Gale Warning 284, NWS Anchorage, AK

534 
FZAK62 PAFC 091154
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
354 AM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-100045-
354 AM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 968 mb low at 47N 173W Tue afternoon moves to 52N 172W at 978 mb
by Wed morning and then to 55N 179W at 977 mb by Thu morning. A
976 mb North Pacific low Wed afternoon at 48N 168W moves to 55N
162W at 977 mb by Thu morning.  

$$

PKZ411-100045-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
354 AM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

.TODAY...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ412-100045-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
354 AM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.

$$

PKZ413-100045-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
354 AM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ414-100045-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
354 AM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind up to 15 kt increasing to 10 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 to 25 kt increasing to 20 to 35 kt after
midnight. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

137 
FZAK62 PAFC 092336
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
336 PM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-101245-
336 PM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 968 mb low at 50N 167W will move to 53N 174W at 973 mb Wed 
afternoon. The low will then move to 56N 166W at 970 mb Thu 
morning. 

$$

PKZ411-101245-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
336 PM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ412-101245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
336 PM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ413-101245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
336 PM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.THU...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ414-101245-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
336 PM AKDT Tue Apr 9 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

167 
FZAK62 PAFC 101154
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
354 AM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-110030-
354 AM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 975 mb low at 51N 173W Wed morning moves to 53N 176W at 975 mb
by Thu morning. A 965 mb low at 48N 170W Wed afternoon moves to
54N 163W at 970 mb by Thu morning and then to 56N 162W at 986 mb
by Fri morning. 

$$

PKZ411-110030-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
354 AM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ412-110030-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
354 AM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...NE wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ413-110030-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
354 AM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

.TODAY...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ414-110030-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
354 AM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

633 
FZAK62 PAFC 102324
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
324 PM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-111245-
324 PM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 973 mb low at 53N 175W will dissipate Thu morning. A 964 mb 
North Pacific low will move to 51N 168W Wed night, then to 
56N 164W Thu afternoon at 973 mb. This low will then track 
to 55N 160W Fri afternoon at 987 mb. 

$$

PKZ411-111245-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
324 PM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. Snow with rain.
.THU...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ412-111245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
324 PM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ413-111245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
324 PM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt diminishing to 10 to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind up to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ414-111245-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
324 PM AKDT Wed Apr 10 2019

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

777 
FZAK62 PAFC 111125
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
325 AM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-120030-
325 AM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 967 mb low at 58N 167W Thu morning moves to 56N 164W at 978 mb 
by Fri morning and then to 55N 152W at 996 mb by Sat morning. A 
983 mb North Pacific low move to 48N 179E by Sat morning. 

$$

PKZ411-120030-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
325 AM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

.TODAY...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ412-120030-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
325 AM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 to 35 kt becoming 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 to 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ413-120030-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
325 AM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

.TODAY...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt diminishing to up to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind up to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ414-120030-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
325 AM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt becoming 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

096 
FZAK62 PAFC 112334
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
334 PM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-121315-
334 PM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 975 mb low at 56N 165W will move to 55N 154W at 998 mb Sat
morning. A 984 mb North Pacific low will move to 48N 179W Sat
morning then it will move to 51N 172W at 989 mb Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-121315-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
334 PM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ412-121315-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
334 PM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ413-121315-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
334 PM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.

$$

PKZ414-121315-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
334 PM AKDT Thu Apr 11 2019

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
424 AM AKDT Mon Apr 8 2019

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A vertically stacked low continues to rotate south of the central
Aleutians, with the associated front bringing precipitation to
the central and eastern Aleutians this morning, while on the back
side of the low the western Aleutians, including Shemya are seeing
snow showers in cold air advection. Downstream, shortwave ridging
has set up over the AKPEN, while high pressure over northeast
Alaska, a low in the Gulf, and low pressure over the eastern
Bering support a deformation zone over Southwest. Associated
showers have developed over the Southwest mainland, mainly in the
Bristol Bay area though some radar returns can be seen along the
Kuskokwim Delta coast and in the lower Kuskokwim Valley. The low
in the Gulf continues to bring showers to the northern Gulf,
Prince William Sound, and eastern Kenai Peninsula, while farther
north in the Anchorage Bowl and Mat-Su Valleys the only impacts of
the low are areas of high clouds.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in generally good agreement through today, then diverge
somewhat Tuesday into Wednesday regarding the next low approaching
the western Aleutians. Of note, the 00z runs of the EC and GFS
have come into much better agreement, showing one low center while
several previous solutions divided the energy into multiple weaker
lows. So while confidence is growing that there will be areas of
gales, maybe even storm force winds over parts of the Aleutians
and Bering, there continues to be uncertainty in the exact
location/timing.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. Showers are
possible tonight as a front passes through, but there is
uncertainty with timing.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Monday
through Wednesday)...

