Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 147

June 1, 201849 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 1, 2018, 3:57 PM CDT for 49 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2018, 3:57 PM CDT (20:57 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2018, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 49 counties

Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Clay County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Saline County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
90%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 4:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry, Keya Paha68 min
Jun 1, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Keya Paha, Rock40 min
Jun 1, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Brown, Holt, Keya Paha, Rock53 min
Jun 1, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Loup19 min
Jun 1, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Rock37 min
Jun 1, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Garfield, Holt, Keya Paha, Loup, Rock52 min
Jun 1, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Brown, Loup, Rock35 min
Jun 1, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield, Holt, Loup, Rock, Wheeler61 min
Jun 1, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Holt51 min
Jun 1, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox, Pierce51 min
Jun 1, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster43 min
Jun 1, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDValley50 min
Jun 1, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt, Wheeler26 min
Jun 1, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Wheeler62 min
Jun 1, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster13 min
Jun 1, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster65 min
Jun 1, 8:58 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDValley32 min
Jun 1, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox, Pierce31 min
Jun 1, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSherman, Valley41 min
Jun 1, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Madison, Pierce31 min
Jun 1, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Sherman51 min
Jun 1, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Valley50 min
Jun 1, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox, Madison, Pierce31 min
Jun 1, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Knox, Pierce, Wayne31 min
Jun 1, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Madison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne29 min
Jun 1, 9:54 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMadison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne36 min
Jun 1, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne46 min
Jun 1, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison, Platte, Stanton45 min
Jun 1, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Sherman46 min
Jun 1, 10:14 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMadison, Stanton31 min
Jun 1, 10:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHoward, Nance, Sherman42 min
Jun 1, 10:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXColfax, Platte57 min
Jun 1, 10:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson, Gosper, Phelps41 min
Jun 1, 10:24 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDBuffalo, Sherman36 min
Jun 1, 10:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming, Madison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne43 min
Jun 1, 10:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Dodge, Saunders61 min
Jun 1, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGosper, Phelps10 min
Jun 1, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHamilton, Merrick, Nance, Polk, York51 min
Jun 1, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Gosper, Phelps33 min
Jun 1, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Hall, Howard, Sherman45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 998 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 157 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
998 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-296 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1653 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

588 
WWUS20 KWNS 012055
SEL7  
SPC WW 012055
NEZ000-020400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 147
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Fri Jun 1 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Nebraska

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...An extremely unstable air mass continues to evolve
especially across central Nebraska, with increasingly intense storm
development expected initially across west-central Nebraska through
late afternoon. The environment favors supercells capable of very
large hail along with some tornado risk, particularly as
temperatures cool this evening and low-level shear increases.
Additional southward storm development can be expected by evening,
including the potential of an organized and
east/southeastward-accelerating cluster of storms capable of
widespread wind damage and hail.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Ainsworth
NE to 40 miles south of Hastings NE. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 143...WW 144...WW
145...WW 146...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 25025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Blaine, Boone, Brown, Buffalo and 42 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.