Alert archive / Arizona / Special Weather Statements in 2018
Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ
NWS Tucson, AZ issued this special weather statement at Jul 28, 2018, 6:01 PM MST. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 28, 2018, 6:01 PM MST (01:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 28, 2018, 6:30 PM MST
- In force
- 29 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tucson, AZ
The radar
The Tucson radar (KEMX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tuscon, AZ (KDMA), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 38 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 365 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -13 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2924 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 7 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 41 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 28, 3:35 PM MST, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 3:35 PM MST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 335 PM MST Sat Jul 28 2018 .SYNOPSIS...Deeper moisture will allow for continued thunderstorm chances through the weekend into much of next week. This will also result in temperatures that are near average for late July/early August. && .DISCUSSION...The upper weather pattern this afternoon is defined by an upper high centered over the Arizona/California border and an inverted trough just west of the Baja Spur. The upper high center continues to slowly wobble north/northwest in response to the trough nudging it as it tracks NW. Northern extent of this trough is becoming more in phase with a remnant MCV currently over the southern Tohono Oodham Nation. This will result in an area of upper diffluence across the southwestern portion of Arizona into this evening which should help enhance thunderstorm activity. We have seen some weak subsidence on the backside of the remnant MCV... limiting thunderstorm intensity across Santa Cruz county. However, we are now beginning to see signs this influence is waning with storms developing across Wrn Cochise. The 12Z KTWC upper sounding was quite moist and unstable with precipitable water at 1.74 inches and unmodified MUCAPE of almost 2000. Combine this with the decent mid-level shear allowing storms to organize, there should be plenty of ingredients around for storms to become strong later this afternoon...especially to the S-W of Tucson. The main impact of these storms will be the potential for wet microbursts. Not only does this increase the potential for heavy rain/flash flooding, but also strong organized thunderstorm outflows which can result in blowing dust problems for the western deserts of Arizona. Current LIS 0-200cm soil moisture satellite imagery depicts plenty of dry soil remaining across the lower deserts as a source for of dust. In any event, the majority of Hi-Res models still suggesting there is the potential for an organized outflow making their way toward Phoenix this evening. We have issued a Blowing Dust Advisory for dust storm/Haboob formation through 8 pm MST. Otherwise...the upper high will remain north our us through most of the upcoming week. This will allow for an east to southeast pattern to remain across SE Arizona. Therefore...we will continue with the idea of higher than normal PoPs for much of the week along with near normal temperatures. && .AVIATION...Valid through 30/00Z Scattered -TSRA/-SHRA with BKN cigs 8k-12k ft this afternoon and evening. Brief MFR conditions are possible near the stronger storms. Strong and erratic thunderstorm outflows are also possible, especially to the SW thru NW of Tucson this afternoon and evening. Blowing dust may reduce surface visibilities to below a mile at times. Cloud coverage decreasing in the late evening and overnight. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...Monsoon moisture will remain in place through the end of next week with daily thunderstorm chances in the forecast. Humidities will recover well each night and only drop to around 20- 30 percent each afternoon. Outside of thunderstorm induced gusts, expect typical diurnal trends with speeds of 15 mph or less. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Blowing Dust Advisory for AZZ501>506-515 thru 8 PM MST. && Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 28, 1:09 PM MST, 4 hours 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tucson AZ 109 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 AZZ503-513-282045- Dragoon/Mule/Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains including Bisbee/Canelo Hills/Madera Canyon-Upper Santa Cruz River and Altar Valleys including Nogales- 109 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SANTA CRUZ COUNTY UNTIL 145 PM MST... At 108 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Nogales, moving southwest at 20 mph. Dime size hail and wind gusts of 50 mph and blowing dust will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Nogales, Rio Rico Southeast, Rio Rico Southwest and Kino Springs. LAT...LON 3133 11081 3133 11102 3146 11098 3144 11070 TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 057DEG 21KT 3134 11090
