Severe Thunderstorm Warning 149, NWS Tulsa, OK

857 
WWUS54 KTSA 241116
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
616 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

OKC091-101-241125-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-180624T1130Z/
McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-
616 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MCINTOSH AND
EASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southeastern and east central Oklahoma. A severe thunderstorm watch
also remains in effect until 1100 AM CDT for northeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3535 9454 3495 9495 3524 9564 3523 9558
      3526 9551 3530 9550 3529 9546 3533 9540
      3526 9525 3530 9517 3534 9518 3535 9514
      3537 9516 3538 9511 3546 9505 3553 9513
      3581 9513 3582 9527 3584 9525 3576 9450
TIME...MOT...LOC 1115Z 283DEG 47KT 3571 9482 3544 9486 3519 9519 

$$

OKC001-021-061-077-079-121-135-241130-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-180624T1130Z/
Haskell OK-Sequoyah OK-Latimer OK-Adair OK-Le Flore OK-Cherokee OK-
Pittsburg OK-
616 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CDT
FOR HASKELL...SEQUOYAH...NORTHEASTERN LATIMER...SOUTHERN ADAIR...
NORTHWESTERN LE FLORE...SOUTHERN CHEROKEE AND NORTHEASTERN PITTSBURG
COUNTIES...

At 615 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles northwest of Bunch to 4 miles west of Sallisaw
to 5 miles southeast of Whitefield, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations in or near the path include...
Sallisaw...                       Stigler...
Muldrow...                        Vian...
Quinton...                        Gore...
Keota...                          Mccurtain...
Bokoshe...                        Whitefield...
Gans...                           Kinta...
Marble City...                    Tamaha...
Brushy...                         Pumpkin Center...
Mc Curtain...                     Cookson...
Brushy Lake State Park...         Cherokee Landing State Park...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 290 and
322.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3535 9454 3495 9495 3524 9564 3523 9558
      3526 9551 3530 9550 3529 9546 3533 9540
      3526 9525 3530 9517 3534 9518 3535 9514
      3537 9516 3538 9511 3546 9505 3553 9513
      3581 9513 3582 9527 3584 9525 3576 9450
TIME...MOT...LOC 1115Z 283DEG 47KT 3571 9482 3544 9486 3519 9519 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Lacy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
355 AM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Two distinct areas of convection this morning across the area. The
first area currently across east central Oklahoma developed
earlier in response to a weak surface boundary, and has been
sustained by a strengthening low level jet. The second area is in
the form of a MCS that has been moving east southeast throughout
the overnight from southwest Kansas. This area is just about to
enter northeast Oklahoma, though may make more of a turn to the
southeast given the instability and theta e gradient in place
across central parts of Oklahoma. Both areas of convection will
carry a severe wind and hail threat, and much of eastern Oklahoma
is under a severe thunderstorm watch until 10 am. Categorical pops
will be carried for the first part of the morning across much of
eastern OK, with a larger area of likely pops mainly across east
central OK and NW AR between 15z-18z. CAM solutions are all over
the place, so uncertainty abounds wrt convective maintenance
through the morning. The forecast area begins to be put into a
squeeze play beginning in the afternoon as warmer mid level
temperatures begin to move northward into the CWA. Another complex
looks to make a run at the area again tonight, but with southern
extent of convection very much in question, will keep pops mainly
confined to northeast OK and northwest AR tonight. Support from
the upper system passing through the high plains(along with
lingering boundaries) will warrant slight to low chance pops
across northern parts of the forecast area. Upper low retreats
through the upper great lakes region while ridging begins to build
over the plains. This feature will become the dominant weather
feature for the rest of the week. Went below guidance for high
temperatures for early periods, especially northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas given anticipated rainfall/cloud cover.
Otherwise, stayed close to guidance for the rest of the forecast
cycle.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   88  70  90  74 /  80  50  30  30
FSM   90  73  93  75 /  70   0   0  10
MLC   91  75  93  75 /  60   0   0  10
BVO   87  68  88  72 /  80  60  50  30
FYV   84  69  88  70 /  70  10   0  20
BYV   85  68  90  70 /  60  10   0  20
MKO   87  71  91  73 /  70  10  10  20
MIO   86  68  88  72 /  80  60  30  30
F10   89  72  92  74 /  70  10  10  20
HHW   93  74  93  74 /  50   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 AM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 AM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA UNTIL 10 AM...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA..Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Northeast Oklahoma.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Strong to severe thunderstorms have been ongoing for much of the overnight
across parts of eastern Oklahoma. A complex of storms that
developed to the northwest yesterday evening has moved southeast
overnight and was entering northeast Oklahoma. Some of the ongoing
activity has merged with the southeast moving complex, and has
resulted in a larger area of storms that will be capable of
producing wind gusts between 60 and 70 miles an hour as it moves
across northeast Oklahoma this morning. Additional storms ahead of
the main complex may impact far eastern Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas, and will be capable of severe wind gusts and large hail.
Additionally, a very moist atmosphere in place has resulted in
very heavy rainfall at times from the strongest storms that have
exhibited a slower movement. Localized flash flooding may result
across eastern Oklahoma this morning.

