shifting to E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft
early building to 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-290315-
Resurrection Bay-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-290315-
Prince William Sound-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-290315-
Port Valdez-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-290315-
Valdez Narrows-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt early increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-290315-
Valdez Arm-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-290315-
Passage Canal-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 25 kt developing after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-290315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...E wind 40 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-290315-
Barren Islands East-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-290315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-290315-
Chiniak Bay-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-290315-
Marmot Bay-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-290315-
Shelikof Strait-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-290315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft.
Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-290315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-290315-
Kachemak Bay-
744 AM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

140 
FZAK51 PAFC 282336
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-291300-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front pushes over the North Gulf Coast and Gulf through Mon 
afternoon. A 1005 mb low forms on the front 60 nm Northwest of
Kodiak City Sat night and loops along the front to 115 nm
Southwest of Middleton Island at 996 mb for Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-291300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Near the coast, E wind 30 kt increasing to
40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-291300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-291300-
Resurrection Bay-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-291300-
Prince William Sound-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-291300-
Port Valdez-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-291300-
Valdez Narrows-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
building to 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-291300-
Valdez Arm-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-291300-
Passage Canal-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-291300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas building to 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-291300-
Barren Islands East-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-291300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-291300-
Chiniak Bay-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-291300-
Marmot Bay-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-291300-
Shelikof Strait-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE 20 kt toward morning. Seas 8 
ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-291300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-291300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-291300-
Kachemak Bay-
336 PM AKDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

600 
FZAK51 PAFC 291200
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-300030-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A trough moves through the western Gulf and dissipates
by late Sun night as a 1007 mb low forms Sun evening 30 nm south of 
Seward then remains semi-stationary as the low deepens to 991 mb by 
Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-300030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Near the coast, E wind 30 kt increasing to
40 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 10 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 40 kt diminishing
to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt except E 30 kt near the coast. Seas 8
ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-300030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt...except NE 40 kt along the coast. Seas 9 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-300030-
Resurrection Bay-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 
kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-300030-
Prince William Sound-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft 
building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-300030-
Port Valdez-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-300030-
Valdez Narrows-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...Light winds early becoming NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-300030-
Valdez Arm-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-300030-
Passage Canal-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-300030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-300030-
Barren Islands East-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-300030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-300030-
Chiniak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-300030-
Marmot Bay-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-300030-
Shelikof Strait-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt early shifting to S. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-300030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-300030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-300030-
Kachemak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

213 
FZAK51 PAFC 291925 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-300315-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A trough moves through the western Gulf and dissipates
by late Sun night as a 1007 mb low forms Sun evening 30 nm south of 
Seward then remains semi-stationary as the low deepens to 991 mb by 
Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-300315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Near the coast, E wind 30 kt increasing
to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 10 ft. Widespread
rain  showers. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 40 kt
diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt except E 30 kt near the coast. Seas
8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-300315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt...except NE 40 kt along the coast. Seas
9 ft.  Widespread rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-300315-
Resurrection Bay-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10  kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-300315-
Prince William Sound-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft  building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-300315-
Port Valdez-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-300315-
Valdez Narrows-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...Light winds early becoming NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-300315-
Valdez Arm-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-300315-
Passage Canal-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-300315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-300315-
Barren Islands East-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10  ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-300315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-300315-
Chiniak Bay-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-300315-
Marmot Bay-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-300315-
Shelikof Strait-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt early shifting to S. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-300315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-300315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-300315-
Kachemak Bay-
1125 AM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 
10 kt in the early afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

608 
FZAK51 PAFC 292354
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-301230-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1005 mb low 100 nm South of Seward arches along the front to 
120 nm Southwest of Middleton Island at 995 mb for Tue afternoon.
Its front pushes over the North Gulf Coast and Gulf through Tue 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-301230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt except SE 40 kt near the coast. 
Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt except E 30 kt near the coast. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt except E 30 kt near the coast. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Isolated thunderstorms 
during the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-301230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Isolated thunderstorms 
during the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-301230-
Resurrection Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-301230-
Prince William Sound-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-301230-
Port Valdez-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-301230-
Valdez Narrows-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-301230-
Valdez Arm-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-301230-
Passage Canal-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-301230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-301230-
Barren Islands East-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Isolated thunderstorms 
during the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-301230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-301230-
Chiniak Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-301230-
Marmot Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-301230-
Shelikof Strait-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-301230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-301230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-301230-
Kachemak Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 29 2019