Special weather statement, Jul 28, 3:55 PM MST, 2 hours 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tucson AZ 355 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 AZZ504-507-513-282330- Upper San Pedro River Valley including Sierra Vista/Benson-Dragoon/Mule/Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains including Bisbee/Canelo Hills/Madera Canyon-Tucson Metro Area including Tucson/Green Valley/Marana/Vail- 355 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM MST... At 353 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm between Vail and the Pima/Cochise county line, moving south at 5 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Vail and Corona De Tucson. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding and restricted visibility while driving. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3205 11075 3204 11046 3190 11046 3189 11079 TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 008DEG 6KT 3199 11057
Special weather statement, Jul 28, 5:03 PM MST, 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tucson AZ 503 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 AZZ501-502-290045- Tohono O'odham Nation including Sells-Western Pima County Including Ajo/Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument- 503 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM MST... At 502 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9 miles southeast of Organ Pipe National Monument, moving west at 25 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph and blowing dust will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Organ Pipe National Monument and Lukeville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3202 11289 3201 11259 3181 11260 3190 11289 TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 101DEG 21KT 3185 11270
Special weather statement, Jul 28, 5:20 PM MST, 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tucson AZ 520 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 AZZ504-514-290100- Santa Catalina and Rincon Mountains including Mount Lemmon/Summerhaven-Tucson Metro Area including Tucson/Green Valley/Marana/Vail- 520 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM MST... At 520 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Oro Valley, moving west at 5 mph. Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Oro Valley, Catalina, Catalina State Park and Catalina Foothills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3251 11088 3235 11088 3231 11102 3251 11103 TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 092DEG 5KT 3243 11095
Special weather statement, Jul 28, 5:53 PM MST, 8 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tucson AZ 553 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 AZZ501-502-290130- Tohono O'odham Nation including Sells-Western Pima County Including Ajo/Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument- 553 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM MST... At 552 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12 miles southeast of Ajo, or 50 miles south of Gila Bend, moving northwest at 15 mph. Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 mph and blowing dust will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Ajo, Why and Gunsight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3224 11262 3210 11275 3219 11300 3240 11286 TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 129DEG 15KT 3223 11276 KD
Special weather statement, Jul 28, 6:01 PM MST, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tucson AZ 601 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 AZZ504-290130- Tucson Metro Area including Tucson/Green Valley/Marana/Vail- 601 PM MST SAT JUL 28 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM MST... At 601 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Marana, moving west at 15 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph and blowing dust will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Marana, Avra Valley, Tortolita, Saguaro National Park West and Picture Rocks. LAT...LON 3247 11111 3229 11107 3225 11135 3248 11139 TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 087DEG 12KT 3236 11120 RH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 5:03 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 42 min | |
| Jul 28, 5:20 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 40 min | |
| Jul 28, 5:53 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 37 min | |
| Jul 28, 7:03 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 57 min | |
| Jul 28, 7:26 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Pinal | 34 min |
| Jul 28, 7:57 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Pinal | 33 min |
| Jul 28, 8:14 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Pinal | 91 min |
| Jul 28, 8:20 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Pinal | 40 min |
| Jul 28, 9:01 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 29 min | |
| Jul 28, 10:05 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Pinal | 40 min |
| Jul 28, 11:00 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Pima | 60 min |
| Jul 28, 11:57 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Pima | 48 min |
| Jul 29, 1:29 AM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Graham | 3 hr |
| Jul 29, 1:33 AM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 57 min | |
| Jul 29, 12:51 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Santa Cruz | 24 min |
| Jul 29, 2:08 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Santa Cruz | 37 min |
| Jul 29, 2:51 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Greenlee | 24 min |
| Jul 29, 3:04 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Greenlee | 56 min |
| Jul 29, 3:29 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Pima, Santa Cruz | 46 min |
| Jul 29, 4:00 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Pima | 90 min |
| Jul 29, 4:51 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 39 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Arizona, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.