The front draped along the northern Gulf and Prince William Sound
remains stationary through this afternoon and then pushes inland
late tonight. Gusty winds and rain are expected along the
boundary...except snow for elevations over 2,000 ft. Winds across
Turnagain Arm and the Anchorage Hillside should continue to stay
gusty through Tuesday afternoon as the pressure gradient tightens
between a ridge across the northeast Gulf and low pressure over
the Southwest mainland. The pressure gradient slackens Tuesday
evening as the ridge and low pressure pull toward the interior.

The next front moves to the southern Gulf Monday night, with quick
progression to the northern waters by noon on Tuesday. The
associated low center stays on an easterly track and fills as it
nears the Panhandle on Tuesday night.

The next system to monitor, for gusty winds and rain, crosses to
the Bering Wednesday morning as a 957 mb low. This storm pushes a
fast moving front across the Gulf on Wednesday with northward
progress through Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
The deformation zone will linger over southwest Alaska today
bringing light precipitation to the area that will transition
more to rain heading into the afternoon. Precipitation will taper
down on Tuesday as the deformation zone diminishes. On Wednesday a
front will move in over the area from the southwest bringing rain
and strong, southeast winds to the region. The strongest winds
will be along the coast and through channeled terrain with gusts
to around 50 MPH. The rain and winds will spread farther inland
through the day on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
The weak low south of the central Aleutians will continue to track
east as it weakens before diminishing tonight. As it passes it
will bring light precipitation to the central and eastern
Aleutians. On Tuesday a North Pacific low will approach the
central Aleutians bringing strong winds and rain to the Aleutians.
Models are in much better agreement with this system giving
higher confidence in gale force winds moving through the Aleutians
and into the Bering. These strong winds will continue for the
Bering and Aleutians through Wednesday as the low center moves
into the southern Bering.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Wednesday through Friday)...

...Aleutian Coastal Waters and the Bering Sea...
There is increasing confidence of deteriorating conditions by
Wednesday with building winds and waves as a 960 mb North Pacific
low approaches the central Aleutians. There is still some
uncertainty regarding the track and intensity of the system but
gales are likely to develop near the central Aleutians and the
southern Bering as well as parts of the eastern Bering. Seas could
build to over 30 ft on the Pacific side of the central Aleutians
with potential storm force winds developing in this areas by
Wednesday evening. This is a significant change from the previous
day's forecast where the highest winds and waves were over the
western Aleutians and Bering for the later half of the week.

...Gulf of Alaska...
 A front pushing east across the Gulf will increase winds and
waves during the day on Wednesday through Friday, though winds
should remain mostly sub-gale force. There could be some gale
force winds developing Wednesday night to Thursday through the
Barren Islands and along the North Gulf coast, but not expected to
be very widespread. Seas are expected to steadily build through
the end of the week over the open Gulf, with swells approaching
20 ft over the southern half of the Gulf due to a persistent
southwest fetch of 25-30 kt winds.

&&

...LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Thursday through Sunday)...

A change to a more unsettled pattern is expected as a dominant
upper low develops over the Bering by mid-week. This will act to
reposition the major storm track north into the mainland. The
upper low will support a strong North Pacific surface low moving
into the Bering by Thursday with its associated front sweeping
east across Southcentral through the end of the work week. This
will increase cloud cover over the southern mainland and bring
periods of heavy precipitation to coastal areas as well as parts
of the southwest mainland, though it looks like inland/downsloped
locations across Southcentral should remain mostly dry.

Quite a bit of uncertainty creeps into the forecast by next
weekend with the GFS/EC differing on how the Bering low exits the
region. The GFS solution brings the low southeast into the
southern Gulf, potentially bringing a few decent days of weather
next weekend, while the EC keeps the low farther west near the
Y-K Delta, which would lead to more onshore flow and unsettled
weather over the southern mainland. Another strong North Pacific
low enters the Bering by Sunday and pushes east towards the
mainland, though models are nearly 24 hours apart in the timing of
the system at this point.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gales: 119
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
MARINE/LONG TERM...KVP