Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 35, NWS Tulsa, OK

October 8, 2018Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Oct 8, 2018, 9:19 AM CDT for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Oct 9, 2018, 8:20 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 8, 2018, 9:19 AM CDT (14:19 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 9, 2018, 8:20 PM CDT
Expired
Oct 15, 2018, 8:24 PM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neosho River near Commerce (COMO2). The gauge peaked at 19.32 ft at Oct 14, 2018, 2:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate510152010/0810/0910/1010/1110/1210/1310/1410/1510/1610/17
Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07185000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

432 
WGUS44 KTSA 081419
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
919 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-082218-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0035.181010T1408Z-000000T0000Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T1408Z.181012T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
919 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Neosho River near Commerce
* from Wednesday morning until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 8:30 AM Monday, the stage was  4.24 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 
  19.8 feet by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
31 follow-up statements
912 
WGUS84 KTSA 082047
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
347 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-090446-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.181010T1540Z-000000T0000Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T1540Z.181011T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
347 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from Wednesday morning until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  3:30 PM Monday, the stage was  4.10 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 
  20.1 feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
382 
WGUS84 KTSA 090155
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
855 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-090954-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.181010T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T1200Z.181012T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
855 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from Wednesday morning until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Monday, the stage was  4.09 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 20.3 
  feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
508 
WGUS84 KTSA 090811
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
311 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-091610-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.181010T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T1200Z.181012T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
311 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from Wednesday morning until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Tuesday, the stage was  6.59 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 20.3 
  feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

Lacy
012 
WGUS84 KTSA 091407
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
907 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-092207-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.181010T0504Z-000000T0000Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0504Z.181012T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from late tonight until further notice, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday, the stage was 10.54 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late tonight and continue to rise to near 20.3 feet 
  Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
669 
WGUS84 KTSA 091952
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
252 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-100352-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.181010T0249Z-181014T2318Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0249Z.181012T0000Z.181014T1718Z.NO/
252 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from this evening to Sunday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:30 PM Tuesday, the stage was 13.58 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 20.3 feet by 
  Thursday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
053 
WGUS84 KTSA 100120
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
820 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-100920-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.181010T0120Z-181014T2112Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181012T0000Z.181014T1512Z.NO/
820 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday, the stage was 15.22 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 20.3 feet Thursday evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
015 
WGUS84 KTSA 100900
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
400 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-101659-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181014T2146Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181011T1800Z.181014T1546Z.NO/
400 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 16.81 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.5 feet early Thursday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

Lacy
562 
WGUS84 KTSA 101320
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
820 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-102119-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181014T1356Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181011T1200Z.181014T0756Z.NO/
820 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 17.21 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.8 feet Thursday morning. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Sunday before dawn .
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
028 
WGUS84 KTSA 101906
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
206 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-110305-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181014T1356Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181011T1200Z.181014T0756Z.NO/
206 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 17.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.8 feet Thursday morning. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Sunday before dawn.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
198 
WGUS84 KTSA 110029
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
729 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-110828-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181014T2203Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181011T1800Z.181014T1603Z.NO/
729 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 6:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 18.12 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.8 feet early Thursday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
917 
WGUS84 KTSA 110659
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
159 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-111458-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T0136Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181013T1800Z.181014T1936Z.NO/
159 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 18.62 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.0 feet Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

Lacy
402 
WGUS84 KTSA 111313
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
813 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-112113-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T0136Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181013T1800Z.181014T1936Z.NO/
813 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 18.72 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.0 feet early Saturday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
632 
WGUS84 KTSA 112324
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
624 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Ralston affecting Osage and Pawnee Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-120723-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T0136Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181013T1800Z.181014T1936Z.NO/
624 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 5:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 18.72 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.0 feet early Saturday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC113-117-120723-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0036.181012T0900Z-181013T1600Z/
/RLSO2.1.ER.181012T0900Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0400Z.NO/
624 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ralston.
* from late tonight to Saturday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 5:15 PM Thursday, the stage was 15.25 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Ralston is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Friday morning and continue to rise to near 16.2 
  feet by early Friday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage late Friday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs on the 
  north bank.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3658 9669 3640 9647 3626 9647 3626 9661 3658 9681

$$
772 
WGUS84 KTSA 120052
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
752 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Ralston affecting Osage and Pawnee Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-120851-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T0136Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181013T1800Z.181014T1936Z.NO/
752 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 18.72 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.0 feet early Saturday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC113-117-120851-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0036.181012T1800Z-181013T1200Z/
/RLSO2.1.ER.181012T1800Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ralston.
* from Friday afternoon to Saturday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7:15 PM Thursday, the stage was 15.32 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Ralston is expected to rise to 
  near flood stage early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs on the 
  north bank.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3658 9669 3640 9647 3626 9647 3626 9661 3658 9681

$$
768 
WGUS84 KTSA 120639
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
139 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Ralston affecting Osage and Pawnee Counties. 
  
