Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 62

May 2, 201838 counties in Oklahoma; 20 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 2, 2018, 12:59 PM CDT for 38 counties in Oklahoma; 20 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2018, 12:59 PM CDT (17:59 UTC)
Expired
May 2, 2018, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 58 counties

Alfalfa County, OK, Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, McClain County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Childress County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Donley County, TX, Foard County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
70%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
80%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

68 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 1:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver58 min
May 2, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver61 min
May 2, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver60 min
May 2, 2:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarper19 min
May 2, 2:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarmon51 min
May 2, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAWheeler25 min
May 2, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Roger Mills52 min
May 2, 3:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver58 min
May 2, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Harmon25 min
May 2, 3:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Harmon, Jackson36 min
May 2, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Roger Mills51 min
May 2, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Hardeman49 min
May 2, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Kiowa, Washita50 min
May 2, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa41 min
May 2, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCuster, Dewey, Roger Mills50 min
May 2, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard45 min
May 2, 4:23 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNGreer, Kiowa39 min
May 2, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Tillman48 min
May 2, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarper, Woods31 min
May 2, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson47 min
May 2, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKiowa, Washita49 min
May 2, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Custer, Dewey46 min
May 2, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard33 min
May 2, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman46 min
May 2, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCaddo, Kiowa, Washita45 min
May 2, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBKing27 min
May 2, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Tillman46 min
May 2, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Jackson, Kiowa29 min
May 2, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKnox38 min
May 2, 5:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Grady48 min
May 2, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Kiowa, Tillman62 min
May 2, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Garfield, Kingfisher, Major, Noble45 min
May 2, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Kiowa, Washita44 min
May 2, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Hardeman, Wilbarger39 min
May 2, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Tillman45 min
May 2, 6:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo42 min
May 2, 6:23 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNTillman37 min
May 2, 6:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Grady39 min
May 2, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger38 min
May 2, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Grady47 min
May 2, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarfield, Noble35 min
May 2, 6:47 PM CDTTornado Warning Considerable damage threatOUNComanche, Cotton, Tillman28 min
May 2, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche47 min
May 2, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton, Tillman40 min
May 2, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Grady49 min
May 2, 7:14 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCotton31 min
May 2, 7:15 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Tillman30 min
May 2, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Grady, Jefferson, Stephens60 min
May 2, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Grady46 min
May 2, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton, Jefferson46 min
May 2, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor55 min
May 2, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Grady30 min
May 2, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland, Grady, McClain43 min
May 2, 8:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCanadian, Grady3 hr
May 2, 8:06 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNGrady24 min
May 2, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Cleveland, Garvin, Grady, McClain, Murray and 2 more58 min
May 2, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay67 min
May 2, 8:44 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland18 min
May 2, 8:49 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland, McClain12 min
May 2, 8:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma112 min
May 2, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie, Seminole48 min
May 2, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Garvin, McClain, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie, Seminole63 min
May 2, 9:09 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNPottawatomie15 min
May 2, 9:16 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNPottawatomie16 min
May 2, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Noble, Payne43 min
May 2, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Pottawatomie, Seminole32 min
May 2, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Jefferson, Johnston, Love, Marshall, Murray and 1 more42 min
May 2, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2018-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 517 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2018-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
517 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-198 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
695 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

757 
WWUS20 KWNS 021757
SEL2  
SPC WW 021757
OKZ000-TXZ000-030300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 62
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
100 PM CDT Wed May 2 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western Oklahoma
  Eastern Texas Panhandle and northwest Texas

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 100 PM
  until 1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
  Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...Additional severe storms will develop along the dryline
over the eastern Texas Panhandle this afternoon and spread east into
western Oklahoma and a part of western North Texas. Very large hail
will be the primary initial hazard, with a risk for tornadoes and
damaging winds increasing late afternoon into early evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Alva OK to
55 miles southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 61...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 11:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis and 9 more2 hr
May 2, 3:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 21 more3 hr
May 2, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 16 more95 min
May 2, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Concho, Crockett, Edwards, Glasscock, Irion and 12 more2 hr
May 2, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett and 36 more9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2018Tornado Watches in Texas, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.