Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 442

December 26, 201835 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 26, 2018, 2:11 PM CST for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 26, 2018, 2:11 PM CST (20:11 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2018, 12:00 AM CST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 4:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Jones, Shackelford, Taylor40 min
Dec 26, 4:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Jones, Shackelford, Taylor49 min
Dec 26, 4:45 PM CSTTornado WarningSJTCallahan24 min
Dec 26, 5:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland, Stephens53 min
Dec 26, 5:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDYoung60 min
Dec 26, 6:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack48 min
Dec 26, 9:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXWilliamson32 min
Dec 26, 10:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXWilliamson35 min
Dec 26, 10:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBell, Milam40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-12-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 53 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-12-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 255 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
53 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
497 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

288 
WWUS20 KWNS 262007
SEL2  
SPC WW 262007
TXZ000-270400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 442
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CST Wed Dec 26 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Parts of central and north Texas

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 210 PM
  until 1000 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will persist through the evening within a
broken band in the warm sector, generally west of Interstate 35. 
Gradual destabilization of the low levels, in an environment with
strong low-level wind shear, will support a threat for tornadoes
with embedded supercells.  Later this evening, a squall line will
reach the watch area, with an attendant threat for damaging winds
and brief tornadoes with embedded circulations.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles northwest of Mineral Wells TX
to 55 miles east of Junction TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 441...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 22035.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 11:33 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Coke, Crockett and 24 more117 min
Dec 26, 12:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche and 22 more2 hr
Dec 26, 12:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 40 more6 hr
Dec 26, 3:21 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Coke and 34 more84 min
Dec 26, 4:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown and 42 more2 hr
Dec 26, 4:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown and 42 more62 min
Dec 26, 5:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more4 hr
Dec 26, 5:48 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 17 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.