Alert archive / Minnesota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1397

August 31, 201816 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 31, 2018, 2:00 PM CDT for 16 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 31, 2018, 2:00 PM CDT (19:00 UTC)
Expired
Aug 31, 2018, 4:30 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Wilkin County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 206 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-08-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1301 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2018-08-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 175 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1301 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-120 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
617 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
306 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeltrami, Clearwater, Itasca, Koochiching, Lake of the Woods2 hr
Aug 31, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Carlton, Lake, Pine, Saint Louis5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.