Special Weather Statement, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
259 PM EDT Wed Aug 8 2018

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
Deep layer high pressure over the Atlantic shifting west slightly
will keep southwesterly flow throughout the column, and in turn
PW values elevated as moisture is guided in from the gulf. Some
higher Surface Based CAPE today via the 12Z TAE sounding, compared
to 24 hours prior almost up 1k, along with PW values of 1.78
inches should result in a bit more coverage this evening as
afternoon storms are now beginning to take hold along the
coastline. Coverage will expand north and east, with the best
coverage expected along a swath covering the big bend to just past
the GA border and East. A few storms might linger into tonight
with the majority of activity diminishing after sunset. Expect
lows in the mid 70s and possibly some patchy fog just prior to
sunrise.

.SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday Night]...
Upper ridge will gradually slide southward over the next two days
as a weak trough slowly approaches from the northwest. With an
associated decrease in subsidence from the ridge, expect to see
coverage of diurnal convection increase a bit Thursday, and again
on Friday. High temperatures should reach the lower 90s, near
seasonal normals for August.

.LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday]...
The subtropical ridge axis will remain to the south through the
weekend, with weak disturbances in the mid-level westerly flow
helping to enhance coverage of afternoon and evening
thunderstorms. By early next week, a more substantial upper trough
is forecast to develop over the Ohio River Valley, with a trough
axis extending to the central Gulf Coast. This will place the
forecast area in a favorable regime for numerous showers and
thunderstorms each afternoon at least through Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Thursday]...
SHRA/TSRA developing this afternoon and continuing into this
evening before diminishings tonight. Conditions will generally be
VFR outside of TSRA influence. However, Patchy fog and reduced
cigs could reduce conditions to MVFR/IFR briefly before sunrise
as well. Winds will be southwesterly 5 to 10 kts becoming light
and variable overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Generally light onshore flow will continue through Thursday before
becoming westerly on Friday through the weekend. Winds may
approach 15 knots Friday night before diminishing by Sunday for
the remainder of the forecast period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
In addition to moist summertime conditions, relative humidity, winds,
and indices will remain below critical thresholds over the next several
days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will produce brief periods of
heavy rain across our area through the end of this week. However, by
early next weak ample moisture and the formation of a weak front
over our CWA could lead to fairly high coverage of scattered showers
and thunderstorm. Minor urban flooding and localized river rises are
possible in areas of slower moving storms with high rainfall
rates.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   74  91  74  91  74 /  10  50  10  50  30
Panama City   78  88  77  89  77 /  20  30  20  50  40
Dothan        74  91  74  89  73 /  20  30  30  60  30
Albany        74  91  74  90  74 /  20  40  30  50  20
Valdosta      73  91  73  91  74 /  10  50  20  40  20
Cross City    75  90  75  90  75 /  10  40  10  30  30
Apalachicola  78  87  78  88  77 /  10  30  30  50  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...Humphreys
SHORT TERM...Camp
LONG TERM...Camp
AVIATION...Humphreys
MARINE...Camp
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DiCatarina

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
441 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

GAZ145>147-158>160-082130-
Brooks GA-Lowndes GA-Colquitt GA-Mitchell GA-Cook GA-Thomas GA-
441 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR COOK...SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL...
NORTHWESTERN LOWNDES...NORTHERN THOMAS...NORTHERN BROOKS AND COLQUITT
COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

At 440 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Pavo, or 14 miles south of Moultrie, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Moultrie, Adel, Valdosta, Hahira, Sparks, Norman Park, Lenox,
Ochlocknee, Pavo, Coolidge, Riverside, Schley, Morven, Berlin,
Funston, Barwick, Sale City, Cecil, Ellenton and Reed Bingham State
Park.

LAT...LON 3089 8402 3126 8416 3132 8345 3115 8333
      3088 8334
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 242DEG 26KT 3097 8371

04-MCD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
446 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S MERRILLVILLE        30.93N 83.88W
08/08/2018                   THOMAS             GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            ONE TO TWO TREES DOWNED BY THUNDERSTORM
            WINDS NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF DILLON RD AND
            CLYDE GRIFFIN RD JUST NORTH OF THOMASVILLE
            AIRPORT.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
446 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

GAZ160-082115-
Lowndes GA-
446 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTY
UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

At 446 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lake Park, moving north at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Park, Dasher, I-75 At Exit 5, I-75 At Exit 11, Twin Lakes and
Clyattville.

LAT...LON 3063 8314 3063 8330 3064 8333 3077 8332
      3076 8313
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 242DEG 26KT 3066 8322

04-MCD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
458 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

GAZ160-082130-
Lowndes GA-
458 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM EDT...

At 457 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
I-75 At Exit 16, or near Valdosta, moving north at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Valdosta, I-75 At Exit 16, Remerton, I-75 At Exit 11 and Valdosta
Regional Airport.

LAT...LON 3075 8320 3075 8335 3084 8337 3084 8335
      3086 8335 3086 8319
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 241DEG 26KT 3080 8326

04-MCD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
507 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             LAKE PARK               30.68N 83.19W
08/08/2018  E0.25 INCH       LOWNDES            GA   PUBLIC

            PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED ONE MILE WEST OF
            I-75 NEAR LAKE PARK GA.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
516 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

GAZ145-156>158-082200-
Decatur GA-Mitchell GA-Grady GA-Thomas GA-
516 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL DECATUR...NORTHERN
GRADY...SOUTH CENTRAL MITCHELL AND NORTHWESTERN THOMAS COUNTIES UNTIL
600 PM EDT...

At 516 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Whigham, or 9 miles northwest of Cairo, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Cairo, Pelham, Ochlocknee, Whigham, Akridge, Grady Co A/p, Capel,
Elpino, Harrells Still, Peoples Still, Spence, Dawesville, Quality
and Pasco.

LAT...LON 3092 8396 3084 8433 3099 8449 3117 8417
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 241DEG 26KT 3094 8434

04-MCD