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

939 
FZAK51 PAFC 301200
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-010030-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A strengthening 1007 mb low over Middleton Island
moves to 80 nm south of Seward at 986 mb by Tue morning then moves 
to 170 nm southeast of Yakutat at 989 mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-010030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Near
the coast, E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
8 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-010030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-010030-
Resurrection Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-010030-
Prince William Sound-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-010030-
Port Valdez-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-010030-
Valdez Narrows-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-010030-
Valdez Arm-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-010030-
Passage Canal-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-010030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-010030-
Barren Islands East-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-010030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 12 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-010030-
Chiniak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-010030-
Marmot Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-010030-
Shelikof Strait-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of western bays and 
passes after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of western bays and passes. Seas
12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-010030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-010030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 10 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-010030-
Kachemak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt shifting to N wind 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
520 PM AKDT Fri Sep 27 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A ridge of high pressure currently extends from the Gulf through
eastern portions of the state. Further west, an area of low
pressure continues to spin over the western Bering, with its
associated surface front approaching the coast of southwest
Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models remain in good agreement through the weekend, before
diverging some for the start of next week. The main discrepancy,
as shortwave energy dives into the base of a Bering Sea trough
late weekend, is where does the new low form near Kodiak and what
track does it take (closer to the coast versus more of an
easterly component through the Gulf). The path this system
eventually takes affects who gets how much rain as we head into
the Monday night/Tuesday time frame. As is typically the case,
model uncertainty increases as we head through the remainder of
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Light winds with VFR conditions will prevail through the
forecast period, with some showers approaching the area Saturday
afternoon, ahead of an incoming warm front.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A pattern change to wet, windy weather is on tap this weekend in
Southcentral. The ridge over Alaska is slowly weakening and
shifting eastward, and high clouds are moving in upstream of a
Bering trough. Later tonight, a surface low will form several
hundred miles south of the eastern Aleutians, under a 140kt jet.
The low will quickly track northeast toward Bristol Bay, and sweep
a warm front into the Gulf.

Expect precipitation on Kodiak Island by late Saturday morning...
then reaching the Kenai Peninsula and north Gulf coast Saturday
night, and inland early Sunday. Increased east winds will
accompany the front, with gales likely over the Barren Islands
into Kamishak Bay by Saturday afternoon. Southeast winds will
impact the usual gaps as well, including Turnagain Arm, Passage
Canal and the Copper River Valley late Saturday night into Sunday.
While strong winds are likely along the Anchorage Hillside,
models continue to indicate a surface low developing in the
southern Cook Inlet. If this comes to fruition, strong gusty winds
should be diverted away from lower elevations in Anchorage.
However, the latest runs still struggled with this feature and a
slight change in progression could cause stronger winds to mix
into town.

East winds will probably cause some initial downsloping along the
western Kenai Peninsula and Anchorage Bowl, however deep
southwest flow aloft should overcome downsloping. With the
moisture fetch behind the warm front reaching into the subtropics,
snow levels over Southcentral will generally be above 4500 ft.
There could be periods of heavier rain in Seward with this system.
The other area that will see heavier precipitation is the
northern Susitna Valley in upslope flow.

Precipitation will diminish Monday as the steering low exits to
the north, and a trailing cold front will approach the Gulf from
the west.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A large upper level trough over the Bering will be a key player in
steering a North Pacific low over Southwest this weekend. In the
meantime, rain and gusty southerly flow along the Kuskokwim Delta
coast will diminish this evening as a front associated with a
broad low in the Bering moves inland. Behind this front, a North
Pacific low arrives over the Alaska Peninsula for Saturday
morning, bringing gusty southerly flow and moderate to heavy
rainfall. As the low lifts northward, a ridge of high pressure to
the east will aid to strengthen winds over the greater Bristol Bay
area Saturday night into Sunday. Widespread moderate to heavy
rainfall is expected across Southwest for most of the weekend. As
the low continues to move toward the northeast, precipitation
will taper to scattered showers by Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

Cloudy skies and scattered showers will persist over much of the
western and central Aleutians through Sunday thanks to a broad
area of low pressure centered over the northwestern Bering. A
second low arrives over the eastern Bering from the North Pacific
for Saturday. Expect heavy rainfall east of Unalaska Island with
gusty southerly winds. As the low moves inland, wind and rain are
expected to taper by the end of the weekend with generally
westerly flow expected across the Bering by Sunday night. The next
inbound front arrives over the western Aleutians Monday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Monday through Wednesday)...
All signs point toward a strengthening low in the Gulf on Monday
through Tuesday, though it's hard to say where in the Gulf it
will be located. Based on the expected strength and size of the
storm, widespread gale force winds appear likely, with some
potential for areas of storm force winds. Winds will come down
on Wednesday as the storm exits to the eastern Gulf. The Gulf
storm could also produce gale force winds along the Alaska
Peninsula. Otherwise, don't see any impactful storms across the
Bering Sea/Aleutians through the period.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Tuesday through Thursday)...
A deep low will be positioned in the Gulf of Alaska Tuesday,
though confidence in it's location is low. There is pretty high
probability of strong winds and moderate to heavy rain along the
Gulf coast and Kodiak Island. The low position will affect whether
the rest of Southcentral Alaska see anything out of this. In any
case, the low will exit eastward on Wednesday, with drier
conditions moving in.

Upper level flow will become quite progressive behind the initial
Gulf low, with a trough driving eastward out of Russia Tuesday
and Wednesday and reaching the Gulf Thursday and Friday. Models
disagree on timing and amplitude of this trough and display poor
run-to-run consistency so overall forecast confidence is low. In
general, expect a "weakish" low and frontal system to cross the
Bering Sea Tuesday and Wednesday, with rain spreading into
Southwest Alaska late Wednesday. All of this will then shift to
the Gulf and Southcentral Thursday or Friday. There is agreement
that the trough will amplify in the Gulf as a ridge builds
upstream in the Bering Sea ahead of recurving tropical systems
over the west Pacific. Thus, would expect good potential for
another round of heavy rain and strong winds along the Gulf coast.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale 120 130 131.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KO
MARINE/LONG TERM...SEB