Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 341

August 18, 201814 counties in Colorado; 5 counties in New Mexico

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 18, 2018, 12:47 PM MDT for 14 counties in Colorado; 5 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2018, 12:47 PM MDT (18:47 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2018, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Colfax County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 18, 1:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas26 min
Aug 18, 1:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Taos24 min
Aug 18, 2:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas31 min
Aug 18, 2:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax42 min
Aug 18, 2:56 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningABQColfax3 hr
Aug 18, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax62 min
Aug 18, 3:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax40 min
Aug 18, 3:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax33 min
Aug 18, 3:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas39 min
Aug 18, 3:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson, Yuma52 min
Aug 18, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion28 min
Aug 18, 4:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Union47 min
Aug 18, 5:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Bent, Prowers32 min
Aug 18, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora, San Miguel59 min
Aug 18, 5:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 412 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -8 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
412 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-229 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1881 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 18, 12:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, El Paso, Kiowa and 5 more2 hr
Aug 18, 2:26 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips, Sedgwick3 hr
Aug 18, 2:50 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert, El Paso and 7 more55 min
Aug 18, 5:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Prowers116 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.