Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 2, 2018Mayes County, Muskogee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at May 2, 2018, 11:02 PM CDT for Mayes County, Muskogee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 2, 2018, 11:02 PM CDT (04:02 UTC)
Expired: May 2, 2018, 11:45 PM CDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

Counties Mayes County, OK, Muskogee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1170 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -40 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1041 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.0
Supercell composite: 5.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 2, 7:50 PM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 2, 7:50 PM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
750 PM CDT Wed May 2 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Made some alterations to first period pops based on latest convective
trends. Storms currently evolving into a squall line across SW-SC
OK with diminishing sfc based activity to the north and northeast
given warm mid level temperatures. Highest pops will be across SE
OK this evening, expanding further northeast into NW AR after
06z. Overnight low temperatures will be left as they are at this
time.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM out shortly.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...23

Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 8:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
856 PM CDT Wed May 2 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
856 PM CDT Wed May 2 2018

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Parts of Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...After 10 pm.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...After 10 PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
The threat of severe thunderstorms, including a limited risk of
tornadoes, will increase across parts of eastern Oklahoma this
evening, and far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas overnight.

Severe thunderstorms have remained ongoing across western and
central Oklahoma this evening, but as storms continue to organize
into a squall line, they will  move into parts of eastern Oklahoma
before 1030 pm, and into far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
after midnight.  Large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes
within the strongest portions of the line are possible.  The overall
threat of severe weather is expected to decrease as the activity
moves further into Arkansas late tonight.

Additional thunderstorms may develop and move into southeast
Oklahoma and western Arkansas very late tonight. Depending on the
evolution of the first round of storms, Severe potential with
additional storms very late tonight may be limited.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY through TUESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing across parts of eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Thursday morning. This activity
should be weakening during the morning hours but will still have a
small severe threat. Additional thunderstorms may develop later in
the afternoon as the dryline surges farther east. Severe weather
would be possible with these storms as well. Showers and
thunderstorms will be ending Friday as the cold front exits to
the south and east.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor forecasts for severe weather potential
Thursday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 2, 9:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
922 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2018

OKZ054-059-064-030300-
Osage OK-Pawnee OK-Creek OK-
922 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL OSAGE...NORTHWESTERN
CREEK AND PAWNEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

At 922 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles northeast of Morrison to 3 miles northeast of
Carney. Movement was northeast at 50 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Pawnee...                         Cleveland...
Drumright...                      Fairfax...
Oilton...                         Jennings...
Ralston...                        Hallett...
Blackburn...                      Terlton...
Maramec...                        Skedee...
Sooner Lake...                    Silver City...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for northeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3649 9703 3667 9645 3599 9645 3593 9662
      3616 9662 3616 9682 3624 9682 3625 9692
      3633 9693 3634 9703
TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 235DEG 42KT 3637 9695 3582 9696

Local storm report, May 2, 10:09 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1009 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 SW BURBANK            36.62N 96.82W
05/02/2018  M60 MPH          OSAGE              OK   MESONET

&&

PBS

Special weather statement, May 2, 10:32 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1032 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2018

OKZ071-073>075-030415-
Haskell OK-Pittsburg OK-Latimer OK-McIntosh OK-
1032 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL HASKELL...CENTRAL
MCINTOSH...NORTHWESTERN LATIMER AND NORTHERN PITTSBURG COUNTIES UNTIL
1115 PM CDT...

At 1032 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles northeast of Dustin to 6 miles north of
Stuart. Movement was east at 50 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mcalester...                      Eufaula...
Krebs...                          Crowder...
Canadian...                       Indianola...
Hanna...                          Stidham...
Raiford...                        Blocker...
Vivian...                         Arrowhead State Park...
Lake Eufaula State Park...        Scipio...
Arpelar...                        Vernon...
Featherston...                    Onapa...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 269 and
273.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for southeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3505 9609 3506 9607 3509 9606 3512 9603
      3512 9601 3515 9601 3515 9598 3529 9598
      3549 9535 3496 9546 3489 9609
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 250DEG 51KT 3533 9593 3499 9608

Special weather statement, May 2, 11:02 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1102 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2018

OKZ061-062-067-068-070-030445-
Muskogee OK-Cherokee OK-Rogers OK-Wagoner OK-Mayes OK-
1102 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ROGERS...MAYES...
SOUTHEASTERN WAGONER...WESTERN CHEROKEE AND NORTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE
COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT...

At 1101 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles south of Oologah to 4 miles southeast of Inola
to 3 miles northwest of Rentiesville. Movement was northeast at 50
mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Muskogee...                       Pryor...
Pryor Creek...                    Fort Gibson...
Chouteau...                       Locust Grove...
Salina...                         Adair...
Okay...                           Hulbert...
Foyil...                          Braggs...
Hoot Owl...                       Peggs...
Greenleaf State Park...           Rose...
Pumpkin Center...                 Sportsmen Acres Community...
Sequoyah State Park...            Keefeton...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 253 and 272.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for northeastern
and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3651 9533 3651 9526 3627 9501 3558 9513
      3556 9540 3607 9530 3642 9564 3655 9533
TIME...MOT...LOC 0401Z 244DEG 44KT 3638 9570 3609 9548 3554 9555

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 2, 9:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	38 min
May 2, 9:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Osage, Pawnee	46 min
May 2, 9:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	54 min
May 2, 9:44 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	31 min
May 2, 10:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Osage	48 min
May 2, 10:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa, Washington	65 min
May 2, 10:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, McIntosh, Mayes, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee and 3 more	62 min
May 2, 10:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	43 min
May 2, 10:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Nowata, Rogers, Washington	47 min
May 2, 11:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	52 min
May 2, 11:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Ottawa	48 min
May 2, 11:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes	43 min
May 2, 11:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	56 min
May 2, 11:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	41 min
May 3, 12:19 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell, Sequoyah	41 min
May 3, 3:41 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa	49 min
May 3, 4:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Wagoner	62 min
May 3, 5:18 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Cherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee	42 min
May 3, 5:52 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	38 min
May 3, 6:17 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	43 min
May 3, 6:27 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	33 min
May 3, 9:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	39 min
May 3, 9:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	31 min
May 3, 9:26 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Cherokee, Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee and 3 more	3 hr
May 3, 9:27 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee	33 min
May 3, 9:43 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	32 min
May 3, 9:53 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee, Wagoner	37 min
May 3, 10:08 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, McIntosh, Mayes and 4 more	3 hr
May 3, 10:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Cherokee	32 min
May 3, 10:48 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Adair, Delaware	3 hr
May 3, 10:51 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	24 min
May 3, 11:22 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	23 min
May 3, 11:30 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	60 min
May 3, 11:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Latimer	28 min
May 3, 12:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	LeFlore	59 min
May 3, 2:24 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Delaware	30 hr
May 3, 2:24 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware	35 hr
May 3, 2:24 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	46 hr
May 3, 2:28 PM CDT	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware	16 hr
May 3, 6:17 PM CDT	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Sequoyah	14 hr
May 3, 12:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Washington	53 min
May 3, 12:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Benton	43 min
May 3, 1:07 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll, Madison	53 min
May 3, 1:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford	45 min
May 3, 1:44 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin	46 min
May 3, 6:55 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll, Madison, Washington	65 min
May 3, 12:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin	48 min
May 3, 1:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian	36 min
May 3, 1:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Franklin	26 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2018 Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.