Severe Thunderstorm Warning 152, NWS Tulsa, OK

299 
WWUS54 KTSA 241137
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
637 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

OKC001-021-061-241147-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-180624T1200Z/
Haskell OK-Adair OK-Cherokee OK-
637 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN HASKELL...SOUTHERN
ADAIR AND SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southeastern and east central Oklahoma. A severe thunderstorm watch
also remains in effect until 1100 AM CDT for northwestern and west
central Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3545 9428 3497 9459 3501 9478 3501 9479
      3505 9479 3509 9481 3537 9482 3563 9478
      3564 9427
TIME...MOT...LOC 1137Z 295DEG 40KT 3561 9461 3552 9460 3530 9465 3512
9469

$$

ARC033-131-OKC079-135-241200-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-180624T1200Z/
Crawford AR-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Le Flore OK-
637 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...NORTHWESTERN SEBASTIAN...EASTERN SEQUOYAH
AND NORTHEASTERN LE FLORE COUNTIES...

At 637 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 7 miles northeast of Brushy to 7 miles southwest of
Short to 4 miles north of Spiro to 3 miles south of Panama, moving
southeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations in or near the path include...
Fort Smith...                     Van Buren...
Sallisaw...                       Poteau...
Cedarville...                     Pocola...
Muldrow...                        Roland...
Spiro...                          Arkoma...
Panama...                         Bonanza...
Bokoshe...                        Gans...
Cameron...                        Moffett...
Brushy...                         Fort Smith Regional Airport...
Short...                          Figure Five...

This includes the following highways,
 Interstate 40 in Arkansas between mile markers 0 and 8.
 Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 306 and 328.
 Interstate 540 between mile markers 1 and 14.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3545 9428 3497 9459 3501 9478 3501 9479
      3505 9479 3509 9481 3537 9482 3563 9478
      3564 9427
TIME...MOT...LOC 1137Z 295DEG 40KT 3561 9461 3552 9460 3530 9465 3512
9469

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Lacy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
355 AM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Two distinct areas of convection this morning across the area. The
first area currently across east central Oklahoma developed
earlier in response to a weak surface boundary, and has been
sustained by a strengthening low level jet. The second area is in
the form of a MCS that has been moving east southeast throughout
the overnight from southwest Kansas. This area is just about to
enter northeast Oklahoma, though may make more of a turn to the
southeast given the instability and theta e gradient in place
across central parts of Oklahoma. Both areas of convection will
carry a severe wind and hail threat, and much of eastern Oklahoma
is under a severe thunderstorm watch until 10 am. Categorical pops
will be carried for the first part of the morning across much of
eastern OK, with a larger area of likely pops mainly across east
central OK and NW AR between 15z-18z. CAM solutions are all over
the place, so uncertainty abounds wrt convective maintenance
through the morning. The forecast area begins to be put into a
squeeze play beginning in the afternoon as warmer mid level
temperatures begin to move northward into the CWA. Another complex
looks to make a run at the area again tonight, but with southern
extent of convection very much in question, will keep pops mainly
confined to northeast OK and northwest AR tonight. Support from
the upper system passing through the high plains(along with
lingering boundaries) will warrant slight to low chance pops
across northern parts of the forecast area. Upper low retreats
through the upper great lakes region while ridging begins to build
over the plains. This feature will become the dominant weather
feature for the rest of the week. Went below guidance for high
temperatures for early periods, especially northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas given anticipated rainfall/cloud cover.
Otherwise, stayed close to guidance for the rest of the forecast
cycle.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   88  70  90  74 /  80  50  30  30
FSM   90  73  93  75 /  70   0   0  10
MLC   91  75  93  75 /  60   0   0  10
BVO   87  68  88  72 /  80  60  50  30
FYV   84  69  88  70 /  70  10   0  20
BYV   85  68  90  70 /  60  10   0  20
MKO   87  71  91  73 /  70  10  10  20
MIO   86  68  88  72 /  80  60  30  30
F10   89  72  92  74 /  70  10  10  20
HHW   93  74  93  74 /  50   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 AM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 AM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA UNTIL 10 AM...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA..Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Northeast Oklahoma.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Strong to severe thunderstorms have been ongoing for much of the overnight
across parts of eastern Oklahoma. A complex of storms that
developed to the northwest yesterday evening has moved southeast
overnight and was entering northeast Oklahoma. Some of the ongoing
activity has merged with the southeast moving complex, and has
resulted in a larger area of storms that will be capable of
producing wind gusts between 60 and 70 miles an hour as it moves
across northeast Oklahoma this morning. Additional storms ahead of
the main complex may impact far eastern Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas, and will be capable of severe wind gusts and large hail.
Additionally, a very moist atmosphere in place has resulted in
very heavy rainfall at times from the strongest storms that have
exhibited a slower movement. Localized flash flooding may result
across eastern Oklahoma this morning.

