Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2018
Tornado Watch 252
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 1, 2018, 1:04 PM EDT for 8 counties in Michigan; 41 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 1, 2018, 1:04 PM EDT (17:04 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 1, 2018, 7:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 49 counties
Alger County, MI, Delta County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Iron County, MI, Luce County, MI, Marquette County, MI, Menominee County, MI, Schoolcraft County, MI, Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Door County, WI, Florence County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Forest County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marinette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Portage County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI
The radar
The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 1:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Menominee, Portage, Shawano, Waupaca | 50 min |
| Jul 1, 1:18 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | GRB | Shawano, Waupaca | 42 min |
| Jul 1, 1:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Menominee, Oconto | 82 min |
| Jul 1, 1:43 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | GRB | Marinette, Oconto | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 2:04 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Adams | 11 min |
| Jul 1, 2:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Marquette | 35 min |
| Jul 1, 2:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Marinette | 55 min |
| Jul 1, 2:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Menominee | 64 min |
| Jul 1, 2:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Brown, Oconto, Outagamie | 53 min |
| Jul 1, 3:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Outagamie, Waupaca, Waushara, Winnebago | 39 min |
| Jul 1, 3:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Brown, Oconto, Outagamie, Shawano | 50 min |
| Jul 1, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington, Waukesha | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Menominee | 25 min |
| Jul 1, 4:08 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MQT | Menominee | 22 min |
| Jul 1, 4:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Brown, Marinette, Oconto | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 4:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Sheboygan | 19 min |
| Jul 1, 4:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Door | 66 min |
| Jul 1, 4:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dodge, Fond du Lac, Washington | 36 min |
| Jul 1, 4:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Milwaukee, Ozaukee | 19 min |
| Jul 1, 5:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Kenosha, Racine | 17 min |
| Jul 1, 5:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Schoolcraft | 19 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 10 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -259 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1272 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 86 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 152 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
167
WWUS20 KWNS 011702
SEL2
SPC WW 011702
MIZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-020000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM CDT Sun Jul 1 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Upper Michigan
Central and Eastern Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1205 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to
form this afternoon over central Wisconsin, tracking eastward across
the watch area. A few supercells with an associated tornado threat
may occur. Otherwise, damaging winds and hail are the main threats.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles east northeast of Marquette MI
to 10 miles east southeast of Janesville WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 9:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alger, Delta, Dickinson, Gogebic, Iron, Menominee | 85 min |
| Jul 1, 12:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Delta, Dickinson, Iron, Menominee | 83 min |
| Jul 1, 2:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alger, Baraga, Delta, Dickinson, Iron, Luce and 3 more | 53 min |
| Jul 1, 4:18 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Delta, Luce, Mackinac, Menominee, Schoolcraft | 87 min |
| Jul 1, 6:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Antrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Chippewa, Clare and 16 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 1, 6:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegan, Antrim, Barry, Benzie, Charlevoix, Cheboygan and 22 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 1, 7:51 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegan, Berrien, Cass, Van Buren | 114 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2018Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.