Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 385

September 20, 20186 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Minnesota; 20 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 20, 2018, 6:23 PM CDT for 6 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Minnesota; 20 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2018, 6:23 PM CDT (23:23 UTC)
Expired
Sep 20, 2018, 11:29 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 33 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Portage County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge, Mower, Olmsted52 min
Sep 20, 6:46 PM CDTTornado WarningARXDodge29 min
Sep 20, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXOlmsted, Wabasha, Winona56 min
Sep 20, 7:13 PM CDTTornado WarningARXWabasha32 min
Sep 20, 7:13 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXDunn, Pepin, Pierce36 min
Sep 20, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire, Pepin, Saint Croix38 min
Sep 20, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXBuffalo, Trempealeau37 min
Sep 20, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Eau Claire37 min
Sep 20, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXHoward, Mitchell47 min
Sep 20, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXHoward42 min
Sep 20, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClark40 min
Sep 20, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon, Portage, Wood48 min
Sep 20, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLanglade, Lincoln, Marathon48 min
Sep 20, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon, Portage, Wood51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-09-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 18 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-09-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 195 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
461 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

875 
WWUS20 KWNS 202322
SEL5  
SPC WW 202322
IAZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-210500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 385
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
625 PM CDT Thu Sep 20 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Iowa
  Southeast Minnesota
  Western and central Wisconsin

* Effective this Thursday night from 625 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...Fast-moving squall line with embedded bowing segments will
be capable of producing isolated to scattered severe wind gusts and
a brief tornado.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles west southwest of Rochester
MN to 15 miles south southeast of Mosinee WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 383...WW 384...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25050.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 12 more3 hr
Sep 20, 2:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 23 more119 min
Sep 20, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 38 more8 hr
Sep 20, 5:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee2 hr
Sep 20, 5:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun and 37 more57 min
Sep 20, 3:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota, Faribault and 22 more4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2018Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2018Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.