  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-121439-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T0136Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181013T1800Z.181014T1936Z.NO/
139 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:30 AM Friday, the stage was 18.68 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.0 feet early Saturday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC113-117-121439-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0036.181012T1800Z-181013T1200Z/
/RLSO2.1.ER.181012T1800Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0000Z.NO/
139 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ralston.
* from this afternoon to Saturday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:15 AM Friday, the stage was 15.62 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Ralston is expected to rise to 
  near flood stage this afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs on the 
  north bank.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3658 9669 3640 9647 3626 9647 3626 9661 3658 9681

$$
313 
WGUS84 KTSA 121309
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
809 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-122108-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T0830Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T0000Z.181015T0230Z.NO/
809 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Friday, the stage was 18.71 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.0 feet Sunday before dawn . The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
115 
WGUS84 KTSA 121934
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
234 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Ralston affecting Osage and Pawnee Counties. 
  
  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-130334-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T0731Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T0000Z.181015T0131Z.NO/
234 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was 18.77 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will remain between 18.6 
  and 18.8 feet through Sunday morning. The river will then fall below 
  flood stage Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC113-117-130334-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-181013T1500Z/
/RLSO2.1.ER.181012T1052Z.181012T1845Z.181013T0000Z.NO/
234 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ralston.
* until tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Friday, the stage was 16.15 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Ralston is near its crest and is
  expected to fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs on the 
  north bank.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3658 9669 3640 9647 3626 9647 3626 9661 3658 9681

$$
475 
WGUS84 KTSA 130205
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
905 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-131005-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T1332Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181013T1800Z.181015T0732Z.NO/
905 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM Friday, the stage was 18.77 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.0 feet Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Monday before dawn .
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
024 
WGUS84 KTSA 130735
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
235 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-131535-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181015T1332Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181013T1800Z.181015T0732Z.NO/
235 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 18.83 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.0 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Monday before dawn.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
210 
WGUS84 KTSA 131317
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
817 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-132117-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0204Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T0600Z.181015T2004Z.NO/
817 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 18.91 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.1 feet Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
544 
WGUS84 KTSA 131915
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
215 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-140315-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0139Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T0600Z.181015T1939Z.NO/
215 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.1 feet Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
718 
WGUS84 KTSA 140116
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
816 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-140916-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0139Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T1200Z.181015T1939Z.NO/
816 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.2 feet Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
475 
WGUS84 KTSA 140117
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
817 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-140917-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0139Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T1200Z.181015T1939Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 19.02 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.2 feet Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
507 
WGUS84 KTSA 140706
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
206 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-141505-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0139Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T1200Z.181015T1939Z.NO/
206 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 19.15 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.2 feet this morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
606 
WGUS84 KTSA 141313
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
813 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-142112-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0300Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T1230Z.181015T2100Z.NO/
813 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 19.25 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
174 
WGUS84 KTSA 141922
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
221 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-150321-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0138Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T1515Z.181015T1938Z.NO/
221 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 19.30 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
814 
WGUS84 KTSA 150048
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
748 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-150848-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0138Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T2045Z.181015T1938Z.NO/
748 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 19.29 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
679 
WGUS84 KTSA 150706
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
206 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-151505-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0138Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T2045Z.181015T1938Z.NO/
206 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Monday, the stage was 18.86 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
539 
WGUS84 KTSA 151304
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
804 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-152103-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0541Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T2045Z.181015T2341Z.NO/
804 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Monday, the stage was 18.03 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
191 
WGUS84 KTSA 151907
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
207 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-160306-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0519Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T2045Z.181015T2319Z.NO/
207 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Monday, the stage was 16.42 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
726 
WGUS84 KTSA 160124
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
824 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-160154-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-181016T0519Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.181010T0000Z.181014T2045Z.181015T2306Z.NO/
824 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* At  7:30 PM Monday, the stage was 14.57 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage this evening.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling and
  remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. Low lying 
  areas in Riverview Park experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 8, 5:34 AM CDT, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 8, 5:34 AM CDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
534 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...UPDATE...

