Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362

August 31, 20185 counties in Minnesota; 7 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 31, 2018, 6:55 PM CDT for 5 counties in Minnesota; 7 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 31, 2018, 6:55 PM CDT (23:55 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2018, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Aitkin County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Lake County, MN, Pine County, MN, Saint Louis County, MN, Ashland County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Douglas County, WI, Iron County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Saint Louis47 min
Aug 31, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Lake, Saint Louis43 min
Aug 31, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin34 min
Aug 31, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCook, Lake, Saint Louis48 min
Aug 31, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Saint Louis28 min
Aug 31, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin19 min
Aug 31, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton27 min
Aug 31, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCook, Lake51 min
Aug 31, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Saint Louis34 min
Aug 31, 10:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Saint Louis28 min
Aug 31, 10:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHDouglas29 min
Aug 31, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAshland, Bayfield23 min

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-08-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1301 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-08-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 175 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1301 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-120 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
617 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
306 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 2:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Clay, Clearwater, Hubbard, Itasca and 10 more3 hr
Aug 31, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeltrami, Clearwater, Itasca, Koochiching, Lake of the Woods2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.