Alert archive / Maryland / Tornado Watches in 2018
Tornado Watch 85
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 12, 2018, 4:58 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 12, 2018, 4:58 PM EDT (20:58 UTC)
- Expired
- May 12, 2018, 9:56 PM EDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 32 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 6:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 52 min |
| May 12, 6:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, York | 53 min |
| May 12, 6:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 37 min |
| May 12, 6:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Harford | 65 min |
| May 12, 7:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 45 min |
| May 12, 7:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 44 min |
| May 12, 7:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 57 min |
| May 12, 7:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 50 min |
| May 12, 7:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 45 min |
| May 12, 7:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford, City of Baltimore | 46 min |
| May 12, 7:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 45 min |
| May 12, 8:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel | 43 min |
| May 12, 8:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 49 min |
| May 12, 8:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Prince George's | 62 min |
| May 12, 8:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 50 min |
| May 12, 8:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 3 hr |
| May 12, 8:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 39 min |
| May 12, 9:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 63 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1390 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 178 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 201 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
717
WWUS20 KWNS 122055
SEL5
SPC WW 122055
DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-130500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 85
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
455 PM EDT Sat May 12 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Delaware
Central and eastern Maryland
Southern New Jersey
Southeast Pennsylvania
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning from 455
PM until 100 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms will spread east towards
the Mid-Atlantic Coast through the evening. Low-level wind profiles
on the cool side of a quasi-stationary front will favor a few
rotating storms with mainly a damaging wind and tornado risk.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
either side of a line from 20 miles southwest of Harrisburg PA to 30
miles east southeast of Atlantic City NJ. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 84...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28035.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 3:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle | 3 hr |
| May 12, 7:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 59 min |
| May 12, 1:51 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Garrett | 2 hr |
| May 12, 2:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegany, Calvert, Charles, Frederick, Garrett, Montgomery and 3 more | 8 hr |
| May 12, 5:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Frederick, Garrett, Washington | 115 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2018Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2018Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.