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR conditions expected to prevail through the period at all
terminals, with ongoing lower ceilings remaining west of the
forecast area this morning. Most of the TSRA should remain west of
the terminals through 12Z tomorrow, but BVO/TUL/RVS have a high
enough chance of seeing some before that to warrant a PROB30 group
after 06Z. Southerly winds will increase mid to late morning and
become gusty at all terminals except FSM through late afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 420 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018/

DISCUSSION...

The main forecast concerns this morning will be the convective
potential/severity and locally heavy rain potential Tuesday/Tuesday
night with a strong upper storm system. A secondary challenge
will be rain chances/amounts by next weekend.

A quasi-stationary front remains draped across north and far
northeast Oklahoma. Recent hourly trends suggest that the boundary
is slowly retreating north, however this process has been slowed
by consistent outflow producing convection. Will maintain some low
end PoPs this morning across NE OK. The front should be out of the
region by afternoon, with some isolated to scattered showers and
storms possible in the low level theta-e axis over eastern OK.

Focus then shifts to the western CONUS upper trough. This feature
is moving slowly east attm, but will begin to open up and eject
more quickly across the Plains Tuesday into Wednesday as an
upstream kicker system drops down into the Pac NW. As this occurs,
surface low pressure will develop over central KS and will lift
northeast quickly, dragging a Pacific cold front across the
forecast area Tuesday afternoon and evening. Models develop a
decent instability axis ahead of the front from central into
eastern OK. The instability combined with the strong DPVA will
produce a band or line of storms that is expected to sweep east
across the region. Strong low and deep layer shear suggests that
damaging winds and some isolated QLCS tornadoes will be possible.
This activity will sweep quickly east of the region by Wednesday
morning with the front. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible,
however the progressive nature of the forcing suggests that the
flood threat will not be overly high at any one location.

This front will mark the beginning of what will be an extended
stretch of true fall weather (it's about time!!). Rain chances
will increase toward the end of the week and weekend, though some
important details remain uncertain due to poor run to run
consistency. What is more certain is that a system will drop
southeast over the Plains in the northern stream NW flow but this
system will probably not bring much rain to the region. What is of
more interest will be the track of the remnants of Hurricane
Sergio. A broad upper trough will remain in place in the southern
stream over the southwest CONUS, and this will act to draw the
tropical system northeast into the country. What is uncertain is
the track of the remnant moisture. The ECMWF now brings this
moisture over OK/AR, with the GFS showing a bit farther north
track across KS. However, these models have been shifting this
significantly north or south over the past couple of nights, the
it is still quite uncertain whether this feature will affect our
region or not. Wherever this remnant moisture does eventually
track, there will be potential for heavy rainfall and possible
flooding.

Lacy

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....22
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 8, 4:51 AM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
451 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
451 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
 	AREA...West of Highway 75 in northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...This Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...West of Highway 75 in northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this
afternoon and evening across portions of eastern Oklahoma, with
the greatest potential expected to be west of Highway 75 in
northeast Oklahoma. A limited threat of severe thunderstorms will
exist, primarily across parts of Osage and Pawnee counties, during
the afternoon and evening hours. If severe weather occurs,
damaging winds will be the most likely threat. Locally heavy
rainfall and flooding will also be possible.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will increase areawide through the day
Tuesday and into Tuesday night as a cold front sweeps through the
region. Thunderstorms on Tuesday afternoon and evening will have
an increased severe potential, with damaging winds again being the
primary severe weather threat. There will also be a low but
nonzero threat of tornadoes and large hail. Heavy rainfall and
flooding will also be a concern, with widespread rainfall amounts
of 1 to 2 inches expected. Thunderstorm potential may linger into
Wednesday morning across parts of western Arkansas.

Low thunderstorm chances will also exist Saturday night along and
south of Interstate 40 as a fast moving storm system moves in
from the southwest.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 7, 7:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage47 min
Oct 7, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee45 min
Oct 7, 7:52 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTSAOsage38 min
Oct 7, 8:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPawnee26 min
Oct 7, 8:24 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage51 min
Oct 7, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee33 min
Oct 7, 8:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPawnee38 min
Oct 7, 9:08 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage28 min
Oct 7, 9:14 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAOsage, Pawnee3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.