Areal coverage of storms this afternoon is expected to remain
lower, and mainly confined to northeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. Morning convection will likely stabilize the
atmosphere, but the strongest storms will still carry a limited
severe risk.

Later tonight, another storm complex may impact parts of northeast
Oklahoma. Warmer temperatures aloft will also be spreading north,
and coverage of storms will mainly be confined to northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. The degree of instability remains
uncertain, however a limited severe wind threat may exist across
parts of northeast Oklahoma.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Chances for thunderstorms will mostly remain across northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas for the early part of this week as
an upper system moves across the northern plains. Upper level
ridging will begin to build across the southern plains and will
become the dominant weather feature from mid week on.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
525 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 E OKEMAH              35.43N 96.25W
06/24/2018  M67 MPH          OKFUSKEE           OK   MESONET

            REPORTED BY THE OKLAHOMA MESONET.

&&

SRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
537 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 SSE HASKELL           35.75N 95.64W
06/24/2018  M60 MPH          MUSKOGEE           OK   MESONET

&&

KAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
546 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 AM     HAIL             1 WNW SAVANNA           34.83N 95.86W
06/24/2018  E1.25 INCH       PITTSBURG          OK   PUBLIC

&&

BLH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
554 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

ARZ019-029-OKZ072-241130-
Sebastian AR-Crawford AR-Sequoyah OK-
554 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...SEBASTIAN
AND EAST CENTRAL SEQUOYAH COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CDT...

At 554 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 3 miles north of Moffett to 2 miles southwest of
Barling to Midland. Movement was east at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Fort Smith...                     Van Buren...
Cedarville...                     Mountainburg...
Greenwood...                      Alma...
Barling...                        Roland...
Lavaca...                         Mansfield...
Dyer...                           Hackett...
Hartford...                       Huntington...
Midland...                        Moffett...
Rudy...                           Excelsior...
Fort Smith Regional Airport...    Bloomer...

This includes the following highways,
 Interstate 40 in Arkansas between mile markers 0 and 17.
 Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 325 and 328.
 Interstate 540 between mile markers 1 and 13.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 22 and 30.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southeastern and east central Oklahoma. A severe thunderstorm watch
also remains in effect until 1100 AM CDT for northwestern and west
central Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3514 9414 3510 9414 3507 9424 3506 9425
      3506 9423 3501 9443 3528 9440 3532 9443
      3538 9443 3537 9448 3548 9456 3563 9418
      3536 9408 3522 9408 3520 9406 3514 9405
TIME...MOT...LOC 1054Z 255DEG 32KT 3544 9443 3530 9432 3510 9434

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
558 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 AM     TSTM WND GST     4 S OKTAHA              35.52N 95.47W
06/24/2018  M62 MPH          MCINTOSH           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
604 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 AM     TSTM WND GST     MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRP 34.89N 95.78W
06/24/2018  M60 MPH          PITTSBURG          OK   ASOS

&&

KAH