Areal coverage of storms this afternoon is expected to remain
lower, and mainly confined to northeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. Morning convection will likely stabilize the
atmosphere, but the strongest storms will still carry a limited
severe risk.

Later tonight, another storm complex may impact parts of northeast
Oklahoma. Warmer temperatures aloft will also be spreading north,
and coverage of storms will mainly be confined to northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. The degree of instability remains
uncertain, however a limited severe wind threat may exist across
parts of northeast Oklahoma.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Chances for thunderstorms will mostly remain across northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas for the early part of this week as
an upper system moves across the northern plains. Upper level
ridging will begin to build across the southern plains and will
become the dominant weather feature from mid week on.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
356 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

OKZ073-075-240930-
Pittsburg OK-Latimer OK-
356 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LATIMER AND CENTRAL
PITTSBURG COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CDT...

At 356 AM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 3 miles north of
Mcalester, moving east at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mcalester...                      Hartshorne...
Krebs...                          Crowder...
Alderson...                       Canadian...
Indianola...                      Blocker...
Arrowhead State Park...           Mcalester Regional Airport...
Gowen...                          Dow...
Bache...                          Featherston...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3519 9574 3521 9545 3516 9545 3516 9543
      3486 9544 3485 9582 3505 9591
TIME...MOT...LOC 0856Z 251DEG 29KT 3499 9574

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
417 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 AM     HAIL             KREBS                   34.93N 95.72W
06/24/2018  E1.25 INCH       PITTSBURG          OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SRC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

OKZ065-066-071-073-241045-
Pittsburg OK-Okmulgee OK-Okfuskee OK-McIntosh OK-
500 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN MCINTOSH...NORTHWESTERN
PITTSBURG...SOUTHERN OKMULGEE AND OKFUSKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 545 AM
CDT...

At 459 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 3 miles east of Okfuskee to 3 miles northwest of
Clearview to 5 miles southwest of Cromwell. Movement was southeast at
55 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Okmulgee...                       Okemah...
Okfuskee...                       Henryetta...
Morris...                         Boley...
Weleetka...                       Dewar...
Schulter...                       Paden...
Indianola...                      Grayson...
Hanna...                          Bearden...
Hoffman...                        Castle...
Clearview...                      Raiford...
Pharoah...                        Okmulgee State Park...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 212 and
253.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southeastern, northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3555 9640 3564 9632 3564 9619 3566 9619
      3563 9571 3500 9574 3495 9609 3505 9609
      3515 9598 3529 9598 3529 9644 3546 9644
      3546 9647 3543 9650 3545 9655 3544 9657
      3540 9653 3540 9662 3551 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0959Z 322DEG 49KT 3560 9616 3543 9623 3528 9650

Lacy

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
525 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 E OKEMAH              35.43N 96.25W
06/24/2018  M67 MPH          OKFUSKEE           OK   MESONET

            REPORTED BY THE OKLAHOMA MESONET.

&&

SRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
537 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 SSE HASKELL           35.75N 95.64W
06/24/2018  M60 MPH          MUSKOGEE           OK   MESONET

&&

KAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
546 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 AM     HAIL             1 WNW SAVANNA           34.83N 95.86W
06/24/2018  E1.25 INCH       PITTSBURG          OK   PUBLIC

&&

BLH