Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 172

June 11, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 11, 2018, 3:42 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 11, 2018, 3:42 PM CDT (20:42 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2018, 9:35 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 65 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Ida County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Page County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Atchison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Worth County, MO, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Union County, SD

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDWoodbury25 min
Jun 11, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXColfax, Cuming, Dodge44 min
Jun 11, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt, Cuming, Thurston39 min
Jun 11, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Douglas, Sarpy40 min
Jun 11, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt, Cuming, Dodge, Washington52 min
Jun 11, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXDodge, Saunders30 min
Jun 11, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie51 min
Jun 11, 5:28 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXCass, Sarpy32 min
Jun 11, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Douglas, Saunders, Washington43 min
Jun 11, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Pottawattamie, Shelby44 min
Jun 11, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXCass30 min
Jun 11, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass32 min
Jun 11, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie62 min
Jun 11, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison39 min
Jun 11, 6:26 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXCass49 min
Jun 11, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie47 min
Jun 11, 6:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXCass, Sarpy113 min
Jun 11, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont55 min
Jun 11, 6:40 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXCass, Otoe23 min
Jun 11, 6:51 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXPottawattamie12 min
Jun 11, 6:58 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXOtoe32 min
Jun 11, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXFremont, Mills45 min
Jun 11, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMills, Montgomery30 min
Jun 11, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford36 min
Jun 11, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Page51 min
Jun 11, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXFremont, Page24 min
Jun 11, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page33 min
Jun 11, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page48 min
Jun 11, 7:31 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMontgomery, Page29 min
Jun 11, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway37 min
Jun 11, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford, Sac35 min
Jun 11, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page32 min
Jun 11, 7:46 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXJohnson, Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson29 min
Jun 11, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page52 min
Jun 11, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXTaylor63 min
Jun 11, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Carroll, Sac28 min
Jun 11, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams51 min
Jun 11, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway46 min
Jun 11, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPage27 min
Jun 11, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun32 min
Jun 11, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXNemaha, Pawnee, Richardson49 min
Jun 11, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Calhoun, Greene, Webster44 min
Jun 11, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union54 min
Jun 11, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Atchison, Gentry, Harrison, Holt, Nodaway and 1 more32 min
Jun 11, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Humboldt, Pocahontas, Webster31 min
Jun 11, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1072 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 312 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1072 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-356 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1255 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
463 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

946 
WWUS20 KWNS 112039
SEL2  
SPC WW 112039
IAZ000-MNZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-120400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM CDT Mon Jun 11 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western Iowa
  Far southwest Minnesota
  Far northwest Missouri
  Eastern Nebraska
  Far southeast South Dakota

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...Scattered storms will develop along a slow-moving cold
front. Environment is favorable for intense storms capable of
producing all hazards. With time, storms should evolve into line
segments which may result in an increasing wind threat towards
sunset.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Spencer IA
to 25 miles west of Falls City NE. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 31020.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 2:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury2 hr
Jun 10, 7:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLincoln, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis59 min
Jun 11, 4:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Knox, Lewis, Lincoln, Macon and 12 more2 hr
Jun 11, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 19 more8 hr
Jun 10, 8:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Corson, Custer, Dewey, Haakon, Harding and 11 more113 min
Jun 10, 10:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Campbell, Edmunds, Faulk, Hand, Hughes and 8 more54 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2018Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2018Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.